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  1. Three green financial policies to address climate risks
    Autor*in: Lamperti, Francesco; Bosetti, Valentina; Roventini, Andrea; Tavoni, Massimo; Treibich, Tania
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  LEM, Laboratory of Economics and Management, Institute of Economics, Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna, Pisa, Italy

    Which policies can increase the resilience of the financial system to climate risks? Recent evidence on the significant impacts of climate change and natural disasters on firms, banks and other financial institutions call for a prompt policy... mehr

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    Which policies can increase the resilience of the financial system to climate risks? Recent evidence on the significant impacts of climate change and natural disasters on firms, banks and other financial institutions call for a prompt policy response. In this paper, we employ a macro-financial agent- based model to study the interaction between climate change, credit and economic dynamics and test a mix of policy interventions. We first show that financial constraints exacerbate the impact of climate shocks on the economy while, at the same time, climate damages to firms make the banking sector more prone to crises. We find that credit provision can both increase firms’ productivity and their financial fragility, with such a trade-off being exacerbated by the effects of climate change. We then test a set of “green” finance policies addressing these risks, while fostering climate change mitigation: i) green Basel-type capital requirements, ii) green public guarantees to credit, and iii) carbon-risk adjustment in credit ratings. All the three policies reduce carbon emissions and the resulting climate impacts, though moderately. However, their effects on financial and real dynamics is not straightforwardly positive. Some combinations of policies fuel credit booms, exacerbating financial instability and increasing public debt. We show that the combination of all three policies leads to a virtuous cycle of (mild) emission reductions, stable financial sector and high economic growth. Additional tools would be needed to fully adapt to climate change. Hence, our results point to the need to complement financial policies cooling down climate-related risks with mitigation policies curbing emissions from real economic activities.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: LEM working paper series ; 2021, 05 (February 2021)
    Schlagworte: Climate change; endogenous growth; financial stability; macroprudential policy; agent-based model
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 61 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Will the economic impact of COVID-19 persist?
    prognosis from 21st century pandemics
    Autor*in: Emmerling, Johannes; Furceri, Davide; Líbano Monteiro, Francisco; Loungani, Prakash; Ostry, Jonathan David; Pizzuto, Pietro; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: April 2021
    Verlag:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    COVID-19 has had a disruptive economic impact in 2020, but how long its impact will persist remains unclear. We offer a prognosis based on an analysis of the effects of five previous major epidemics in this century. We find that these pandemics led... mehr

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    COVID-19 has had a disruptive economic impact in 2020, but how long its impact will persist remains unclear. We offer a prognosis based on an analysis of the effects of five previous major epidemics in this century. We find that these pandemics led to significant and persistent reductions in disposable income, along with increases in unemployment, income inequality and public debt-to-GDP ratios. Energy use and CO2 emissions dropped, but mostly because of the persistent decline in the level of economic activity rather than structural changes in the energy sector. Applying our empirical estimates to project the impact of COVID-19, we foresee significant scarring in economic performance and income distribution through 2025, which be associated with an increase in poverty of about 75 million people. Policy responses more effective than those in the past would be required to forestall these outcomes

     
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    ISBN: 9781513582351
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    Schriftenreihe: IMF working paper ; WP/21, 119
    Schlagworte: COVID-19; pandemics; sustainability; poverty; climate; inequality; Aggregate Factor Income Distribution; Foreign Exchange; Health Behavior; Informal Economy; Underground Econom
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Social interaction and technology adoption
    experimental evidence from improved cookstoves in Mali
    Autor*in: Bonan, Jacopo; Battiston, Pietro; Bleck, Jaimie; LeMay-Boucher, Philippe; Pareglio, Stefano; Sarr, Bassirou; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: [2020]
    Verlag:  Department of Economics, Management and Statistics University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy

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    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: DEMS working paper series ; no. 442 (May 2020)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 69 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Governing climate geoengineering
    side-payments are not enough
    Autor*in: Ghidoni, Riccardo; Abatayo, Anna Lou; Bosetti, Valentina; Casari, Marco; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  Departimento di economia, metodi quantitativi e strategia di impresa, Università degli studi Milano-Bicocca, [Mailand]

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    Schriftenreihe: CefES paper series ; no. 461 (February 2021)
    Schlagworte: climate governance; public good-or-bad; free-driving; transfers; promises; experiment; Coase theorem
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 61 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Will the economic impact of COVID-19 persist?
    prognosis from 21st century pandemics
    Autor*in: Emmerling, Johannes; Furceri, Davide; Líbano Monteiro, Francisco; Loungani, Prakash; Ostry, Jonathan David; Pizzuto, Pietro; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: April 2021
    Verlag:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    COVID-19 has had a disruptive economic impact in 2020, but how long its impact will persist remains unclear. We offer a prognosis based on an analysis of the effects of five previous major epidemics in this century. We find that these pandemics led... mehr

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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
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    COVID-19 has had a disruptive economic impact in 2020, but how long its impact will persist remains unclear. We offer a prognosis based on an analysis of the effects of five previous major epidemics in this century. We find that these pandemics led to significant and persistent reductions in disposable income, along with increases in unemployment, income inequality and public debt-to-GDP ratios. Energy use and CO2 emissions dropped, but mostly because of the persistent decline in the level of economic activity rather than structural changes in the energy sector. Applying our empirical estimates to project the impact of COVID-19, we foresee significant scarring in economic performance and income distribution through 2025, which be associated with an increase in poverty of about 75 million people. Policy responses more effective than those in the past would be required to forestall these outcomes

     
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    Schriftenreihe: IMF working paper ; WP/21, 119
    Schlagworte: COVID-19; pandemics; sustainability; poverty; climate; inequality; Aggregate Factor Income Distribution; Foreign Exchange; Health Behavior; Informal Economy; Underground Econom
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Heterogeneity of social information programs
    the role of identity and values
    Autor*in: Bonan, Jacopo; Cattaneo, Cristina; D'Adda, Giovanna; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: January 2019
    Verlag:  Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano, [Milano]

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    Schriftenreihe: Development studies working papers / Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano ; n. 443
    Schlagworte: Energy consumption; Environmental Identity; Social norms; RCT
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 58 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Learning from nationally determined contributions
    Autor*in: Akimoto, Keigo; Aldy, Joseph E.; Reis, Lara Aleluia; Carraro, Carlo; Pizer, Billy; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: 26 February 2018
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP 12757
    Schlagworte: Internationale Klimapolitik; Klimapolitik; Treibhausgas-Emissionen; Modellierung
    Umfang: 37 Seiten, Illustrationen
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    Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe

    Richtiger Name der Verfasserin: Lara Aleluia Reis
  8. Recalculating the social cost of carbon
    Autor*in: Shayegh, Soheil; Bosetti, Valentina; Dietz, Simon; Emmerling, Johannes; Hambel, Christoph; Jensen, Svenn; Kraft, Holger; Tavoni, Massimo; Traeger, Christian; Ploeg, Frederick van der
    Erschienen: May 2018
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano, Italia

    Over the last few decades, integrated assessment models (IAM) have provided insight into the relationship between climate change, economy, and climate policies. The limitations of these models in capturing uncertainty in climate parameters,... mehr

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    Over the last few decades, integrated assessment models (IAM) have provided insight into the relationship between climate change, economy, and climate policies. The limitations of these models in capturing uncertainty in climate parameters, heterogeneity in damages and policies, have given rise to skepticism about the relevance of these models for policy making. IAM community needs to respond to these critics and to the new challenges posed by developments in the policy arena. New climate targets emerging from the Paris Agreement and the uncertainty about the signatories' commitment to Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) are prime examples of challenges that need to be addressed in the next generation of IAMs. Given these challenges, calculating the social cost of carbon requires a new framework. This can be done by computing marginal abatement cost in cost-effective settings which provides different results than those calculated using constrained cost-benefit analysis. Here we focus on the areas where IAMs can be deployed to asses uncertainty and risk management, learning, and regional heterogeneity in climate change impacts.

     
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    hdl: 10419/191361
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2018, 019
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 9 Seiten)
  9. At the frontiers of integrated assessment of climate change
    distribution, technology policy, and land
    Autor*in: Schultes, Anselm Johannes
    Erschienen: 2017
    Verlag:  Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin

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    Beteiligt: Edenhofer, Ottmar (AkademischeR BetreuerIn); Tavoni, Massimo (AkademischeR BetreuerIn); Hirschhausen, Christian R. von (AkademischeR BetreuerIn)
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Dissertation
    Format: Online
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    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 213 Seiten), Illustrationen
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    Lizenzpflichtig

    Enthält mehrere Beiträge

    Dissertation, Technische Universität Berlin, 2016
  10. Social interaction and technology adoption
    experimental evidence from improved cookstoves in Mali
    Autor*in: Bonan, Jacopo; Battiston, Pietro; Bleck, Jaimie; LeMay-Boucher, Philippe; Pareglio, Stefano; Sarr, Bassirou; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: September 2017
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano

    We investigate the role of social interaction in technology adoption by conducting a field experiment in neighborhoods of Bamako. We invited women to attend a training/marketing session, where information on a more efficient cooking stove was... mehr

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    We investigate the role of social interaction in technology adoption by conducting a field experiment in neighborhoods of Bamako. We invited women to attend a training/marketing session, where information on a more efficient cooking stove was provided and the chance to purchase the product at market price was offered. We randomly provided an information nudge on a peer’s willingness to buy an improved cookstove. We find that women purchase and use the product more when they receive information on a peer who purchased (or previously owned) the product, particularly if she is viewed as respected. In general, we find positive direct and spillover effects of attending the session. We also investigate whether social interaction plays a role in technology diffusion. We find that women who participated in the session, but did not buy during the intervention, are more likely to adopt the product when more women living around them own it. We investigate the mechanisms and provide evidence supporting imitation effects, rather than social learning or constraint interaction.

     
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    Format: Online
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    hdl: 10419/177241
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2017, 47
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 69 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. Social interaction and technology adoption
    experimental evidence from improved cookstoves in Mali
    Autor*in: Bonan, Jacopo; Battiston, Pietro; Bleck, Jaimie; LeMay-Boucher, Philippe; Pareglio, Stefano; Sarr, Bassirou; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: December 2017
    Verlag:  Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano, [Milano]

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    Schriftenreihe: Development studies working papers / Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano ; n. 431
    Schlagworte: Technology Adoption; Social Interaction; Cookstoves; Mali
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 59 Seiten), Illustrationen
  12. The role of carbon capture and storage electricity in attaining 1.5 and 2°C
    Autor*in: Vinca, Adriano; Rottoli, Marianna; Marangoni, Giacomo; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: October 2017
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano, Italia

    The climate targets defined under the Paris agreement of limiting global temperature increase below 1.5 or 2°C require massive deployment of low-carbon options in the energy mix, which is currently dominated by fossil fuels. Scenarios suggest that... mehr

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    The climate targets defined under the Paris agreement of limiting global temperature increase below 1.5 or 2°C require massive deployment of low-carbon options in the energy mix, which is currently dominated by fossil fuels. Scenarios suggest that Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) might play a central role in this transformation, but CCS deployment is stagnating and doubts remain about its techno-economic feasibility. In this article, we carry out a throughout assessment of the role of CCS electricity for a variety of temperature targets, from 1.5 to above 4°C, with particular attention to the lower end of this range. We collect the latest data on CCS economic and technological future prospects to accurately represent several types of CCS plants in the WITCH energy-economy model, We capture uncertainties by means of extensive sensitivity analysis in parameters regarding plants technical aspects, as well as costs and technological progress. Our research suggests that stringent temperature scenarios constrain fossil fuel CCS based deployment, which is maximum for medium policy targets. On the other hand, Biomass CCS, along with renewables, increases with the temperature stringency. Moreover, the relative importance of cost and performance parameters change with the climate target. Cost uncertainty matters in less stringent policy cases, whereas performance matters for lower temperature targets.

     
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    hdl: 10419/177248
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2017, 054
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 26 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. It's so hot in here
    information avoidance, moral wiggle room, and high air conditioning usage
    Autor*in: D'Adda, Giovanna; Gao, Yu; Golman, Russell; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: February 2018
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano, Italia

    Environmental policies based on information provision are widespread, but have often proven ineffective. One possible explanation for information’s low effectiveness is that people actively avoid it. We conduct an online field experiment on air... mehr

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    Environmental policies based on information provision are widespread, but have often proven ineffective. One possible explanation for information’s low effectiveness is that people actively avoid it. We conduct an online field experiment on air conditioning usage to test the theory of moral wiggle room, according to which people avoid information that would compel them to act morally, against the standard theory of information acquisition, and identify conditions under which each theory applies. In the experiment, we observe how exogenously imposing a feeling of moral obligation to reduce air conditioning usage and exploiting natural variation in the cost of doing so, given by outside temperature, influences subjects’ avoidance of information about their energy use impacts on the environment. Moral obligation increases information avoidance when it is hot outside, consistent with the moral wiggle room theory, but decreases it when outside temperature is low. Avoiding information positively correlates with air conditioning usage. These findings provide guidance about tailoring the use of nudges and informational tools to the decision environment.

     
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    hdl: 10419/177259
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2018, 007
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. Optimal carbon dioxide removal in face of ocean carbon sink feedback
    Autor*in: Manoussi, Vassiliki; Shayegh, Soheil; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: December 2017
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano, Italia

    Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is a potentially important climate strategy for attaining low climate stabilization objectives. However, climate analysis has indicated a possible weakening of the ocean carbon sinks -the largest in the world- in relation... mehr

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    Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is a potentially important climate strategy for attaining low climate stabilization objectives. However, climate analysis has indicated a possible weakening of the ocean carbon sinks -the largest in the world- in relation to CDR deployment. Here, we provide an economic appraisal to assess the sensitivity of CDR and conventional abatement to CO2 outgassing from the oceans. We develop a theoretical framework to study the impact of the ocean-to-atmosphere transfer on the optimal mitigation strategies under different regimes that control the relationship between CO2 outgassing and the amount of CDR. We show that the optimal levels of emissions and CDR are correlated to the effectiveness of CDR expressed as a linear function of atmospheric concentrations. We incorporate this effect into an integrated assessment model of climate and economy (DICE model) and confirm the theoretical findings with numerical simulations. Further, we perform a sensitivity analysis to find the range of optimal abatement and CDR actions under different values of the CDR effectiveness coefficient.

     
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    hdl: 10419/177251
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2017, 057
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 24 Seiten), Illustrationen
  15. Quantifying non-cooperative climate engineering
    Autor*in: Emmerling, Johannes; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: December 2017
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano, Italia

    The mismatch between actions to combat climate change, which are based on voluntary national initiatives of limited effort, and the recognition of the importance of global warming is growing. Climate engineering via solar radiation management has... mehr

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    The mismatch between actions to combat climate change, which are based on voluntary national initiatives of limited effort, and the recognition of the importance of global warming is growing. Climate engineering via solar radiation management has been proposed as a possible complement to traditional climate policies. However, climate engineering entails specific risks, including its governance. Free driving, the possibility of unilateral climate engineering to the detriment of other nations, has been recently proposed as a potentially powerful additional externality to the traditional free riding one (Weitzman, 2015). This paper provides the first quantitative evaluation of the risks of free driving. Our results indicate that in a strategic setting there is significant over-provision (by almost an order of magnitude) of climate engineering above what is socially optimal, resulting in a sub-optimal global climate. Regions with high climate change impacts, most notably India and developing Asia, deploy climate engineering at the expenses of other regions.

     
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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/177252
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2017, 058
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 31 Seiten), Illustrationen
  16. Delayed participation of developing countries to climate agreements
    should action in the EU and US be postponed?
    Autor*in: Bosetti, Valentina; Carraro, Carlo; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: 2008
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 6967
    Schlagworte: Klimawandel; Treibhausgas-Emissionen; Umweltkosten; Umweltpolitik; Umweltabkommen; Mitgliedschaft; Entwicklungsländer; Welt
    Weitere Schlagworte: United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (1992); Array; Array; Array; Emissions trading
    Umfang: 17 S.
  17. Climate change mitigation strategies in fast-growing countries
    the benefits of early action
    Autor*in: Bosetti, Valentina; Carraro, Carlo; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: 2009
    Verlag:  CESifo, München

    This paper builds on the assumption that OECD countries are (or will soon be) taking actions to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions. These actions, however, will not be sufficient to control global warming, unless developing countries also get... mehr

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    This paper builds on the assumption that OECD countries are (or will soon be) taking actions to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions. These actions, however, will not be sufficient to control global warming, unless developing countries also get involved in the cooperative effort to reduce GHG emissions. This paper investigates the best short-term strategies that emerging economies can adopt in reacting to OECD countrie's mitigation effort, given the common long-term goal to prevent excessive warming without hampering economic growth. Results indicate that developing countries would incur substantial economic losses by following a myopic strategy that disregards climate in the short-run, and that their optimal investment behaviour is to anticipate the implementation of a climate policy by roughly 10 years. Investing in innovation ahead of time is also found to be advantageous. The degree of policy anticipation is shown to be important in determining the financial transfers of an international carbon market meant to provide incentives for the participation of developing countries. This is especially relevant for China, whose recent and foreseeable trends of investments in innovation are consistent with the adoption of domestic emission reduction obligations in 2030. -- energy-economy modelling ; climate policy ; developing countries

     
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/30551
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2742
    Schlagworte: Klimaschutz; Innovation; Investition; Energieökonomik; Nord-Süd-Beziehungen; Schwellenländer; Schwellenländer; Entwicklungsländer; Industrieländer
    Umfang: Online-Ressource ( 28 S.)
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  18. Counting only the hits?
    the risk of underestimating the costs of stringent climate policy
    Autor*in: Tavoni, Massimo; Tol, Richard S. J.
    Erschienen: 2009
    Verlag:  Economic and Social Research Inst., Dublin

    This paper warns against the risk of underestimating the costs -and the uncertainty about the costs- of achieving stringent stabilization targets. We argue that a straightforward review of integrated assessment models results produces biased... mehr

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    This paper warns against the risk of underestimating the costs -and the uncertainty about the costs- of achieving stringent stabilization targets. We argue that a straightforward review of integrated assessment models results produces biased estimates for the more ambitious climate objectives such as those compatible with the 2°C of the European Union and the G8. The magnitude and range of estimates are significantly reduced because only the most optimistic results are reported for such targets. We suggest a procedure that addresses this partiality. The results show highly variable costs for the most difficult scenarios.

     
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    hdl: 10419/50088
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / The Economic and Social Research Institute ; 324
    Schlagworte: Umweltpolitik; Klimaschutz; Kosten; Wohlfahrtsanalyse; EU-Staaten; G7-Staaten
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 22 S.), graph. Darst.
  19. Climate change mitigation strategies in fast-growing countries
    the benefits of early action
    Autor*in: Tavoni, Massimo; Bosetti, Valentina; Carraro, Carlo
    Erschienen: 2009
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano

    This paper builds on the assumption that OECD countries are (or will soon be) taking actions to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions. These actions, however, will not be sufficient to control global warming, unless developing countries also get... mehr

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    This paper builds on the assumption that OECD countries are (or will soon be) taking actions to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions. These actions, however, will not be sufficient to control global warming, unless developing countries also get involved in the cooperative effort to reduce GHG emissions. This paper investigates the best short-term strategies that emerging economies can adopt in reacting to OECD countries' mitigation effort, given the common long-term goal to prevent excessive warming without hampering economic growth. Results indicate that developing countries would incur substantial economic losses by following a myopic strategy that disregards climate in the short-run, and that their optimal investment behaviour is to anticipate the implementation of a climate policy by roughly 10 years. Investing in innovation ahead of time is also found to be advantageous. The degree of policy anticipation is shown to be important in determining the financial transfers of an international carbon market meant to provide incentives for the participation of developing countries. This is especially relevant for China, whose recent and foreseeable trends of investments in innovation are consistent with the adoption of domestic emission reduction obligations in 2030. -- Energy-economy Modeling ; Climate Policy ; Developing Countries

     
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    hdl: 10419/53175
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 53.2009
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 28 S., 375,97 KB), graph. Darst.
  20. Safe vs. fair
    a formidable trade-off in tackling climate change
    Autor*in: Tavoni, Massimo; Chakravarty, Shoibal; Socolow, Robert
    Erschienen: 2011
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano

    Global warming requires a response characterized by forward-looking management of atmospheric carbon and respect for ethical principles. Both safety and fairness must be pursued, and there are severe trade-offs as these are intertwined by the limited... mehr

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    Global warming requires a response characterized by forward-looking management of atmospheric carbon and respect for ethical principles. Both safety and fairness must be pursued, and there are severe trade-offs as these are intertwined by the limited headroom for additional atmospheric CO2 emissions. This paper provides a simple numerical mapping at the aggregated level of developed vs. developing countries in which safety and fairness are formulated in terms of cumulative emissions and cumulative per capita emissions respectively. It becomes evident that safety and fairness cannot be achieved simultaneously for strict definitions of both. The paper further posits potential global trading in future cumulative emissions budgets in a world where financial transactions compensate for physical emissions: the safe vs. fair trade-off is less severe but remains formidable. Finally, we explore very large deployments of engineered carbon sinks and show that roughly 1000 GtCO2 of cumulative negative emissions over the century are required to have a significant effect, a remarkable scale of deployment. We also identify the unexplored issue of how such sinks might be treated in sub-global carbon accounting. -- Climate Policy ; Burden Sharing ; Negative Emissions

     
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    hdl: 10419/53401
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 61.2011
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 54 S., 549,26 KB), graph. Darst.
  21. Clean or "dirty" energy
    evidence on a renewable energy resource curse
    Autor*in: Gennaioli, Caterina; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: 2011
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano

    The aim of this paper is to provide an assessment of the potential for resource curse in the renewable energy sector. Taking a political economy approach, we analyze the link between public support schemes for renewable energy and the potential scope... mehr

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    The aim of this paper is to provide an assessment of the potential for resource curse in the renewable energy sector. Taking a political economy approach, we analyze the link between public support schemes for renewable energy and the potential scope for rent seeking and corruption. The insights of a model of political influence by interest groups are tested empirically using a panel data of Italian provinces for the period 1990-2007. We find evidence that a curse exists in the case of wind energy, and specifically that: i) criminal association activity increased more in high-wind provinces and especially after the introduction of a more favourable public policy regime and, ii) the expansion of the wind energy sector has been driven by both the wind level and the quality of political institutions, through their effect on criminal association. The analysis points out that in the presence of poor institutions, efficient market-based policies can have an adverse impact. This has important normative implications especially for countries that are characterized by abundant renewable resources and weak institutions, and are thus more susceptible to the private exploitation of public incentives. -- Corruption ; Natural Resources Curse ; Wind Energy ; Political Economy

     
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    hdl: 10419/53279
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 63.2011
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 40 S., 1,20 MB), graph. Darst., Kt.
  22. Delayed participation of developing countries to climate agreements: should action in the EU and US be postponed?
    Autor*in: Bosetti, Valentina; Carraro, Carlo; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: 2008
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano

    This paper analyses the cost implications for climate policy in developed countries if developing countries are unwilling to adopt measures to reduce their own GHG emissions. First, we assume that a 450 CO2 (550 CO2e) ppmv stabilisation target is to... mehr

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    This paper analyses the cost implications for climate policy in developed countries if developing countries are unwilling to adopt measures to reduce their own GHG emissions. First, we assume that a 450 CO2 (550 CO2e) ppmv stabilisation target is to be achieved and that Non Annex1 (NA1) countries decide to delay their GHG emission reductions by 30 years. What would be the cost difference between this scenario and a case in which both developed and developing countries start reducing their emissions at the same time? Then, we look at a scenario in which the timing of developing countries' participation is uncertain and again we compute the costs of climate policy in developed and developing countries. We find that delayed participation of NA1 countries has a negative impact on climate policy costs. Economic inefficiencies can be as large as 10-25 TlnUSD. However, this additional cost wanes when developing countries are allowed to trade emission reductions from their baseline emission paths during the 30-year delay period. Thus, irrespective of whether NA1 countries are immediately assigned an emission reduction target or not, they should nonetheless be included in a global carbon market. Technology deployment is also affected by the timing of developing countries’ mitigation measures. Delayed NA1-country participation in a climate agreement would scale down the deployment of coal with CCS throughout the century. On the other hand, innovation in the form of energy R&D investments would be positively affected, since it would become crucial in developed countries. Finally, uncertainty about the timing of NA1-country participation does not modify the optimal abatement strategy for developed countries and does not alter policy costs as long as a global carbon market is in place. -- Delayed Action ; Climate Policy ; Stabilisation Costs ; Uncertain Participation

     
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    hdl: 10419/53317
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 70.2008
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 17 S., 236,90 KB), graph. Darst.
  23. Energy poverty alleviation and climate change mitigation
    is there a trade off?
    Autor*in: Chakravarty, Shoibal; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: 2013
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano

    Energy poverty alleviation has become an important political issue in the most recent years. Several initiatives and policies have been proposed to deal with poor access to modern sources of energy in many developing countries. Given the large number... mehr

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    Energy poverty alleviation has become an important political issue in the most recent years. Several initiatives and policies have been proposed to deal with poor access to modern sources of energy in many developing countries. Given the large number of people lacking basic energy services, an important question is whether providing universal access to modern energy could significantly increase CO2 emissions. This paper provides one of the few formal assessments of this problem by means of a simple but robust model of current and future energy consumption. The model allows mapping energy consumption globally for different classes of energy use, quantifying current and future imbalances in the distribution of energy consumption. Our results indicate that an energy poverty eradication policy to be met by 2030 would increase global final energy consumption by about 7% (or 19EJ). This is the same quantity of energy which would be added between now and 2030 by individuals with energy consumption above current European standards. The additional energy infrastructure needed to eradicate energy poverty would produce 16-131 GtCO2 over the 21st century and contribute at most 0.1C of additional warming. -- Energy Poverty ; Climate Change ; Household Energy Consumption

     
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    hdl: 10419/72994
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 25.2013
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (17 S.), graph. Darst.
  24. Geoengineering and abatement
    a "flat" relationship under uncertainty
    Autor*in: Emmerling, Johannes; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: 2013
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano

    The potential of geoengineering as an alternative or complementary option to mitigation and adaptation has received increased interest in recent years. The scientific assessment of geoengineering is driven to a large extent by assumptions about its... mehr

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    The potential of geoengineering as an alternative or complementary option to mitigation and adaptation has received increased interest in recent years. The scientific assessment of geoengineering is driven to a large extent by assumptions about its effectiveness, costs, and impacts, all of which are highly uncertain. This has led to a polarizing debate. This paper evaluates the role of Solar Radiation Management (SRM) on the optimal abatement path, focusing on the uncertainty about the effectiveness of SRM and the interaction with uncertain climate change response. Using standard economic models of dynamic decision theory under uncertainty, we show that abatement is decreasing in the probability of success of SRM, but that this relation is concave and thus that significant abatement reductions are optimal only if SRM is very likely to be effective. The results are confirmed even when considering positive correlation structures between the effectiveness of geoengineering and the magnitude of climate change. Using a stochastic version of an Integrated Assessment Model, the results are found to be robust for a wide range of parameters specification. -- Geoengineering ; Mitigation ; Climate Policy ; Uncertainty

     
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    hdl: 10419/72957
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 31.2013
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (34 S.), graph. Darst.
  25. The influence of economic growth, population, and fossil fuel scarcity on energy investments
    Autor*in: De Cian, Enrica; Sferra, Fabio; Tavoni, Massimo
    Erschienen: 2013
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano

    This paper examines the dynamics of energy investments and clean energy Research and Development (R&D) using a scenario-based modeling approach. Starting from the global scenarios proposed in the RoSE model ensemble experiment, we analyze the... mehr

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    This paper examines the dynamics of energy investments and clean energy Research and Development (R&D) using a scenario-based modeling approach. Starting from the global scenarios proposed in the RoSE model ensemble experiment, we analyze the dynamics of investments under different assumptions regarding economic and population growth as well as availability of fossil fuel resources, in the absence of a climate policy. Our analysis indicates that economic growth and the speed of income convergence across countries matters for improvements in energy efficiency, both via dedicated R&D investments but mostly through capital-energy substitution. In contrast, fossil fuel prices, by changing the relative competitiveness of energy sources, create an economic opportunity for radical innovation in the energy sector. Indeed, our results suggest that fossil fuel availability is the key driver of investments in low carbon energy innovation. However, this innovation, by itself, is not sufficient to induce emission reductions compatible with climate stabilization objectives.

     
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    hdl: 10419/75429
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 59.2013
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (19 S.), graph. Darst.