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  1. Universal basic income in developing countries: pitfalls and alternatives
    Erschienen: fevereiro de 2021
    Verlag:  EPGE, Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Rio de Janeiro

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10438/30151
    Schriftenreihe: Ensaios econômicos ; no 821
    Schlagworte: Grundeinkommen; Rationale Erwartung; Makroökonomisches Modell; Brasilien; Entwicklungsländer
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 43 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Secular drivers of the natural rate of interest in the United States
    a quantitative evaluation
    Erschienen: 2022 FEB
    Verlag:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    We develop a heterogeneous agent, overlapping generations model with nonhomothetic preferences that nests several explanations for the decline in the natural rate of interest (r*) suggested in the literature: demographic change, a slowdown in... mehr

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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
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    We develop a heterogeneous agent, overlapping generations model with nonhomothetic preferences that nests several explanations for the decline in the natural rate of interest (r*) suggested in the literature: demographic change, a slowdown in productivity growth, a rise in income inequality, and public policy. The model can account for a 2.2 percentage point (pp) decline in r* between 1975 and 2015, which is within the range of empirical estimates. Rising income inequality is an important driver (-0.70 pp), and together with demographic change (-0.71 pp) and the slowdown in productivity growth (-1.0 pp) explains most of the decline. Growing public debt is the major counteracting force (+0.31 pp). Permanent income inequality is of greater importance than inequality due to uninsurable income risk, and matching the degree of nonhomotheticity in consumption and savings behavior to empirical estimates is essential for this result. We predict that r* will reach a low of 0.38% by 2030, after which a slow reversal will begin. The natural rate will stabilize at 1% in the long run, a low level when compared with the postwar path of r* implied by the model. This remains true even if we take into account soaring public debt levels due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Policy can have considerable impact on the level of r* through the tax and transfer system

     

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    Quelle: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9798400203282
    Weitere Identifier:
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / International Monetary Fund ; WP/22, 30
    Schlagworte: Demographic Change; Inequality; Life-cycle; Natural Rate of Interest; Nonhomothetic Preferences; Secular Stagnation; Interest Rates; Macroeconomic Policy and Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance; Macroeconomics; Personal Income, Wealth and Their Distributions; Saving; Wealth
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 88 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Tighter credit and consumer bankruptcy insurance
    Erschienen: February 27, 2021
    Verlag:  Verein für Socialpolitik, [Köln]

    How does bankruptcy affect the dynamics of aggregate consumption? We quantify the trade-off between the insurance and creditworthiness effects of bankruptcy in response to tighter credit. We show that bankruptcy dampens the effect of tighter credit... mehr

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    How does bankruptcy affect the dynamics of aggregate consumption? We quantify the trade-off between the insurance and creditworthiness effects of bankruptcy in response to tighter credit. We show that bankruptcy dampens the effect of tighter credit on aggregate consumption on impact because it allows borrowers to sustain consumption, but statutory exclusion from the credit market reduces consumption smoothing over time and slows the recovery. Default costs play a crucial role in bankruptcy decisions and also shape consumption dynamics. We find that the 2005 BAPCPA reform, by making bankruptcy more costly, worsened the negative welfare effects of the subsequent credit tightening.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/242407
    Schriftenreihe: Jahrestagung 2021 / Verein für Socialpolitik ; 56
    Schlagworte: Financial Shocks; Aggregate Consumption Dynamics; Chapter 7; BAPCPA,Bank-Intermediated Credit; Transitional Dynamics
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 51 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Tighter credit and consumer bankruptcy insurance
    Erschienen: 20 January 2020
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP14330
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 56 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Secular drivers of the natural rate of interest in the United States
    a quantitative evaluation
    Erschienen: 2022 FEB
    Verlag:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    We develop a heterogeneous agent, overlapping generations model with nonhomothetic preferences that nests several explanations for the decline in the natural rate of interest (r*) suggested in the literature: demographic change, a slowdown in... mehr

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    Verlag (kostenfrei)
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    We develop a heterogeneous agent, overlapping generations model with nonhomothetic preferences that nests several explanations for the decline in the natural rate of interest (r*) suggested in the literature: demographic change, a slowdown in productivity growth, a rise in income inequality, and public policy. The model can account for a 2.2 percentage point (pp) decline in r* between 1975 and 2015, which is within the range of empirical estimates. Rising income inequality is an important driver (-0.70 pp), and together with demographic change (-0.71 pp) and the slowdown in productivity growth (-1.0 pp) explains most of the decline. Growing public debt is the major counteracting force (+0.31 pp). Permanent income inequality is of greater importance than inequality due to uninsurable income risk, and matching the degree of nonhomotheticity in consumption and savings behavior to empirical estimates is essential for this result. We predict that r* will reach a low of 0.38% by 2030, after which a slow reversal will begin. The natural rate will stabilize at 1% in the long run, a low level when compared with the postwar path of r* implied by the model. This remains true even if we take into account soaring public debt levels due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Policy can have considerable impact on the level of r* through the tax and transfer system

     

    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
      BibTeX-Format
    Quelle: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9798400203282
    Weitere Identifier:
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / International Monetary Fund ; WP/22, 30
    Schlagworte: Demographic Change; Inequality; Life-cycle; Natural Rate of Interest; Nonhomothetic Preferences; Secular Stagnation; Interest Rates; Macroeconomic Policy and Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance; Macroeconomics; Personal Income, Wealth and Their Distributions; Saving; Wealth
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 88 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. The long-term effects of conditional cash transfers on child labor and school enrollment
    Erschienen: setembro de 2015
    Verlag:  Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia da Fundação Getulio Vargas, Rio de Janeiro

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Hinweise zum Inhalt
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10438/13910
    Schriftenreihe: Ensaios econômicos ; no 769
    Schlagworte: Öffentliche Sozialleistungen; Schulbesuch; Kinderarbeit; Brasilien
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 41 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Aggregate uncertainty, HANK, and the ZLB
    Erschienen: [2024]
    Verlag:  Banca d'Italia Eurosistema, [Rom]

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    Schriftenreihe: Temi di discussione / Banca d'Italia ; number 1442 (March 2024)
    Schlagworte: monetary policy; new Keynesian model; HANK; liquidity traps; Zero LowerBound; computational methods
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 60 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Aggregate uncertainty, HANK, and the ZLB
    Erschienen: [2024]
    Verlag:  European Central Bank, Frankfurt am Main, Germany

    We propose a novel methodology for solving Heterogeneous Agents New Keynesian (HANK) models with aggregate uncertainty and the Zero Lower Bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates. Our efficient solution strategy combines the sequence-state Jacobian... mehr

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    We propose a novel methodology for solving Heterogeneous Agents New Keynesian (HANK) models with aggregate uncertainty and the Zero Lower Bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates. Our efficient solution strategy combines the sequence-state Jacobian methodology in Auclert et al. (2021) with a tractable structure for aggregate uncertainty by means of a two-regimes shock structure. We apply the method to a simple HANK model to show that: 1) in the presence of aggregate non-linearities such as the ZLB, a dichotomy emerges between the aggregate impulse responses under aggregate uncertainty against the deterministic case; 2) aggregate uncertainty amplifies downturns at the ZLB, and household heterogeneity increases the strength of this amplification; 3) the effects of forward guidance are stronger when there is aggregate uncertainty.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9789289963916
    Weitere Identifier:
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper series / European Central Bank ; no 2911
    Schlagworte: Monetary Policy; New-Keynesian Models; Liquidity Traps; Zero Lower Bound; Computational Methods
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 57 Seiten), Illustrationen