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  1. Motivated political reasoning: the formation of belief-value constellations
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung gGmbH, Berlin, Germany

    We study the causal relationship between moral values ("ought" statements) and factual beliefs ("is" statements) and show that, contrary to predictions of orthodox Bayesian models, values exert an influence on beliefs. This effect is mediated by... mehr

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 377
    keine Fernleihe

     

    We study the causal relationship between moral values ("ought" statements) and factual beliefs ("is" statements) and show that, contrary to predictions of orthodox Bayesian models, values exert an influence on beliefs. This effect is mediated by prior political leanings and, thus, contributes to increasing polarization in beliefs about facts. We study this process of motivated political reasoning in a preregistered online experiment with a nationally representative sample of 1,500 individuals in the US. Additionally, we show that subjects do not distort their beliefs in response to financial incentives to do so, suggesting that deep values exert a stronger motivational force.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/248731
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper / Research Area: Markets and Choice, Research Unit: Economics of Change ; SP II 2021, 306 (December 2021)
    Schlagworte: Motivated Beliefs; Values; Polarization; Experiment
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 65 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Motivated beliefs, social preferences, and limited liability in financial decision-making
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  Freie Universität Berlin, [Berlin]

    Using a new experimental design, we compare how subjects form beliefs in an investor-client setup under varying degrees of liability. Our results reflect the importance of social preferences when making investment decisions for others. We show that... mehr

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    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 79
    keine Fernleihe

     

    Using a new experimental design, we compare how subjects form beliefs in an investor-client setup under varying degrees of liability. Our results reflect the importance of social preferences when making investment decisions for others. We show that when investors have no liability, those with stronger social preferences are more optimistic about the probability that their investment results in a gain. In other words, we find that social preferences appear to be correlated with motivated beliefs. This finding suggests the existence of cognitive biases in financial decision-making and supports the recent literature on the formation of motivated beliefs under limited liability (Barberis, 2015; Bénabou and Tirole, 2016).

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/266346
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2022, 8
    Schlagworte: Moral Hazard; Experiment; Motivated Beliefs; Social Preferences
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 35 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Motivated beliefs in auctions
    Autor*in: Riehm, Tobias
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, Mannheim, Germany

    In auctions bidders are usually assumed to have rational expectations with regards to their winning probability. However, experimental and empirical evidence suggests that agent's expectations depend on direct utility stemming from expectations,... mehr

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    Verlag (kostenfrei)
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    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 15
    keine Fernleihe
    Universitätsbibliothek Mannheim
    keine Fernleihe

     

    In auctions bidders are usually assumed to have rational expectations with regards to their winning probability. However, experimental and empirical evidence suggests that agent's expectations depend on direct utility stemming from expectations, resulting in optimism or pessimism. Optimism increases ex ante savoring, while pessimism leads to less disappointment ex post. Hence, optimal expectations depend on the time left until the uncertainty is resolved, i.e. the time one can savor ex ante by being (too) optimistic. Applying the decision theory model of Gollier and Muermann (2010) to first price auctions, I show that by decreasing the time between bids and revelation of results, the auctioneer can induce bidders to forego optimism, leading to more aggressive bids and thereby higher revenues for the auctioneer. Finally I test these predictions experimentally, finding no evidence for my theoretical predictions.

     

    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
      BibTeX-Format
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/266652
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper / ZEW ; no. 22, 062 (12/2022)
    Schlagworte: Auctions; Experiment; Motivated Beliefs
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (42 Seiten), Illustrationen