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  1. Designing an international economic order
    a research agenda
    Erschienen: October 2020
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA

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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research ; 27914
    Schlagworte: Weltwirtschaftsordnung; Internationale Handelspolitik
    Umfang: 33 Seiten, Illustrationen
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  2. Agenda-setter power dynamics
    learning in multi-issue bargaining
    Erschienen: October 2020
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA

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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research ; 27981
    Schlagworte: Verhandlungstheorie; Verhandlungsmacht
    Umfang: 42 Seiten, Illustrationen
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  3. Learning from Shared News
    When Abundant Information Leads to Belief Polarization
    Erschienen: 2021
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    We study learning via shared news. Each period agents receive the same quantity and quality of first-hand information and can share it with friends. Some friends (possibly few) share selectively, generating heterogeneous news diets across agents akin... mehr

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    Sächsische Landesbibliothek - Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Dresden
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    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
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    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
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    We study learning via shared news. Each period agents receive the same quantity and quality of first-hand information and can share it with friends. Some friends (possibly few) share selectively, generating heterogeneous news diets across agents akin to echo chambers. Agents are aware of selective sharing and update beliefs by Bayes' rule. Contrary to standard learning results, we show that beliefs can diverge in this environment leading to polarization. This requires that (i) agents hold misperceptions (even minor) about friends' sharing and (ii) information quality is sufficiently low. Polarization can worsen when agents' social connections expand. When the quantity of first-hand information becomes large, agents can hold opposite extreme beliefs resulting in severe polarization. Our results hold without media bias or fake news, so eliminating these is not sufficient to reduce polarization. When fake news is included, we show that it can lead to polarization but only through misperceived selective sharing. News aggregators can curb polarization caused by shared news

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w28465
    Schlagworte: Erwartungsbildung; Informationsverbreitung; Soziale Beziehungen; Asymmetrische Information; Unvollkommene Information; Kommunikationsmedien
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource, illustrations (black and white)
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  4. Cloturing deliberation
    Erschienen: February, 2021
    Verlag:  University of Luxemborg, Faculty of Law, Economics and Finance, Luxembourg

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    hdl: 10993/46112
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2021, 03
    Schlagworte: Cloture; deliberation; obstruction; pivots; political failure; stability; voting
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 34 Seiten)
  5. A Theory of Trade Policy Transitions
    Erschienen: September 2023
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    Trade policy is set by domestic political bargaining between globalists and protectionists, representing owners of factors specific to export and import-competing sectors respectively. Consistent with the post-Civil War Era of Restriction,... mehr

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    Universitätsbibliothek Freiburg
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    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
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    Trade policy is set by domestic political bargaining between globalists and protectionists, representing owners of factors specific to export and import-competing sectors respectively. Consistent with the post-Civil War Era of Restriction, protectionists implement high tariffs when status quo tariffs are low. When status quo tariffs are high, reciprocal free trade combined with domestic transfers to protectionists are implemented, explaining the 1930s Era of Reciprocity with Re- distribution. Consensus emerges for Retreat from free trade when imports are high and domestic transfers are low, suggesting that US protectionist turn in the late 2010s was in part due to low levels of social transfers

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w31662
    Schlagworte: Außenwirtschaftspolitik; Politische Einstellung; Globalisierung; Protektionismus; USA; International Trade and Finance; Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations; General; Planning, Coordination, and Reform
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource, illustrations (black and white)
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  6. The politics of bargaining as a group
    Erschienen: December 2023
    Verlag:  CESifo, Munich, Germany

    We develop a dynamic model in which a group collectively bargains with an external party. At each date the group makes an offer to the external party (the 'agent') in exchange for a concession. Group members hold heterogeneous preferences over... mehr

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    We develop a dynamic model in which a group collectively bargains with an external party. At each date the group makes an offer to the external party (the 'agent') in exchange for a concession. Group members hold heterogeneous preferences over agreements and are uncertain about the agent's resolve. We show that all group members favor more aggressive proposals than they would if they were negotiating alone. By eliciting more information about the agent's resolve, these offers reduce the group members' uncertainty about the agent's preferences and therefore reduce the group's internal conflicts over its negotiating strategy. To mitigate the consequent risk that negotiations fail, decisive group members successively give up their influence over proposals: starting from any initially democratic decision process, the group eventually consolidates its entire negotiation authority into the hands of a single member.

     

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    hdl: 10419/282511
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working papers ; 10823 (2023)
    Schlagworte: adverse selection; collective choice; political economy; dictatorship; bargaining
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 59 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. The politics of bargaining as a group
    Erschienen: Nov. 2023
    Verlag:  University of Luxemborg, Faculty of Law, Economics and Finance, Luxembourg

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    hdl: 10993/57657
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2023, 12
    Schlagworte: Adverse selection; collective choice; political economy; dictatorship; bargaining
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 58 Seiten)
  8. Policy experimentation, redistribution and voting rules
    Erschienen: 20 March 2018
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP 12797
    Schlagworte: Politische Reform; Gruppenentscheidung; Umverteilung; Abstimmungsregel; Veto; Verhandlungstheorie; Theorie
    Umfang: 70 Seiten
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  9. Dynamic legislative policy making under adverse selection
    Autor*in: Anesi, Vincent
    Erschienen: August 2018
    Verlag:  CEDEX, Centre for Decision Research & Experimental Economics, Nottingham

    This paper develops a dynamic model of legislative policy making with evolving, privately observed policy preferences. Our goal is to find conditions under which decision rules, which assign feasible policies based on the legislators' preferences,... mehr

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    This paper develops a dynamic model of legislative policy making with evolving, privately observed policy preferences. Our goal is to find conditions under which decision rules, which assign feasible policies based on the legislators' preferences, are sustainable in the long run. We show that under some mild conditions, every decision rule that would be implementable with monetary transfers can be approximately sustained in a perfect Bayesian equilibrium of the dynamic model. In this equilibrium, the legislators receive payoffs arbitrarily close to those they would obtain if they could commit ex ante to truthfully apply the decision rule in every period. An application of our result yields a dynamic issue-by-issue median voter theorem in the vein of Baron's (1996) for a spatial framework with incomplete information.

     

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    hdl: 10419/200427
    Schriftenreihe: CeDEx discussion paper series ; no. 2018, 08
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 37 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. Policy experimentation, redistribution and voting rules
    Erschienen: August 2018
    Verlag:  CEDEX, Centre for Decision Research & Experimental Economics, Nottingham

    We study conditions under which optimal policy experimentation can be implemented by a committee. We consider a dynamic bargaining game in which committee members choose to implement either a risky reform or a safe alternative with known returns each... mehr

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    We study conditions under which optimal policy experimentation can be implemented by a committee. We consider a dynamic bargaining game in which committee members choose to implement either a risky reform or a safe alternative with known returns each period. We find that when no redistribution is allowed the unique equilibrium outcome is generically inefficient. When committee members are allowed to redistribute resources (even arbitrarily small amounts), there always exists an equilibrium that supports optimal experimentation for any voting rule with no veto players. With veto players, however, optimal policy experimentation is possible only with a sufficient amount of redistribution. We conclude that veto rights are more of an obstacle to optimal policy experimentation than constraints on redistribution.

     

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    hdl: 10419/200428
    Schriftenreihe: CeDEx discussion paper series ; no. 2018, 09
    Schlagworte: Politische Reform; Gruppenentscheidung; Umverteilung; Abstimmungsregel; Veto; Verhandlungstheorie; Theorie
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 72 Seiten)
  11. Policy experimentation, redistribution and voting rules
    Erschienen: September 2018
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA

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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research ; 25033
    Schlagworte: Politische Reform; Gruppenentscheidung; Umverteilung; Abstimmungsregel; Veto; Verhandlungstheorie; Theorie
    Umfang: 70 Seiten
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  12. Efficiency of flexible budgetary institutions
    Erschienen: June 18, 2015
    Verlag:  [Stanford Graduate School of Business], [Stanford, CA]

    Which budgetary institutions result in efficient provision of public goods? We analyze a model with two parties bargaining over the allocation to a public good each period. Parties place different values on the public good, and these values may... mehr

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    Which budgetary institutions result in efficient provision of public goods? We analyze a model with two parties bargaining over the allocation to a public good each period. Parties place different values on the public good, and these values may change over time. We focus on budgetary institutions that determine the rules governing feasible allocations to mandatory and discretionary spending programs. Mandatory spending is enacted by law and remains in effect until changed, and thus induces an endogenous status quo, whereas discretionary spending is a periodic appropriation that is not allocated if no new agreement is reached. We show that discretionary only and mandatory only institutions typically lead to dynamic inefficiency and that mandatory only institutions can even lead to static inefficiency. By introducing appropriate flexibility in mandatory programs, we obtain static and dynamic efficiency. An endogenous choice of mandatory and discretionary programs, sunset provisions and state-contingent mandatory programs can provide this flexibility in increasingly complex environments

     

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    Schriftenreihe: [Stanford University Graduate School of Business research paper ; no. 15-11]
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 53 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. Collective choice in dynamic public good provision
    real versus formal authority
    Erschienen: November 15, 2015
    Verlag:  [Stanford Graduate School of Business], [Stanford, CA]

    Two heterogeneous agents exert effort over time to complete a project and collectively decide its scope. A larger scope requires greater cumulative effort and delivers higher benefits upon completion. To study the scope under collective choice, we... mehr

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    Two heterogeneous agents exert effort over time to complete a project and collectively decide its scope. A larger scope requires greater cumulative effort and delivers higher benefits upon completion. To study the scope under collective choice, we derive agents' preferences over scope. The efficient agent prefers a smaller scope, and preferences are time-inconsistent: as the project progresses, the efficient agent's preferred scope shrinks, whereas the inefficient agent's preferred scope expands. In equilibrium without commitment, the efficient agent obtains his ideal project scope with either agent as dictator and under unanimity. In this sense, the efficient agent always has real authority

     

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    Schriftenreihe: [Stanford University Graduate School of Business research paper ; no. 15-64]
    Schlagworte: Öffentliche Güter; Gruppenentscheidung; Spieltheorie; Kollektives Handeln
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (ca. 48 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. Party formation and racism
    Erschienen: 2007
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    RVK Klassifikation: QB 910
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 6281
    Schlagworte: Politische Willensbildung; Wahlverhalten; Politische Partei; Ideologie; Einkommen; Ethnische Diskriminierung; Wirtschaftsmodell; Elections; Political parties; Racism; Representative government and representation
    Umfang: 28, [2] S., graph. Darst.
  15. Secondary issues and party politics
    an application to environmental policy
    Erschienen: 2008
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 6774
    Schlagworte: Wirtschaftspolitik; Umverteilung; Umweltpolitik; Politische Partei; Politisches Ziel; Parteipolitik; Spieltheorie
    Umfang: 32 [2] S., graph. Darst.
  16. Noncooperative foundations of stable sets in voting games
    Autor*in: Anesi, Vincent
    Erschienen: 2009
    Verlag:  Univ. of Rochester, Rochester Center for Economic Research, Rochester, NY

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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / Rochester Center for Economic Research ; 551
    Umfang: Online-Ressource, (15 S.)
  17. On dynamic compromise
    Erschienen: 2009
    Verlag:  Univ., Graduate School of Business, Stanford, Calif.

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    Schriftenreihe: Research paper series / Graduate School of Business, Stanford University ; 2020
    Schlagworte: Neue politische Ökonomie; Verhandlungstheorie; Markov-Kette; Gleichgewichtstheorie; Theorie
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (47 S., 504,60 KB), graph. Darst.
  18. Redistribution in the open economy
    a political economy approach
    Erschienen: 2009
    Verlag:  Leverhulme Centre for Research on Globalisation and Economic Policy, Nottingham

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    Schriftenreihe: Research paper / Leverhulme Centre for Research on Globalisation and Economic Policy ; 2009,25 : Globalisation, productivity and technology
    Schlagworte: Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen; Außenwirtschaftspolitik; Medianwähler-Modell; Einkommensteuertarif; Zoll; Soziale Ungleichheit; Umverteilung; Zwei-Länder-Modell
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 27 S.), graph. Darst.
  19. Optimal delegation with a finite number of states
    Erschienen: 2009
    Verlag:  CEDEX, Nottingham

    This paper contributes to the literature on optimal delegation, dating back to Holmstrom's (1984) seminal work. In contrast to models in the Holmstrom tradition, we assume that the set of states is finite. We provide a full characterization of the... mehr

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    This paper contributes to the literature on optimal delegation, dating back to Holmstrom's (1984) seminal work. In contrast to models in the Holmstrom tradition, we assume that the set of states is finite. We provide a full characterization of the class of optimal delegation sets under this assumption, and show that they have a different structure from that in the continuous-state model. As the number of states tends to infinity, however, every optimal delegation set converges to that of Holmstrom (1984). We also show that, for intermediate bias, the Ally Principal fails for small changes in bias, the Uncertainty Principle may fail, and the principal prefers to appoint an amateur agent. -- Optimal delegation ; finite states ; Ally Principle ; Uncertainty Principle ; expertise

     

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    Schriftenreihe: CeDEx discussion paper ; 2009,20
    Schlagworte: Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit; Zustandsraummodell
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 46 S.)
  20. Limits of the WTO as a self-enforcing institution
    Autor*in: Bowen, T. Renee
    Erschienen: 2010
    Verlag:  Univ., Graduate School of Business, Stanford, Calif.

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    Schriftenreihe: Research paper series / Graduate School of Business, Stanford University ; 2071
    Schlagworte: Internationale Handelspolitik; Internationale Schiedsgerichtsbarkeit; Außenwirtschaftspolitik; Außenwirtschaftstheorie; Institutionenökonomik
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (31 S., 303,36 KB), graph. Darst.
  21. Bargaining over an endogenous agenda
    Erschienen: 2011
    Verlag:  CEDEX, Nottingham

    We present a model of bargaining in which a committee searches over the policy space, successively amending the default by voting over proposals. Bargaining ends when proposers are unable or unwilling to amend the existing default, which is then... mehr

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    We present a model of bargaining in which a committee searches over the policy space, successively amending the default by voting over proposals. Bargaining ends when proposers are unable or unwilling to amend the existing default, which is then implemented. We characterize the policies which can be implemented from any initial default in a pure strategy stationary Markov perfect equilibrium for an interesting class of environments including multi-dimensional and infinite policy spaces. Minimumwinning coalitions may not form, and the set of equilibrium policies may be unaffected by a change in the set of proposers. The set of stable policies (which are implemented, once reached as default) forms a weakly stable set; and conversely, any weakly stable set is supported by some equilibrium. If the policy space is well ordered then the committee implements the ideal policy of the last proposer in a subset of a weakly stable set. However, this result does not generalize to other cases, allowing us to explore the effects of protocol manipulation. Variations in the quota and in the number of proposers may have surprising effects on the set of stable decisions. We also show that equilibria of our model are contemporaneous perfect e-equilibria of a related model of repeated implementation with an evolving default; and that stable decisions in semi-Markovian equilibria form the largest consistent set. -- bargaining ; evolving default ; stable set

     

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    hdl: 10419/100150
    Schriftenreihe: CeDEx discussion paper series ; 2011-10
    Schlagworte: Verhandlungstheorie
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 52 S., 1,03 MB), graph. Darst.
  22. Optimal delegation with a finite number of states
    Erschienen: 2011
    Verlag:  CEDEX, Nottingham

    This paper studies delegation without monetary transfers when the number of possible states is small, and therefore finite. To do so, we fully characterize the class of optimal delegation sets in the finite-state version of Holmstrom's (1984) seminal... mehr

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    This paper studies delegation without monetary transfers when the number of possible states is small, and therefore finite. To do so, we fully characterize the class of optimal delegation sets in the finite-state version of Holmstrom's (1984) seminal model and analyze their properties. Our finite state assumption entails the following results: (i) the agent never takes her ideal decision, and takes a decision strictly between her and the principal’s ideal (thus compromising with the latter) in low enough states; (ii) the agent takes the same decision in high enough states, and is indifferent between the decision she takes and the next highest decision in every other state; (iii) the agent may be induced to take decisions outside the support of the principal's ideal decisions; (iv) marginal increases in the agent's bias do not (generically) cause optimal delegation sets to shrink, and may increase the variance of the decision taken by the agent. We also show that the principal and the agent may both be better off if the latter cannot distinguish between some states. -- Optimal delegation ; finite states ; Ally Principle ; expertise

     

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    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/49693
    Schriftenreihe: CeDEx discussion paper series ; 2011-04
    Schlagworte: Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit; Zustandsraummodell
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 51 S., 995 KB + 18 S., 267 KB)
  23. Dynamic coalitions
    Erschienen: 2013
    Verlag:  Univ., Graduate School of Business, Stanford, Calif.

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: Research paper / Graduate School of Business, Stanford University ; 2128
    Schlagworte: Koalition; Verhandlungstheorie; Wiederholte Spiele; Theorie
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (54 S.)
  24. Voting under the threat of secession
    accommodation vs. repression
    Erschienen: 2011
    Verlag:  IEB, Barcelona

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2011,40
    Schlagworte: Sezession; Risiko; Minderheitenpolitik; Wahlverhalten; Humangeographie; Theorie
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (25 S.), graph. Darst.
  25. Coercive trade policy
    Erschienen: 2014
    Verlag:  Nottingham Centre for Research on Globalisation and Economic Policy, University of Nottingham, Nottingham

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    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: Research paper / Nottingham Centre for Research on Globalisation and Economic Policy ; 2014/09 : Political economy of globalisation
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (34 S.), graph. Darst.