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  1. Ökonomie und Literatur
    Autor*in: Kersting, Felix
    Erschienen: 2014
    Verlag:  Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, bologna.lab

  2. Prime locations
    Autor*in: Ahlfeldt, Gabriel M.; Albers, Thilo N. H.; Behrens, Kristian
    Erschienen: [2020]
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and Political Science, London

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    Schriftenreihe: CEP discussion paper ; no 1725 (October 2020)
    Schlagworte: prime services; internal city structure; agent-based model; multiple equilibria and path dependence; transport networks
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 75 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Trade shocks, labor markets and elections in the first globalization
    Autor*in: Bräuer, Richard; Hungerland, Wolf-Fabian; Kersting, Felix
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  Collaborative Research Center Transregio 190, [München]

    This paper studies the economic and political effects of a large trade shock in agriculture – the grain invasion from the Americas – in Prussia during the first globalization (1871-1913). We show that this shock accelerated the structural change in... mehr

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    This paper studies the economic and political effects of a large trade shock in agriculture – the grain invasion from the Americas – in Prussia during the first globalization (1871-1913). We show that this shock accelerated the structural change in the Prussian economy through migration of workers to booming cities. In contrast to studies using today’s data, we do not observe declining per capita income, health outcomes or political polarization in counties aected by foreign competition. Our results suggest that the negative and persistent eects of trade shocks we see today are not a universal feature of globalization, but depend on labor mobility. For our analysis, we digitize data from Prussian industrial and agricultural censuses on the county level and combine it with national trade data at the product level. We exploit the cross-regional variation in cultivated crops within Prussia and instrument with Italian trade data to isolate exogenous variation.

     
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    hdl: 10419/244325
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper / Rationality & Competition, CRC TRR 190 ; no. 285 (October 17, 2021)
    Schlagworte: Globalization; import competition; labor market; agriculture; migration; trade shock; elections; Germany; Prussia
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 46 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Selective default expectations
    Autor*in: Accominotti, Olivier; Albers, Thilo N. H.; Oosterlinck, Kim
    Erschienen: 20 August 2021
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP16474
    Schlagworte: sovereign risk; Debt default; secondary markets; creditor discrimination
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 53 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Trade shocks, labour markets and elections in the first globalisation
    Autor*in: Bräuer, Richard; Hungerland, Wolf-Fabian; Kersting, Felix
    Erschienen: [08. Oktober 2021]
    Verlag:  Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), Member of the Leibniz Association, Halle (Saale), Germany

    This paper studies the economic and political effects of a large trade shock in agriculture – the grain invasion from the Americas – in Prussia during the first globalisation (1871-1913). We show that this shock accelerated the structural change in... mehr

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    This paper studies the economic and political effects of a large trade shock in agriculture – the grain invasion from the Americas – in Prussia during the first globalisation (1871-1913). We show that this shock accelerated the structural change in the Prussian economy through migration of workers to booming cities. In contrast to studies using today’s data, we do not observe declining per capita income and political polarisation in counties affected by foreign competition. Our results suggest that the negative and persistent effects of trade shocks we see today are not a universal feature of globalisation, but depend on labour mobility. For our analysis, we digitise data from Prussian industrial and agricultural censuses on the county level and combine it with national trade data at the product level. We exploit the cross-regional variation in cultivated crops within Prussia and instrument with Italian trade data to isolate exogenous variation.

     
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    hdl: 10419/243169
    Schriftenreihe: IWH-CompNet Discussion Papers ; 2021, no. 4 (October 2021)
    Schlagworte: agriculture; elections; Germany; globalisation; import competition; labour market; migration; Prussia; trade shock
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (III, 44 Seiten, 3,99 MB), Diagramme, Illustrationen
  6. Prime locations
    Autor*in: Ahlfeldt, Gabriel M.; Albers, Thilo N. H.; Behrens, Kristian
    Erschienen: Octobre 2020
    Verlag:  [ESG UQÀM, Département des sciences économiques, École des sciences de la gestion, Université du Québec à Montréal], [Montréal]

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    hdl: 10419/234812
    Schriftenreihe: Document de travail / ESG UQÀM, Département des sciences économiques, École des sciences de la gestion, Université du Québec à Montréal ; no. 2020, 12
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 74 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Prime locations
    Autor*in: Ahlfeldt, Gabriel M.; Albers, Thilo N. H.; Behrens, Kristian
    Erschienen: December 2020
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    We harness big data to detect prime locations - large clusters of knowledge-based tradable services - in 125 global cities and track changes in the within-city geography of prime service jobs over a century. Historically smaller cities that did not... mehr

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    We harness big data to detect prime locations - large clusters of knowledge-based tradable services - in 125 global cities and track changes in the within-city geography of prime service jobs over a century. Historically smaller cities that did not develop early public transit networks are less concentrated today and have prime locations farther away from their historic cores. We rationalize these findings in an agent-based model that features extreme agglomeration, multiple equilibria, and path dependence. Both city size and public transit networks anchor city structure. Exploiting major disasters and using a novel instrument - subway potential - we provide causal evidence for these mechanisms and disentangle size- from transport network effects.

     
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    hdl: 10419/229586
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working paper ; no. 8768 (2020)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 73 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Trade frictions, trade policies, and the interwar business cycle
    Autor*in: Albers, Thilo N. H.
    Erschienen: December 20, 2018

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Dissertation
    Format: Online
    Schlagworte: Handelskonflikt; Außenwirtschaftspolitik; Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen; Protektionismus; Weltwirtschaftskrise; Wirtschaftsgeschichte; Welt
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 397 Seiten), Illustrationen
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    Dissertation, London School of Economics and Political Science, 2018
  9. On the origins of national identity
    german nation-building after Napoleon
    Autor*in: Kersting, Felix; Wolf, Nikolaus
    Erschienen: 01 July 2021
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP16314
    Schlagworte: National identity; Prussia; Germany; First Names; Nation-Building
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 34 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. CEO compensation
    evidence from the field
    Autor*in: Kersting, Felix; Wolf, Nikolaus
    Erschienen: 01 July 2021
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP16315
    Schlagworte: National identity; Prussia; Germany; First Names; Nation-Building
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 34 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. Weber revisited
    the protestant ethic and the spirit of nationalism
    Autor*in: Kersting, Felix; Wohnsiedler, Iris; Wolf, Nikolaus
    Erschienen: [2019]
    Verlag:  Collaborative Research Center Transregio 190, Munich, Germany

    We revisit Max Weber's hypothesis on the role of Protestantism for economic development. We show that nationalism is crucial to both, the interpretation of Weber's Protestant Ethic and empirical tests thereof. For late 19th century Prussia we reject... mehr

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    We revisit Max Weber's hypothesis on the role of Protestantism for economic development. We show that nationalism is crucial to both, the interpretation of Weber's Protestant Ethic and empirical tests thereof. For late 19th century Prussia we reject Weber's suggestion that Protestantism mattered due to an "ascetic compulsion to save". Moreover, we find that income levels, savings, and literacy rates differed between Germans and Poles, not between Protestants and Catholics using pooled OLS and IV regressions as well as IV mediation analysis. We suggest that this result is due to anti-Polish discrimination.

     
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    hdl: 10419/222096
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper / Rationality & Competition, CRC TRR 190 ; no. 199 (November 12, 2019)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 39 Seiten), Illustrationen
  12. DP17126 A granular spatial model
    Autor*in: Ahlfeldt, Gabriel M.; Behrens, Kristian; Albers, Thilo N. H.
    Erschienen: 22 March 2022
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP17126
    Schlagworte: internal city structure; granular spatial model; multiple equilibria; Place-Based Policies
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 61 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. Wealth and its distribution in Germany, 1895-2018
    Autor*in: Albers, Thilo N. H.; Bartels, Charlotte; Schularick, Moritz
    Erschienen: May 2022
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    German history over the past 125 years has been turbulent. Marked by two world wars, revolutions and major regime changes, as well as a hyperinflation and three currency reforms, expropriations and territorial divisions, it provides unique insights... mehr

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    German history over the past 125 years has been turbulent. Marked by two world wars, revolutions and major regime changes, as well as a hyperinflation and three currency reforms, expropriations and territorial divisions, it provides unique insights into the role of country-specific shocks in shaping long-run wealth dynamics. This paper presents the first comprehensive study of wealth and its distribution in Germany since the 19th century. We combine tax and archival data, household surveys, historical national accounts, and rich lists to analyze the evolution of the German wealth distribution over the long run. We show that the top 1% wealth share has fallen by half, from close to 50% in 1895 to 27% today. Nearly all of this decline was the result of changes that occurred between 1914 and 1952. The interwar period and the wealth taxation in the aftermath of World War II stand out as the great equalizers in 20th century German history. After unification in 1990, two trends have left their mark on the German wealth distribution. Households at the top made substantial capital gains from rising business wealth while the middle-class had large capital gains in the housing market. The wealth share of the bottom 50% halved since 1990. Our findings speak to the importance of historical shocks to the distribution and valuations of existing wealth in explaining the evolution of the wealth distribution over the long run.

     
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    hdl: 10419/260869
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working paper ; no. 9739 (2022)
    Schlagworte: wealth inequality; portfolio heterogeneity; saving; wealth taxation
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 54 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. Wealth and its distribution in Germany, 1895-2018
    Autor*in: Albers, Thilo N. H.; Bartels, Charlotte; Schularick, Moritz
    Erschienen: 30 April 2022
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP17269
    Schlagworte: Wealth Inequality; portfolio heterogeneity; Saving; Wealth Taxation
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 55 Seiten), Illustrationen
  15. Testing Marx
    income inequality, concentration, and socialism in late 19th century Germany
    Autor*in: Bartels, Charlotte; Kersting, Felix; Wolf, Nikolaus
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  European Historical Economics Society, [Europa]

    We study the dynamics of income inequality, capital concentration, and voting outcomes before 1914. Based on new panel data for Prussian counties and districts we re-evaluate the key economic debate between Marxists and their critics before 1914. We... mehr

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    We study the dynamics of income inequality, capital concentration, and voting outcomes before 1914. Based on new panel data for Prussian counties and districts we re-evaluate the key economic debate between Marxists and their critics before 1914. We show that the increase in inequality was strongly correlated with a rising capital share, as predicted by Marxists at the time. In contrast, rising capital concentration was not associated with increasing income inequality. Relying on new sector×county data, we show that increasing strike activity worked as an offsetting factor. Similarly, the socialists did not directly benefit from rising inequality at the polls, but from the activity of trade unions. Overall, we find evidence for a rise in the bargaining power of workers, which limited the increase in inequality before 1914.

     
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    hdl: 10419/247141
    Schriftenreihe: EHES working paper ; no. 211 (March 2021)
    Schlagworte: Income Inequality; Concentration; Top Incomes; CapitalShare; Germany
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 56 Seiten), Illustrationen
  16. Wealth and its distribution in Germany, 1895-2018
    Autor*in: Albers, Thilo N. H.; Bartels, Charlotte; Schularick, Moritz
    Erschienen: Mai 2022
    Verlag:  ECONtribute, Bonn

    German history over the past 125 years has been turbulent. Marked by two world wars, revolutions and major regime changes, as well as a hyperinflation and three currency reforms, expropriations and territorial divisions, it provides unique insights... mehr

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    German history over the past 125 years has been turbulent. Marked by two world wars, revolutions and major regime changes, as well as a hyperinflation and three currency reforms, expropriations and territorial divisions, it provides unique insights into the role of country-specific shocks in shaping long-run wealth dynamics. This paper presents the first comprehensive study of wealth and its distribution in Germany since the 19th century. We combine tax and archival data, household surveys, historical national accounts, and rich lists to analyze the evolution of the German wealth distribution over the long run. We show that the top 1% wealth share has fallen by half, from close to 50% in 1895 to 27% today. Nearly all of this decline was the result of changes that occurred between 1914 and 1952. The interwar period and the wealth taxation in the aftermath of World War II stand out as the great equalizers in 20th century German history. After unification in 1990, two trends have left their mark on the German wealth distribution. Households at the top made substantial capital gains from rising business wealth while the middle-class had large capital gains in the housing market. The wealth share of the bottom 50% halved since 1990. Our findings speak to the importance of historical shocks to the distribution and valuations of existing wealth in explaining the evolution of the wealth distribution over the long run.

     
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    hdl: 10419/262106
    Schriftenreihe: ECONtribute discussion paper ; no. 162
    Schlagworte: Wealth inequality; portfolio heterogeneity; saving; wealth taxation
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 53 Seiten), Illustrationen
  17. Perks and pitfalls of city directories as a micro-geographic data source
    Autor*in: Albers, Thilo N. H.; Kappner, Kalle
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  Collaborative Research Center Transregio 190, [München]

    Historical city directories are rich sources of micro-geographic data. They provide information on the location of households and firms and their occupations and industries, respectively. We develop a generic algorithmic work flow that converts scans... mehr

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    Historical city directories are rich sources of micro-geographic data. They provide information on the location of households and firms and their occupations and industries, respectively. We develop a generic algorithmic work flow that converts scans of them into geo- and status-referenced household-level data sets. Applying the work flow to our case study, the Berlin 1880 directory, adds idiosyncratic challenges that should make automation less attractive. Yet, employing an administrative benchmark data set on household counts, incomes, and income distributions across more than 200 census tracts, we show that semi-automatic referencing yields results very similar to those from labour-intensive manual referencing. Finally, we discuss potential applications in economic history and beyond.

     
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    hdl: 10419/256782
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper / Rationality & Competition, CRC TRR 190 ; no. 315 (January 29, 2022)
    Schlagworte: city directories; data extraction; granular spatial data
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten), Illustrationen
  18. The fiscal state in Africa
    evidence from a century of growth
    Autor*in: Albers, Thilo N. H.; Jerven, Morten; Süße, Marvin
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  Collaborative Research Center Transregio 190, [München]

    What is the level of state capacity in developing countries today, and what have been its drivers over the past century? We construct a comprehensive new dataset of tax and revenue collection for 46 African polities from 1900 to 2015. Descriptive... mehr

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    What is the level of state capacity in developing countries today, and what have been its drivers over the past century? We construct a comprehensive new dataset of tax and revenue collection for 46 African polities from 1900 to 2015. Descriptive analysis shows that many polities in Africa have been characterized by strong growth in fiscal capacity. As a next step, we explain this growth using a fixed-effects long-run panel setting. The results show that canonical state-building factors such as democratic institutions and interstate warfare can increase revenue collection, while government turnover reduces it. Access to external credit and foreign aid are even more important, and both negatively affect fiscal capacity. In addition, access to external revenues, especially from commodity exports and debt, moderates the operation of canonical state-building factors such as democracy and conflict. These insights add important nuances to established theories of state building. Not only are states in Africa more capable than hitherto thought, but the international environment shapes their capacity, both directly and indirectly.

     
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    hdl: 10419/256783
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper / Rationality & Competition, CRC TRR 190 ; no. 316 (January 29, 2022)
    Schlagworte: fiscal capacity; taxes; Africa; statehood; resources; external finance
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 34 Seiten), Illustrationen
  19. Wealth and its distribution in Germany, 1895-2018
    Autor*in: Albers, Thilo N. H.; Bartels, Charlotte; Schularick, Moritz
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), DIW Berlin, Berlin, Germany

    German history over the past 125 years has been turbulent. Marked by two world wars, revolutions and major regime changes, as well as a hyperinflation and three currency reforms, expropriations and territorial divisions, it provides unique insights... mehr

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    German history over the past 125 years has been turbulent. Marked by two world wars, revolutions and major regime changes, as well as a hyperinflation and three currency reforms, expropriations and territorial divisions, it provides unique insights into the role of country-specific shocks in shaping long-run wealth dynamics. This paper presents the first comprehensive study of wealth and its distribution in Germany since the 19th century. We combine tax and archival data, household surveys, historical national accounts, and rich lists to analyze the evolution of the German wealth distribution over the long run. We show that the top 1% wealth share has fallen by half, from close to 50% in 1895 to 27% today. Nearly all of this decline was the result of changes that occurred between 1914 and 1952. The interwar period and the wealth taxation in the aftermath of World War II stand out as the great equalizers in 20th century German history. After unification in 1990, two trends have left their mark on the German wealth distribution. Households at the top made substantial capital gains from rising business wealth while the middle-class had large capital gains in the housing market. The wealth share of the bottom 50% halved since 1990. Our findings speak to the importance of historical shocks to the distribution and valuations of existing wealth in explaining the evolution of the wealth distribution over the long run.

     
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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/264926
    Schriftenreihe: SOEPpapers on multidisciplinary panel data research ; 1173 (2022)
    Schlagworte: Wealth inequality; portfolio heterogeneity; saving; wealth taxation
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 54 Seiten), Illustrationen
  20. Income misperception and populism
    Autor*in: Albers, Thilo N. H.; Kersting, Felix; Kosse, Fabian
    Erschienen: November 2022
    Verlag:  CESifo, Munich, Germany

    We propose that false beliefs about the own current economic status are an important factor for explaining populist attitudes. Along with the subjects’ receptiveness to right-wing populism, we elicit their perceived relative income positions in a... mehr

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    We propose that false beliefs about the own current economic status are an important factor for explaining populist attitudes. Along with the subjects’ receptiveness to right-wing populism, we elicit their perceived relative income positions in a representative survey of German households. We find that people with pessimistic beliefs about their income position are more attuned to populist statements. Key to understanding the misperception-populism relationship are strong gender differences in the mechanism: Misperception triggers income dissatisfaction for both men and women, but the former are much more likely to channel their discontent into affection for populist ideas.

     
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    hdl: 10419/267292
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working papers ; 10059 (2022)
    Schlagworte: perception; income; populism
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten), Illustrationen
  21. Income misperception and populism
    Autor*in: Albers, Thilo N. H.; Kersting, Felix; Kosse, Fabian
    Erschienen: October 2022
    Verlag:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    We propose that false beliefs about the own current economic status are an important factor for explaining populist attitudes. Along with the subjects' receptiveness to right-wing populism, we elicit their perceived relative income positions in a... mehr

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    We propose that false beliefs about the own current economic status are an important factor for explaining populist attitudes. Along with the subjects' receptiveness to right-wing populism, we elicit their perceived relative income positions in a representative survey of German households. We find that people with pessimistic beliefs about their income position are more attuned to populist statements. Key to understanding the misperception-populism relationship are strong gender differences in the mechanism: Misperception triggers income dissatisfaction for both men and women, but the former are much more likely to channel their discontent into affection for populist ideas.

     
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/267410
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 15673
    Schlagworte: perception; income; populism
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten), Illustrationen
  22. Welfare reform and repression in an autocracy
    Bismarck and the socialists
    Autor*in: Kersting, Felix
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  European Historical Economics Society, [Europa]

    Can autocratic governments gain support by implementing a welfare reform and a repressive law? This paper studies a famous case - Bismarck's policies of social insurance and the antisocialist law in late 19th century Germany. The socialist party, I... mehr

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    Can autocratic governments gain support by implementing a welfare reform and a repressive law? This paper studies a famous case - Bismarck's policies of social insurance and the antisocialist law in late 19th century Germany. The socialist party, I find, increases its vote share in constituencies more affected by Bismarck's policies. For identification, I exploit local and industry-specific variation in treatment intensity due to ex-ante existing local healthcare and detailed lists on forbidden socialist organizations. This variation allows me to use a flexible difference-in-differences as well as a shift-share approach. As mechanisms, I highlight that the socialist party evaded the repression by reallocating their activity and gained from the social insurance by claiming the credits for the welfare reform and providing a local cooperative alternative.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: EHES working paper ; no. 227 (September 2022)
    Schlagworte: welfare reform; repression; social democracy; opposition; voting,autocracy
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 59 Seiten), Illustrationen
  23. Testing marx. capital accumulation, income inequality, and socialism in late nineteenth-century Germany
    Autor*in: Bartels, Charlotte; Kersting, Felix; Wolf, Nikolaus
    Erschienen: 20 February 2023
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP17925
    Schlagworte: Income Inequality; Concentration; Top Incomes; Capital Share; Capital Accumulation
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 70 Seiten), Illustrationen
  24. Income misperception and populism
    Autor*in: Albers, Thilo N. H.; Kersting, Felix; Kosse, Fabian
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), DIW Berlin, Berlin, Germany

    We propose that false beliefs about the own current economic status are an important factor for explaining populist attitudes. Along with the subjects' receptiveness to rightwing populism, we elicit their perceived relative income positions in a... mehr

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    We propose that false beliefs about the own current economic status are an important factor for explaining populist attitudes. Along with the subjects' receptiveness to rightwing populism, we elicit their perceived relative income positions in a representative survey of German households. We find that people with pessimistic beliefs about their income position are more attuned to populist statements. Key to understanding the misperceptionpopulism relationship are strong gender differences in the mechanism: Misperception triggers income dissatisfaction for both men and women, but the former are much more likely to channel their discontent into affection for populist ideas.

     
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/268714
    Schriftenreihe: SOEPpapers on multidisciplinary panel data research ; 1177 (2022)
    Schlagworte: perception; income; populism
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten), Illustrationen
  25. Ökonomie und Literatur
    Autor*in: Kersting, Felix
    Erschienen: 2014
    Verlag:  Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin

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    Sprache: Deutsch
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    Schlagworte: Wirtschaftswissenschaftler; Literatur; Gleichgewichtstheorie; Roman
    Weitere Schlagworte: Smith, Adam (1723-1790); Literaturwissenschaft; Q-Torien; Neue Lehre; Wintersemester 2013/14; Forschendes Lernen; Abschlussberichte; bologna.lab; Humboldt-Universität Berlin; Wirtschaftswissenschaft
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    In: Abschlussberichte Q-Tutorien - Wintersemester 2013/2014