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  1. Computer Aided Policy Making
    Autor*in: Wyatt, Ray
    Erschienen: 2000
    Verlag:  Taylor & Francis

    This book will prove a unique source of information and instruction for anyone seeking to make better human-oriented policy, whether urban planner, business strategist, or manager in the field of education, health or welfare, Ingeniously Wyatt has... mehr

     

    This book will prove a unique source of information and instruction for anyone seeking to make better human-oriented policy, whether urban planner, business strategist, or manager in the field of education, health or welfare, Ingeniously Wyatt has created two books in one: the main text covers the types of software package available: mainstream software, peripheral software, innovative software, frontier software; the lessons generated from the software are outlined in lesson boxes. Readers can use the text alone to familiarize themselves with the computer packages or read the boxes only, or they can do both.

     
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  2. Forecasts as repeated cheap talk from an expert of unknown statistical bias
    Autor*in: Valsecchi, Irene
    Erschienen: October 2023
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano, Italia

    For two periods an expert E announces his forecast of the state to a decision-maker D who chooses action. They disagree about the precision of the probability assessments. At the end of period 1 the state is observed. In the last period E makes... mehr

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    Standort:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signatur:
    DS 125
    Fernleihe:
    keine Fernleihe

     

    For two periods an expert E announces his forecast of the state to a decision-maker D who chooses action. They disagree about the precision of the probability assessments. At the end of period 1 the state is observed. In the last period E makes announcements more extreme than his forecasts. Despite countable equilibria, full revelation is never realised. When in period 1 E is interested in reputation only, the initial equilibrium partition is finite; E makes announcements of greater uncertainty with respect to his forecasts. When E is interested in action too, reputational concerns mitigate exaggerated reports.

     
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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/281127
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei ; 2023, 020
    Schlagworte: cheap-talk; expert; statistical bias
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten)