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  1. Heterogeneous trade effects of pre-shipment inspections
    Erschienen: July 2022
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    Global imports subject to pre-shipment inspections (PSI) - a practice under which imports need to undergo a third party review process before shipment - shrank from 700 bn USD in 2010 to 87 bn in 2018. However, only little is known about the trade... mehr

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    Global imports subject to pre-shipment inspections (PSI) - a practice under which imports need to undergo a third party review process before shipment - shrank from 700 bn USD in 2010 to 87 bn in 2018. However, only little is known about the trade impact of such procedures, which on the one hand involve administrative costs, but on the other hand provide information. This paper - the first PSI analysis consistent with a structural gravity framework - shows that PSI requirements reduce bilateral trade and are most harmful for trade in differentiated manufacturing products. In contrast, PSI facilitate trade in food products. Trade in products subject to sanitary and phytosanitary measures even doubles when these measures are combined with PSI. Overall, counterfactual analysis suggests that the removal of PSI requirements between 2010 and 2018 implied a 2.6% increase in total imports across the 32 developing countries covered by our data.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/263763
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working paper ; no. 9833 (2022)
    Schlagworte: pre-shipment inspections; structural gravity; trade facilitation
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 30 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Heterogeneous trade effects of pre-shipment inspections
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  UMR LEDa, Paris

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Auflage/Ausgabe: This draft: July 4, 2022
    Schriftenreihe: Document de travail / [UMR LEDa ; DT/2022, 05
    Schlagworte: Pre-Shipment Inspections; Structural Gravity; Trade Facilitation
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 29 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. The challenge of estimating the direct and indirect effects of Covid-19 interventions
    toward an integrated economic and epidemiological approach
    Erschienen: November 2022
    Verlag:  ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, Munich, Germany

    Decisions on public health measures to contain a pandemic are often based on parameters such as expected disease burden and additional mortality due to the pandemic. Both pandemics and nonpharmaceutical interventions to fight pandemics, however,... mehr

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    Decisions on public health measures to contain a pandemic are often based on parameters such as expected disease burden and additional mortality due to the pandemic. Both pandemics and nonpharmaceutical interventions to fight pandemics, however, produce economic, social, and medical costs. The costs are, for example, caused by changes in access to healthcare, social distancing, and restrictions on economic activity. These factors indirectly influence health outcomes in the short- and long-term perspective. In a narrative review based on targeted literature searches, we develop a comprehensive perspective on the concepts available as well as the challenges of estimating the overall disease burden and the direct and indirect effects of Covid-19 interventions from both epidemiological and economic perspectives, particularly during the early part of a pandemic. We review the literature and discuss relevant components that need to be included when estimating the direct and indirect effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. The review presents data sources and different forms of death counts, and discusses empirical findings on direct and indirect effects of the pandemic and interventions on disease burden as well as the distribution of health risks.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/266602
    Schriftenreihe: Ifo working papers ; 385 (2022)
    Schlagworte: Covid-19; pandemics; health outcomes; disease burden; non-pharmaceutical interventions; economic decline; social distancing; healthcare access; integrated approach
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 34 Seiten), Illustrationen
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    Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe

  4. The challenge of estimating the direct and indirect effects of Covid-19 interventions
    toward an integrated economic and epidemiological approach

    Decisions on public health measures to contain a pandemic are often based on parameters such as expected disease burden and additional mortality due to the pandemic. Both pandemics and non-pharmaceutical interventions to fight pandemics, however,... mehr

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    Decisions on public health measures to contain a pandemic are often based on parameters such as expected disease burden and additional mortality due to the pandemic. Both pandemics and non-pharmaceutical interventions to fight pandemics, however, produce economic, social, and medical costs. The costs are, for example, caused by changes in access to healthcare, social distancing, and restrictions on economic activity. These factors indirectly influence health outcomes in the short- and long-term perspective. In a narrative review based on targeted literature searches, we develop a comprehensive perspective on the concepts available as well as the challenges of estimating the overall disease burden and the direct and indirect effects of COVID-19 interventions from both epidemiological and economic perspectives, particularly during the early part of a pandemic. We review the literature and discuss relevant components that need to be included when estimating the direct and indirect effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. The review presents data sources and different forms of death counts, and discusses empirical findings on direct and indirect effects of the pandemic and interventions on disease burden as well as the distribution of health risks.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/267317
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working papers ; 10085 (2022)
    Schlagworte: Covid-19; pandemics; health outcomes; disease burden; non-pharmaceutical interventions; economic decline; social distancing; healthcare access; integrated approach
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 35 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. The EU self-surplus puzzle
    an indication of VAT fraud?
    Erschienen: [2019]
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    The world runs a trade surplus with itself: the reported values of exports exceed the reported values of imports. This is a logically impossible but well-known empirical fact. Less wellknown is the fact that, in recent years, more than 80 percent of... mehr

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    The world runs a trade surplus with itself: the reported values of exports exceed the reported values of imports. This is a logically impossible but well-known empirical fact. Less wellknown is the fact that, in recent years, more than 80 percent of the global surplus is a trade surplus that the EU has with itself. In this paper, we show that this EU self-surplus amounts to a striking 307 billion Euro in 2018. It persists in goods, services, and secondary income accounts. It also exists within the Euro Area, and is strongest between neighboring countries. Around the 2004 Eastern Enlargement, the EU self-surplus quadrupled. Balance of payments data from the United Kingdom appear highly distorted. We argue that these phenomena are not only due to measurement error. Rather, a large fraction of the EU's self-surplus puzzle seems related to fraud in value added tax. The resulting loss in tax income could amount to as much as 64 billion Euro per year.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/214984
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working paper ; no. 7982 (December 2019)$p
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 41 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Understanding free trade attitudes
    evidence from Europe
    Erschienen: May 2020
    Verlag:  ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, Munich, Germany

    Our paper shows that individual preferences for open-market policies are mainly shaped by trust in institutions and not economic self-interest. On the basis of the Eurobarometer, a comprehensive semiannual survey that monitors public opinion in EU... mehr

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    Our paper shows that individual preferences for open-market policies are mainly shaped by trust in institutions and not economic self-interest. On the basis of the Eurobarometer, a comprehensive semiannual survey that monitors public opinion in EU Member States, we exploit data on attitudes towards the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), free trade, protectionism, and globalization. We find that preferences for open-market trade policies cannot be sufficiently explained by variables that, according to classical trade theory, typically determine personal advantages. Nevertheless, rational considerations follow expected patterns, in particular when individuals express strong preferences. A spatial analysis at the European NUTS-2 level shows that measures of regional trade exposure and other macroeconomic determinants serve as well-suited predictors for the substantial cross-regional variation in the support for globalization. Country specific narratives are predominant drivers of individual open-market attitudes.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/219009
    Schriftenreihe: Ifo working papers ; 325 (2020)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 39 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Beggar-thy-neighbor or favor thy industry?
    an empirical review of transatlantic tariff retaliation
    Autor*in: Braml, Martin
    Erschienen: May 2020
    Verlag:  ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, Munich, Germany

    Since 2018, the U.S. and the EU have been erecting additional tariff barriers against each other. This study takes stock of existing transatlantic retaliatory tariffs and examines three different motives that explain how products are chosen to... mehr

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    Since 2018, the U.S. and the EU have been erecting additional tariff barriers against each other. This study takes stock of existing transatlantic retaliatory tariffs and examines three different motives that explain how products are chosen to qualify for tariff retaliation. These channels are: shifting the tariff incidence abroad according to optimal tariff theory, concentrating losses abroad in politically sensitive regions or industries, and rent-seeking by domestic lobbyists. I find striking evidence for the presence of all three channels. Moreover, this study performs an ex-post impact evaluation of EU tariffs implemented in response to U.S. steel and aluminum tariffs: within one year, imports of treated products from the U.S. fell by 36 percent. Trade diversion can only partially offset this decline in imports. Finally, this study outlines a concept for a transparent protocol which could be applied to the selection of products for retaliation purposes.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/219010
    Schriftenreihe: Ifo working papers ; 326 (2020)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 35 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. The EU self-surplus puzzle
    an indication of VAT fraud?
    Erschienen: 12/2019
    Verlag:  Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel

    The world runs a trade surplus with itself: Exporters report larger values of exports than what importers report as imports. This is a logically impossible but well known empirical fact. Less well known, in recent years, more than 80 percent of the... mehr

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    The world runs a trade surplus with itself: Exporters report larger values of exports than what importers report as imports. This is a logically impossible but well known empirical fact. Less well known, in recent years, more than 80 percent of the global surplus is a trade surplus that the EU has with itself. In this paper, we show that this self-surplus of the EU amounts to a striking 307 billion Euro in 2018. It persists in goods, services, and secondary income accounts. It also exists within the Euro Area, and is strongest between neighboring countries. Around the 2004 Eastern Enlargement the EU’s self-surplus quadrupled. Balance of payments data from the United Kingdom appear highly distorted. We argue that the phenomenon is not only due to measurement error. Rather, a large fraction of the EU’s self-surplus puzzle seems related to fraud in value added tax. The loss in tax income could amount to as much as 64 billion Euro per year.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/211487
    Schriftenreihe: Kiel working paper ; no. 2146 (December 2019)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 41 Seiten), Illustrationen