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  1. The dynamics of the house price-to-income ratio
    theory and evidence
    Erschienen: March 2021
    Verlag:  The Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University, Osaka, Japan

    The house price-to-income ratio (PIR) is widely used as an affordability indicator. This paper complements the cross-sectionally focused literature by proposing a tractable model for the PIR dynamics. Our model predicts that the PIR is very... mehr

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    The house price-to-income ratio (PIR) is widely used as an affordability indicator. This paper complements the cross-sectionally focused literature by proposing a tractable model for the PIR dynamics. Our model predicts that the PIR is very persistent and is correlated to the lagged aggregate output. Cross-country analysis confirms this prediction and provides evidence for a long-term, positive and significant relationship between PIR and aggregate production. Our results hint at the construction of an early warning system for housing market mispricing. Our tractable formulation of a stochastic money growth rule may carry independent research interest.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/234937
    Auflage/Ausgabe: This version: March 2021
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper / The Institute of Social and Economic Research ; no. 1125
    Schlagworte: housing affordability; output dynamics; endogenous house price; wage rigidity; monetary policy rule
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 74 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. The dynamics of the house price-to-income ratio
    theory and evidence
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  City University of Hong Kong, College of Business, Department of Economics & Finance, Hong Kong

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Auflage/Ausgabe: This version: March 2021
    Schriftenreihe: Global Research Unit working paper ; # 2021, 005
    Schlagworte: housing affordability; output dynamics; endogenous house price; wage rigidity; monetary policy rule
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 74 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Delayed overshooting puzzle
    does systematic monetary policy matter?
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  Department of Economics and Management "Marco Fanno", University of Padova, Padova

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: Marco Fanno working papers ; 280 (June 2022)
    Schlagworte: delayed overshooting; vector autoregressions; monetary policy rule; exchange rate dynamics; Volcker policy regime
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 23 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Perceptions about monetary policy
    Erschienen: 06 October 2022
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP17574
    Schlagworte: FOMC; monetary policy rule; survey forecasts; beliefs
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 72 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Perceptions about monetary policy
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt am Main

    We estimate perceptions about the Fed's monetary policy rule from panel data on professional forecasts of interest rates and macroeconomic conditions. The perceived dependence of the federal funds rate on economic conditions is time-varying and... mehr

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    We estimate perceptions about the Fed's monetary policy rule from panel data on professional forecasts of interest rates and macroeconomic conditions. The perceived dependence of the federal funds rate on economic conditions is time-varying and cyclical: high during tightening episodes but low during easings. Forecasters update their perceptions about the policy rule in response to monetary policy actions, measured by high-frequency interest rate surprises, suggesting that forecasters have imperfect information about the rule. The perceived rule impacts asset prices crucial for monetary policy transmission, driving how interest rates respond to macroeconomic news and explaining term premia in long-term interest rates.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/268225
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper series / Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability ; no. 176 (2022)
    Schlagworte: FOMC; monetary policy rule; survey forecasts; beliefs
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 69 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Perceptions about monetary policy
    Erschienen: December 2022
    Verlag:  CESifo, Munich, Germany

    We estimate perceptions about the Fed's monetary policy rule from panel data on professional forecasts of interest rates and macroeconomic conditions. The perceived dependence of the federal funds rate on economic conditions is time-varying and... mehr

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    We estimate perceptions about the Fed's monetary policy rule from panel data on professional forecasts of interest rates and macroeconomic conditions. The perceived dependence of the federal funds rate on economic conditions is time-varying and cyclical: high during tightening episodes but low during easings. Forecasters update their perceptions about the policy rule in response to monetary policy actions, measured by high-frequency interest rate surprises, suggesting that forecasters have imperfect information about the rule. The perceived rule impacts asset prices crucial for monetary policy transmission, driving how interest rates respond to macroeconomic news and explaining term premia in long-term interest rates.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/271826
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working papers ; 10182 (2022)
    Schlagworte: FOMC; monetary policy rule; survey forecasts; beliefs
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 67 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Perceptions about monetary policy
    Erschienen: 20 December 2022
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Universitätsbibliothek Mannheim
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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP17758
    Schlagworte: FOMC; monetary policy rule; survey forecasts; beliefs
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 68 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Perceptions about monetary policy
    Erschienen: 2022
    Verlag:  Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg, Frankfurt am Main

  9. Perceptions about monetary policy
    Erschienen: [2023]
    Verlag:  Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, [San Francisco, CA]

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Schriftenreihe: Working papers series / Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ; 2023, 31 (October 2023)
    Schlagworte: FOMC; monetary policy rule; survey forecasts; beliefs
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 69 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. Market perceptions, monetary policy, and credibility
    Erschienen: [2024]
    Verlag:  Banca d'Italia Eurosistema, [Rom]

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    Weitere Identifier:
    Schriftenreihe: Temi di discussione / Banca d'Italia ; number 1449 (March 2024)
    Schlagworte: European Central Bank; monetary policy rule; credibility; financial marketexpectations; macroeconomic data releases
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 44 Seiten), Illustrationen