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  1. The macroeconomic impact of Trump
    Erschienen: [2020]
    Verlag:  Department of Economics, University of Oxford, Oxford

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: Department of Economics discussion paper series / University of Oxford ; number 928 (April 2020)
    Schlagworte: President Trump; macroeconomic performance; economic growth; counterfactual; synthetic control method; doppelganger
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 20 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Essays in industrial organization
    Erschienen: Dezember 2020

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    A 281068
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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Dissertation
    Format: Druck
    Schlagworte: Industrieökonomik; Verkaufsförderung; Schokolade; Preismanagement; Kostenüberwälzung; Kaffee; Kartell; Strukturmodell; Handelsmarke; Produkthaftung; Prävention; Deutschland; counterfactual
    Umfang: xii, 86 Seiten, Illustrationen
    Bemerkung(en):

    Dissertation, Johann Wolfgang Goethe-Universität Frankfurt am Main, 2020

  3. Possible knowledge
    the literary forms of early modern science
    Erschienen: 2023
    Verlag:  University of Pennsylvania Press, Philadelphia

    The Renaissance, scholars have long argued, was a period beset by the loss of philosophical certainty. In Possible Knowledge, Debapriya Sarkar argues for the pivotal role of literature--what early moderns termed poesie--in the dynamic intellectual... mehr

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    The Renaissance, scholars have long argued, was a period beset by the loss of philosophical certainty. In Possible Knowledge, Debapriya Sarkar argues for the pivotal role of literature--what early moderns termed poesie--in the dynamic intellectual culture of this era of profound incertitude. Revealing how problems of epistemology are inextricable from questions of literary form, Sarkar offers a defense of poiesis, or literary making, as a vital philosophical endeavor.Working across a range of genres, Sarkar theorizes "possible knowledge" as an intellectual paradigm crafted in and through literary form. Sixteenth- and seventeenth-century writers such as Spenser, Bacon, Shakespeare, Cavendish, and Milton marshalled the capacious concept of the "possible," defined by Philip Sidney as what "may be and should be," to construct new theories of physical and metaphysical reality. These early modern thinkers mobilized the imaginative habits of thought constitutive to major genres of literary writing--including epic, tragedy, romance, lyric, and utopia--in order to produce knowledge divorced from historical truth and empirical fact by envisioning states of being untethered from "nature" or reality.Approaching imaginative modes such as hypothesis, conjecture, prediction, and counterfactuals as instruments of possible knowledge, Sarkar exposes how the speculative allure of the "possible" lurks within scientific experiment, induction, and theories of probability. In showing how early modern literary writing sought to grapple with the challenge of forging knowledge in an uncertain, perhaps even incomprehensible world, Possible Knowledge also highlights its most audacious intellectual ambition: its claim that while natural philosophy, or what we today term science, might explain the physical world, literature could remake reality. Enacting a history of ideas that centers literary studies, Possible Knowledge suggests that what we have termed a history of science might ultimately be a history of the imagination

     

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  4. The economic impact of Trump
    conclusions from an impact evaluation analysis
    Erschienen: October 26th 2020
    Verlag:  Bergische Universität Wuppertal, Europäisches Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen (EIIW), Wuppertal, Germany

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: EIIW discussion paper ; 281
    Schlagworte: Trump; economic policy uncertainty; counterfactual; Panel Data Approach; LASSO
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 66 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Welfare effects of R&D support policies
    Erschienen: 18 January 2022
    Verlag:  Bank of Finland, Helsinki

    We construct a model of innovation incorporating R&D externalities, R&D participation, financial market imperfections, and application and allocation of R&D subsidies, estimate it using Finnish R&D project level data and conduct a welfare analysis.... mehr

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    We construct a model of innovation incorporating R&D externalities, R&D participation, financial market imperfections, and application and allocation of R&D subsidies, estimate it using Finnish R&D project level data and conduct a welfare analysis. The intensive, not the extensive R&D margin is important. Financial market imperfections are small. Tax credits and subsidies do not reach first best R&D but increase R&D 29-47% compared to laissez-faire. Welfare effects are small: Tax credits increase welfare 1%; subsidies reduce welfare once application costs are taken into accout. In terms of fiscal cost, tax credits are 90% more expensive than R&D subsidies.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9789523233966
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/249598
    Schriftenreihe: Bank of Finland research discussion papers ; 2022, 2
    Schlagworte: R&D subsidies; R&D tax credits; extensive and intensive margin; financial market imperfections; welfare; counterfactual; economic growth
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 67 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Global risk and the dollar
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  European Central Bank, Frankfurt am Main, Germany

    How does global risk impact the world economy? In taking up this question, we focus on the dollar’s role in the international adjustment mechanism. First, we rely on high-frequency surprises in the price of gold to identify the effects of global risk... mehr

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    How does global risk impact the world economy? In taking up this question, we focus on the dollar’s role in the international adjustment mechanism. First, we rely on high-frequency surprises in the price of gold to identify the effects of global risk shocks in a Bayesian Proxy VAR model. They cause a synchronized contraction of global economic activity and appreciate the dollar. Other key financial indicators adjust in line with pre-dictions of recent theoretical work. Second, we illustrate through counterfactuals that the dollar appreciation amplifies the adverse impact of global risk shocks outside of the US via a financial channel.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9789289949156
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/249901
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper series / European Central Bank ; no 2628 (December 2021)
    Schlagworte: US dollar exchange rate; global risk shocks; Bayesian proxy structural VAR,minimum relative entropy; counterfactual
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 52 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. The initial and dynamic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on crime in New Zealand
    Erschienen: [2023]
    Verlag:  [Auckland University of Technology], [Auckland, New Zealand]

    We use seasonal ARIMA methods to study the imposition and removal of national uniform social distancing restrictions in response to Covid-19 in New Zealand for six crime types in six cities. We then use the estimated models to forecast counterfactual... mehr

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    We use seasonal ARIMA methods to study the imposition and removal of national uniform social distancing restrictions in response to Covid-19 in New Zealand for six crime types in six cities. We then use the estimated models to forecast counterfactual crime trajectories. Novel elements include cleanly defined lockdown periods, two distinct lockdowns with meaningful gaps between them, and sizeable periods after each one to allow for dynamics. We find that social restrictions initially lower offending, subsequent lockdowns have smaller impacts on offending, "bounce back" occurs in criminal offending after their removal, and bounce back is faster from subsequent lockdowns.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/284665
    Schriftenreihe: Economics working paper series / Faculty of Business, Economics and Law, AUT ; 2023, 03
    Schlagworte: COVID-19; lockdown; crime; counterfactual; bounce back
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. The effect of Islamic revolution and war on income inequality in Iran
    Erschienen: November 2021
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    Existing research has pointed to the decreasing effect of revolutions and wars on income inequality. It is unclear whether this reduction is the result of ongoing changes within countries before revolutions and wars or if the results are standalone... mehr

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    Existing research has pointed to the decreasing effect of revolutions and wars on income inequality. It is unclear whether this reduction is the result of ongoing changes within countries before revolutions and wars or if the results are standalone effects. In this study, we focus on the case of the Iranian Revolution of 1979 and the subsequent Iran-Iraq war from 1980 to 1988. We use the synthetic control method to study the effect of revolution and war on changes in income inequality levels. Had there been no revolution and war in Iran, how would income inequality have developed? Utilizing the synthetic control method, we created a counterfactual Iran that reproduces the socioeconomic characteristics of Iran before the Islamic revolution. Then we compare the income inequality of the counterfactual Iran, without the revolution and war, to the factual Iran with a new political regime, for the period of 1970-1988. Our results, based on two different indicators of Iran’s Gini, show a statistically significant effect of the revolution and war on reducing income inequality. Over the entire 1979–1988 period, on average and per year, the Gini index of Iran was reduced by approximately 3 times of the standard deviation of this index. The main findings are robust to a series of placebo tests.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/248973
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working paper ; no. 9428 (2021)
    Schlagworte: income inequality; war; revolution; Iran; synthetic control; counterfactual
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. Zeit/Geschichte: Amerikanische Alternate Histories nach 9/11
    Autor*in: Otten, Birte
    Erschienen: 2016
    Verlag:  Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen, Göttingen

  10. The initial and dynamic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on crime in New Zealand
    Erschienen: [2023]
    Verlag:  Department of Economics and Finance, UC Business School, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / Department of Economics and Finance, School of Business and Economics, University of Canterbury ; no. 2023, 3
    Schlagworte: COVID-19; lockdown; crime; counterfactual; bounce back
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen