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  1. A baseline model of behavioral political cycles and macroeconomic fluctuations
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  Australian National University, Crawford School of Public Policy, Canberra

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Schriftenreihe: CAMA working paper series ; 2022, 71 (November 2022)
    Schlagworte: Behavioral Macroeconomics; Disequilibrium; Discrete Choices; Macroeconomic Fluctuations; Political Cycles; Polarization
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. The unintended consequences of trade protection on the environment
    Erschienen: October 2023
    Verlag:  ECARES, Brussels, Belgium

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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/364362
    Schriftenreihe: ECARES working paper ; 2023, 16
    Schlagworte: Political Cycles; Environmental Regulation; Trade Protection; US-China Trade War
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 52 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. The unintended consequences of trade protection on the environment
    Erschienen: 2023
    Verlag:  UCD School of Economics, University College Dublin, Dublin

    We analyze the impact of a rise in protectionism on environmental regulation. Using the 2018 US-China trade war as a quasi-natural experiment, we find that higher exposure to tariffs leads to less stringent regulation targets in China, increasing air... mehr

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    We analyze the impact of a rise in protectionism on environmental regulation. Using the 2018 US-China trade war as a quasi-natural experiment, we find that higher exposure to tariffs leads to less stringent regulation targets in China, increasing air pollution and carbon emissions. Politically motivated changes in environmental policies rationalize our results: the central government and local party secretaries relax environmental regulations to mitigate the negative consequences of tariffs for polluting industries. We find heterogeneous effects depending on politicians' characteristics: younger, recently appointed, and more connected local politicians are more likely to ease environmental regulation. This policy reaction benefits politicians: prefectures with the most considerable easing in environmental regulation manage to curb the negative economic consequences of the trade war, while their mayors have a relatively larger probability of promotion. This paper presents the first empirical evidence of political incentives to manipulate environmental regulation to curb negative economic shocks.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper series / UCD Centre for Economic Research ; WP23, 23 (October 2023)
    Schlagworte: Political Cycles; Environmental Regulation; Trade Protection; US-China Trade War
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 53 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Opportunistic political central bank coverage
    does media coverage of ECB's monetary policy impacts German political parties' popularity?
    Erschienen: [2023]
    Verlag:  EconomiX - UMR 7235, Université Paris Nanterre, Nanterre

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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / EconomiX ; 2023, 30
    Schlagworte: European Central Bank; Press; Textual Analysis; Tone Analysis; Elections; Political Cycles; Germany
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 64 Seiten), Illustrationen