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  1. When is high turnover cheaper?
    a simple model of cost tradeoffs in a long‐ distance truckload motor carrier, with empirical evidence and policy implications
    Erschienen: September 2023
    Verlag:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    The U.S. trucking industry has been calling out a shortage of truck drivers for nearly forty years, since soon after its economic deregulation in 1980. Burks and Monaco (2019) provided evidence that the overall truck driver labor market works about... mehr

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    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 4
    keine Fernleihe

     

    The U.S. trucking industry has been calling out a shortage of truck drivers for nearly forty years, since soon after its economic deregulation in 1980. Burks and Monaco (2019) provided evidence that the overall truck driver labor market works about as well as any blue collar labor market, and suggested persistently high driver turnover uniquely at long‐distance truckload firms (central to long distance freight but employing only 20% of tractor‐trailer truckers) drives the shortage perception. The American Trucking Associations (ATA) agreed with the location of the problem, but argued that a driver shortage and high turnover are distinct, and that a long‐term shortage does exist. We review the evidence for a shortage and find it unconvincing. We also review empirical evidence that long‐distance truckload has had persistently high‐turnover since the mid‐1980s. To explain this, we provide a simple model of long‐distance truckload cost minimization in which there is a tradeoff between the costs of turnover and two other costs, higher pay to offset bad working conditions (compensating differentials), and running trucks out‐of‐ route to get drivers home regularly (inefficient capital use). We show that high turnover is likely structural because it is part of the least‐cost mixture. We then use our model to analyze the potential impacts of two technological changes (truck simulators and partially automated trucks), and a key policy championed by the ATA to "fix the shortage," interstate teenaged truckers. We show that these are likely to have results opposite to those the industry and policy makers expect.

     

    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
      BibTeX-Format
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/282604
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 16477
    Schlagworte: long‐distance motor carrier; driver turnover; driver shortage; truckload; less‐than-truckload; costs; teenaged truck drivers; partially automated trucks; truck transportation
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 58 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. State-level trucking employment and the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S
    understanding heterogenous declines and rebounds
    Erschienen: June 2023
    Verlag:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    Some of the U.S. states saw sharper declines in truck transportation payrolls at the onset of the COVID-19 shutdown, and others displayed differing trajectories in the rebound of truck transportation payrolls during the economic recovery. Analyzing... mehr

    Zugang:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 4
    keine Fernleihe

     

    Some of the U.S. states saw sharper declines in truck transportation payrolls at the onset of the COVID-19 shutdown, and others displayed differing trajectories in the rebound of truck transportation payrolls during the economic recovery. Analyzing why provides theoretical and practical insights regarding labor dynamics in the trucking sector. In this vein we extend factor market rivalry theory regarding labor dynamics in the trucking sector: we suggest that trucking firms have compound relations with demand generating sectors in that they may compete for the same workers. Sectors differ in how output changes affect both their demand for trucking freight and the extent of their labor poaching; this creates differing net effects on trucking employment. We create a state-level archival data set of truck transportation establishment payrolls from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, which we combine with other archival sources. We test our hypotheses via discontinuous growth curve models estimated using the mixed effects modeling framework. Effects vary by time period and industry, but manufacturing and natural resource extraction stand out in perhaps surprising ways, and changes in demand for local freight movements are especially important. Our results align with our theory and have important implications for managers and policy makers.

     

    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
      BibTeX-Format
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/278963
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 16265
    Schlagworte: truck transportation; motor carrier; COVID-19; pandemic shutdown; pandemic recovery; trucking employment
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 59 Seiten), Illustrationen