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  1. A Behavioral Theory of Elections.
    Autor*in: Bendor, Jonathan
    Erschienen: 2011; ©2011.
    Verlag:  Princeton University Press, Princeton

    Most theories of elections assume that voters and political actors are fully rational. While these formulations produce many insights, they also generate anomalies--most famously, about turnout. The rise of behavioral economics has posed new... mehr

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    Standort:
    Max-Planck-Institut für Bildungsforschung, Bibliothek und wissenschaftliche Information
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    Most theories of elections assume that voters and political actors are fully rational. While these formulations produce many insights, they also generate anomalies--most famously, about turnout. The rise of behavioral economics has posed new challenges to the premise of rationality. This groundbreaking book provides a behavioral theory of elections based on the notion that all actors--politicians as well as voters--are only boundedly rational. The theory posits learning via trial and error: actions that surpass an actor's aspiration level are more likely to be used in the future, while those that fall short are less likely to be tried later. Based on this idea of adaptation, the authors construct formal models of party competition, turnout, and voters' choices of candidates. These models predict substantial turnout levels, voters sorting into parties, and winning parties adopting centrist platforms. In multiparty elections, voters are able to coordinate vote choices on majority-preferred candidates, while all candidates garner significant vote shares. Overall, the behavioral theory and its models produce macroimplications consistent with the data on elections, and they use plausible microassumptions about the cognitive capacities of politicians and voters. A computational model accompanies the book and can be used as a tool for further research. COVER -- CONTENTS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- CHAPTER ONE: BOUNDED RATIONALITY AND ELECTIONS -- 1.1 FRAMING AND REPRESENTATIONS -- 1.2 HEURISTICS -- 1.3 ASPIRATION-BASED ADAPTATION AND BOUNDED RATIONALITY -- 1.4 PLAN OF THIS BOOK -- CHAPTER TWO: ASPIRATION-BASED ADAPTIVE RULES -- 2.1 ABARS DEFINED -- 2.2 SOME IMPORTANT PROPERTIES OF ABARs -- 2.3 THE EVIDENTIAL STATUS OF ASPIRATION-BASED ADAPTATION -- CHAPTER THREE: PARTY COMPETITION -- 3.1 RELATED WORK -- 3.2 THE MODEL AND ITS IMPLICATIONS -- 3.3 INFORMED AND/OR SOPHISTICATED CHALLENGERS -- 3.4 ROBUSTNESS ISSUES -- 3.5 CONCLUSIONS -- CHAPTER FOUR: TURNOUT -- 4.1 THE MODEL -- 4.2 MAIN RESULTS -- 4.3 VARIATIONS IN PARTICIPATION -- 4.4 CONCLUSIONS -- CHAPTER FIVE: VOTER CHOICE -- 5.1 THE MODEL -- 5.2 THE ENDOGENOUS EMERGENCE OF PARTY AFFILIATION -- 5.3 MISPERCEPTIONS -- 5.4 RETROSPECTION AND PROSPECTION COMBINED -- 5.5 VOTER SOPHISTICATION AND ELECTORAL OUTCOMES -- 5.6 INSTITUTIONS AND UNSOPHISTICATED RETROSPECTIVE VOTERS -- 5.7 CONCLUSIONS -- CHAPTER SIX: AN INTEGRATED MODEL OF TWO-PARTY ELECTIONS -- 6.1 FULL COMPUTATIONAL MODEL FOR TWO PARTIES -- 6.2 SOME RESULTS OF THE BASIC INTEGRATED MODEL -- 6.3 THE CHOICES OF VOTERS -- 6.4 PARTY LOCATION -- 6.5 TURNOUT -- 6.6 NEW QUESTIONS -- 6.7 CONCLUSION -- CHAPTER SEVEN: ELECTIONS WITH MULTIPLE PARTIES -- 7.1 EXTENDING OUR RESULTS TO MULTIPLE PARTIES -- 7.2 MULTICANDIDATE COMPETITION AND DUVERGER'S LAW -- 7.3 THE MODEL AND SIMULATION RESULTS -- 7.4 AN INTUITION -- 7.5 ABARs AND DYNAMIC STABILITY -- 7.6 MODEL MEETS DATA -- CHAPTER EIGHT: CONCLUSIONS BOUNDED RATIONALITY AND ELECTIONS -- 8.1 TESTING THE THEORY -- 8.2 NORMATIVE CONSIDERATIONS: VOTER ERROR AND SYSTEMIC PERFORMANCE -- 8.3 EXTENSIONS -- APPENDIX A: PROOFS -- APPENDIX B: THE COMPUTATIONAL MODEL -- B.1 OVERVIEW -- B.2 GRAPHICAL MODEL -- B.3 BATCH MODEL -- BIBLIOGRAPHY -- INDEX.

     
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    Beteiligt: Diermeier, Daniel (MitwirkendeR); Siegel, David A (MitwirkendeR); Ting, Michael M. M (MitwirkendeR); Ting, Michael M (MitwirkendeR); Siegel, David A. A (MitwirkendeR)
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781400836802
    RVK Klassifikation: MF 4100
    Schlagworte: Voting; Behaviorism (Political science); Elections; Voting -- Psychological aspects; Behaviorism (Political science); Elections; Voting ; Psychological aspects; Electronic books
    Umfang: 1 online resource (212 pages)
    Bemerkung(en):

    Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources

    COVER; CONTENTS; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; CHAPTER ONE: BOUNDED RATIONALITY AND ELECTIONS; CHAPTER TWO: ASPIRATION-BASED ADAPTIVE RULES; CHAPTER THREE: PARTY COMPETITION; CHAPTER FOUR: TURNOUT; CHAPTER FIVE: VOTER CHOICE; CHAPTER SIX: AN INTEGRATED MODEL OF TWO-PARTY ELECTIONS; CHAPTER SEVEN: ELECTIONS WITH MULTIPLE PARTIES; CHAPTER EIGHT: CONCLUSIONS BOUNDED RATIONALITY AND ELECTIONS; APPENDIX A: PROOFS; APPENDIX B: THE COMPUTATIONAL MODEL; BIBLIOGRAPHY; INDEX
  2. A behavioral theory of elections
    Erschienen: 2011
    Verlag:  Princeton Univ. Press, Princeton, NY [u.a.]

    Standort:
    Universität Potsdam, Universitätsbibliothek
    Fernleihe:
    uneingeschränkte Fernleihe, Kopie und Ausleihe
    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
      BibTeX-Format
    Hinweise zum Inhalt
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Druck
    ISBN: 9780691135076; 9780691135069
    Weitere Identifier:
    9780691135076
    RVK Klassifikation: MF 4000 ; MF 4100
    Schriftenreihe: Political science
    Schlagworte: Elections; Voting; Behaviorism (Political science)
    Umfang: IX, 254 S., graph. Darst.
    Bemerkung(en):

    Literaturverz. S. [233] - 247

    Bounded rationality and elections -- Aspiration-based adaptive rules -- Party competition -- Turnout -- Voter choice -- An integrated model of two-party elections -- Elections with multiple parties -- Conclusions: bounded rationality and elections -- The computational model.
  3. A Behavioral Theory of Elections.
    Autor*in: Bendor, Jonathan
    Erschienen: 2011; ©2011.
    Verlag:  Princeton University Press, Princeton

    Most theories of elections assume that voters and political actors are fully rational. While these formulations produce many insights, they also generate anomalies--most famously, about turnout. The rise of behavioral economics has posed new... mehr

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    Aggregator (lizenzpflichtig)

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    Most theories of elections assume that voters and political actors are fully rational. While these formulations produce many insights, they also generate anomalies--most famously, about turnout. The rise of behavioral economics has posed new challenges to the premise of rationality. This groundbreaking book provides a behavioral theory of elections based on the notion that all actors--politicians as well as voters--are only boundedly rational. The theory posits learning via trial and error: actions that surpass an actor's aspiration level are more likely to be used in the future, while those that fall short are less likely to be tried later. Based on this idea of adaptation, the authors construct formal models of party competition, turnout, and voters' choices of candidates. These models predict substantial turnout levels, voters sorting into parties, and winning parties adopting centrist platforms. In multiparty elections, voters are able to coordinate vote choices on majority-preferred candidates, while all candidates garner significant vote shares. Overall, the behavioral theory and its models produce macroimplications consistent with the data on elections, and they use plausible microassumptions about the cognitive capacities of politicians and voters. A computational model accompanies the book and can be used as a tool for further research. COVER -- CONTENTS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- CHAPTER ONE: BOUNDED RATIONALITY AND ELECTIONS -- 1.1 FRAMING AND REPRESENTATIONS -- 1.2 HEURISTICS -- 1.3 ASPIRATION-BASED ADAPTATION AND BOUNDED RATIONALITY -- 1.4 PLAN OF THIS BOOK -- CHAPTER TWO: ASPIRATION-BASED ADAPTIVE RULES -- 2.1 ABARS DEFINED -- 2.2 SOME IMPORTANT PROPERTIES OF ABARs -- 2.3 THE EVIDENTIAL STATUS OF ASPIRATION-BASED ADAPTATION -- CHAPTER THREE: PARTY COMPETITION -- 3.1 RELATED WORK -- 3.2 THE MODEL AND ITS IMPLICATIONS -- 3.3 INFORMED AND/OR SOPHISTICATED CHALLENGERS -- 3.4 ROBUSTNESS ISSUES -- 3.5 CONCLUSIONS -- CHAPTER FOUR: TURNOUT -- 4.1 THE MODEL -- 4.2 MAIN RESULTS -- 4.3 VARIATIONS IN PARTICIPATION -- 4.4 CONCLUSIONS -- CHAPTER FIVE: VOTER CHOICE -- 5.1 THE MODEL -- 5.2 THE ENDOGENOUS EMERGENCE OF PARTY AFFILIATION -- 5.3 MISPERCEPTIONS -- 5.4 RETROSPECTION AND PROSPECTION COMBINED -- 5.5 VOTER SOPHISTICATION AND ELECTORAL OUTCOMES -- 5.6 INSTITUTIONS AND UNSOPHISTICATED RETROSPECTIVE VOTERS -- 5.7 CONCLUSIONS -- CHAPTER SIX: AN INTEGRATED MODEL OF TWO-PARTY ELECTIONS -- 6.1 FULL COMPUTATIONAL MODEL FOR TWO PARTIES -- 6.2 SOME RESULTS OF THE BASIC INTEGRATED MODEL -- 6.3 THE CHOICES OF VOTERS -- 6.4 PARTY LOCATION -- 6.5 TURNOUT -- 6.6 NEW QUESTIONS -- 6.7 CONCLUSION -- CHAPTER SEVEN: ELECTIONS WITH MULTIPLE PARTIES -- 7.1 EXTENDING OUR RESULTS TO MULTIPLE PARTIES -- 7.2 MULTICANDIDATE COMPETITION AND DUVERGER'S LAW -- 7.3 THE MODEL AND SIMULATION RESULTS -- 7.4 AN INTUITION -- 7.5 ABARs AND DYNAMIC STABILITY -- 7.6 MODEL MEETS DATA -- CHAPTER EIGHT: CONCLUSIONS BOUNDED RATIONALITY AND ELECTIONS -- 8.1 TESTING THE THEORY -- 8.2 NORMATIVE CONSIDERATIONS: VOTER ERROR AND SYSTEMIC PERFORMANCE -- 8.3 EXTENSIONS -- APPENDIX A: PROOFS -- APPENDIX B: THE COMPUTATIONAL MODEL -- B.1 OVERVIEW -- B.2 GRAPHICAL MODEL -- B.3 BATCH MODEL -- BIBLIOGRAPHY -- INDEX.

     
    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
      BibTeX-Format
    Hinweise zum Inhalt
    Volltext (lizenzpflichtig)
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Beteiligt: Diermeier, Daniel (MitwirkendeR); Siegel, David A (MitwirkendeR); Ting, Michael M. M (MitwirkendeR); Ting, Michael M (MitwirkendeR); Siegel, David A. A (MitwirkendeR)
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781400836802
    RVK Klassifikation: MF 4100
    Schlagworte: Voting; Behaviorism (Political science); Elections; Voting -- Psychological aspects; Behaviorism (Political science); Elections; Voting ; Psychological aspects; Electronic books
    Umfang: 1 online resource (212 pages)
    Bemerkung(en):

    Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources

    COVER; CONTENTS; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; CHAPTER ONE: BOUNDED RATIONALITY AND ELECTIONS; CHAPTER TWO: ASPIRATION-BASED ADAPTIVE RULES; CHAPTER THREE: PARTY COMPETITION; CHAPTER FOUR: TURNOUT; CHAPTER FIVE: VOTER CHOICE; CHAPTER SIX: AN INTEGRATED MODEL OF TWO-PARTY ELECTIONS; CHAPTER SEVEN: ELECTIONS WITH MULTIPLE PARTIES; CHAPTER EIGHT: CONCLUSIONS BOUNDED RATIONALITY AND ELECTIONS; APPENDIX A: PROOFS; APPENDIX B: THE COMPUTATIONAL MODEL; BIBLIOGRAPHY; INDEX
  4. A behavioral theory of elections
    Erschienen: 2011
    Verlag:  Princeton Univ. Press, Princeton, NY [u.a.]

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    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
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    Hinweise zum Inhalt
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Druck
    ISBN: 9780691135076; 9780691135069
    Weitere Identifier:
    9780691135076
    RVK Klassifikation: MF 4000 ; MF 4100
    Schriftenreihe: Political science
    Schlagworte: Elections; Voting; Behaviorism (Political science)
    Umfang: IX, 254 S., graph. Darst.
    Bemerkung(en):

    Literaturverz. S. [233] - 247

    Bounded rationality and elections -- Aspiration-based adaptive rules -- Party competition -- Turnout -- Voter choice -- An integrated model of two-party elections -- Elections with multiple parties -- Conclusions: bounded rationality and elections -- The computational model.