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  1. Safeguarding Consumers Through Minimum Quality Standards
    Milk Inspections and Urban Mortality, 1880-1910
    Erschienen: May 2022
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    We examine the effect of enforcing minimum quality standards (MQSs) on consumer health. In the late 1800s, the urban milk supply was regularly skimmed and diluted with water, but consumers could not easily determine its quality because dyes,... mehr

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    We examine the effect of enforcing minimum quality standards (MQSs) on consumer health. In the late 1800s, the urban milk supply was regularly skimmed and diluted with water, but consumers could not easily determine its quality because dyes, caramel, and salt were added. To protect consumers, milk inspectors were tasked with enforcing a well-defined MQS. Using city-level data for the period 1880-1910, we find that milk inspections reduced mortality from waterborne and foodborne diseases by 8-19 percent. Ours is the first study to provide evidence that MQSs can improve consumer health when directly applied to an experience or credence good

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w30063
    Schlagworte: Produktqualität; Produktsicherheit; Milch; Wirkungsanalyse; Sterblichkeit; Stadt; USA; State and Local Government: Health; Education; Welfare; Public Pensions; Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health; Public Policy; Economics of Regulation; U.S.; Canada: Pre-1913
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  2. Adverse Selection as a Policy Instrument
    Unraveling Climate Change
    Erschienen: July 2022
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    This paper applies principles of adverse selection to overcome obstacles that prevent the implementation of Pigouvian policies to internalize externalities. Focusing on negative externalities from production (such as pollution), we consider settings... mehr

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    This paper applies principles of adverse selection to overcome obstacles that prevent the implementation of Pigouvian policies to internalize externalities. Focusing on negative externalities from production (such as pollution), we consider settings in which aggregate emissions are known, but individual contributions are unobserved by the government. We evaluate a policy that gives firms the option to pay a tax on their voluntarily and verifiably disclosed emissions, or pay an output tax based on the average rate of emissions among the undisclosed firms. The certification of relatively clean firms raises the output-based tax, setting off a process of unraveling in favor of disclosure. We derive sufficient statistics formulas to calculate the welfare of such a program relative to mandatory output or emissions taxes. We find that the voluntary certification mechanism would deliver significant gains over output-based taxation in two empirical applications: methane emissions from oil and gas fields, and carbon emissions from imported steel

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w30283
    Schlagworte: Umweltbelastung; Umweltabgabe; Ökosteuer; Pigou-Steuer; Umweltpolitik; Adverse Selektion; Internalisierung externer Effekte; Wohlfahrtsanalyse; Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design; Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue; International Fiscal Issues; International Public Goods; Energy, Environmental, Health, and Safety Law; Economics of Regulation; Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
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  3. Does Occupational Licensing Reduce Value Creation on Digital Platforms?
    Erschienen: August 2022
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    We test whether occupational licensing undercuts a key goal of digital marketplaces-- to increase social surplus by increasing the effectiveness of customer search. Our setting is a large online marketplace in the $500B home services industry where a... mehr

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    We test whether occupational licensing undercuts a key goal of digital marketplaces-- to increase social surplus by increasing the effectiveness of customer search. Our setting is a large online marketplace in the $500B home services industry where a platform converts customer search into sales leads that are accepted for purchase by service providers on the platform. For each of the 21 million observations in our data set, we observe task-level variation in the state licensing requirements that service providers must meet to operate on the platform. Exploiting two natural experiments, we find that licensing reduces the accept rate of sales leads by an average of 25 percent. The accept rate drops because licensing reduces the aggregate labor supply of workers on the platform and not because licensing increases the volume of customer search. We develop a model and derive analytic expressions for the impact of licensing on the welfare of consumers, service providers and the platform as a function of seven sufficient statistics which we estimate from the data. We find that licensing a task reduces service provider surplus and platform surplus without increasing consumer surplus

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w30388
    Schlagworte: Immobilienwirtschaft; Immobilienmakler; Konzession; Online-Handel; Digitale Plattform; Wohlfahrtsanalyse; USA; General; Professional Labor Markets; Occupational Licensing; Economics of Regulation; Information and Internet Services; Computer Software
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  4. Secrecy Rules and Exploratory Investment
    Theory and Evidence from the Shale Boom
    Erschienen: October 2022
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    We analyze how information disclosure policy affects investment efficiency in non-cooperative settings with information externalities. In a two-firm, two-period model, we characterize equilibrium behavior under policies which disclose whether... mehr

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    We analyze how information disclosure policy affects investment efficiency in non-cooperative settings with information externalities. In a two-firm, two-period model, we characterize equilibrium behavior under policies which disclose whether investment returns exceed a predefined level. These policies include complete secrecy, in which players only observe rival actions, as well as full disclosure, in which players also perfectly observe rival returns. With less disclosure (higher disclosure thresholds), there is less free riding, but additional losses from incomplete information aggregation. We characterize the surplus maximizing disclosure threshold in this environment, and show how it depends on firms' patience. We then apply the model to the early years of the shale boom in Pennsylvania and West Virginia, which at the time were governed by complete secrecy and full disclosure, respectively. We find that full disclosure would have maximized surplus in both states, generating 49% and 160% more value than complete secrecy

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w30548
    Schlagworte: Asymmetrische Information; Auskunftspflicht; Bergbaupolitik; Regulierung; Schiefergas; Bergbau; Regulierungstheorie; Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design; Economics of Regulation; Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Hydrocarbon Fuels
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  5. Economic Research on Privacy Regulation
    Lessons from the GDPR and Beyond
    Erschienen: December 2022
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    This paper reviews the economic literature on the European Union's General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR). I highlight key challenges for studying the regulation including the difficulty of finding a suitable control group, variable firm... mehr

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    This paper reviews the economic literature on the European Union's General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR). I highlight key challenges for studying the regulation including the difficulty of finding a suitable control group, variable firm compliance and regulatory enforcement, as well as the regulation's impact on data observability. The economic literature on the GDPR to date has largely--though not universally--documented harms to firms. These harms include firm performance, innovation, competition, the web, and marketing. On the elusive consumer welfare side, the literature documents some objective privacy improvements as well as helpful survey evidence. The literature also examines the consequences of the GDPR's design decisions and illuminates how the GDPR works in practice. Finally, I suggest opportunities for future research on the GDPR as well as privacy regulation and privacy-related innovation more broadly

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w30705
    Schlagworte: Datenschutz; Datensicherheit; Regulierung; Wirkungsanalyse; EU-Staaten; Regulation and Business Law; Economics of Regulation
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  6. Restrict the Middleman?
    Quantitative Models of PBM Regulations and Their Consequences
    Erschienen: March 2023
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    This paper provides the first quantitative economic models of pharmacy benefit management regulation. The price-theoretic models allow for various market frictions and imperfections including market power, coordination costs, tax distortions, and... mehr

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    This paper provides the first quantitative economic models of pharmacy benefit management regulation. The price-theoretic models allow for various market frictions and imperfections including market power, coordination costs, tax distortions, and incomplete innovation incentives. A rigorous economic interpretation is provided for what are sometimes called "rebate walls" or "rebate traps." Applicable types of regulation include rebate rules, such as the HHS rebate rule and the Insulin Act; disclosure requirements such as the PBM Transparency Act of 2023; and pharmacy contract restrictions such as the CMS Medicare rule to take effect in 2024. Utilization of brands and generics, plan spending, cost sharing, spillovers to nonpharmacy medical spending, government budgets, and the pace of drug innovation are among the outcomes tracked by the open-source model

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w30998
    Schlagworte: Pharmahandel; Regulierung; Gesundheitsmarkt; Arzneimittelmarkt; Unvollkommener Markt; Wettbewerbspolitik; USA; Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection; Social Choice; Clubs; Committees; Associations; Analysis of Health Care Markets; Health Insurance, Public and Private; Transactional Relationships; Contracts and Reputation; Networks; Economics of Regulation
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  7. Digital Hermits
    Erschienen: February 2023
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    When a user shares multi-dimensional data about themselves with a firm, the firm learns about the correlations of different dimensions of user data. We incorporate this type of learning into a model of a data market in which a firm acquires data from... mehr

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    When a user shares multi-dimensional data about themselves with a firm, the firm learns about the correlations of different dimensions of user data. We incorporate this type of learning into a model of a data market in which a firm acquires data from users with privacy concerns. User data is multi-dimensional, and each user can share no data, only non-sensitive data, or their full data with the firm. As the firm collects more data and becomes better at drawing inferences about a user's privacy-sensitive data from their non-sensitive data, the share of new users who share no data ("digital hermits") grows. At the same time, the share of new users who share their full data also grows. The model therefore predicts a polarization of users' data sharing choices away from non-sensitive data sharing to no sharing and full sharing

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w30920
    Schlagworte: Kundendaten; Personenbezogene Daten; Konsumentenverhalten; Digitale Plattform; Regulation and Industrial Policy; Economics of Regulation; Information and Internet Services; Computer Software; Marketing and Advertising
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  8. Do Conflict of Interests Disclosures Work?
    Evidence from Citations in Medical Journals
    Erschienen: February 2023
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    Financial ties between drug companies and medical researchers are thought to bias studies published in medical journals. To enable readers to account for such bias, most medical journals require authors to disclose potential conflicts of interest. We... mehr

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    Financial ties between drug companies and medical researchers are thought to bias studies published in medical journals. To enable readers to account for such bias, most medical journals require authors to disclose potential conflicts of interest. We examine whether disclosure reduces article citations, indicating a discount. A challenge to estimating this effect is selection as drug companies may seek out higher quality authors. Our analysis confirms this positive association. Including observable controls for article and author quality attenuates but does not eliminate this relation. We perform three tests. First, we show that the positive association is weaker for review articles, which are more susceptible to bias. Second, we examine article recommendations to family physicians among articles that are a priori more homogenous in quality. We find a significantly negative association between disclosure and expert recommendations, consistent with discounting. Third, we conduct an analysis within author and article, exploiting journal policy changes that result in conflict disclosure by an author. We examine the effect of this disclosure on citations to a previously published article by the same author. This analysis reveals a negative citation effect. Overall, our evidence is consistent with the notion that other researchers discount articles with disclosed conflicts

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w30927
    Schlagworte: Forschungskooperation; Pharmaindustrie; Wissenschaftler; Medizin; Auskunftspflicht; Wissenschaftliche Publikation; Bibliometrie; Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness; Expectations; Speculations; Government Policy and Regulation; General; Economics of Regulation; General; Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives
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  9. Preferences for Firearms and Their Implications for Regulation
    Erschienen: February 2023
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    This paper estimates consumer demand for firearms with the aim of predicting the likely impacts of firearm regulations on the number and types of guns in circulation. We first conduct a stated-choice-based conjoint analysis and estimate an... mehr

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    This paper estimates consumer demand for firearms with the aim of predicting the likely impacts of firearm regulations on the number and types of guns in circulation. We first conduct a stated-choice-based conjoint analysis and estimate an individual-level demand model for firearms. We validate our estimates using aggregate moments from observational data. Next, we use our estimates to simulate changes in the number and types of guns in circulation under alternative regulations. Importantly, we find that bans or restrictions that specifically target "assault weapons" increase demand for handguns, which are associated with the vast majority of firearm-related violence. We provide distributions of consumer surplus under counterfactuals and discuss how those distributions could be useful for crafting policy

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w30934
    Schlagworte: Waffe; Nachfrage; Waffenrecht; Preiselastizität; Substitutionseffekt; USA; Bayesian Analysis: General; Survey Methods; Sampling Methods; Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies; Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health; General; Economics of Regulation; Marketing; Government Policy and Regulation
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  10. The Economics of Digital Privacy
    Erschienen: February 2023
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    There has been increasing attention to privacy in the media and in regulatory discussions. This is a consequence of the increased usefulness of digital data. The literature has emphasized the benefits and costs of digital data flows to consumers and... mehr

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    There has been increasing attention to privacy in the media and in regulatory discussions. This is a consequence of the increased usefulness of digital data. The literature has emphasized the benefits and costs of digital data flows to consumers and firms. The benefits arise in the form of data-driven innovation, higher quality products and services that match consumer needs, and increased profits. The costs relate to intrinsic and instrumental values of privacy. Under standard economic assumptions, this framing of a cost-benefit tradeoff might suggest little role for regulation beyond ensuring consumers are appropriately informed in a robust competitive environment. The empirical literature thus far has focused on this direct cost-benefit assessment, examining how privacy regulations have affected various market outcomes. However, an increasing body of theory work emphasizes externalities related to data flows. These externalities, both positive and negative, suggest benefits to the targeted regulation of digital privacy

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w30943
    Schlagworte: Digitale Güter; Personenbezogene Daten; Datenschutz; Economics of Regulation; Information and Internet Services; Computer Software
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  11. Dynamic Pricing Regulation and Welfare in Insurance Markets
    Erschienen: February 2023
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    While the traditional role of insurers is to provide protection against idiosyncratic risks of individuals, insurers themselves face substantial uncertainties due to aggregate shocks. To prevent insurers from passing through aggregate risks to... mehr

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    While the traditional role of insurers is to provide protection against idiosyncratic risks of individuals, insurers themselves face substantial uncertainties due to aggregate shocks. To prevent insurers from passing through aggregate risks to consumers, governments have increasingly adopted dynamic pricing regulations that limit insurers' ability to change premiums over time. This paper develops and estimates an equilibrium model with dynamic pricing and firm entry and uses it to evaluate the design of dynamic pricing regulations in the U.S. long-term care insurance (LTCI) market. We find that stricter dynamic pricing regulation lowers social welfare as the benefit from improved premium stability is outweighed by the cost of reduced insurer participation. The welfare loss from stricter dynamic pricing regulation could be mitigated if the government also expands public LTCI through Medicaid

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w30952
    Schlagworte: Versicherungsbeitrag; Preisregulierung; Versicherungsmarkt; Markteintritt; Wettbewerb; Wohlfahrtsanalyse; USA; Household Saving; Personal Finance; Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies; Health Insurance, Public and Private; Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms; Economics of Regulation
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  12. Transmission Impossible? Prospects for Decarbonizing the US Grid
    Erschienen: June 2023
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    Encouraged by the declining cost of grid-scale renewables, recent analyses conclude that the United States could reach net zero carbon dioxide emissions by 2050 at relatively low cost using currently available technologies. While the cost of... mehr

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    Encouraged by the declining cost of grid-scale renewables, recent analyses conclude that the United States could reach net zero carbon dioxide emissions by 2050 at relatively low cost using currently available technologies. While the cost of renewable generation has declined dramatically, integrating these renewables would require a large expansion in transmission to deliver that power. Already there is growing evidence that the United States has insufficient transmission capacity, and current levels of annual investment are well below what would be required for a renewables-dominated system. We describe a variety of challenges that make it difficult to build new transmission and potential policy responses to mitigate them, as well as possible substitutes for some new transmission capacity

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w31377
    Schlagworte: Stromnetz; Elektrizitätsversorgung; Erneuerbare Energie; Treibhausgas-Emissionen; USA; Economics of Regulation; Electric Utilities; Demand and Supply; Prices; Government Policy
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  13. The Economic Determinants of Heat Pump Adoption
    Autor*in: Davis, Lucas W.
    Erschienen: June 2023
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    One concern with subsidies for low-carbon technologies is that they tend to go predominantly to high-income households. Previous research has shown, for example, that the top income quintile receives 60% of subsidies for rooftop solar and 90% of... mehr

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    One concern with subsidies for low-carbon technologies is that they tend to go predominantly to high-income households. Previous research has shown, for example, that the top income quintile receives 60% of subsidies for rooftop solar and 90% of subsidies for electric vehicles. This paper finds that heat pumps are an important exception. Using newly available U.S. nationally representative data, the paper finds that there is remarkably little correlation between heat pump adoption and household income. Nationwide, 15% of U.S. households have a heat pump as their primary heating equipment, and adoption levels are essentially identical for all income levels ranging from the bottom of the income distribution (<$30,000 annually) to the top ($150,000+). Instead, the paper shows that heat pump adoption is strongly correlated with geography, climate, and electricity prices

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w31344
    Schlagworte: Wärmepumpe; Innovationsakzeptanz; Innovationsdiffusion; USA; Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies; Economics of Regulation; Demand and Supply; Prices; Alternative Energy Sources; Government Policy; Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
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  14. A Model of Influencer Economy
    Erschienen: May 2023
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    With the rise of social media and streaming platforms, firms and brand-owners increasingly depend on influencers to attract consumers, who care about both common product quality and consumer-influencer interaction. Sellers thus compete in both... mehr

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    With the rise of social media and streaming platforms, firms and brand-owners increasingly depend on influencers to attract consumers, who care about both common product quality and consumer-influencer interaction. Sellers thus compete in both influencer and product markets. As outreach and distribution technologies improve, influencer payoffs and income inequality change non-monotonically. More powerful influencers sell better-quality products, but pluralism in style mitigates market concentration by effectively differentiating consumer experience. Influencer style dispersion substitutes horizontal product differentiation but serves as either complement (small dispersion) or substitute (large dispersion) to vertical product differentiation. The assortative matching between sellers and influencers remains under endogenous influence-building, with the maximal differentiation principle recovered in the limit of costless style acquisition. Meanwhile, influencers may under-invest in consumer outreach to avoid exacerbating price competition. Finally, while requiring balanced seller-influencer matching can encourage seller competition, uni-directional exclusivity can improve welfare for sufficiently differentiated products and uncrowded influencer markets

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w31243
    Schlagworte: Influencer; Marketing; Online-Marketing; Werbung; Vertrieb; Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms; General; Economics of Regulation; Marketing; Advertising
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  15. Do conflict of interests disclosures work? Evidence from citations in medical journals
  16. Ending Pay for PBM Performance
    Consequences for Prescription Drug Prices, Utilization, and Government Spending
    Erschienen: September 2023
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    Proposed "delinking" legislation would prohibit Pharmacy Benefit Managers (PBMs) from being remunerated based on the rebates and discounts they negotiate for drug insurance plans serving Medicare beneficiaries. This policy would significantly change... mehr

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    Proposed "delinking" legislation would prohibit Pharmacy Benefit Managers (PBMs) from being remunerated based on the rebates and discounts they negotiate for drug insurance plans serving Medicare beneficiaries. This policy would significantly change drug pricing and utilization and shift billions of dollars annually from patients and taxpayers to drug manufacturers and retail pharmacy companies. Annual federal spending on Medicare Part D premiums would increase $3 billion to $10 billion plus any concomitant increase in Medicare subsidies for out-of-pocket expenses. All of these consequences stem from the fact that PBMs are hired to obtain rebates and discounts but would no longer be compensated based on their results. The quantitative estimates utilize a large body of economic research showing how much "pay for performance" matters for economic outcomes. The price-theoretic models also account for various market frictions and imperfections including market power, coordination costs, tax distortions, and incomplete innovation incentives

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w31667
    Schlagworte: Arzneimittel; Pharmahandel; Gesetzliche Krankenversicherung; Pharmaindustrie; Arzneimittelrecht; USA; Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection; Social Choice; Clubs; Committees; Associations; Health Insurance, Public and Private; Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity; Transactional Relationships; Contracts and Reputation; Networks; Economics of Regulation
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  17. How Learning About Harms Impacts the Optimal Rate of Artificial Intelligence Adoption
    Autor*in: Gans, Joshua
    Erschienen: February 2024
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    This paper examines recent proposals and research suggesting that AI adoption should be delayed until its potential harms are properly understood. It is shown that conclusions regarding the social optimality of delayed AI adoption are sensitive to... mehr

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    This paper examines recent proposals and research suggesting that AI adoption should be delayed until its potential harms are properly understood. It is shown that conclusions regarding the social optimality of delayed AI adoption are sensitive to assumptions regarding the process by which regulators learn about the salience of particular harms. When such learning is by doing -- based on the real-world adoption of AI -- this generally favours acceleration of AI adoption to surface and react to potential harms more quickly. This case is strengthened when AI adoption is potentially reversible. The paper examines how different conclusions regarding the optimality of accelerated or delayed AI adoption influence and are influenced by other policies that may moderate AI harm

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w32105
    Schlagworte: Künstliche Intelligenz; Innovationsakzeptanz; Innovationsdiffusion; Economics of Regulation; Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
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  18. Data, Privacy Laws and Firm Production
    Evidence from the GDPR
    Erschienen: February 2024
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    By regulating how firms collect, store, and use data, privacy laws may change the role of data in production and alter firm demand for information technology inputs. We study how firms respond to privacy laws in the context of the EU's General Data... mehr

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    By regulating how firms collect, store, and use data, privacy laws may change the role of data in production and alter firm demand for information technology inputs. We study how firms respond to privacy laws in the context of the EU's General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) by using seven years of data from a large global cloud-computing provider. Our difference-in-difference estimates indicate that, in response to the GDPR, EU firms decreased data storage by 26% and data processing by 15% relative to comparable US firms, becoming less "data-intensive." To estimate the costs of the GDPR for firms, we propose and estimate a production function where data and computation serve as inputs to the production of "information." We find that data and computation are strong complements in production and that firm responses are consistent with the GDPR, representing a 20% increase in the cost of data on average. Variation in the firm-level effects of the GDPR and industry-level exposure to data, however, drives significant heterogeneity in our estimates of the impact of the GDPR on production costs

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w32146
    Schlagworte: Datenschutz; Unternehmen; Datensicherheit; Datenmanagement; Data Analytics; Produktionskosten; EU-Staaten; Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis; Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms; Economics of Regulation; Information and Internet Services; Computer Software
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  19. Energy Transitions in Regulated Markets
    Erschienen: January 2024
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    Natural gas has replaced coal as the dominant fuel for U.S. electricity generation. However, U.S. states that regulate electric utilities have retired coal more slowly than others. We build a structural model of rate-of-return regulation during an... mehr

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    Natural gas has replaced coal as the dominant fuel for U.S. electricity generation. However, U.S. states that regulate electric utilities have retired coal more slowly than others. We build a structural model of rate-of-return regulation during an energy transition where utilities face tradeoffs between lowering costs and maintaining coal capacity. We find that the current regulatory structure retires only 45% as much coal capacity as a cost minimizer. A regulated utility facing a carbon tax does not lower carbon emissions immediately but retires coal similarly to the social planner. Alternative regulations with faster transitions clash with affordability and reliability goals

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w32088
    Schlagworte: Elektrizitätserzeugung; Kohle; Erdgas; Elektrizitätsversorgung; Strommarkt; Regulierung; Strukturmodell; USA; Economics of Regulation; Electric Utilities; Government Policy; General
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  20. Customer Data Access and Fintech Entry
    Early Evidence from Open Banking
    Erschienen: January 2024
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    Open banking (OB) empowers bank customers to share transaction data with fintechs and other banks. 49 countries have adopted OB policies. Consumer trust in fintechs predicts OB policy adoption and adoption spurs investment in fintechs. UK microdata... mehr

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    Open banking (OB) empowers bank customers to share transaction data with fintechs and other banks. 49 countries have adopted OB policies. Consumer trust in fintechs predicts OB policy adoption and adoption spurs investment in fintechs. UK microdata shows that OB enables: i) consumers to access both financial advice and credit; ii) SMEs to establish new fintech lending relationships. In a calibrated model, OB universally improves welfare through entry and product improvements when used for advice. When used for credit, OB promotes entry and competition by reducing adverse selection, but higher prices for costlier or privacy-conscious consumers partially offset these benefits

     

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  21. Product Liability Litigation and Innovation
    Evidence from Medical Devices
    Erschienen: March 2024
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    We examine the relationship between product liability litigation and innovation by systematically combining data on product liability lawsuits with data on new product introductions in a panel dataset of leading medical device firms. We first... mehr

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    We examine the relationship between product liability litigation and innovation by systematically combining data on product liability lawsuits with data on new product introductions in a panel dataset of leading medical device firms. We first document a decline in the propensity to introduce new products for both defendant firms and other firms operating in litigated device categories. This decline, however, does not spill over to other device categories, and we also do not find any slowing down in firms' patenting activities. We then show that changes in two features of the regulatory environment---(1) the availability of public information regarding adverse events and (2) federal law taking precedence over state law---substantially affect the likelihood of litigation. These changes also provide quasi-exogenous variations in litigation that confirm our baseline findings. Finally, we show that litigation appears to induce firms to develop safer devices. Overall, our findings suggest that product liability litigation affects the rate and direction of technological progress, and that safety regulation and liability regimes interact with one another in significant ways

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w32215
    Schlagworte: Medizinprodukt; Innovation; Medizinprodukteindustrie; Produkthaftung; Rechtsprechung; USA; Tort Law and Product Liability; Forensic Economics; Litigation Process; Economics of Regulation; Management of Technological Innovation and R&D
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  22. Equilibrium Responses to Price Controls
    A Supply-Chain Approach
    Erschienen: March 2024
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    Prices are regulated in many markets, ranging from healthcare to labor to telecommunications. This paper reinterprets the variables in the basic supply-demand model so that both product-definition and quantity are equilibrium outcomes. ... mehr

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    Prices are regulated in many markets, ranging from healthcare to labor to telecommunications. This paper reinterprets the variables in the basic supply-demand model so that both product-definition and quantity are equilibrium outcomes. Specifically, compliance with price controls is achieved by altering the production-factor mix along the supply chain. This approach yields surprising insights into the incidence of price regulations and their effects on the amount of trade. Furthermore, it reveals how many of the short-run effects of price controls can be opposite of what they are in the long run. The supply-chain framework also easily represents business-to-business price controls, which have been more prevalent in policy practice than price-theoretic analysis

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w32216
    Schlagworte: Preisregulierung; Lieferkette; Theorie; Perfect Competition; Input-Output Tables and Analysis; Regulation and Business Law; Economics of Regulation
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  23. Regulation of Access, Pricing, and Planning of High Voltage Transmission in the U.S.
    Erschienen: March 2024
    Verlag:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass

    The U.S. regulation of high-voltage transmission is highly complex and, as a result, generally poorly understood. The complexity is created by separate, but overlapping, jurisdictional authorities of the U.S. federal regulators and those of... mehr

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    The U.S. regulation of high-voltage transmission is highly complex and, as a result, generally poorly understood. The complexity is created by separate, but overlapping, jurisdictional authorities of the U.S. federal regulators and those of individual states, districts, and territories. While U.S. federal regulators have authority over stand-alone transmission service and the regional wholesale power markets that use the transmission grid, state regulators have jurisdiction over both (1) retail electricity services that include the distribution network, the retail cost of transmission service, and often generation service; and (2) the permitting of most new transmission facilities within their states' boundaries. Some of these federal and state regulatory authorities overlap and some of them do not apply to non-jurisdictional transmission providers (such as certain municipal utilities, cooperatives, and federal power marketing agencies) and states (such as Texas) that are not synchronized with the larger regional grid. We summarize this complex structure of transmission regulation in the U.S. and the history of regulations that have created the industry structure and regulatory frameworks that exist today. We provide an overview of how transmission investments are priced and recovered and the planning processes that individual transmission owners and regional grid operators use to plan the necessary expansion of the high-voltage transmission grid. We also point out some of the economic inefficiencies that are created by a combination of balkanized regulatory structures and outdated industry planning practices

     

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    Schriftenreihe: NBER working paper series ; no. w32254
    Schlagworte: Stromnetz; Elektrizitätswirtschaft; Netzregulierung; USA; Economics of Regulation; Electric Utilities; Government Policy
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