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  1. Treibhausgasminderungswirkung des Klimaschutzprogramms 2030 (Kurzbericht)
    Autor*in: Harthan, Ralph Oliver; Repenning, Julia; Blanck, Ruth; Böttcher, Hannes; Bürger, Veit; Emele, Lukas; Görz, Wolf Kristian; Hennenberg, Klaus Josef; Jörß, Wolfram; Ludig, Sylvie; Matthes, Felix Christian; Mendelevitch, Roman; Moosmann, Lorenz; Scheffler, Margarethe; Wiegmann, Kirsten; Brugger, Heike; Fleiter, Tobias; Mandel, Tim; Rehfeldt, Matthias; Steinbach, Jan; Gensior, Andreas; Osterburg, Bernhard; Rösemann, Claus; Stümer, Wolfgang; Tiemeyer, Bärbel
    Erschienen: 2020
    Verlag:  Umweltbundesamt, Dessau-Roßlau

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    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Deutsch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: Climate change / Umweltbundesamt ; 2020, 12
    Schlagworte: Klimaschutz; Wirkungsanalyse; Treibhausgas-Emissionen; Deutschland
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 75 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. The COP27 Climate Change Conference
    status of climate negotiations and issues at stake : study requested by the ENVI committee
    Autor*in: Moosmann, Lorenz; Siemons, Anne; Fallasch, Felix; Schneider, Lambert; Urrutia, Cristina; Wissner, Nora; Mendelevitch, Roman; Hermann, Hauke; Healy, Seán J.; Oppelt, Dietram; Heinemann, Stefanie
    Erschienen: October 2022
    Verlag:  European Parliament, Luxembourg

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9789284697953
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    Schlagworte: Internationale Klimapolitik; Klimaschutz; Ägypten; Welt
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 115 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Abschätzung der Treibhausgasminderungswirkung des Klimaschutzprogramms 2030 der Bundesregierung
    Teilbericht des Projektes „THG-Projektion: Weiterentwicklung der Methoden und Umsetzung der EU-Effort Sharing Decision im Projektionsbericht 2019 („Politikszenarien IX“)“
    Autor*in: Harthan, Ralph Oliver; Repenning, Julia; Blanck, Ruth; Böttcher, Hannes; Bürger, Veit; Cook, Vanessa Janine; Emele, Lukas; Görz, Wolf Kristian; Hennenberg, Klaus Josef; Jörß, Wolfram; Ludig, Sylvie; Matthes, Felix Christian; Mendelevitch, Roman; Moosmann, Lorenz; Scheffler, Margarethe; Wiegmann, Kirsten; Brugger, Heike; Fleiter, Tobias; Mandel, Tim; Rehfeldt, Matthias; Schlomann, Barbara; Steinbach, Jan
    Erschienen: Oktober 2020
    Verlag:  Umweltbundesamt, Dessau-Roßlau

    Um das große Potenzial von Dachflächen für den Ausbau Erneuerbarer Energien zu nutzen, empfehlen die Autoren die Einführung einer Pflicht zur Installation und zum Betrieb neuer Photovoltaikanlagen bei Neubauten und Dachsanierungen. In Kombination mit... mehr

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    Um das große Potenzial von Dachflächen für den Ausbau Erneuerbarer Energien zu nutzen, empfehlen die Autoren die Einführung einer Pflicht zur Installation und zum Betrieb neuer Photovoltaikanlagen bei Neubauten und Dachsanierungen. In Kombination mit einem Verpachtungskataster kann sichergestellt werden, dass Eigentümer und Eigentümerinnen mit unrentablen Dachflächen diese Pflicht nicht erfüllen müssen. Diese Studie beschreibt mehrere Optionen für die genaue Ausgestaltung einer solchen Pflicht. Die Autoren analysieren die Auswirkungen mit ihren Vor- und Nachteilen. Rechtliche Aspekte sowie bereits bestehende und geplante Solar-Pflichten werden dabei berücksichtigt. Photovoltaic Duty with Lease Cadastre: Options for designing a nationwide duty to install and operate new photovoltaic systems In order to use the great potential of roof areas for the expansion of renewable energies, the authors recommend the introduction of an obligation to install and operate new photovoltaic systems in new buildings and roof renovations. In combination with a lease cadastre, it can be ensured that owners with unprofitable roof areas do not have to fulfill this obligation. This study describes several options for the exact design of such a duty. The authors analyse the effects with their advantages and disadvantages. Legal aspects as well as already existing and planned solar duties are considered.

     
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    Beteiligt: Wehnemann, Kai (HerausgeberIn)
    Sprache: Deutsch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    3718410020
    FB000160/ZW,ANL
    Schriftenreihe: Climate change ; 2020, 33
    Ressortforschungsplan des Bundesministerium für Umwelt, Naturschutz und nukleare Sicherheit
    Schlagworte: Klimaschutzprogramm 2030; Klimaschutzprogramm; Treibhausgasminderung; Klimaschutzmaßnahme; Kohleausstieg; Energiewende; CO2-Bepreisung; Erneuerbare Energien; Klimaziel; Klimaschutzgesetz
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 320 Seiten), Illustrationen
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    Abschlussdatum: Oktober 2020
  4. The death spiral of coal in the USA
    will new U.S. energy policy change the tide?
    Autor*in: Mendelevitch, Roman; Hauenstein, Christian; Holz, Franziska
    Erschienen: 2019
    Verlag:  DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, Berlin

    The Trump administration has promised to stop the spiraling down of the U.S. coal industry that has been going on for several years. We discuss the origins of the decline of the U.S. coal industry and new policy interventions by the Trump... mehr

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    The Trump administration has promised to stop the spiraling down of the U.S. coal industry that has been going on for several years. We discuss the origins of the decline of the U.S. coal industry and new policy interventions by the Trump administration. We find that a further decrease of coal consumption in the U.S. electricity sector must be expected because of the old and inefficient U.S. coal-fired generation fleet. By contrast, we adapt the EIA’s overly optimistic view and analyze three potential support schemes to assess whether under such assumptions they can turn the tide for the U.S. coal industry: i) revoking the Clean Power Plan (CPP); ii) facilitating access to the booming Asian market by developing West Coast coal export terminals; and iii) enhanced support for the Carbon Capture, Transport and Storage (CCTS) technology to provide a long-term perspective for domestic coal use while mitigating climate change. We investigate the short-term and long-term effects for U.S. coal production using a comprehensive partial equilibrium model of the world steam coal market, COALMOD-World (Holz et al. 2016). Revoking the CPP will stop the downward trend of steam coal consumption in the U.S., but will not lead to a return of U.S. coal production to the levels of the 2000s with more than 900 Mtpa. Even when assuming a continuously strong global coal demand and expanding U.S. coal export capacities, U.S. coal production will not return to its previous production highs. When global steam coal use, including U.S. consumption, is aligned with the 2°C climate target, U.S. steam coal production drops to around 100 Mtpa by 2030 and below 50 Mtpa by 2050, respectively, even if CCTS is available and exports via the U.S. West Coast are possible.

     
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/193166
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 1790
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 33 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Modeling coordination between renewables and grid
    policies to mitigate distribution grid constraints using residential PV-battery systems
    Autor*in: Neetzow, Paul; Mendelevitch, Roman; Siddiqui, Sauleh
    Erschienen: 2018
    Verlag:  DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, Berlin

    Distributed photo-voltaic (PV) generation is one of the pillars of energy transitions around the world, but its deployment in the distribution grid requires costly reinforcements and expansions. Prosumage - consisting of a household-level PV unit... mehr

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Distributed photo-voltaic (PV) generation is one of the pillars of energy transitions around the world, but its deployment in the distribution grid requires costly reinforcements and expansions. Prosumage - consisting of a household-level PV unit coupled with a battery storage system - has been proposed as an effective means to facilitate the integration of renewable energy sources and reduce distribution grid stress. However, tapping its full potential requires regulatory interventions; otherwise, system costs could rise despite increasing flexibility. We analyze the effectiveness of different policy schemes to mitigate the need for distribution capacity expansion by incentivizing beneficial storage operation. Our novel top-down modeling approach allows analyzing effects on market prices, storage dispatch, induced distribution grid requirements, system costs, and distributional implications. Numerical results for German power system data indicate that required distribution grid requirements can be reduced through simple feed-in policies. A uniform limit on maximum grid feed-in can leave distribution system operators better off, even if they fully compensate prosumage households for foregone revenue. Policies imposing more differentiated limits at the regional level result in only marginal efficiency improvements. Complete self-sufficiency (autarky) is socially undesirable, as it confines important balancing potential and can increase system costs despite adding storage.

     
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/183599
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 1766
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 61 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Nuclear decommissioning after the German nuclear phase-out
    an integrated view on new regulations and nuclear logistics
    Autor*in: Scherwath, Tim; Wealer, Ben; Mendelevitch, Roman
    Erschienen: 2019
    Verlag:  DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, Berlin

    With Germany's nuclear phase-out, 23 reactors need to be dismantled in the near future. Initiated by the dire financial situation of the affected utilities in 2014, a major discourse on ensuring financial liability led to a redistribution of... mehr

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    With Germany's nuclear phase-out, 23 reactors need to be dismantled in the near future. Initiated by the dire financial situation of the affected utilities in 2014, a major discourse on ensuring financial liability led to a redistribution of liabilities and finances, with the utilities remaining in charge of dismantling, while liability for interim and final storage now transferred to the public. This paper assesses whether the new regulation will ultimately be to the benefit of the public. It introduces a two-stage stochastic optimization framework which encompasses the different dismantling phases and resulting waste flows and storage levels of low- and intermediate-level waste (LLW and ILW) as well as the associated costs. Results show that storage risk - proclaimed as a major barrier to efficient decommissioning - is not a major driver for the optimal decommissioning schedule. However, a delay of ten years might now increase interim storage costs borne by the public by over 20%. By contrast, lacking knowledge and limited machinery is a major unaccounted cost driver, which might quickly eat-up the buffer currently included in utility funds in order to deal with dismantling uncertainties. Our analysis reveals the storage gate as the new crucial interface between utilities and the public storage provider.

     
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    hdl: 10419/191635
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 1779
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 46 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. The role of CO-2-EOR for the development of a CCTS infrastructure in the North Sea region
    a techno-economic model and application
    Autor*in: Mendelevitch, Roman
    Erschienen: 2013
    Verlag:  DIW, Berlin

    Scenarios of future energy systems attribute an important role to Carbon Capture, Transport, and Storage (CCTS) in achieving emission reductions. Using captured CO2 for enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR) can improve the economics of the technology. This... mehr

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    Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle, Bibliothek
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Scenarios of future energy systems attribute an important role to Carbon Capture, Transport, and Storage (CCTS) in achieving emission reductions. Using captured CO2 for enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR) can improve the economics of the technology. This paper examines the potential for CO2-EOR in the North Sea region. UK oil fields are found to account for 47% of the estimated total additional recovery potential of 3739 Mbbl (1234 MtCO2 of storage potential). Danish and Norwegian fields add 28% and 25%, respectively. Based on a comprehensive dataset, the paper develops a unique techno-economic market equilibrium model of CO2 supply from emission sources and CO2 demand from CO2-EOR to assess implications for a future CCTS infrastructure. The demand for "fresh" CO2 for CO2-EOR operation is represented by an exponential storage cost function. In all scenarios of varying CO2 and crude oil price paths the assumed CO2-EOR potential is fully exploited. CO2-EOR does add value to CCTS operations but the potential is very limited and does not automatically induce long term CCTS activity. If CO2 prices stay low, little further use of CCTS can be expected after 2035.

     
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/77088
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 1308
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (49 S.), graph. Darst., Kt.
  8. The role of CO 2-EOR for the development of a CCTS infrastructure in the North Sea Region
    a techno-economic model and application ; conference paper
    Autor*in: Mendelevitch, Roman
    Erschienen: 2013
    Verlag:  ZBW, [Kiel

    Scenarios of future energy systems attribute an important role to Carbon Capture, Transport, and Storage (CCTS) in achieving emission reductions. Using captured CO2 for enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR) can improve the economics of the technology. This... mehr

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    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
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    Scenarios of future energy systems attribute an important role to Carbon Capture, Transport, and Storage (CCTS) in achieving emission reductions. Using captured CO2 for enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR) can improve the economics of the technology. This paper examines the potential for CO2-EOR in the North Sea region. UK oil fields are found to account for 47% of the estimated additional recovery potential of 3739 Mbbl (1234 MtCO2 of storage potential). Danish and Norwegian fields add 28% and 25%, respectively. Based on a comprehensive dataset, the paper develops a unique techno-economic market equilibrium model of CO2 supply from emission sources and CO2 demand from CO2-EOR to assess implications for a future CCTS infrastructure. A detailed representation of decreasing demand for fresh CO2 for CO2-EOR operation is accomplished via an exponential storage cost function. In all scenarios of varying CO2 and crude oil price paths the assumed CO2-EOR potential is fully exploited. CO2-EOR does add value to CCTS operations but the potential is very limited and does not automatically induce long term CCTS activity. If CO2 prices stay low, little further use of CCTS can be expected after 2035.

     
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    hdl: 10419/79950
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; V3
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (49 S.), graph. Darst., Kt.
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    Zugl.: Discussion papers // Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 1308
  9. Projektionsbericht 2023 für Deutschland
    gemäß Artikel 18 der Verordnung (EU) 2018/1999 des Europäischen Parlaments und des Rates vom 11. Dezember 2018 über das Governance-System für die Energieunion und für den Klimaschutz, zur Änderung der Verordnungen (EG) Nr. 663/2009 und (EG) Nr. 715/2009 des Europäischen Parlaments und des Rates sowie §10 (2) des Bundes-Klimaschutzgesetzes
    Autor*in: Harthan, Ralph Oliver; Förster, Hannah; Borkowski, Kerstin; Böttcher, Hannes; Braungardt, Sibylle; Bürger, Veit; Emele, Lukas; Görz, Wolf Christian; Hennenberg, Klaus Josef; Jansen, Luca Lena; Jörß, Wolfram; Kasten, Peter; Loreck, Charlotte; Ludig, Sylvie; Matthes, Felix Christian; Mendelevitch, Roman; Moosmann, Lorenz; Nissen, Christian; Repenning, Julia; Scheffler, Margarethe; Steinbach, Inia; Wieden, Malte bei der; Wiegmann, Kirsten; Brugger, Heike; Fleiter, Tobias; Mandel, Tim; Rehfeldt, Matthias; Rohde, Clemens; Yu, Songmin; Steinbach, Jan; Deurer, Jana; Fuß, Roland; Rock, Joachim; Osterburg, Bernhard; Rüter, Sebastian; Adam, Sascha; Dunger, Karsten; Rösemann, Claus; Stümer, Wolfgang; Tiemeyer, Bärbel; Vos, Cora
    Erschienen: August 2023
    Verlag:  Umweltbundesamt, Dessau-Roßlau

    Der deutsche Projektionsbericht 2023 beschreibt die projizierte Entwicklung der Treibhausgasemissionen in Deutschland in einem Mit-Maßnahmen-Szenario (MMS) sowie in einem Mit-Weiteren-Maßnahmen-Szenario (MWMS). Der abgedeckte Zeitraum ist 2021 bis... mehr

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    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
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    Der deutsche Projektionsbericht 2023 beschreibt die projizierte Entwicklung der Treibhausgasemissionen in Deutschland in einem Mit-Maßnahmen-Szenario (MMS) sowie in einem Mit-Weiteren-Maßnahmen-Szenario (MWMS). Der abgedeckte Zeitraum ist 2021 bis 2050. Der Bericht folgt den Vorgaben der Verordnung (EU) 2018/1999 des Europäischen Parlaments und des Rates vom 11. Dezember 2018 über das Governance-System für die Energieunion und für den Klimaschutz. Für die gesamten Treibhausgasemissionen (ohne Landnutzung, Landnutzungsänderung und Forstwirtschaft) ergibt sich im MMS im Zeitraum 1990 bis 2030 eine projizierte Minderung um 63 %, und bis 2050 wird eine Minderung von 83 % projiziert. Im MWMS wird bis 2030 eine Minderung von 65 % bis 2030 und von 87 % bis 2050 gegenüber 1990 projiziert. Im MMS werden damit die Minderungszielvorgaben des Bundesklimaschutzgesetzes bis 2030 kumuliert um rund 331 Millionen Tonnen CO2-Äquivalente verfehlt. Im MWMS sinkt die Zielverfehlung auf 194 Millionen Tonnen CO2-Äquivalente. Es gibt mehrere Haupttreiber der projizierten Emissionsentwicklung: Zum einen werden die erneuerbaren Energien stark ausgebaut. So erhöht sich beispielsweise der erneuerbare Anteil am Bruttostromverbrauch bis 2030 in beiden Szenarien auf über 80 %. Zum anderen führen Energieeffizienz- und Energieeinsparmaßnahmen zu deutlich niedrigeren End- und Primärenergieverbräuchen. Darüber hinaus gibt es Maßnahmen, um die nicht mit Energieverbräuchen zusammenhängenden Treibhausgasemissionen zu reduzieren. Um Abweichungen der Ergebnisse durch veränderte Annahmen besser abschätzen zu können, wurden insgesamt sechs Sensitivitätsanalysen durchgeführt. In diesen wurden die Parameter für Wirtschaftswachstum, den Brennstoff- und EU-ETS-Preisen, BEHG-Preisen und dem Grad der Biomassenutzung verändert. The German Projection Report 2023 describes the projected development of greenhouse gas emissions in Germany in a ‚With existing measures‘ Scenario (MMS) as well as in a ‚With additional Measures‘ Scenario (MWMS). The period covered is 2021 to 2050. The report follows the requirements of Regulation (EU) 2018/1999 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 11 December 2018 on the Governance of the Energy Union and Climate Action. For total GHG emissions (excluding land use, land use change and forestry), the MMS results in a projected reduction of 63 % from 1990 to 2030, and a reduction of 83 % is projected by 2050. The MWMS projects a reduction of 65 % by 2030 and 87 % by 2050 compared to 1990. In the MMS the mitigation targets of the Federal Climate Change Act are projected to not be met by 2030 The cumulative deviation from the target is projected at 331million tons of CO2equivalent. Considerung also additional measures the cumulative deviation from the target is projected to be reduced to 194 million tons of CO2equivalent. There are several main drivers of the projected emissions development: On the one hand, renewable energies are strongly expanded. For example, the renewable share of gross electricity consumption increases to over 80 % in both scenarios by 2030. On the other hand, energy efficiency and energy saving measures lead to significantly lower final and primary energy consumption. In addition, there are measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions not related to energy consumption. In order to be able to better estimate deviations in the results due to changed assumptions, a total of six sensitivity analyses were carried out. In these, the parameters for economic growth, fuel and EU-ETS prices, BEHG prices (national carbon pricing) and the degree of biomass use were changed.

     
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    Beteiligt: Wehnemann, Kai (HerausgeberIn); Schultz, Karlotta (HerausgeberIn)
    Sprache: Deutsch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    Forschungskennzahl 3722 41 511
    FB 001241
    Schriftenreihe: Climate change / Umweltbundesamt ; 2023, 39
    Forschungsplan des Bundesministeriums für Wirtschaft und Klimaschutz
    Schlagworte: Klimaschutz; Projektionen; Projektionsbericht; Klimaschutzgesetz; Klimaziele
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (Seiten, 13,72 MB), Diagramme
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    Abschlussdatum: August 2023

    Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 243-252
  10. The impact of policy measures on future power generation portfolio and infrastructure
    a combined electricity and CCTS investment and dispatch model (ELCO)
    Autor*in: Mendelevitch, Roman; Oei, Pao-Yu
    Erschienen: 2015
    Verlag:  DIW, Berlin

    This paper presents a general electricity-CO2 (ELCO) modeling framework that is able to simulate interactions of the energy-only market with different forms for national policy measures. We set up a two sector model where players can invest into... mehr

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    This paper presents a general electricity-CO2 (ELCO) modeling framework that is able to simulate interactions of the energy-only market with different forms for national policy measures. We set up a two sector model where players can invest into various types of generation technologies including renewables, nuclear and Carbon Capture, Transport, and Storage (CCTS). For a detailed representation of CCTS we also include industry players (iron and steel as well as cement), and CO2 transport and CO2 storage including the option for CO2 enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR). The players maximize their expected profits based on variable, fixed and investment costs as well as the price of electricity, CO2 abatement cost and other incentives, subject to technical and environmental constraints. Demand is inelastic and represented via a selection of type hours. The model framework allows for regional disaggregation and features simplified electricity and CO2 pipeline networks. The model is balanced via a market clearing for the electricity as well as CO2 market. The equilibrium solution is subject to constraints on CO2 emissions and renewable generation share. We apply the model to a case study of the UK Electricity Market Reform to illustrate the mechanisms and potential results attained from the model.

     
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    hdl: 10419/125156
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 1521
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (28 S.), graph. Darst.
  11. Leaving coal unburned
    options for demand-side and supply-side policies
    Autor*in: Collins, Kim; Mendelevitch, Roman
    Erschienen: 2015
    Verlag:  DIW, Berlin

    Climate policy consistent with the 2°C target needs to install mechanisms that leave most current coal reserves unburned. Demand-side policies have been argued to be prone to adverse carbon leakage and "green paradox" effects. A growing strain of... mehr

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    Climate policy consistent with the 2°C target needs to install mechanisms that leave most current coal reserves unburned. Demand-side policies have been argued to be prone to adverse carbon leakage and "green paradox" effects. A growing strain of literature argues in favor of supply-side policies in order to curb future coal consumption. Various concepts with analogies in other sectors are currently discussed. Future empirical research on both demand- and supply-side policy is vital to be able to design efficient and effective policy instruments for climate change mitigation.

     
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    hdl: 10419/125561
    Schriftenreihe: DIW-Roundup: Politik im Fokus ; 87
    Schlagworte: Kohlenmarkt; Lastmanagement; Kohlepolitik; Internationale Klimapolitik
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (6 S.), graph. Darst.
  12. The role of CO 2-EOR for the development of a CCTS infrastructure in the North Sea Region
    a techno-economic model and application ; conference paper
    Autor*in: Mendelevitch, Roman
    Erschienen: 2013
    Verlag:  ZBW, [Kiel

    Scenarios of future energy systems attribute an important role to Carbon Capture, Transport, and Storage (CCTS) in achieving emission reductions. Using captured CO2 for enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR) can improve the economics of the technology. This... mehr

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    Scenarios of future energy systems attribute an important role to Carbon Capture, Transport, and Storage (CCTS) in achieving emission reductions. Using captured CO2 for enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR) can improve the economics of the technology. This paper examines the potential for CO2-EOR in the North Sea region. UK oil fields are found to account for 47% of the estimated additional recovery potential of 3739 Mbbl (1234 MtCO2 of storage potential). Danish and Norwegian fields add 28% and 25%, respectively. Based on a comprehensive dataset, the paper develops a unique techno-economic market equilibrium model of CO2 supply from emission sources and CO2 demand from CO2-EOR to assess implications for a future CCTS infrastructure. A detailed representation of decreasing demand for fresh CO2 for CO2-EOR operation is accomplished via an exponential storage cost function. In all scenarios of varying CO2 and crude oil price paths the assumed CO2-EOR potential is fully exploited. CO2-EOR does add value to CCTS operations but the potential is very limited and does not automatically induce long term CCTS activity. If CO2 prices stay low, little further use of CCTS can be expected after 2035.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; V3
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (49 S.), graph. Darst., Kt.
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    Zugl.: Discussion papers // Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 1308
  13. A lower carbon strategy for the electricity sector of Kazakhstan to 2030/50
    scenarios for generation and network development ; [technical report]
    Autor*in: Egerer, Jonas; Mendelevitch, Roman; Hirschhausen, Christian R. von
    Erschienen: 2014
    Verlag:  DIW, Berlin

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    ISBN: 3938762764; 9783938762769
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    Schriftenreihe: DIW Berlin: Politikberatung kompakt ; 85
    Schlagworte: Emissionshandel; Szenariotechnik; Elektrizitätswirtschaft; Kasachstan
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (V, 54 S.), graph. Darst., Kt.
  14. Market power rents and climate change mitigation
    a rationale for coal taxes?
    Autor*in: Richter, Philipp M.; Mendelevitch, Roman; Jotzo, Frank
    Erschienen: 2015
    Verlag:  DIW, Berlin

    In this paper we investigate the introduction of an export tax on steam coal levied by an individual country (Australia), or a group of major exporting countries. The policy motivation would be twofold: generating tax revenues against the background... mehr

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    In this paper we investigate the introduction of an export tax on steam coal levied by an individual country (Australia), or a group of major exporting countries. The policy motivation would be twofold: generating tax revenues against the background of improved terms-of-trade, while CO2 emissions are reduced. We construct and numerically apply a two-level game consisting of an optimal policy problem at the upper level, and an equilibrium model of the international steam coal market (based on COALMOD-World) at the lower level. We find that a unilaterally introduced Australian export tax on steam coal has little impact on global emissions and may be welfare reducing. On the contrary, a tax jointly levied by a "climate coalition" of major coal exporters may well leave these better off while significantly reducing global CO2 emissions from steam coal by up to 200 Mt CO2 per year. Comparable production-based tax scenarios consistently yield higher tax revenues but may be hard to implement against the opposition of disproportionally affected local stakeholders depending on low domestic coal prices.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 1471
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (40 S.), graph. Darst., Kt.
  15. A model of the international steam coal market (COALMOD-World)
    Autor*in: Holz, Franziska; Haftendorn, Clemens; Mendelevitch, Roman; Hirschhausen, Christian R. von
    Erschienen: 2016
    Verlag:  DIW Berlin, Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Berlin

    Coal is at the core of the debate about climate change mitigation policies, yet the internationalmarket for it is not well represented in most energy models. This paper presents the COALMODframework which is a model of the international steam coal... mehr

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    Coal is at the core of the debate about climate change mitigation policies, yet the internationalmarket for it is not well represented in most energy models. This paper presents the COALMODframework which is a model of the international steam coal market that can be readily used toexplore implications of climate policies, but also to analyze market structure or to investigate issue ofsupply security. It features a detailed representation of both domestic and international steam coalsupply, based on endogenously calculated Cost, Insurance, Fright (CIF) costs, and prices that take intoaccount additional rents. It features endogenous investment into production, land transport, andexport capacity, as well as an endogenous mechanism assessing production cost increase due toresource depletion. We provide a detailed model and data description and illustrate the features ofthe model by analyzing to scenarios derived from the IEA World Energy Outlook (New Policies and450ppm scenario), highlighting the functionalities of the model.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: Data documentation / DIW Berlin ; 85
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 62 Seiten), Illustrationen
  16. Electrification of a city bus network
    an optimization model for cost-effective placing of charging infrastructure and battery sizing of fast charging electric bus systems
    Autor*in: Kunith, Alexander; Mendelevitch, Roman; Goehlich, Dietmar
    Erschienen: 2016
    Verlag:  DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, Berlin

    The deployment of battery-powered electric bus systems within the public transportation sector plays an important role to increase energy efficiency and to abate emissions. Rising attention is given to bus systems using fast charging technology. This... mehr

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    The deployment of battery-powered electric bus systems within the public transportation sector plays an important role to increase energy efficiency and to abate emissions. Rising attention is given to bus systems using fast charging technology. This concept requires a comprehensive infrastructure to equip bus routes with charging stations. The combination of charging infrastructure and bus batteries needs a reliable energy supply to maintain a stable bus operation even under demanding conditions. An efficient layout of the charging infrastructure and an appropriate dimensioning of battery capacity are crucial to minimize the total cost of ownership and to enable an energetically feasible bus operation. In this work, the central issue of jointly optimizing the charging infrastructure and battery capacity is described by a capacitated set covering problem. A mixed-integer linear optimization model is developed to determine the minimum number and location of required charging stations for a bus network as well as the adequate battery capacity for each bus line of the network. The bus energy consumption for each route segments is determined based on individual route, bus type, traffic and other information. Different scenarios are examined in order to assess the influence of charging power, climate and changing operating conditions. The findings reveal significant differences in terms of needed infrastructure depending on the scenarios considered. Moreover, the results highlight a trade-off between battery size and charging infrastructure under different operational and infrastructure conditions. The paper addresses upcoming challenges for transport authorities during the electrification process of the bus fleets and sharpens the focus on infrastructural issues related to the fast charging concept.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 1577
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 20 Seiten), Illustrationen
  17. Nuclear power and the uranium market
    are reserves and resources sufficient?
    Autor*in: Mendelevitch, Roman; Thanh Thien Dang
    Erschienen: June 9, 2016
    Verlag:  Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Berlin

    The increase of the use of atomic power in some emerging economies, in particular South Korea and China, has revitalized a discussion regarding the availability of uranium resources. Despite the fact that global uranium resources are more than... mehr

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    The increase of the use of atomic power in some emerging economies, in particular South Korea and China, has revitalized a discussion regarding the availability of uranium resources. Despite the fact that global uranium resources are more than sufficient to supply reactor-related demand for the rest of the century, some voices in the nuclear community expect a supply shortage for the upcoming decades, and the risk of prices tippling in the next 20 years. They argue with delayed construction times, untimely mining expansion and unfavorable market conditions. This Roundup takes a closer look at the arguments of the debate.

     
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    hdl: 10419/142780
    Schriftenreihe: DIW Roundup ; 98
    Schlagworte: Kernenergie; Kernbrennstoff; Markt; Rohstoffpreis; Welt
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 15 Seiten), Illustrationen
  18. Testing supply-side climate policies for the global steam coal market
    can they curb coal consumption?
    Autor*in: Mendelevitch, Roman
    Erschienen: 2016
    Verlag:  DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, Berlin

    The achieved international consensus on the 1.5‐2°C target entails that most of current fossil fuel reserves must remain unburned. Currently, a majority of climate policies aiming at this goal are directed towards the demand side. In the absence of a... mehr

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    The achieved international consensus on the 1.5‐2°C target entails that most of current fossil fuel reserves must remain unburned. Currently, a majority of climate policies aiming at this goal are directed towards the demand side. In the absence of a global carbon regime these polices are prone to carbon leakage and other adverse effects. Supply‐side climate policies present an alternative and more direct approach to reduce the consumption of fossil fuels by addressing their production. Here, coal as both, the most abundant and the most emission-intensive fuel, plays a pivotal role. In this paper, I employ a numerical model of the international steam coal market (COALMOD‐World) to examine two alternative supply‐side policies: 1) a production subsidy reform introduced in major coal producing countries, in line with the G20 initiative to reduce global fossil fuel subsidies; 2) a globally implemented moratorium on new coal mines. The model is designed to replicate global patterns of coal supply, demand and international trade. It features endogenous investments in production and transportation capacities in a multi‐period framework and allows for substitution between imports and domestic production of steam coal. Hence, short‐run adjustments (e.g. import substitution effects) and long‐run reactions (e.g. capacity expansions) of exporting and importing countries are endogenously determined. Results show that a subsidy removal, while associated with a small positive total welfare effect, only leads to an insignificant reduction of global emissions. By contrast, a mine moratorium induces a much more pronounced reduction in global coal consumption by effectively limiting coal availability and strongly increasing prices. Depending on the specification of reserves, the moratorium can achieve a coal consumption path consistent with the 1.5‐2°C target.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 1604
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  19. A spatial electricity market model for the power system of Kazakhstan
    Autor*in: Assembayeva, Makpal; Egerer, Jonas; Mendelevitch, Roman; Zhakiyev, Nurkhat
    Erschienen: 2017
    Verlag:  DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, Berlin

    Kazakhstan envisions a transition towards a green economy in the next decades which poses an immense challenge as the country heavily depends on (hydro-)carbon resources, for both its economy and its energy system. In this context, there is a lack of... mehr

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    Kazakhstan envisions a transition towards a green economy in the next decades which poses an immense challenge as the country heavily depends on (hydro-)carbon resources, for both its economy and its energy system. In this context, there is a lack of comprehensive and transparent planning tools to assess possible sustainable development pathways in regard to their technical, economic, and environmental implications. We present such a tool with a comprehensive techno-economic model of the Kazakh electricity system which determines the hourly least-cost generation dispatch based on publicly available data on the technical and economic characteristics of power plants and the transmission infrastructure. This modeling framework accounts for the particularities of the Kazakh electricity system: i) it has a detailed representation of combined heat and power, and ii) line losses are endogenously determined using a linear approximation. Model results are examined for a typical winter week (with annual peak load) and a typical summer week (with the hour of lowest annual load) presenting regionally and temporally disaggregated results for power generation, line utilization, and nodal prices. In an application to market design, the paper compares nodal and zonal pricing as two possible pricing schemes in Kazakhstan for the envisioned strengthening of the day-ahead market. In general, the model can be readily used to analyze the least-cost dispatch of the current Kazakh electricity system and can be easily expanded to assess the sector's development. Among others, possible applications include investment in transmission lines and in the aging power plant fleet, scenarios and policy assessment for emission reduction, and questions of market liberalization and market design.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 1659
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  20. European scenarios of CO2 infrastructure investment until 2050
    CO2-enhanced oil recovery keeps the mirage alive
    Autor*in: Oei, Pao-Yu; Mendelevitch, Roman
    Erschienen: 2016
    Verlag:  ZBW, [Kiel

    Based on a critical review of the current state of the Carbon Capture, Transport and Storage (CCTS) technology, this paper analyzes the layout and costs of a potential CO2 infrastructure in Europe at the horizon of 2050. We apply the mixed-integer... mehr

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    Based on a critical review of the current state of the Carbon Capture, Transport and Storage (CCTS) technology, this paper analyzes the layout and costs of a potential CO2 infrastructure in Europe at the horizon of 2050. We apply the mixed-integer model CCTS-Mod to compute a CCTS infrastructure network for Europe, examining the effects of different CO2 price paths with different regional focuses. Scenarios assuming low CO2 certificate prices lead to hardly any CCTS development in Europe. The iron and steel sector starts deployment as soon as the CO2 certificate price exceeds 50 €/tCO2. The cement sector starts investing at a threshold of 75 €/tCO2, followed by the electricity sector when prices exceed 100 €/tCO2. Results on the degree of deployment of CCTS are found to be more sensitive to variable cost of CO2 capture than to investment costs. Additional revenues from using the CO2 for enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR) in the North Sea would lead to an earlier adoption of CCTS, independent of the CO2 certificate price; this case may become especially relevant for the UK, Norway and the Netherlands. On the downside, scattered CCTS deployment increases unit cost of transport and storage infrastructure by 30% and more.

     
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    hdl: 10419/167598
    Übergeordneter Titel: Sonderdruck aus: The Energy Journal; Vol. 37 (2016) pp. 171-194
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