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  1. What is certain about uncertainty?

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
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    Schriftenreihe: International finance discussion papers ; number 1294 (July 2020)
    Schlagworte: global risk; uncertainty; volatility; crises; economic policy; monetary policy; geopolitical risk; trade policy; downside risk
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 73 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. The impacts of global risk and US monetary policy on US Dollar exchange rates and excess currency returns
    Erschienen: 2023
    Verlag:  DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, Berlin

    We examine the causal relationship between US monetary policy shocks, exchange rates and currency excess returns for a sample of eight advanced countries over the period 1980M1 to 2022M11. We find that the dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate is... mehr

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    We examine the causal relationship between US monetary policy shocks, exchange rates and currency excess returns for a sample of eight advanced countries over the period 1980M1 to 2022M11. We find that the dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate is the main driver of currency excess returns. The exchange rate is significantly affected by US monetary policy shocks, where the persistence of this shock is important, as well as by an external shock. This external shock is strongly related to global risk aversion and the convenience yield that investors are willing to pay for holding US Dollar assets. A significant part of the response of excess currency returns is also expected, suggesting a violation of the UIP. Focusing only on the post-crisis period, the impact of both the external shock and the inflation targeting shock on exchange rates and currency excess returns disappears in the cross-section.

     

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    hdl: 10419/273333
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 2037
    Schlagworte: exchange rates; excess currency returns; uncovered interest parity; convenience yield; global financial cycle; global risk; monetary policy
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 49 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Does the IMF program implementation matter for sovereign spreads?
    the case of selected European emerging markets
    Erschienen: April 2019
    Verlag:  Swiss National Bank, Zurich

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Schriftenreihe: SNB working papers ; 2019, 1
    Schlagworte: Sovereign spreads; emerging markets; IMF arrangements; global risk
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 27 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Globalisation and automation as sources of labour-market competition, and support for European Union unemployment insurance
    Erschienen: 17 July 2023
    Verlag:  Bruegel, Brussels

    Societies and economies are experiencing deep and intertwined structural changes that may unsettle the perceptions European citizens have of their economic and employment security. Such labour-market perceptions are likely in turn to alter people's... mehr

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    Societies and economies are experiencing deep and intertwined structural changes that may unsettle the perceptions European citizens have of their economic and employment security. Such labour-market perceptions are likely in turn to alter people's political positions. For instance, those worried by labour-market competition may prefer greater social protection to compensate for the accrued risk, or might prefer more closed economies where external borders provide protection (or the illusion of protection). We test these expectations with a conjoint experiment in 13 European countries on European-level social policy, studying how citizens' demands align with parties' political supply. Results broadly corroborate our expectations on the moderating effects of different types of concerns about perceived sources of labour-market competition on the features of preferred European-level social policy.

     

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    hdl: 10419/274219
    Schriftenreihe: Bruegel working paper ; 2023, issue 13
    Schlagworte: global risk; migration; technological change; globalisation; socialprotection; Europe; welfare state; conjoint analysis
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 63 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. The two faces of cross-border banking flows
    an investigation into the links between global risk, arms-length funding and internal capital markets
    Erschienen: 2014
    Verlag:  Bank of England, London

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / Bank of England ; 498
    Schlagworte: Cross-border banking flows; global risk; parent banks and foreign affiliates
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (III, 47 S.), graph. Darst.