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  1. Inflation and the skewness of the distribution of relative price changes: empirical evidence for Germany
    Autor*in: Döpke, Jörg; Pierdzioch, Christian
    Erschienen: 2001
    Verlag:  Inst. of World Economics, Kiel

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  2. Does public debt granger-cause inflation in Tanzania?
    a multivariate analysis
    Autor*in: Saungweme, Talknice; Odhiambo, Nicholas M.
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  University of South Africa, [Pretoria]

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    Schriftenreihe: UNISA economic research working paper series ; 2021, 22 (November 2021)
    Schlagworte: Public debt; inflation; ARDL; Granger-causality; Tanzania
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 26 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Public debt and inflation dynamics
    empirical evidence from Zimbabwe
    Autor*in: Saungweme, Talknice; Odhiambo, Nicholas M.
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  University of South Africa, [Pretoria]

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    Schriftenreihe: UNISA economic research working paper series ; 2021, 23 (November 2021)
    Schlagworte: ARDL; inflation; public debt; Zimbabwe
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 27 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Inflation and economic growth in Kenya
    an empirical examination
    Autor*in: Saungweme, Talknice; Odhiambo, Nicholas M.
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  University of South Africa, [Pretoria]

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    Schriftenreihe: UNISA economic research working paper series ; 2021, 24 (November 2021)
    Schlagworte: inflation; economic growth; ARDL; Granger-causality; Kenya
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 31 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. The effects of natural disasters on price stability in the euro area
    Autor*in: Beirne, John; Dafermos, Yannis; Kriwoluzky, Alexander; Renzhi, Nuobu; Volz, Ulrich; Wittich, Jana
    Erschienen: 2021
    Verlag:  DIW Berlin, Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Berlin

    This paper investigates the impact of natural disasters on price stability in the euro area. We estimate panel and country-specific structural vector autoregression (VAR) models by combining estimated damages of disaster events with monthly data for... mehr

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    This paper investigates the impact of natural disasters on price stability in the euro area. We estimate panel and country-specific structural vector autoregression (VAR) models by combining estimated damages of disaster events with monthly data for the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for all euro area countries over the period 1996-2021. Besides estimating the effect on overall headline inflation, we examine effects on its 12 main sub-indices and further sub-categories of food price inflation. This allows us to disentangle differences in the direction and strength of price effects across consumption categories. Our results suggest significant positive effects of natural disasters on overall headline inflation, with diverging results at the sub-index level. Positive inflation effects are particularly pronounced for prices of food and beverages, while negative effects prevail for other sub-indices. Our country-specific results suggest heterogenous inflation effects of natural disasters across different countries. A key implication of our findings is that climate change is likely to make it increasingly difficult for the European Central bank to achieve its inflation target.

     
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/248484
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 1981
    Schlagworte: Natural disasters; climate; inflation; monetary policy; European CentralBank
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Updating economic burden of foodborne diseases estimates for inflation and income growth
    Autor*in: Hoffmann, Sandra; Ahn, Jae-wan
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, Washington, DC

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    Schriftenreihe: Economic research report ; number 297 (November 2021)
    Schlagworte: foodborne illness; pathogen; inflation; cost of illness; economic burden
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 33 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. The interactions of monetary and fiscal policies on inflation dynamics
    a case of Ghana
    Autor*in: Leshoro, Temitope Lydia A.
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  University of South Africa, [Pretoria]

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    Schriftenreihe: UNISA economic research working paper series ; 2021, 17 (October 2021)
    Schlagworte: monetary policy; fiscal policy; inflation; vector error correction mechanism; impulse response function; variance decomposition; Ghana
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 22 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. The effect of fiscal drag on income distribution and work incentives
    a microsimulation analysis on selected African countries
    Autor*in: Shahir, Adnan Abdulaziz; Figari, Francesco
    Erschienen: November 2021
    Verlag:  United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research, Helsinki, Finland

    Although the effect of fiscal drag is well studied in the industrialized world, empirical evidence from developing economies remains limited. Against this backdrop, this study aims to explore the effect of fiscal drag on income distribution and work... mehr

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    Although the effect of fiscal drag is well studied in the industrialized world, empirical evidence from developing economies remains limited. Against this backdrop, this study aims to explore the effect of fiscal drag on income distribution and work incentives. To this end, the study employs SOUTHMOD, the tax-benefit microsimulation model, for six African countries: Ethiopia, South Africa, Tanzania, Uganda, Mozambique, and Zambia. Three important conclusions are drawn from our empirical investigation. First, in the absence of proper tax parameter adjustment, the distribution of fiscal drag is determined by the liability progression of personal income tax in the pre-inflation period. Second, the impact of fiscal drag on the redistributive effects and progressivity of personal income taxes is differentiated among countries. On the one hand, it reduces the progressivity of personal income tax in Ethiopia, South Africa, Tanzania, Uganda, and Zambia; on the other hand, it improves progressivity in Mozambique. However, it decreases the redistributive effect of personal income tax only in Ethiopia, Tanzania, and Uganda. Third, fiscal drag reduces financial work incentives to increase earnings in all countries. Therefore, a comprehensive and frequent inflationary adjustment of tax parameters to circumvent fiscal drag would be welcome.

     
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    ISBN: 9789292671075
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/248381
    Schriftenreihe: WIDER working paper ; 2021, 167
    Schlagworte: inflation; income tax; fiscal drag; redistributive effects; Africa; microsimulation
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 23 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. Real-time density nowcasts of US inflation
    a model-combination approach
    Autor*in: Knotek, Edward S.; Zaman, Saeed
    Erschienen: [2020]
    Verlag:  Department of Economics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow

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    Auflage/Ausgabe: This version: October 20, 2020
    Schriftenreihe: Strathclyde discussion papers in economics ; no 20, 15
    Schlagworte: mixed-frequency models; inflation; density nowcasts; density combinations
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 83 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. Carbon taxation and inflation
    evidence from the European and Canadian experience
    Autor*in: Konradt, Maximilian; Weder, Beatrice
    Erschienen: July 2021
    Verlag:  Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, International Economics Department, Geneva, Switzerland

    What is the effect of climate policies on inflation and economic activity? Answering this question is critical for central banks trying to achieve price stability. This paper studies the experience from existing carbon taxes in Canada and Europe,... mehr

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    What is the effect of climate policies on inflation and economic activity? Answering this question is critical for central banks trying to achieve price stability. This paper studies the experience from existing carbon taxes in Canada and Europe, introduced over the last 30 years. Based on two separate empirical approaches, we find that carbon taxes do not have to be inflationary and may even have deflationary effects. In particular, our evidence suggests that the increase in energy prices was more than offset by a fall in the prices of services and other non-tradables. Our results are robust for Europe and Canada, as well as a number of different country groupings. At least in case of British Columbia, a contraction in household incomes and expenditures, in particular among the richer households, could explain the deflationary effect.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper series / Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, International Economics Department ; no. HEIDWP2021, 17
    Schlagworte: Carbon taxes; carbon pricing; inflation; monetary policy; climate change
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. Financial shocks, uncertainty shocks, and monetary policy trade-offs
    Autor*in: Brianti, Marco
    Erschienen: August 2021
    Verlag:  University of Alberta, Faculty of Arts, Department of Economics, Edmonton

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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / University of Alberta, Faculty of Arts, Department of Economics ; no. 2021, 5
    Schlagworte: financial shocks; uncertainty shocks; SVAR; inflation; monetary policy
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 77 Seiten), Illustrationen
  12. Public debt and inflation nexus in Nigeria
    an ARDL bounds test approach
    Autor*in: Aimola, Akingbade U.; Odhiambo, Nicholas M.
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  University of South Africa, [Pretoria]

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    Schriftenreihe: UNISA economic research working paper series ; 2021, 14 (July 2021)
    Schlagworte: public debt; inflation; ARDL; Nigeria
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 31 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. Should Canada's capital gains taxes be increased or reformed?
    Autor*in: McMillan, Melville L.
    Erschienen: August 2021
    Verlag:  University of Alberta, Faculty of Arts, Department of Economics, Edmonton

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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / University of Alberta, Faculty of Arts, Department of Economics ; no. 2021, 6
    Schlagworte: Capital gains tax; inclusion rate; inflation; nominal versus real; indexing
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 22 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. Art in times of crisis
    Autor*in: David, Géraldine; Li, Yuexin; Oosterlinck, Kim; Renneboog, Luc
    Erschienen: 23 September 2021
    Verlag:  CentER, Center for Economic Research, Tilburg

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    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper / CentER, Center for Economic Research ; no. 2021, 026
    Schlagworte: art markets; art price; auction; monetary policy; systemic risk; political risk,wars; financial distress; inflation; cultural economics; economic history
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 73 Seiten), Illustrationen
  15. Nonlinear unemployment effects of the inflation tax
    Autor*in: Lahcen, Mohammed Ait; Baughman, Garth; Rabinovich, Stanislav; Buggenum, Hugo van
    Erschienen: June 2021
    Verlag:  University of Zurich, Department of Economics, Zurich

    We argue that long-run inflation has nonlinear and state-dependent effects on unemployment, output, and welfare. Using panel data from the OECD, we document three correlations. First, there is a positive long-run relationship between anticipated... mehr

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    We argue that long-run inflation has nonlinear and state-dependent effects on unemployment, output, and welfare. Using panel data from the OECD, we document three correlations. First, there is a positive long-run relationship between anticipated inflation and unemployment. Second, there is also a positive correlation between anticipated inflation and unemployment volatility. Third, the long-run inflation-unemployment relationship is not only positive, but also stronger when unemployment is higher. We show that these correlations arise in a standard monetary search model with two shocks - productivity and monetary - and frictions in labor and goods markets. Inflation lowers the surplus from a worker-firm match, in turn making it sensitive to productivity shocks or to further increases in inflation. We calibrate the model to match the US postwar labor market and monetary data and show that it is consistent with observed cross-country correlations. The model implies that the welfare cost of inflation is nonlinear in the level of inflation and is amplified by the presence of aggregate shocks.

     
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    hdl: 10419/243114
    Auflage/Ausgabe: This version: June 3, 2021
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper series / University of Zurich, Department of Economics ; no. 390
    Schlagworte: Money; search; inflation; unemployment; unemployment volatility; fundamental surplus; product-labor market interaction
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 47 Seiten), Illustrationen
  16. Central banks and inflation
    where do we stand and how did we get here?
    Autor*in: Whelan, Karl
    Erschienen: 15 September 2021
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP16557
    Schlagworte: inflation; central banks; Phillips curve; Milton Friedman
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 29 Seiten), Illustrationen
  17. Extreme weather and the macroeconomy
    Autor*in: Kim, Hee Soo; Matthes, Christian; Phan, Toan
    Erschienen: 2021
    Verlag:  The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, Richmond

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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper series / The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond ; WP 21, 14
    Schlagworte: extreme weather; STVAR; growth; inflation
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen
  18. The aftermath of debt surges
    Autor*in: Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Reinhart, Carmen M.; Rogoff, Kenneth S.
    Erschienen: September 2021
    Verlag:  Australian National University, Crawford School of Public Policy, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Canberra

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    Schriftenreihe: CAMA working paper ; 2021, 81 (September 2021)
    Schlagworte: Debt restructuring; growth; inflation; fiscal consolidation; financialrepression; wealthtaxes
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 33 Seiten), Illustrationen
  19. The aftermath of debt surges
    Autor*in: Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Reinhart, Carmen M.; Rogoff, Kenneth S.
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  Koç University - TÜSİAD Economic Research Forum, Sarıyer/Istanbul

    Debt in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) is at its highest level in half a century. In about nine out of 10 EMDEs, debt is higher now than it was in 2010 and, in half of the EMDEs, debt is more than 30 percentage points of gross... mehr

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    Debt in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) is at its highest level in half a century. In about nine out of 10 EMDEs, debt is higher now than it was in 2010 and, in half of the EMDEs, debt is more than 30 percentage points of gross domestic product higher. Historically, elevated debt levels increased the incidence of debt distress, particularly in EMDEs and particularly when financial market conditions turned less benign. This paper reviews an encompassing menu of options that have, in the past, helped lower debt burdens. Specifically, it examines orthodox options (enhancing growth, fiscal consolidation, privatization, and wealth taxation) and heterodox options (inflation, financial repression, debt default and restructuring). The mix of feasible options depends on country characteristics and the type of debt. However, none of these options comes without political, economic, and social costs. Some options may ultimately be ineffective unless vigorously implemented. Policy reversals in difficult times have been common. The challenges associated with debt reduction raise questions of global governance, including to what extent advanced economies can cast their net wider to cushion prospective shocks to EMDEs.

     
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    hdl: 10419/264960
    Schriftenreihe: Koç University - TÜSİAD Economic Research Forum working paper series ; no: 2119 (October 2021)
    Schlagworte: Debt restructuring; growth; inflation; fiscal consolidation; financial repression; wealth taxes
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 34 Seiten), Illustrationen
  20. A transatlantic divide?
    transitory inflation in Europe but persistent in the US
    Autor*in: Gros, Daniel; Shamsfakhr, Farzaneh
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  CEPS, Brussels

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    Schriftenreihe: CEPS policy insights ; no 2021, 16 (November 2021)
    Schlagworte: inflation
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 10 Seiten), Illustrationen
  21. Globalisation and the slope of the Phillips curve
    Autor*in: Kohlscheen, Emanuel; Moessner, Richhild
    Erschienen: October 2021
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    We study the effects of globalisation on the slope of the New Keynesian Phillips curve for CPI inflation, based on a broad panel of 35 countries and controlling for possibly non-linear exchange rate effects. We find that the output gap generally has... mehr

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    We study the effects of globalisation on the slope of the New Keynesian Phillips curve for CPI inflation, based on a broad panel of 35 countries and controlling for possibly non-linear exchange rate effects. We find that the output gap generally has a significant positive effect on inflation, but that this effect decreases as integration in the global economy increases. We conclude that the advance of globalisation has been a key force behind the flattening of price Phillips curves across the world.

     
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    hdl: 10419/248928
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working paper ; no. 9383 (2021)
    Schlagworte: inflation; globalisation; openness; output gap; Phillips curve
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  22. The aftermath of debt surges
    Autor*in: Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Reinhart, Carmen M.; Rogoff, Kenneth S.
    Erschienen: 11 September 2021
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP16537
    Schlagworte: debt restructuring; growth; inflation; fiscal consolidation; financial repression; WealthTaxes
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 37 Seiten), Illustrationen
  23. Globalisation and the decoupling of inflation from domestic labour costs
    Autor*in: Kohlscheen, Emanuel; Moessner, Richhild
    Erschienen: September 2021
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    We provide novel systematic cross-country evidence that the link between domestic labour markets and CPI inflation has weakened considerably in advanced economies during recent decades. The central estimate is that the short-run pass-through from... mehr

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    We provide novel systematic cross-country evidence that the link between domestic labour markets and CPI inflation has weakened considerably in advanced economies during recent decades. The central estimate is that the short-run pass-through from domestic labour cost changes to core CPI inflation decreased from 0.25 in the 1980s to just 0.02 in the 2010s, while the longrun pass-through fell from 0.36 to 0.03, with the estimates in the 2010s no longer significant. We show that the timing of the collapse in the pass-through coincides with a steep increase in import penetration from a group of major manufacturing EMEs around the turn of the millennium, which signals increased competition and market contestability.

     
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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Format: Online
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    hdl: 10419/245462
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working paper ; no. 9281 (2021)
    Schlagworte: competition; globalisation; import penetration; inflation; labour market; pass-through; wage
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 19 Seiten), Illustrationen
  24. Tendências e desigualdades da mobilidade urbana no Brasil I: o uso do transporte coletivo e individual
    Autor*in: Pereira, Rafael H. M.; Warwar, Lucas; Parga, João Pedro Figueira Amorim; Bazzo, João; Braga, Carlos Kauê Vieira; Herszenhut, Daniel; Saraiva, Marcus
    Erschienen: julho de 2021
    Verlag:  Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, Rio de Janeiro

    In this study we examine how the use of private and public transport has changed since the early 2000s in Brazilian cities. We analyzed data on the changing patterns of consumption of transportation goods and services by Brazilian families over the... mehr

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    In this study we examine how the use of private and public transport has changed since the early 2000s in Brazilian cities. We analyzed data on the changing patterns of consumption of transportation goods and services by Brazilian families over the last 20 years. We also analyzed how urban transportation costs, the demand for public transport, and the country's vehicle fl eet have evolved in that period. All the analyses conducted pointed to a gradual and persistent trend of households moving away from public transportation towards individual modes of transport, mainly among the middle and lower classes in medium and small cities. These changing patterns caused a continuous deterioration of mobility conditions in Brazilian cities, signifi cantly increasing the time people tend to spend in traffi c. Furthermore, we demonstrate how people are unequally affected by poor mobility conditions according to their socioeconomic status, gender, and color. Finally, we show how the economic and public health crisis generated by the Covid-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on urban mobility patterns, causing a sharp decline in the numbers of daily public transport passengers across the country. Those fi ndings indicate that the Covid-19 pandemic will likely deepen the vicious cycle of passenger loss and increasing public transport fares, thus accelerating the historical trend of modal shifts from public transportation to individual modes of transport in Brazilian cities. At the end of the study we point to a few urban and transport policies that could help mitigate this trend.

     
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    Sprache: Portugiesisch
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    hdl: 10419/243027
    Schriftenreihe: Texto para discussão / Ipea ; 2673
    Schlagworte: urban mobility; public transport; motorization; demand; consumption behavior; inflation; commute time; Covid-19
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 53 Seiten), Illustrationen
  25. Nonlinear unemployment effects of the inflation tax
    Autor*in: Lahcen, Mohammed Ait; Baughman, Garth; Rabinovich, Stanislav; Buggenum, Hugo van
    Erschienen: June 25, 2021
    Verlag:  Divisions of Research & Statistics and Monetary Affairs, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D.C.

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Auflage/Ausgabe: This version: June 25, 2021
    Schriftenreihe: Finance and economics discussion series ; 2021, 040
    Schlagworte: money; search; inflation; unemployment; unemployment volatility; fundamen-tal surplus; product-labor market interaction
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 48 Seiten), Illustrationen