Ergebnisse für *

Zeige Ergebnisse 1 bis 8 von 8.

  1. When is Sovereign Debt Odious? A Theory of Government Repression, Growth Traps, and Growth Boosts
    Erschienen: July 2022
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    We examine the dynamics of a country's growth, consumption, and sovereign debt, assuming that the government is myopic and wants to maximize short-term, self-interested spending. Surprisingly, government myopia can increase a country's access to... mehr

    Zugang:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Sächsische Landesbibliothek - Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Dresden
    keine Fernleihe
    Universitätsbibliothek Freiburg
    keine Fernleihe
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    keine Fernleihe
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
    keine Fernleihe
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    keine Fernleihe
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    keine Fernleihe

     

    We examine the dynamics of a country's growth, consumption, and sovereign debt, assuming that the government is myopic and wants to maximize short-term, self-interested spending. Surprisingly, government myopia can increase a country's access to external borrowing. In turn, access to borrowing can extend the government's effective horizon; the government's ability to borrow hinges on it convincing creditors they will be repaid, which gives it a stake in generating future revenues. In a high-saving country, the lengthening of the government's effective horizon can incentivize it to tax less, resulting in a "growth boost", with higher steady-state household consumption than if it could not borrow. However, in a country that saves little, the government may engage in more repressive policies to enhance its debt capacity. This could lead to a "growth trap" where household steady-state consumption is lower than if the government had no access to debt. We discuss the effectiveness of alternative debt policies, including declaring debt odious, debt forgiveness, and debt ceilings. We also analyse the impact of unanticipated shocks on the country's welfare

     

    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
      BibTeX-Format
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w30296
    Schlagworte: Öffentliche Schulden; Finanzpolitik; Wirtschaftswachstum; Wachstumstheorie; General; General Economics; Role of Economics; Role of Economists; Market for Economists; Relation of Economics to Social Values; Sociology of Economics; General; International Economic Order and Integration; General; General; General; General; General
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource, illustrations (black and white)
    Bemerkung(en):

    Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers

  2. Fighting Communism Supporting Collusion
    Erschienen: June 2022
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    We develop a simple model to explain why a powerful importer country like the United States may provide political support for international collusive agreements concerning certain commodities (e.g., coffee). This behavior raises questions due to the... mehr

    Zugang:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Sächsische Landesbibliothek - Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Dresden
    keine Fernleihe
    Universitätsbibliothek Freiburg
    keine Fernleihe
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    keine Fernleihe
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
    keine Fernleihe
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    keine Fernleihe
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    keine Fernleihe

     

    We develop a simple model to explain why a powerful importer country like the United States may provide political support for international collusive agreements concerning certain commodities (e.g., coffee). This behavior raises questions due to the fact that an importer country should have strong economic incentives to avoid the cartelization of its suppliers. We show that an importer country sometimes helps producer countries organize and enforce collusion to advance important geopolitical goals, e.g., by reducing the chances that the producer countries will align with a rival global power (e.g., the Soviet Union). Moreover, using this practice, a powerful importer country can immediately share the cost of collusion with other importers (including allies). Thus, a powerful importer country may see collusion as a superior strategy to foreign aid (a priori a more direct and efficient instrument), which is riddled with free riding problems. The model sheds light on why the United States supported (or failed to support) international commodity agreements for coffee, sugar, and oil during and immediately after the Cold War period

     

    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
      BibTeX-Format
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w30166
    Schlagworte: Internationale Handelspolitik; Außenpolitik; Kaffee; Zucker; Erdöl; Kartell; USA; International Economic Order and Integration; Trade; International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy; Antitrust Issues and Policies
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource, illustrations (black and white)
    Bemerkung(en):

    Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers

  3. Is Secessionism Mostly About Income or Identity? A Global Analysis of 3,003 Subnational Regions
    Erschienen: September 2022
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    This paper analyzes whether the propensity to secede by subnational regions responds mostly to differences in income per capita or to distinct identities. We explore this question in a quantitative political economy model where people's willingness... mehr

    Zugang:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Sächsische Landesbibliothek - Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Dresden
    keine Fernleihe
    Universitätsbibliothek Freiburg
    keine Fernleihe
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    keine Fernleihe
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
    keine Fernleihe
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    keine Fernleihe
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    keine Fernleihe

     

    This paper analyzes whether the propensity to secede by subnational regions responds mostly to differences in income per capita or to distinct identities. We explore this question in a quantitative political economy model where people's willingness to finance a public good depends on their income and identity. Using high-resolution economic and linguistic data for the entire globe, we predict the propensity to secede of 3,003 subnational regions in 173 countries. We validate the model-based predictions with data on secessionist movements, state fragility, regional autonomy, and conflict, as well as with an application to the dissolution of the Soviet Union. Counterfactual analysis strongly suggests that identity trumps income in determining a region's propensity to secede. Removing identity differences reduces the average support for secession from 7.5% to 0.6% of the population

     

    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
      BibTeX-Format
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w30428
    Schlagworte: Sezession; Region; Nationalismus; Ideologie; Einkommen; Sowjetunion; Welt; General; International Economic Order and Integration; National Security; Economic Nationalism; Intergovernmental Relations; Federalism; Secession; General
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource, illustrations (black and white)
    Bemerkung(en):

    Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers

  4. International Climate Agreements and the Scream of Greta
    Erschienen: November 2022
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    Current policies directed at mitigating global warming appear unlikely to prevent temperatures from rising to levels that would trigger a precipitous increase in the costs of climate change. Various attempts at international cooperation to avoid this... mehr

    Zugang:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Sächsische Landesbibliothek - Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Dresden
    keine Fernleihe
    Universitätsbibliothek Freiburg
    keine Fernleihe
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    keine Fernleihe
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
    keine Fernleihe
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    keine Fernleihe
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    keine Fernleihe

     

    Current policies directed at mitigating global warming appear unlikely to prevent temperatures from rising to levels that would trigger a precipitous increase in the costs of climate change. Various attempts at international cooperation to avoid this outcome have failed. Why is this problem so intractable? Can we expect an 11th-hour solution? Will some countries, or even all, succumb on the equilibrium path? We address these questions through a model that features the possibility of climate catastrophe and emphasizes the role of international externalities that a country's policies exert on other countries and intertemporal externalities that current generations exert on future generations. Within this setting, we explore the extent to which international agreements can mitigate the problem of climate change. Our analysis illuminates the role that international climate agreements can be expected to play in addressing climate change, and it points to important limitations on what such agreements can achieve, even under the best of circumstances

     

    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
      BibTeX-Format
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w30681
    Schlagworte: Internationale Klimapolitik; Treibhausgas-Emissionen; Klimawandel; Externer Effekt; Generationengerechtigkeit; Theorie; Welt; International Economic Order and Integration; Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource, illustrations (black and white)
    Bemerkung(en):

    Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers

  5. The Dollar in an Era of International Retrenchment
    Erschienen: June 2023
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    Recent trends suggest the world economy may be tending towards an equilibrium with two distinct trading blocs, each internally integrated, but with significant isolation between the blocs. This paper uses a quantitative theory to explore how far... mehr

    Zugang:
    Verlag (lizenzpflichtig)
    Resolving-System (lizenzpflichtig)
    Sächsische Landesbibliothek - Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Dresden
    keine Fernleihe
    Universitätsbibliothek Freiburg
    keine Fernleihe
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    keine Fernleihe
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
    keine Fernleihe
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    keine Fernleihe
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    keine Fernleihe

     

    Recent trends suggest the world economy may be tending towards an equilibrium with two distinct trading blocs, each internally integrated, but with significant isolation between the blocs. This paper uses a quantitative theory to explore how far this bifurcation would need to go to pose a threat to the special role of the dollar in international exchange. The theory emphasizes the joint determination of countries' portfolio choices and trading currency. We find that unilateral protectionism on the part of the US could modestly reinforce the dollar's dominant role, but that policies directly supporting the Chinese yuan's use in trade could end the dollar's continued dominance if implemented over a long-enough period. Tit-for-tat responses between just the US and China would likely leave the dollar's role essentially unchanged. If both countries coordinate protectionist policies within their trading blocs, however, a transition away from global dollar dominance becomes far more likely

     

    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
      BibTeX-Format
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w31405
    Schlagworte: Weltwirtschaftsordnung; US-Dollar; Reservewährung; Renminbi; Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen; Regionale Wirtschaftsintegration; Protektionismus; Internationaler Finanzmarkt; Offene Volkswirtschaft; China; USA; Welt; Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy; International Economic Order and Integration; International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions; Open Economy Macroeconomics; International Financial Markets
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource, illustrations (black and white)
    Bemerkung(en):

    Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers

  6. An Import(ant) Price of Brexit Uncertainty
    Erschienen: August 2023
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    We estimate the impact of trade policy uncertainty (TPU) on CES import price indices, focusing on the implications of Britain's exit from the European Union (Brexit). Our analysis reveals that an increase in the probability of Brexit increases U.K.... mehr

    Zugang:
    Verlag (lizenzpflichtig)
    Resolving-System (lizenzpflichtig)
    Sächsische Landesbibliothek - Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Dresden
    keine Fernleihe
    Universitätsbibliothek Freiburg
    keine Fernleihe
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    keine Fernleihe
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
    keine Fernleihe
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    keine Fernleihe
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    keine Fernleihe

     

    We estimate the impact of trade policy uncertainty (TPU) on CES import price indices, focusing on the implications of Britain's exit from the European Union (Brexit). Our analysis reveals that an increase in the probability of Brexit increases U.K. import price indices by raising the prices of existing products and by reducing product variety from the E.U. We find evidence that the risk of higher import protection from the 2016 referendum increased current import price indices by more than 10%. This amounted to a 2 log point increase in manufactured goods prices and a 0.6 log point decrease in consumers' real income

     

    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
      BibTeX-Format
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w31600
    Schlagworte: Brexit; Import; Außenhandelsrisiko; Wirkungsanalyse; Außenhandelspreis; Großbritannien; Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty; Institutions and the Macroeconomy; International Economic Order and Integration; Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations; Empirical Studies of Trade; Economic Integration
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource, illustrations (black and white)
    Bemerkung(en):

    Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers

  7. A Framework for Geoeconomics
    Erschienen: November 2023
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    Governments use their countries' economic strength from existing financial and trade relationships to achieve geopolitical and economic goals. We refer to this practice as geoeconomics. We build a framework based on three core ingredients: input... mehr

    Zugang:
    Verlag (lizenzpflichtig)
    Resolving-System (lizenzpflichtig)
    Sächsische Landesbibliothek - Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Dresden
    keine Fernleihe
    Universitätsbibliothek Freiburg
    keine Fernleihe
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    keine Fernleihe
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
    keine Fernleihe
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    keine Fernleihe
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    keine Fernleihe

     

    Governments use their countries' economic strength from existing financial and trade relationships to achieve geopolitical and economic goals. We refer to this practice as geoeconomics. We build a framework based on three core ingredients: input output linkages, limited contract enforceability, and externalities. Geoeconomic power arises from the ability to jointly exercise threats arising from separate economic activities. Being able to retaliate against a deviating country across multiple arenas, often involving indirect threats from third parties also being pressured, increases the off equilibrium threats and, thus, helps in equilibrium to increase enforceability. A world hegemon, like the United States, exerts its power on firms and governments in its economic network by asking these entities to take costly actions that benefit the hegemon. We characterize the optimal actions and show that they take the form of mark-ups on goods or higher rates on lending, but also import restrictions and tariffs. The input-output amplification makes controlling some sectors more valuable for the hegemon since changes in the allocation of these strategic sectors have a larger influence on the world economy. This formalizes the idea of economic coercion as a combination of strategic pressure and costly actions. We apply the framework to two leading examples: national security externalities and the Belt and Road Initiative

     

    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
      BibTeX-Format
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w31852
    Schlagworte: Internationale Wirtschaft; Internationale Wirtschaftspolitik; Geoökonomie; International Economic Order and Integration; General; International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource, illustrations (black and white)
    Bemerkung(en):

    Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers

  8. A framework for geoeconomics
    Erschienen: [2024]
    Verlag:  Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR), Stanford, CA

    Zugang:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Keine Rechte
    keine Fernleihe
    Export in Literaturverwaltung   RIS-Format
      BibTeX-Format
    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR) ; no. 24, 01 (January, 2024)
    Schlagworte: Internationale Wirtschaft; Internationale Wirtschaftspolitik; Geoökonomie; Geopolitics; Economic Coercion; Economic Statecraft; Input-Output Networks; Belt and Road Initiative; Dollar Diplomacy; National Security; International Economic Order and Integration; General; International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 65 Seiten), Illustrationen