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  1. To leave or not to leave?
    climate change, exit, and voice on a Pacific Island
    Autor*in: Noy, Ilan
    Erschienen: December 2016
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich

    Observers repeatedly predict that climate change will lead and is already causing massive migration with very large numbers of people forced to leave their homes in cataclysmic waves of climate refugees. Yet, most of the empirical research on the... mehr

    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
    keine Fernleihe
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 63 (6227)
    keine Fernleihe

     

    Observers repeatedly predict that climate change will lead and is already causing massive migration with very large numbers of people forced to leave their homes in cataclysmic waves of climate refugees. Yet, most of the empirical research on the contemporary link between climate change and migration fails to find much evidence of this migration. As climate change has been progressively intensifying for decades, should we not expect these migrations to already be happening? Here, we focus on Tuvalu, a small atoll nation in the South Pacific, that in many respects can serve as the Canary-in-the-Mine for climate change research. If migration driven by climate change is not happening today, Tuvalu may explain why. One plausible reason for this lack of migration is the desire by Tuvaluans to Voice. "Voicing", a concept borrowed from Hirschman's Exit, Voice, and Loyalty, is the advocacy expressing one’s wish for change. We present evidence that the atoll nations have decided that their best policy at this point in time is to stay and Voice. If it is not unique to the Pacific atolls, this present choice to prefer Voice to Exit may explain why the evidence on climate-induced migration is so fragile. Tuvalu may be using Voice to attempt to avert dire outcomes, or to strengthen its bargaining position for the inevitable discussions about compensation. Still, the biggest risk may be that the equilibrium mix between Voice and Exit is unstable and that the transition from one strategy to the other may be abrupt-probably in response to a catastrophic natural disaster. In the long-term, sudden and unplanned displacement are always less successful, so advance planning is necessary now, including the financing of alternatives from funding through the Warsaw International Mechanism for Loss and Damage.

     

    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
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    Hinweise zum Inhalt
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/149314
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; no. 6227
    Schlagworte: Klimawandel; Überschwemmung; Auswanderung; Tuvalu
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. To leave or not to leave?
    climate change, exit, and voice on a Pacific island
    Autor*in: Noy, Ilan
    Erschienen: 2016
    Verlag:  Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance, Wellington

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VS 241 (2016,26)
    keine Fernleihe
    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
      BibTeX-Format
    Hinweise zum Inhalt
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10063/5441
    Schriftenreihe: SEF working paper ; 2016, 26
    Schlagworte: Klimawandel; Überschwemmung; Auswanderung; Tuvalu
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 34 Seiten), Illustrationen