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  1. The backlash of globalization
    Autor*in: Colantone, Italo; Ottaviano, Gianmarco I. P.; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: September 2021
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    We review the literature on the globalization backlash, seen as the political shift of voters and parties in a protectionist and isolationist direction, with substantive implications on governments' leaning and enacted policies. Using newly assembled... mehr

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    We review the literature on the globalization backlash, seen as the political shift of voters and parties in a protectionist and isolationist direction, with substantive implications on governments' leaning and enacted policies. Using newly assembled data for 23 advanced democracies, we document a protectionist and isolationist shift in electorates, legislatures, and executives from the mid-1990s onwards. This is associated with a noticeable protectionist shift in trade policy - although with some notable nuances - especially since the financial crisis of 2008. We discuss the economics of the backlash. From a theoretical perspective, we highlight how the backlash may arise within standard trade models when taking into account the ‘social footprint’ of globalization. Then, we review the empirical literature on the drivers of the backlash. Two main messages emerge from our analysis: (1) globalization is a significant driver of the backlash, by means of the distributional consequences entailed by rising trade exposure; yet (2) the backlash is only partly determined by trade. Technological change, crisis-driven fiscal austerity, immigration, and cultural concerns are found to play an important role in creating politically consequential cleavages. Looking ahead, we discuss possible future developments, with specific focus on the issue of social mobility.

     
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    hdl: 10419/245470
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working paper ; no. 9289 (2021)
    Schlagworte: Globalisierung; Bibliometrie; Welt; globalization; social footprint; backlash
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 88 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. The backlash of globalization
    Autor*in: Colantone, Italo; Ottaviano, Gianmarco I. P.; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and Political Science, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Performance ; no. 1800 (September 2021)
    Schlagworte: globalization; protectionist and isolationist direction
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 89 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. The backlash of globalization
    Autor*in: Colantone, Italo; Ottaviano, Gianmarco I. P.; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: 07 September 2021
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP16521
    Schlagworte: Globalisierung; Bibliometrie; Welt
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 89 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. We were the robots
    automation and voting behavior in Western Europe
    Autor*in: Anelli, Massimo; Colantone, Italo; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: [2019]
    Verlag:  Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration, Department of Economics, University College London, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper series / Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration ; CPD 19, 17
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 47 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Voting for tomorrow
    climate change, environmental concern, and green voting
    Autor*in: Hoffmann, Roman; Muttarak, Raya; Peisker, Jonas; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  Università Bocconi, The Dondena Centre, Milan, Italy

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    Schriftenreihe: Dondena working papers ; no. 146 (June 2021)
    Schlagworte: voting; climate change; environment; green voting
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 61 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Fighting populism on its own turf
    experimental evidence
    Autor*in: Galasso, Vincenzo; Morelli, Massimo; Nannicini, Tommaso; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: June 2022
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    We evaluate how traditional parties may respond to populist parties on issues that are particularly fitting for populist messages. The testing ground is the 2020 Italian referendum on the reduction of members of Parliament. We implement a large-scale... mehr

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    We evaluate how traditional parties may respond to populist parties on issues that are particularly fitting for populist messages. The testing ground is the 2020 Italian referendum on the reduction of members of Parliament. We implement a large-scale field experiment, with almost one million impressions of programmatic advertising, and a survey experiment. Our treatments are an informative video on the likely costs of cutting MPs, aimed at deconstructing the populist narrative, and a reducing trust video aimed at attacking the credibility of populist politicians. Our field experiment shows that the latter video is more effective at capturing the viewers' attention. It decreases the turnout rate and, albeit less, the "Yes" votes (in favor of cutting MPs). We present a theoretical framework based on trust in traditional parties and information acquisition to account for our findings and provide additional predictions. In the survey experiment, both (unskippable) videos reduce the "Yes" votes and increase the share of undecided. Confirming the theory, for voters of traditional parties the effects are concentrated among people with low information, while for voters of populist parties previous information plays no role. Our findings show that campaign messages should target not only demographic characteristics but also trust attitudes.

     
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    hdl: 10419/263719
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working paper ; no. 9789 (2022)
    Schlagworte: field experiment; programmatic advertisement; electoral campaign
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 47 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Fighting populism on its own turf
    experimental evidence
    Autor*in: Galasso, Vincenzo; Morelli, Massimo; Nannicini, Tommaso; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: 11 June 2022
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP17380
    Schlagworte: field experiment; programmatic advertisement; Electoral Campaign
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 48 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. The social footprint of globalization
    towards the introduction of strategic industries in quantitative trade models
    Autor*in: Colantone, Italo; Ottaviano, Gianmarco I. P.; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: 08 February 2024
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

    We argue that our understanding of industrial policy in the presence of `strategic' industries that exert positive externalities on the national economy may benefit from an extension of quantitative general equilibrium trade models making the extent... mehr

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    We argue that our understanding of industrial policy in the presence of `strategic' industries that exert positive externalities on the national economy may benefit from an extension of quantitative general equilibrium trade models making the extent and pattern of trade-induced reallocations more salient. To make these features relevant for national welfare, we introduce the notion of the `social footprint' of globalization as the result of suboptimal trade-induced structural transformation in the presence of externalities. For proof of concept, we use simple workhorse models featuring two countries and two industries (only one of which is `strategic') to highlight the role of the `scale elasticity' of the strategic industry and the consequences of the most common assumptions on market structure in quantitative trade analyses.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP18820
    Schlagworte: agriculture; Text as data
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. The populist dynamic
    experimental evidence on the effects of countering populism
    Autor*in: Galasso, Vincenzo; Morelli, Massimo; Nannicini, Tommaso; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: 12 February 2024
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

    We evaluate how traditional parties may respond to populist parties on issues aligning with populist messages. During the 2020 Italian referendum on the reduction of members of Parliament, we conducted a large-scale field experiment, exposing 200... mehr

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    Universität Potsdam, Universitätsbibliothek
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    uneingeschränkte Fernleihe, Kopie und Ausleihe

     

    We evaluate how traditional parties may respond to populist parties on issues aligning with populist messages. During the 2020 Italian referendum on the reduction of members of Parliament, we conducted a large-scale field experiment, exposing 200 municipalities to nearly a million impressions of programmatic advertisement. Our treatments comprised two video ads against the reform: one debunking populist rhetoric and another attributing blame to populist politicians. This anti-populist campaign proved effective through demobilization, as it reduced both turnout and the votes in favor of the reform. Notably, the effects were more pronounced in municipalities with lower rates of college graduates, higher unemployment, and a history of populist votes. This exogenous influence introduced a unique populist dynamic, observable in the 2022 national election where treated municipalities showed increased support for Brothers of Italy, a rising populist party, and decreased support for both traditional parties and the populists behind the 2020 reform. A follow-up survey further showed increased political interest and diminished trust in political institutions among the residents of municipalities targeted by the campaign.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP18826
    Schlagworte: Voting; Populism; Randomized controlled trial
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 81 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. The populist dynamic
    experimental evidence on the effects of countering populism
    Autor*in: Galasso, Vincenzo; Morelli, Massimo; Nannicini, Tommaso; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: 12 February 2024
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

    We evaluate how traditional parties may respond to populist parties on issues aligning with populist messages. During the 2020 Italian referendum on the reduction of members of Parliament, we conducted a large-scale field experiment, exposing 200... mehr

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    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
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    Bibliotheks-und Informationssystem der Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg (BIS)
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    Standort:
    Universität Potsdam, Universitätsbibliothek
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    We evaluate how traditional parties may respond to populist parties on issues aligning with populist messages. During the 2020 Italian referendum on the reduction of members of Parliament, we conducted a large-scale field experiment, exposing 200 municipalities to nearly a million impressions of programmatic advertisement. Our treatments comprised two video ads against the reform: one debunking populist rhetoric and another attributing blame to populist politicians. This anti-populist campaign proved effective through demobilization, as it reduced both turnout and the votes in favor of the reform. Notably, the effects were more pronounced in municipalities with lower rates of college graduates, higher unemployment, and a history of populist votes. This exogenous influence introduced a unique populist dynamic, observable in the 2022 national election where treated municipalities showed increased support for Brothers of Italy, a rising populist party, and decreased support for both traditional parties and the populists behind the 2020 reform. A follow-up survey further showed increased political interest and diminished trust in political institutions among the residents of municipalities targeted by the campaign.

     
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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP18826
    Schlagworte: Voting; Populism; Randomized controlled trial
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 81 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. The populist dynamic
    experimental evidence on the effects of countering populism
    Autor*in: Galasso, Vincenzo; Morelli, Massimo; Nannicini, Tommaso; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: February 2024
    Verlag:  CESifo, Munich, Germany

    We evaluate how traditional parties may respond to populist parties on issues aligning with populist messages. During the 2020 Italian referendum on the reduction of members of Parliament, we conducted a large-scale field experiment, exposing 200... mehr

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    Standort:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    DS 63
    Fernleihe:
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    We evaluate how traditional parties may respond to populist parties on issues aligning with populist messages. During the 2020 Italian referendum on the reduction of members of Parliament, we conducted a large-scale field experiment, exposing 200 municipalities to nearly a million impressions of programmatic advertisement. Our treatments comprised two video ads against the reform: one debunking populist rhetoric and another attributing blame to populist politicians. This anti-populist campaign proved effective through demobilization, as it reduced both turnout and the votes in favor of the reform. Notably, the effects were more pronounced in municipalities with lower rates of college graduates, higher unemployment, and a history of populist votes. This exogenous influence introduced a unique populist dynamic, observable in the 2022 national election where treated municipalities showed increased support for Brothers of Italy, a rising populist party, and decreased support for both traditional parties and the populists behind the 2020 reform. A follow-up survey further showed increased political interest and diminished trust in political institutions among the residents of municipalities targeted by the campaign.

     
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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/296038
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working papers ; 10949 (2024)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 80 Seiten), Illustrationen
  12. The social footprint of globalization
    towards the introduction of strategic industries in quantitative trade models
    Autor*in: Colantone, Italo; Ottaviano, Gianmarco I. P.; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: 08 February 2024
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

    We argue that our understanding of industrial policy in the presence of `strategic' industries that exert positive externalities on the national economy may benefit from an extension of quantitative general equilibrium trade models making the extent... mehr

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    Verlag (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)
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    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    LZ 161
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    Standort:
    Bibliotheks-und Informationssystem der Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg (BIS)
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    Standort:
    Universität Potsdam, Universitätsbibliothek
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    keine Fernleihe

     

    We argue that our understanding of industrial policy in the presence of `strategic' industries that exert positive externalities on the national economy may benefit from an extension of quantitative general equilibrium trade models making the extent and pattern of trade-induced reallocations more salient. To make these features relevant for national welfare, we introduce the notion of the `social footprint' of globalization as the result of suboptimal trade-induced structural transformation in the presence of externalities. For proof of concept, we use simple workhorse models featuring two countries and two industries (only one of which is `strategic') to highlight the role of the `scale elasticity' of the strategic industry and the consequences of the most common assumptions on market structure in quantitative trade analyses.

     
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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP18820
    Schlagworte: agriculture; Text as data
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. The populist dynamic
    experimental evidence on the effects of countering populism
    Autor*in: Galasso, Vincenzo; Morelli, Massimo; Nannicini, Tommaso; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: February 2024
    Verlag:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    We evaluate how traditional parties may respond to populist parties on issues aligning with populist messages. During the 2020 Italian referendum on the reduction of members of Parliament, we conducted a large-scale field experiment, exposing 200... mehr

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    DS 4
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    We evaluate how traditional parties may respond to populist parties on issues aligning with populist messages. During the 2020 Italian referendum on the reduction of members of Parliament, we conducted a large-scale field experiment, exposing 200 municipalities to nearly a million impressions of programmatic advertisement. Our treatments comprised two video ads against the reform: one debunking populist rhetoric and another attributing blame to populist politicians. This anti-populist campaign proved effective through demobilization, as it reduced both turnout and the votes in favor of the reform. Notably, the effects were more pronounced in municipalities with lower rates of college graduates, higher unemployment, and a history of populist votes. This exogenous influence introduced a unique populist dynamic, observable in the 2022 national election where treated municipalities showed increased support for Brothers of Italy, a rising populist party, and decreased support for both traditional parties and the populists behind the 2020 reform. A follow-up survey further showed increased political interest and diminished trust in political institutions among the residents of municipalities targeted by the campaign.

     
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    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 16796
    Schlagworte: voting; populism; randomized controlled trial
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 80 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. The social footprint of globalization
    owards the introduction of strategic industries in quantitative trade models
    Autor*in: Colantone, Italo; Ottaviano, Gianmarco I. P.; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: [2024]
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and Political Science, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Performance ; no. 1973 (January 2024)
    Schlagworte: globalization; quantitative trade models; trade liberalization; market structure; externalities; strategic industries
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  15. We were the robots
    automation and voting behavior in Western Europe
    Autor*in: Anelli, Massimo; Colantone, Italo; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: [2019]
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    We investigate the impact of robot adoption on electoral outcomes in 14 Western European countries, between 1993 and 2016. We employ both official election results at the district level and individual-level voting data, combined with party ideology... mehr

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    DS 63
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    We investigate the impact of robot adoption on electoral outcomes in 14 Western European countries, between 1993 and 2016. We employ both official election results at the district level and individual-level voting data, combined with party ideology scores from the Manifesto Project. We measure exposure to automation both at the regional level, based on the ex-ante industry specialization of each region, and at the individual level, based on individual characteristics and pre-sample employment patterns in the region of residence. We instrument robot adoption in each country using the pace of robot adoption in other countries. Higher exposure to robot adoption is found to increase support for nationalist and radical-right parties. Unveiling some potential transmission channels, higher robot exposure at the individual level leads to poorer perceived economic conditions and well-being, lower satisfaction with the government and democracy, and a reduction in perceived political self-efficacy.

     
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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/201984
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; no. 7758 (July 2019)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 48 Seiten), Illustrationen
  16. We were the robots
    automation and voting behavior in Western Europe
    Autor*in: Anelli, Massimo; Colantone, Italo; Stanig, Piero
    Erschienen: July 2019
    Verlag:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    We investigate the impact of robot adoption on electoral outcomes in 14 Western European countries, between 1993 and 2016. We employ both official election results at the district level and individual-level voting data, combined with party ideology... mehr

    Standort:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signatur:
    DS 4
    Fernleihe:
    keine Fernleihe

     

    We investigate the impact of robot adoption on electoral outcomes in 14 Western European countries, between 1993 and 2016. We employ both official election results at the district level and individual-level voting data, combined with party ideology scores from the Manifesto Project. We measure exposure to automation both at the regional level, based on the ex-ante industry specialization of each region, and at the individual level, based on individual characteristics and pre-sample employment patterns in the region of residence. We instrument robot adoption in each country using the pace of robot adoption in other countries. Higher exposure to robot adoption is found to increase support for nationalist and radicalright parties. Unveiling some potential transmission channels, higher robot exposure at the individual level leads to poorer perceived economic conditions andwell-being, lower satisfaction with the government and democracy, and a reduction in perceived political self-efficacy.

     
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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/202831
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 12485
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 48 Seiten), Illustrationen