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  1. Three green financial policies to address climate risks
    Autor*in: Lamperti, Francesco; Bosetti, Valentina; Roventini, Andrea; Tavoni, Massimo; Treibich, Tania
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  LEM, Laboratory of Economics and Management, Institute of Economics, Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna, Pisa, Italy

    Which policies can increase the resilience of the financial system to climate risks? Recent evidence on the significant impacts of climate change and natural disasters on firms, banks and other financial institutions call for a prompt policy... mehr

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    Which policies can increase the resilience of the financial system to climate risks? Recent evidence on the significant impacts of climate change and natural disasters on firms, banks and other financial institutions call for a prompt policy response. In this paper, we employ a macro-financial agent- based model to study the interaction between climate change, credit and economic dynamics and test a mix of policy interventions. We first show that financial constraints exacerbate the impact of climate shocks on the economy while, at the same time, climate damages to firms make the banking sector more prone to crises. We find that credit provision can both increase firms’ productivity and their financial fragility, with such a trade-off being exacerbated by the effects of climate change. We then test a set of “green” finance policies addressing these risks, while fostering climate change mitigation: i) green Basel-type capital requirements, ii) green public guarantees to credit, and iii) carbon-risk adjustment in credit ratings. All the three policies reduce carbon emissions and the resulting climate impacts, though moderately. However, their effects on financial and real dynamics is not straightforwardly positive. Some combinations of policies fuel credit booms, exacerbating financial instability and increasing public debt. We show that the combination of all three policies leads to a virtuous cycle of (mild) emission reductions, stable financial sector and high economic growth. Additional tools would be needed to fully adapt to climate change. Hence, our results point to the need to complement financial policies cooling down climate-related risks with mitigation policies curbing emissions from real economic activities.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: LEM working paper series ; 2021, 05 (February 2021)
    Schlagworte: Climate change; endogenous growth; financial stability; macroprudential policy; agent-based model
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 61 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Will the economic impact of COVID-19 persist?
    prognosis from 21st century pandemics
    Autor*in: Emmerling, Johannes; Furceri, Davide; Líbano Monteiro, Francisco; Loungani, Prakash; Ostry, Jonathan David; Pizzuto, Pietro; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: April 2021
    Verlag:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    COVID-19 has had a disruptive economic impact in 2020, but how long its impact will persist remains unclear. We offer a prognosis based on an analysis of the effects of five previous major epidemics in this century. We find that these pandemics led... mehr

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    COVID-19 has had a disruptive economic impact in 2020, but how long its impact will persist remains unclear. We offer a prognosis based on an analysis of the effects of five previous major epidemics in this century. We find that these pandemics led to significant and persistent reductions in disposable income, along with increases in unemployment, income inequality and public debt-to-GDP ratios. Energy use and CO2 emissions dropped, but mostly because of the persistent decline in the level of economic activity rather than structural changes in the energy sector. Applying our empirical estimates to project the impact of COVID-19, we foresee significant scarring in economic performance and income distribution through 2025, which be associated with an increase in poverty of about 75 million people. Policy responses more effective than those in the past would be required to forestall these outcomes

     
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    Schriftenreihe: IMF working paper ; WP/21, 119
    Schlagworte: COVID-19; pandemics; sustainability; poverty; climate; inequality; Aggregate Factor Income Distribution; Foreign Exchange; Health Behavior; Informal Economy; Underground Econom
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Social interaction and technology adoption
    experimental evidence from improved cookstoves in Mali
    Autor*in: Bonan, Jacopo; Battiston, Pietro; Bleck, Jaimie; LeMay-Boucher, Philippe; Pareglio, Stefano; Sarr, Bassirou; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: [2020]
    Verlag:  Department of Economics, Management and Statistics University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy

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    Schriftenreihe: DEMS working paper series ; no. 442 (May 2020)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 69 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Governing climate geoengineering
    side-payments are not enough
    Autor*in: Ghidoni, Riccardo; Abatayo, Anna Lou; Bosetti, Valentina; Casari, Marco; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  Departimento di economia, metodi quantitativi e strategia di impresa, Università degli studi Milano-Bicocca, [Mailand]

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    Schriftenreihe: CefES paper series ; no. 461 (February 2021)
    Schlagworte: climate governance; public good-or-bad; free-driving; transfers; promises; experiment; Coase theorem
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 61 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Can a growing world be fed when the climate is changing?
    Autor*in: Dietz, Simon; Lanz, Bruno
    Erschienen: [2019]
    Verlag:  University of Neuchatel, Institute of Economic Research, [Neuchâtel]

    We study the capacity to meet food demand under conditions of climate change, economic and population growth. We take a novel approach to quantifying climate impacts, based on a model of the global economy structurally estimated on the period 1960 to... mehr

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    We study the capacity to meet food demand under conditions of climate change, economic and population growth. We take a novel approach to quantifying climate impacts, based on a model of the global economy structurally estimated on the period 1960 to 2015. The model integrates several features necessary to study the problem, including an explicit agriculture sector, endogenous fertility, directed technical change and fossil/renewable energy. We estimate the world economy is more than one trillion dollars smaller, and world population more than 80 million smaller, than would have been the case without climate change. This is despite substantial adaptation having taken place in general equilibrium through R&D and agricultural land expansion. Policy experiments with the model suggest that optimal GHG taxes are high and future temperatures held well below 2 degrees Celsius.

     
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    Auflage/Ausgabe: This version: November 2019
    Schriftenreihe: IRENE working paper ; 19, 09
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 74 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Can a growing world be fed when the climate is changing?
    Autor*in: Dietz, Simon; Lanz, Bruno
    Erschienen: [2019]
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    We study the capacity to meet food demand under conditions of climate change, economic and population growth. We take a novel approach to quantifying climate impacts, based on a model of the global economy structurally estimated on the period 1960 to... mehr

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    We study the capacity to meet food demand under conditions of climate change, economic and population growth. We take a novel approach to quantifying climate impacts, based on a model of the global economy structurally estimated on the period 1960 to 2015. The model integrates several features necessary to study the problem, including an explicit agriculture sector, endogenous fertility, directed technical change and fossil/renewable energy. We estimate the world economy is more than one trillion dollars smaller, and world population more than 80 million smaller, than would have been the case without climate change. This is despite substantial adaptation having taken place in general equilibrium through R&D and agricultural land expansion. Policy experiments with the model suggest that optimal GHG taxes are high and future temperatures held well below 2°C.

     
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    Auflage/Ausgabe: This version: November 2019
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; no. 7986 (December 2019)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 75 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Are economists getting climate dynamics right and does it matter?
    Autor*in: Dietz, Simon; Ploeg, Frederick van der; Rezai, Armon; Venmans, Frank
    Erschienen: [2020]
    Verlag:  Department of Economics, University of Oxford, Oxford

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    Schriftenreihe: Department of Economics discussion paper series / University of Oxford ; number 900 (February 2020)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 64 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Pricing ambiguity in catastrophe risk insurance
    Autor*in: Dietz, Simon; Niehörster, Falk
    Erschienen: July 2019
    Verlag:  Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, [London, UK]

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    Schriftenreihe: Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy working paper ; no. 354
    Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment working paper ; no. 322
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 35 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. Steering the climate system
    an extended comment
    Autor*in: Mattauch, Linus; Millar, Richard; Ploeg, Frederick van der; Rezai, Armon; Schultes, Anselm Johannes; Venmans, Frank; Bauer, Nico; Dietz, Simon; Edenhofer, Ottmar; Farrell, Niall; Hepburn, Cameron; Luderer, Gunnar G.; Pless, Jacquelyn; Spuler, Fiona; Stern, Nicholas H.; Teytelboym, Alexander
    Erschienen: January 2019
    Verlag:  Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, [London, UK]

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    Schriftenreihe: Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy working paper ; no. 347
    Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment working paper ; no. 315
    Schlagworte: Klimapolitik; Treibhausgas-Emissionen
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 36 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. Are economists getting climate dynamics right and does it matter?
    Autor*in: Dietz, Simon; Ploeg, Frederick van der; Rezai, Armon; Venmans, Frank
    Erschienen: February 2020
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    We show that several of the most important economic models of climate change produce climate dynamics inconsistent with the current crop of models in climate science. First, most economic models exhibit far too long a delay between an impulse of CO2... mehr

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    We show that several of the most important economic models of climate change produce climate dynamics inconsistent with the current crop of models in climate science. First, most economic models exhibit far too long a delay between an impulse of CO2 emissions and warming. Second, few economic models incorporate positive feedbacks in the carbon cycle, whereby carbon sinks remove less CO2 from the atmosphere, the more CO2 they have already removed cumulatively, and the higher is temperature. These inconsistencies affect economic prescriptions to abate CO2 emissions. Controlling for how the economy is represented, different climate models result in significantly different optimal CO2 emissions. A long delay between emissions and warming leads to optimal carbon prices that are too low and too much sensitivity of optimal carbon prices to the discount rate. Omitting positive carbon cycle feedbacks also leads to optimal carbon prices that are too low. We conclude it is important for policy purposes to bring economic models in line with the state of the art in climate science.

     
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    hdl: 10419/216518
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working paper ; no. 8122 (2020)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 65 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. Optimal climate policy as if the transition matters
    Autor*in: Campiglio, Emanuele; Dietz, Simon; Venmans, Frank
    Erschienen: December 2022
    Verlag:  CESifo, Munich, Germany

    The optimal transition to a low-carbon economy must account for adjustment costs in switching from dirty to clean capital, technological progress, and economic and climatic shocks. We study the low-carbon transition using a dynamic stochastic general... mehr

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    The optimal transition to a low-carbon economy must account for adjustment costs in switching from dirty to clean capital, technological progress, and economic and climatic shocks. We study the low-carbon transition using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with emissions abatement costs calibrated on a large energy modelling database, solved with recursive methods. We show how capital inertia puts upward pressure on emissions and temperatures in the short run, but that nonetheless it is optimal to actively disinvest from - to 'strand' - a significant share of the dirty capital stock. Conversely, clean technological progress, as well as uncertainty about climatic and economic factors, lead to lower emissions and temperatures in the long run. Putting these factors together, we estimate a net premium of 33% on the optimal carbon price today relative to a 'straw man' model with perfect capital mobility, fixed abatement costs and no uncertainty.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working papers ; 10139 (2022)
    Schlagworte: djustment costs; carbon price; climate change; low-carbon transition; stranded assets; technological progress; uncertainty
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 58 Seiten), Illustrationen
  12. Optimal climate policy in the face of tipping points and asset stranding
    Autor*in: Campiglio, Emanuele; Dietz, Simon; Venmans, Frank
    Erschienen: [2020]
    Verlag:  National Bank of Belgium, Brussels

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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper research / National Bank of Belgium ; no 393 (October 2020)
    Schlagworte: Klimapolitik; Erfolgsfaktor
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 45 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. Growth and adaptation to climate change in the long run
    Autor*in: Dietz, Simon; Lanz, Bruno
    Erschienen: December 2022
    Verlag:  Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy working paper ; no. 411
    Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment working paper ; no. 386
    Schlagworte: agriculture; climate change; directed technical change; economic growth; energy; population growth; structural change; structural estimation; uncertainty
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 54 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. Optimal climate policy as if the transition matters
    Autor*in: Campiglio, Emanuele; Dietz, Simon; Venmans, Frank
    Erschienen: December 2022
    Verlag:  Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy working paper ; no. 412
    Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment working paper ; no. 387
    Schlagworte: adjustment costs; carbon price; climate change; low-carbon transition; stranded assets; technological progress; uncertainty
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 58 Seiten), Illustrationen
  15. Will the economic impact of COVID-19 persist?
    prognosis from 21st century pandemics
    Autor*in: Emmerling, Johannes; Furceri, Davide; Líbano Monteiro, Francisco; Loungani, Prakash; Ostry, Jonathan David; Pizzuto, Pietro; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: April 2021
    Verlag:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    COVID-19 has had a disruptive economic impact in 2020, but how long its impact will persist remains unclear. We offer a prognosis based on an analysis of the effects of five previous major epidemics in this century. We find that these pandemics led... mehr

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    COVID-19 has had a disruptive economic impact in 2020, but how long its impact will persist remains unclear. We offer a prognosis based on an analysis of the effects of five previous major epidemics in this century. We find that these pandemics led to significant and persistent reductions in disposable income, along with increases in unemployment, income inequality and public debt-to-GDP ratios. Energy use and CO2 emissions dropped, but mostly because of the persistent decline in the level of economic activity rather than structural changes in the energy sector. Applying our empirical estimates to project the impact of COVID-19, we foresee significant scarring in economic performance and income distribution through 2025, which be associated with an increase in poverty of about 75 million people. Policy responses more effective than those in the past would be required to forestall these outcomes

     
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    ISBN: 9781513582351
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    Schriftenreihe: IMF working paper ; WP/21, 119
    Schlagworte: COVID-19; pandemics; sustainability; poverty; climate; inequality; Aggregate Factor Income Distribution; Foreign Exchange; Health Behavior; Informal Economy; Underground Econom
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  16. Heterogeneity of social information programs
    the role of identity and values
    Autor*in: Bonan, Jacopo; Cattaneo, Cristina; D'Adda, Giovanna; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: January 2019
    Verlag:  Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano, [Milano]

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    Schriftenreihe: Development studies working papers / Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano ; n. 443
    Schlagworte: Energy consumption; Environmental Identity; Social norms; RCT
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 58 Seiten), Illustrationen
  17. Does an environmental Kuznets curve exist for biodiversity?
    Autor*in: Dietz, Simon
    Erschienen: September 2000
    Verlag:  Center for Economic Research, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zürich

    Within the past ten years, environmental economics has witnessed the development of a theory that has stirred up considerable controversy. The environmental Kuznets hypothesis predicts negative environmental impact first increases with rising income... mehr

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    Within the past ten years, environmental economics has witnessed the development of a theory that has stirred up considerable controversy. The environmental Kuznets hypothesis predicts negative environmental impact first increases with rising income and then decreases. A wealth of indicators have been used to test this claim but one of the most important global environmental quantities, biodiversity, has remained untouched. The purpose of this study is thus to pose the question, is there an environmental Kuznets curve for biodiversity?

     
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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Format: Online
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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ETH Zürich ; 00, 19
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 18 Seiten), Illustrationen
  18. Environmental Kuznets Curve, biodiversity and sustainability
    Autor*in: Schubert, Renate; Dietz, Simon
    Erschienen: 2001
    Verlag:  Zentrum für Entwicklungsforschung, Bonn

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    Schriftenreihe: ZEF-discussions papers on development policy ; 40
    Schlagworte: Artenvielfalt; Entwicklung; Nationaleinkommen; Umweltökonomik; Nachhaltige Entwicklung; Theorie; Environmental Kuznets Curve
    Umfang: 30 S, graph. Darst
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    Literaturverz. S. 25 - 27
  19. Does an environmental Kuznets curve exist for biodiversity?
    Autor*in: Dietz, Simon
    Erschienen: 2000
    Verlag:  ETH, Inst. für Wirtschaftsforschung, Zürich

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    Schriftenreihe: Materialien / Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich, Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 00/19
    Schlagworte: Artenvielfalt; Umweltbelastung; Theorie; Environmental Kuznets Curve
    Umfang: 17 Bl, graph. Darst
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    Literaturverz. Bl. 15 - 17
  20. Optimal climate policy under exogenous and endogenous technical change
    making sense of the different approaches
    Autor*in: Coppens, Leo; Dietz, Simon; Venmans, Frank
    Erschienen: April 2024
    Verlag:  London School of Economics and Political Science, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment working paper ; no. 408
    Schlagworte: climate change; cost-benefit analysis; induced innovation; integrated assessment models; technical change
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 53 Seiten), Illustrationen
  21. Learning from nationally determined contributions
    Autor*in: Akimoto, Keigo; Aldy, Joseph E.; Reis, Lara Aleluia; Carraro, Carlo; Pizer, Billy; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: 26 February 2018
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP 12757
    Schlagworte: Internationale Klimapolitik; Klimapolitik; Treibhausgas-Emissionen; Modellierung
    Umfang: 37 Seiten, Illustrationen
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    Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe

    Richtiger Name der Verfasserin: Lara Aleluia Reis
  22. Recalculating the social cost of carbon
    Autor*in: Shayegh, Soheil; Bosetti, Valentina; Dietz, Simon; Emmerling, Johannes; Hambel, Christoph; Jensen, Svenn; Kraft, Holger; Tavoni, Massimo; Traeger, Christian; Ploeg, Frederick van der
    Erschienen: May 2018
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano, Italia

    Over the last few decades, integrated assessment models (IAM) have provided insight into the relationship between climate change, economy, and climate policies. The limitations of these models in capturing uncertainty in climate parameters,... mehr

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    Over the last few decades, integrated assessment models (IAM) have provided insight into the relationship between climate change, economy, and climate policies. The limitations of these models in capturing uncertainty in climate parameters, heterogeneity in damages and policies, have given rise to skepticism about the relevance of these models for policy making. IAM community needs to respond to these critics and to the new challenges posed by developments in the policy arena. New climate targets emerging from the Paris Agreement and the uncertainty about the signatories' commitment to Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) are prime examples of challenges that need to be addressed in the next generation of IAMs. Given these challenges, calculating the social cost of carbon requires a new framework. This can be done by computing marginal abatement cost in cost-effective settings which provides different results than those calculated using constrained cost-benefit analysis. Here we focus on the areas where IAMs can be deployed to asses uncertainty and risk management, learning, and regional heterogeneity in climate change impacts.

     
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    hdl: 10419/191361
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2018, 019
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 9 Seiten)
  23. At the frontiers of integrated assessment of climate change
    distribution, technology policy, and land
    Autor*in: Schultes, Anselm Johannes
    Erschienen: 2017
    Verlag:  Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin

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    Beteiligt: Edenhofer, Ottmar (AkademischeR BetreuerIn); Tavoni, Massimo (AkademischeR BetreuerIn); Hirschhausen, Christian R. von (AkademischeR BetreuerIn)
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Dissertation
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    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 213 Seiten), Illustrationen
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    Lizenzpflichtig

    Enthält mehrere Beiträge

    Dissertation, Technische Universität Berlin, 2016
  24. Steering the climate system
    an extended comment
    Autor*in: Mattauch, Linus; Millar, Richard; Ploeg, Frederick van der; Rezai, Armon; Schultes, Anselm; Venmans, Frank; Bauer, Nico; Dietz, Simon; Edenhofer, Ottmar; Farrell, Niall; Hepburn, Cameron; Luderer, Gunnar G.; Pless, Jacquelyn; Spuler, Fiona; Stern, Nicholas H.; Teytelboym, Alexander
    Erschienen: [2018]
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    Lemoine and Rudik (2017) argue that it is efficient to delay reducing carbon emissions, because there is substantial inertia in the climate system. However, this conclusion rests upon misunderstanding the relevant climate physics: there is no... mehr

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    Lemoine and Rudik (2017) argue that it is efficient to delay reducing carbon emissions, because there is substantial inertia in the climate system. However, this conclusion rests upon misunderstanding the relevant climate physics: there is no substantial lag between CO2 emissions and warming, which policy could rely upon. Applying a mainstream climate physics model to the economics of Lemoine and Rudik (2017) invalidates the article's implications for climate policy: the cost-effective carbon price that limits warming to a range of targets including 2 oC starts high and increases at the interest rate.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; no. 7414 (December 2018)
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  25. Social interaction and technology adoption
    experimental evidence from improved cookstoves in Mali
    Autor*in: Bonan, Jacopo; Battiston, Pietro; Bleck, Jaimie; LeMay-Boucher, Philippe; Pareglio, Stefano; Sarr, Bassirou; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: September 2017
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano

    We investigate the role of social interaction in technology adoption by conducting a field experiment in neighborhoods of Bamako. We invited women to attend a training/marketing session, where information on a more efficient cooking stove was... mehr

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    We investigate the role of social interaction in technology adoption by conducting a field experiment in neighborhoods of Bamako. We invited women to attend a training/marketing session, where information on a more efficient cooking stove was provided and the chance to purchase the product at market price was offered. We randomly provided an information nudge on a peer’s willingness to buy an improved cookstove. We find that women purchase and use the product more when they receive information on a peer who purchased (or previously owned) the product, particularly if she is viewed as respected. In general, we find positive direct and spillover effects of attending the session. We also investigate whether social interaction plays a role in technology diffusion. We find that women who participated in the session, but did not buy during the intervention, are more likely to adopt the product when more women living around them own it. We investigate the mechanisms and provide evidence supporting imitation effects, rather than social learning or constraint interaction.

     
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    hdl: 10419/177241
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2017, 47
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 69 Seiten), Illustrationen