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  1. Fatal errors
    the mortality value of accurate weather forecasts
    Erschienen: [2023]
    Verlag:  U.S. Census Bureau, Center for Economic Studies, Washington, DC

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VS 539
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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: Working papers / Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau ; 23, 30 (June 2023)
    Schlagworte: Wetter; Prognose; Prognoseverfahren; Meteorologie; Sterblichkeit; Klimawandel; Offenbarte Präferenzen; USA
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 75 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Fatal Errors
    The Mortality Value of Accurate Weather Forecasts
    Erschienen: June 2023
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    We provide the first revealed preference estimates of the benefits of routine weather forecasts. The benefits come from how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce... mehr

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    Sächsische Landesbibliothek - Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Dresden
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    Universitätsbibliothek Freiburg
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    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
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    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
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    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    We provide the first revealed preference estimates of the benefits of routine weather forecasts. The benefits come from how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of mortality events and weather forecasts for a twelve-year period in the U.S. Results show that erroneously mild forecasts increase mortality whereas erroneously extreme forecasts do not reduce mortality. Making forecasts 50% more accurate would save 2,200 lives per year. The public would be willing to pay $112 billion to make forecasts 50% more accurate over the remainder of the century, of which $22 billion reflects how forecasts facilitate adaptation to climate change

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w31361
    Schlagworte: Wetter; Prognose; Prognoseverfahren; Meteorologie; Sterblichkeit; Klimawandel; Offenbarte Präferenzen; USA; Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness; Health Behavior; Valuation of Environmental Effects
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource, illustrations (black and white)
    Bemerkung(en):

    Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers

  3. Fatal errors
    the mortality value of accurate weather forecasts
    Erschienen: June 2023
    Verlag:  Department of Economics, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

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    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: Economics working papers / Eller College of Management ; 23, 02
    Schlagworte: Meteorologie; Prognoseverfahren; Statistischer Fehler; Risiko; Sterblichkeit; USA; weather forecast; Wettervorhersage; Wetterbericht
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 41, 33 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Fatal errors
    the mortality value of accurate weather forecasts
    Erschienen: June 2023
    Verlag:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    We provide the first revealed preference estimates of the benefits of routine weather forecasts. The benefits come from how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce mortality... mehr

    Zugang:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 4
    keine Fernleihe

     

    We provide the first revealed preference estimates of the benefits of routine weather forecasts. The benefits come from how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of mortality events and weather forecasts for a twelve-year period in the U.S. Results show that erroneously mild forecasts increase mortality whereas erroneously extreme forecasts do not reduce mortality. Making forecasts 50% more accurate would save 2,200 lives per year. The public would be willing to pay $112 billion to make forecasts 50% more accurate over the remainder of the century, of which $22 billion reflects how forecasts facilitate adaptation to climate change.

     

    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/278951
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 16253
    Schlagworte: Wetter; Prognose; Prognoseverfahren; Meteorologie; Sterblichkeit; Klimawandel; Offenbarte Präferenzen; USA; Wetter; Prognose; Prognoseverfahren; Meteorologie; Sterblichkeit; Klimawandel; Offenbarte Präferenzen; USA; weather forecasts; information provision; mortality; climate change
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 76 Seiten), Illustrationen