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  1. Criminalidade e desigualdade social no Brasil

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    W 1389 (967)
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    Sprache: Portugiesisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Druck
    Schriftenreihe: Texto para discussão / Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada ; 967
    Schlagworte: Kriminalitätsökonomik; Kriminalität; Brasilien; Soziale Ungleichheit
    Umfang: 20 S
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    Zsfassung in engl. Sprache

    Internetausg.:http://www.ipea.gov.br/pub/td/2003/td_0967.pdf

  2. Criminalidade e interação social

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    W 1389 (968)
    uneingeschränkte Fernleihe, Kopie und Ausleihe
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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Portugiesisch
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    Schriftenreihe: Texto para discussão / Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada ; 968
    Schlagworte: Kriminalitätsökonomik; Entscheidung; Theorie; Soziale Beziehungen
    Umfang: 18 S
    Bemerkung(en):

    Zsfassung in engl. Sprache

    Internetausg.:http://www.ipea.gov.br/pub/td/2003/td_0968.pdf

  3. Avaliando os efeitos da política fiscal no Brasil
    resultados de um procedimento de identificação agnóstica
    Erschienen: 2009
    Verlag:  Inst. de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, Rio de Janeiro

    This article investigates the effects of fiscal policy shock in the Brazilian economy using quarterly data during the period between January/1995 and December/2007. We follow the agnostic procedure suggested by Mountford and Uhlig (2005) to verify... mehr

    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    keine Fernleihe
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 194 (1377)
    keine Fernleihe

     

    This article investigates the effects of fiscal policy shock in the Brazilian economy using quarterly data during the period between January/1995 and December/2007. We follow the agnostic procedure suggested by Mountford and Uhlig (2005) to verify separately the impact of the unexpected positive impulse of current government spending and the net public revenues on some economic variables such as gross domestic product (GDP) and price index. The main advantages of this method regard it allows to isolate the fiscal impulse from the movements that comes from business cycle and the management of monetary policy. We find that in response of an expansionary shock of public expenditures the private consumption increases surely. It can indicate that there is some kind of crowding out effect with a reduction of private investment because the GDP contemporaneous decreases with 77.1 percent probability. The GDP reacts negatively with 56.6 percent probability immediately after a positive shock of the public net revenues. But in long run the probability of this response to be positive rises strongly.With 76.1 percent probability the private consumption decreases after this shock.Finally, another distinctive feature of the agnostic identification used in this paper pertains to the assessment the business cycle and monetary shock. With a 70.0 percent probability the real GDP decreases immediately after a contractionary monetary shock on the Selic rate and this effect is negative and very persistent. Further, the most likely path of the price index (IPCA) indicates a drop of 0.4 percent in this variable during the first five months after a monetary shock. Considering the business cycle, government spending is not countercyclical in a view that during an economic boom the endogenous response of expenditure of government is positive.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Portugiesisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/91365
    Schriftenreihe: Texto para discussão / Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada ; 1377
    Schlagworte: Finanzpolitik; Wirkungsanalyse; Brasilien
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (23 S.), graph. Darst.
    Bemerkung(en):

    Zsfassung in engl. Sprache

  4. Aplicação de um modelo fatorial dinâmico para previsão da arrecadação tributária no Brasil
    Erschienen: 2009
    Verlag:  Inst. de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, Rio de Janeiro

    The aim of this article is to estimate a Bayesian factorial dynamic model for the analysis and forecasting of the Brazilian tax burden (BTB) using monthly data from 1996 to 2007. Twenty taxes are responsible for about 80% of the BTB, each of which... mehr

    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    keine Fernleihe
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 194 (1453)
    keine Fernleihe

     

    The aim of this article is to estimate a Bayesian factorial dynamic model for the analysis and forecasting of the Brazilian tax burden (BTB) using monthly data from 1996 to 2007. Twenty taxes are responsible for about 80% of the BTB, each of which with a distinct seasonal pattern The factorial model has no problems accommodating the high dimensionality of the data-contrarily to what happens, for instance, with VARs-while simultaneously allowing the identification of a short number of factors responsible for the joint dynamics of the various taxes. Therefore, this procedure allows one to obtain relevant insights about the public revenues in Brazil. Moreover, due to the fact that seasonality is a remarkable feature of the series of government receipts, the seasonal component is modeled endogenously using a Fourier form representation that is an unrestricted and flexible way to assess seasonality. Finally, we forecast the future path of the public receipts separately for the period of 2008.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Portugiesisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/91130
    Schriftenreihe: Texto para discussão / Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada ; 1453
    Schlagworte: Steuerbelastung; Faktorenanalyse; Brasilien
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (32 S.), graph. Darst.
    Bemerkung(en):

    Zsfassung in engl. Sprache

  5. Avaliando a condição da política fiscal no Brasil
    Erschienen: 2009
    Verlag:  Inst. de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, Rio de Janeiro

    This article estimates the stance of fiscal policy using the framework of conditional forecasting to evaluate the stance in Brazil since 1997. This indicator is measured as the deviation of forecast of the output gap conditional to the observed... mehr

    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    keine Fernleihe
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 194 (1409)
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    This article estimates the stance of fiscal policy using the framework of conditional forecasting to evaluate the stance in Brazil since 1997. This indicator is measured as the deviation of forecast of the output gap conditional to the observed values and steady-state values of the instruments of fiscal policy-the current government spending and the net tax. Our results indicate that fiscal stance has been neutral since 2004 but expansionary after 2007. There is no statistical evidence that fiscal policy is putting pressure on the inflation but there does exist statistical evidence that it has negatively affected the output gap.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Portugiesisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/91061
    Schriftenreihe: Texto para discussão / Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada ; 1409
    Schlagworte: Finanzpolitik; Brasilien
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (27 S.), graph. Darst.
    Bemerkung(en):

    Zsfassung in engl. Sprache

  6. Um modelo econométrico com parâmetros variáveis para a carga tributária bruta brasileira trimestral
    Erschienen: 2009
    Verlag:  Inst. de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, Brasília

    This article presents a linear econometric model with variable coefficients for the analysis of the quarterly dynamics of the Brazilian gross tax burden in the 1995-2008 years.The choice of this particular model was motivated by the constant changes... mehr

    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    keine Fernleihe
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 194 (1439)
    keine Fernleihe

     

    This article presents a linear econometric model with variable coefficients for the analysis of the quarterly dynamics of the Brazilian gross tax burden in the 1995-2008 years.The choice of this particular model was motivated by the constant changes made in the Brazilian tax system during these years - most frequently in the scope, design, and size of pre-existing taxes, but once in a while also the elimination of some of these taxes and/or the creation of new ones. The main conclusions of the paper are that: (i) GDP is, quite certainly, the main explanatory variable of the dynamics of the quarterly tax burden during the period in question; (ii) the share of the quarterly Brazilian tax burden that does not depend on GDP (or on any other variable, for that matter) increased quite significantly during the latter period - possibly due to continuous improvements on the ability of the Brazilian government to raise tax revenues and/or increases in the size of the economy´s formal sector; and (iii) the GDP-elasticity of the Brazilian tax burden appears to have fluctuated around values well below unity, contrarily to what estimates based on models with constant coefficients would lead us to believe.

     

    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
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    Hinweise zum Inhalt
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Portugiesisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/91041
    Schriftenreihe: Texto para discussão / Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada ; 1439
    Schlagworte: Steuerbelastung; Brasilien; Brasilien
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (28 S.), graph. Darst.
    Bemerkung(en):

    Zsfassung in engl. Sprache