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  1. The impact of extreme weather on temporary work absence
    Erschienen: 2021
    Verlag:  International Labour Organization, Geneva, Switzerland

    The study examines the impact that extreme weather has on temporary work absence in Jamaica, a central concern given the country’s negative experience with such events. The study uses quarterly data containing key labour market indicators on an... mehr

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    The study examines the impact that extreme weather has on temporary work absence in Jamaica, a central concern given the country’s negative experience with such events. The study uses quarterly data containing key labour market indicators on an unbalanced panel of individuals along with climatic data for the period 2004 to 2014. The findings are several. Firstly, neither excess rainfall nor hurricane affects the odds of being temporarily absent from work. However, including interactions between these weather variables and other key labour market indicators show that only excess rainfall increases the odds of being temporarily absent from work. Secondly, the estimated increase due to excess rainfall translates into a probability of 0.002 per cent of being temporarily absent. Although very marginal, this estimated outcome of excess rainfall is plausible given that workers may be unable to navigate flooded roads to attend work or perhaps are confined due to unforeseen conditions arising in their home environment. Thirdly, using compensation of salaried employees which includes salaries and benefits, we calculated that the average estimated cost of temporary daily absence from work to the labour market is approximately US$2.81. The estimated results and losses, though negligible, can possibly have implications for the labour market which may involve developing e-commuting policies to combat these unfavourable outcomes. The absence of an impact as it relates to hurricanes possibly indicates that existing mechanisms are working to mitigate storm impacts, or the closure of workplaces due to disruptions in the economy from storm occurrences, results in no work.

     

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    ISBN: 9789220343449; 9789220343456; 9789220343463
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/263096
    Schriftenreihe: ILO working paper / International Labour Organization ; 30 (May/2021)
    Schlagworte: labour force participation; unemployment; leave of absence; labour legislation; natural disasters; statistics
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (25 Seiten)
    Bemerkung(en):

    Gesehen am 29.11.2021

  2. Hurricanes and their implications for unemployment
    evidence from the Caribbean
    Erschienen: 2021
    Verlag:  International Labour Organization, Geneva, Switzerland

    Although extreme climate events pose significant challenges to labour markets, there is a paucity of empirical literature studying their impacts. The aim of the study is to investigate the impact of hurricane strikes on unemployment across a sample... mehr

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    Although extreme climate events pose significant challenges to labour markets, there is a paucity of empirical literature studying their impacts. The aim of the study is to investigate the impact of hurricane strikes on unemployment across a sample of Caribbean countries. In breaking down the unemployment data, our findings demonstrate that there is very little difference in the impact for adult males and females as well as male youth, however female youth may be slightly more disadvantaged. Finally, labour legislation appears to provide some mitigating impact from hurricane strikes Although extreme climate events pose significant challenges to labour markets, there is a paucity of empirical literature studying their impacts. The aim of the study is to investigate the impact of hurricane strikes on unemployment across a sample of Caribbean countries. To do so we constructed a country- and time-varying database of unemployment, hurricane damages, and labour legislation. We then applied a time series cross section model to estimate the contemporaneous and lagged impacts of hurricane destruction. The role of country differences in labour legislation in dampening or exacerbating these effects, was also investigated. Our results suggest that hurricanes in the Caribbean have a downward impact on unemployment, with lagged impacts of up to four years after a disaster strikes. Part of the reason for this fall was a decline in labour force participation rate, however, there was no evidence that greater employment or migration played a role. In breaking down the unemployment data, our findings demonstrate that there is very little difference in the impact for adult males and females as well as male youth, however female youth may be slightly more disadvantaged. Finally, labour legislation appears to provide some mitigating impact from hurricane strikes.

     

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    ISBN: 9789220335864; 9789220335871; 9789220335888
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/263092
    Schriftenreihe: ILO working paper / International Labour Organization ; 26 (March/2021)
    Schlagworte: labour force participation; unemployment; labour legislation; natural disasters; statistics
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (36 Seiten), Illustrationen
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    Gesehen am 30.11.2021

  3. Externalities of extreme natural disasters on local tax capacity
    Erschienen: 2021
    Verlag:  Banco de la República Colombia, Centro de Estudios Económicos Regionales (CEER), Cartagena

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    Schriftenreihe: Documentos de trabajo sobre economía regional y urbana ; no. 299 (julio, 2021)
    Schlagworte: tax revenue; natural disasters; gravity; externalities
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 23 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. The impact of preemptive investment on natural disasters
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  Banco de la República Colombia, Centro de Estudios Económicos Regionales (CEER), Cartagena

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    Schriftenreihe: Documentos de trabajo sobre economía regional y urbana ; no. 301 (September, 2021)
    Schlagworte: landslides; preemptive investment; disaster risk reduction; natural disasters
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Enhancing resilience to climate change in the Maldives
    Erschienen: April 2021
    Verlag:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    The increased likelihood of adverse climate-change-related shocks calls for building resilient infrastructure in the Maldives. Fulfilling these infrastructure needs requires a comprehensive analysis of investment plans, including with respect to... mehr

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    The increased likelihood of adverse climate-change-related shocks calls for building resilient infrastructure in the Maldives. Fulfilling these infrastructure needs requires a comprehensive analysis of investment plans, including with respect to their degree of climate resilience, their impact on future economic prospects, and their funding costs and sources. This paper analyzes these challenges, through calibrating a general equilibrium model. The main finding is that there is a significant dividend associated with building resilient infrastructure. Under worsened climate conditions, the cumulative output gain from investing in more resilient technologies increases up to a factor of two. However, given the Maldives' limited fiscal space, particularly after COVID-19, the international community should also step up cooperation efforts. We also show that it is financially convenient for donors to help build resilience prior to the occurrence of a natural disasters rather than helping finance the reconstruction ex-post

     

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    Quelle: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
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    ISBN: 9781513582443
    Weitere Identifier:
    Schriftenreihe: IMF working paper ; WP/21, 96
    Schlagworte: Climate change; natural disasters; public investment; adaptation infrastructure; Maldives; Capital; Foreign Exchange; Informal Economy; Investment; Underground Econom
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 22 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Assessing the supply chain effect of natural disasters
    evidence from Chinese manufacturers
    Erschienen: 27 July 2021
    Verlag:  World Trade Organization, Economic Research and Statistics Division, [Geneva]

    This paper uses Chinese firm level data to detect the international propagation of adverse shocks triggered by the US hurricane season in 2005. We provide evidence that Chinese processing manufacturers with tight trade linkages to the United States... mehr

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    This paper uses Chinese firm level data to detect the international propagation of adverse shocks triggered by the US hurricane season in 2005. We provide evidence that Chinese processing manufacturers with tight trade linkages to the United States reduced their intermediate imports from the United States between July and October 2005. We further show that the direct exposure to US supply shocks led to a temporary decline of firm exports between September and November 2005, although we do not find consistent evidence of international propagation of supply shocks along global value chains. Moreover, the paper finds that firms with more diversified suppliers tend to be less affected by the US hurricane disaster, pointing to firm sourcing diversification as a way to increase resilience to adverse shocks.

     

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    hdl: 10419/241285
    Auflage/Ausgabe: Manuscript date: 12 July 2021
    Schriftenreihe: Staff working paper ; ERSD-2021, 13
    Schlagworte: production networks; resilience; diversification; shock transmission; supply chains; natural disasters
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 58 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Rare disasters, the natural interest rate and monetary policy
    Erschienen: [2020]
    Verlag:  Banca d'Italia Eurosistema, [Rom]

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    Schriftenreihe: Temi di discussione / Banca d'Italia ; number 1309 (December 2020)
    Schlagworte: natural disasters; natural interest rate; climate change; DSGE; monetary policy
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 55 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Cash grants to manufacturers after Cyclone Idai
    RCT evidence from Mozambique
    Erschienen: May 2021
    Verlag:  United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research, Helsinki, Finland

    In March 2019, Cyclone Idai hit central Mozambique and caused widespread damage, including businesses in the enterprise sector. We use panel data and a randomized controlled trial to estimate the impact of unconditional cash grants on micro... mehr

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    In March 2019, Cyclone Idai hit central Mozambique and caused widespread damage, including businesses in the enterprise sector. We use panel data and a randomized controlled trial to estimate the impact of unconditional cash grants on micro enterprises and their recovery. We find that, on average, the cash grants had a positive effect on firm revenue, profits and savings, and the likelihood of having their roof repaired. The cash had a stronger impact in the more damaged city (Beira) compared to the less affected location (Chimoio) and was particularly effective for carpenters. These findings indicate that access to finance is critically important for firm recovery following disasters.

     

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    ISBN: 9789292670276
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/243413
    Schriftenreihe: WIDER working paper ; 2021, 87
    Schlagworte: firms; manufacturing; natural disasters; cyclone; unconditional cash grants; randomized controlled trial
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 21 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. Cultural resilience, religion, and economic recovery
    evidence from the 2005 hurricane season
    Erschienen: [27. Juni 2021]
    Verlag:  Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) - Member of the Leibniz Association, Halle (Saale), Germany

    This paper investigates the critical role of religion in the economic recovery after high-impact natural disasters. Exploiting the 2005 hurricane season in the southeast United States, we document that establishments in counties with higher religious... mehr

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    This paper investigates the critical role of religion in the economic recovery after high-impact natural disasters. Exploiting the 2005 hurricane season in the southeast United States, we document that establishments in counties with higher religious adherence rates saw a significantly stronger recovery in terms of productivity for 2005-2010. Our results further suggest that a particular religious denomination does not drive the effect. We observe that different aspects of religion, such as adherence, shared experiences from ancestors, and institutionalised features, all drive the effect on recovery. Our results matter since they underline the importance of cultural characteristics like religion during and after economic crises.

     

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    hdl: 10419/235504
    Auflage/Ausgabe: This is a completely revised version
    Schriftenreihe: IWH discussion papers ; 2021, no. 9 (June 2021)
    Schlagworte: establishment-level productivity; natural disasters; recovery; religion
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (III, 67 Seiten), Diagramme
  10. Safety nets, health crises and natural disasters
    lessons from Sierra Leone
    Erschienen: [2019]
    Verlag:  World Bank Group, Washington, DC, USA

    This case study suggests how shock-responsive social protection systems can be the basis of a government-led response to a health crisis and a rapid-onset disaster. It also points to how linking pre-arranged finance to safety nets can help with quick... mehr

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    This case study suggests how shock-responsive social protection systems can be the basis of a government-led response to a health crisis and a rapid-onset disaster. It also points to how linking pre-arranged finance to safety nets can help with quick delivery of cash to vulnerable populations post-disasters. This experience complements existing evidence and experience in other parts of Africa, where social protection systems have been used for responding to drought, a slow-onset natural disaster. It also informed the ongoing response to the COVID-19 pandemic in Sierra Leone, which will provide further lessons for shock-responsive social protection globally

     

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    Quelle: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10986/34952
    Schriftenreihe: Social protection & jobs discussion paper ; no. 2010 (December 2020)
    Social Protection and Jobs Discussion Paper ; No. 2010
    Schlagworte: Emergency cash transfers; natural disasters; Ebola virus Disease; extremely poor households; shock-responsive social protection; adaptive social protection; health crisis; CASH TRANSFERS; NATURAL DISASTER; POST-DISASTER INTERVENTION; RESPONSE PLANNING; SAFETY NETS; SOCIAL PROTECTION; TARGETING BENEFITS; VULNERABILITY
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 72 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. Geospatial analyses of natural disasters
    economic impacts, societal responses, and political bias
    Autor*in: Kunze, Sven
    Erschienen: 2021

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    Beteiligt: Dreher, Axel (AkademischeR BetreuerIn); Strobl, Eric (AkademischeR BetreuerIn)
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Dissertation
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    Schlagworte: Naturkatastrophe; Klimakatastrophe; Katastrophenhilfe; Entwicklungszusammenarbeit; Raumdaten; Wirtschaftswachstum; natural disasters; tropical cyclones; favoritism; climate change impacts; disaster aid; geospatial analysis; development aid; sectoral GDP growth; storm surge; US politics; Nepal
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (340 Seiten), Illustrationen, Diagramme, Karten
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    Dissertation, Universität Heidelberg, 2021

  12. Natural disasters, climate change, and sovereign risk
    Erschienen: 2020
    Verlag:  Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, [Washington, DC]

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    Schriftenreihe: International finance discussion papers ; number 1291 (July 2020)
    Schlagworte: Sovereign risk; climate change; natural disasters
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 25 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. Disastrous discretion
    ambiguous decision situations foster political favoritism
    Erschienen: 2021-02
    Verlag:  KOF, Zurich, Switzerland

    Allocation decisions are vulnerable to political influence, but it is unclear in which situations politicians use their discretionary power in a partisan manner. We analyze the allocation of presidential disaster declarations in the United States,... mehr

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    Allocation decisions are vulnerable to political influence, but it is unclear in which situations politicians use their discretionary power in a partisan manner. We analyze the allocation of presidential disaster declarations in the United States, exploiting the spatiotemporal randomness of all hurricane strikes from 1965-2018. We show that biased declaration behavior is not politically affordable if a disaster is either very strong or weak, when relief provision is clearly necessary or not. However, in ambiguous situations, after medium-intensity hurricanes, presidents favor areas governed by their co-partisans. Our nonlinear estimations demonstrate that this hump-shaped alignment bias exceeds average estimates up to eightfold.

     

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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 20.500.11850/468932
    hdl: 10419/235105
    Schriftenreihe: KOF working papers ; no. 491 (February 2021)
    Schlagworte: disaster relief; distributive politics; hurricanes; natural disasters; nonlinearity; party alignment; political influence; political economy
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 94 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. Resilience to disaster: evidence from daily wellbeing data
    Erschienen: March 2021
    Verlag:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    As the severity and frequency of natural disasters become more pronounced with climate change and the increased habitation of at-risk areas, it is important to understand people's resilience to them. We quantify resilience by estimating how natural... mehr

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    As the severity and frequency of natural disasters become more pronounced with climate change and the increased habitation of at-risk areas, it is important to understand people's resilience to them. We quantify resilience by estimating how natural disasters in the US impacted individual wellbeing in a sample of 2.2 million observations, and whether the effect sizes differed by individual- and county-level factors. The event-study design contrasts changes in wellbeing in counties affected by disasters with that of residents in unaffected counties of the same state. We find that people's hedonic wellbeing is reduced by approximately 6% of a standard deviation in the first two weeks following the event, with the effect diminishing rapidly thereafter. The negative effects are driven by White, older, and economically advantaged sub-populations, who exhibit less resilience. We find no evidence that existing indices of community resilience moderate impacts. Our conclusion is that people in the US are, at present, highly resilient to natural disasters.

     

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    hdl: 10419/236251
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 14220
    Schlagworte: wellbeing; resilience; natural disasters; institutions; adaptation
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen
  15. Electoral earthquake
    natural disasters and the geography of discontent
    Erschienen: 2021
    Verlag:  Global Labor Organization (GLO), Essen

    The recent literature on the determinants of populism has highlighted the role of long-term trends of progressive isolation and prolonged economic stagnation in engendering discontent and, in turn, demand for political change. We investigate,... mehr

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    The recent literature on the determinants of populism has highlighted the role of long-term trends of progressive isolation and prolonged economic stagnation in engendering discontent and, in turn, demand for political change. We investigate, instead, the potential of unanticipated local shocks in shaping the ‘geography of discontent’. Using comprehensive data at a fine spatial scale and a comparative natural experiment approach, we document that the occurrence of two destructive earthquakes in Italy resulted in sharply diverging electoral outcomes: while the 2012 Emilia quake did not alter voting behaviour, the 2009 L’Aquila earthquake paved the way for an impressive and persistent surge in right-wing populism in the most affected areas. Such heterogeneous patterns mainly originate from a stark contrast in post-disaster reconstruction processes and shifts in institutional trust. Our findings are consistent with the idea that not only “places that don’t matter”, but also “places that don’t recover”, can become populist hotbeds.

     

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    hdl: 10419/231437
    Schriftenreihe: GLO discussion paper ; no. 790
    Schlagworte: elections; populism; discontent; natural disasters; earthquakes
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 58 Seiten), Illustrationen
  16. Economic consequences of follow-up disasters
    lessons from the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  Waseda INstitute of Political EConomy, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; no. 21, 11 (June 2021)
    Schlagworte: natural disasters; Bayesian Panel VAR; DSGE; regional spill-overs; counterfactual analysis
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 56 Seiten), Illustrationen
  17. Optimal state contingent sovereign debt instruments
    Erschienen: September 2021
    Verlag:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

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    ISBN: 9781513595917
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    Schriftenreihe: IMF working paper ; WP/21, 230
    Schlagworte: sovereign default; natural disasters; state-contingent debt
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 31 Seiten), Illustrationen
  18. Mitigating the macroeconomic impact of severe natural disasters in Africa
    policy synergies
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  African Governance and Development Institute, [Yaoundé]

    This study evaluates the economic impact of severe natural disasters in Africa using the generalized synthetic control method. In other words, it assesses how gross domestic product (GDP) would have been affected if severe natural disasters did not... mehr

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    This study evaluates the economic impact of severe natural disasters in Africa using the generalized synthetic control method. In other words, it assesses how gross domestic product (GDP) would have been affected if severe natural disasters did not occur. Moreover, it explores the determinants of the destructiveness of the impact, focusing on the role played by capital. We find that severe natural disasters induce a significant and continuous reduction of GDP many years after the event. Indeed, economic losses caused by disasters depend on the level of capital (human capital, employment and capital stock) and aspects of governance quality (political stability and absence of violence). In other words, negative synergies are apparent because while capital stock, employment and human capital unconditionally reduce the macroeconomic impact of natural disasters, the corresponding conditional or interactive effects with political stability are also negative. Policy implications are discussed.

     

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    hdl: 10419/250118
    Schriftenreihe: AGDI working paper ; WP/21, 094
    Schlagworte: natural disasters; economic growth; Africa
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 22 Seiten), Illustrationen
  19. Disastrous discretion
    ambiguous decision situations foster political favoritism
    Erschienen: April 2022
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    Allocation decisions are vulnerable to political influence, but it is unclear in which situations politicians use their discretionary power in a partisan manner. We analyze the allocation of presidential disaster declarations in the United States,... mehr

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    Allocation decisions are vulnerable to political influence, but it is unclear in which situations politicians use their discretionary power in a partisan manner. We analyze the allocation of presidential disaster declarations in the United States, exploiting the spatiotemporal randomness of hurricane strikes from 1965–2018 along with changes in political alignment. We show that decisions are not biased when disasters are unambiguously strong or weak. Only in ambiguous situations, after medium-intensity hurricanes, do areas governed by presidents’ co-partisans receive up to twice as many declarations. This political bias explains 10 percent of total relief spending, totaling USD 450 million per year.

     

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    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working paper ; no. 9710 (2022)
    Schlagworte: disaster relief; distributive politics; hurricanes; natural disasters; nonlinearity; party alignment; political favouritism; political economy; situational ambiguity
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 100 Seiten), Illustrationen
  20. Costly disasters & the role of fiscal policy
    evidence from US states
    Erschienen: 2021
    Verlag:  Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg

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    ISBN: 9789276387527
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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 151 (November 2021)
    Schlagworte: natural disasters; recessions; federal transfers; state fiscal policy; debt accumulation; rainy dayfunds
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  21. The heterogeneous impacts of natural disasters on risk preferences in indonesia preferences in Indonesia
    Autor*in: Purcell, Helen
    Erschienen: 8-1-2021
    Verlag:  Population Studies Center, [Philadelphia, PA]

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    Schriftenreihe: Population Center Working Papers (PSC/PARC) / Population Studies Center ; 2021, 78
    Schlagworte: risk preference; natural disasters; Indonesia
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 73 Seiten), Illustrationen
  22. Economic effects of natural disasters
    natural disasters cause significant short-term disruptions, but longer-term economic impacts are more complex
    Erschienen: April 2022
    Verlag:  Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), Bonn

    Extreme weather events are increasing in frequency and intensity, threatening lives and livelihoods around the world. Understanding the short- and long-term effects of such events is necessary for crafting optimal policy. The short-term economic... mehr

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    Extreme weather events are increasing in frequency and intensity, threatening lives and livelihoods around the world. Understanding the short- and long-term effects of such events is necessary for crafting optimal policy. The short-term economic impacts of natural disasters can be severe, suggesting that policies that better insure against consumption losses during this time would be beneficial. Longer-term economic impacts are more complex and depend on the characteristics of the affected population and the affected area, changes in migration patterns, and public policy.

     

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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/260727
    Schriftenreihe: IZA world of labor ; 2022, 493
    Schlagworte: natural disasters; disaster aid; migration; labor market outcomes; health effects
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 10 Seiten), Illustrationen
  23. Natural disasters and preferences for the environment: evidence from the impressionable years
    Erschienen: February 2022
    Verlag:  nUnimore, Università degli studi di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di economia Marco Biagi, [Modena]

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    Schriftenreihe: DEMB working paper series ; n. 207
    Schlagworte: beliefs formation; natural disasters; environmental policy; impressionable years
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 26 Seiten), Illustrationen
  24. Committed to flexible fiscal rules
    Erschienen: February 26, 2021
    Verlag:  Verein für Socialpolitik, [Köln]

    We study the impact of fiscal rules on macroeconomic performance following natural disaster shocks, using dynamic panel models and quarterly data for 89 countries. We find that countries with fiscal rules perform significantly better in the aftermath... mehr

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    We study the impact of fiscal rules on macroeconomic performance following natural disaster shocks, using dynamic panel models and quarterly data for 89 countries. We find that countries with fiscal rules perform significantly better in the aftermath of such shocks than countries without rules. GDP, private consumption and investment are persistently higher. The superior performance is associated with more expansionary fiscal policy, which hinges critically on larger fiscal space and escape clauses. We rationalize the findings in a quantitative model of sovereign default. The model replicates the empirical dynamics and shows that tight fiscal rules create fiscal space in good times that can be used in bad times for deficit-spending.

     

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    hdl: 10419/242330
    Schriftenreihe: Jahrestagung 2021 / Verein für Socialpolitik ; 22
    Schlagworte: Fiscal policy; fiscal regimes; natural disasters
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 49 Seiten), Illustrationen
  25. Confined to stay
    natural disasters and Indonesia's migration ban
    Erschienen: July 2022
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    This paper investigates the effects of international migration restrictions on communities' capacity to absorb income shocks after natural catastrophes. We adopt the implementation of an emigration ban on female Indonesians as a natural experiment.... mehr

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    This paper investigates the effects of international migration restrictions on communities' capacity to absorb income shocks after natural catastrophes. We adopt the implementation of an emigration ban on female Indonesians as a natural experiment. After an array of violent assaults against female servants in Saudi Arabia, the Indonesian government issued a moratorium in 2011, preventing millions of female workers to migrate there as domestic workers. Exploiting the exogenous timing of the ban and that of natural disasters allows us to estimate the causal effect of the absence of international migration as an adaptive strategy. Relying on a panel of the universe of Indonesian villages, we use a triple difference strategy to compare poverty levels in the aftermath of natural disasters for villages whose main destination is Saudi Arabia against others, before and after the policy shock. We find that in villages with strong ex-ante propensity to migrate to Saudi Arabia, poverty increases by 13% in face of natural disasters after the ban, further aggravating the already severe consequences induced by those events.

     

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    hdl: 10419/263767
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working paper ; no. 9837 (2022)
    Schlagworte: migration; natural disasters; Indonesia; migration ban
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 53 Seiten), Illustrationen