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  1. Fairness- and cost-effectiveness-based approaches to effort-sharing under the Paris agreement
    im Rahmen des UFOPLAN-Vorhabens "Implikationen des Pariser Klimaschutzabkommens auf nationale Klimaschutzanstrengungen"

    The current nationally determined contributions of the Parties to the Paris Agree-ment are far from being sufficient to achieve the long-term goal to limit global warming. Therefore, the question of how to distribute the global mitigation burden... mehr

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    Fachhochschule Erfurt, Hochschulbibliothek
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 224
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    The current nationally determined contributions of the Parties to the Paris Agree-ment are far from being sufficient to achieve the long-term goal to limit global warming. Therefore, the question of how to distribute the global mitigation burden among the Parties in a fair and cost-effective way remains topical. In this paper, approaches based on different fairness criteria and the criterion of cost-effective-ness are applied to a global emission budget compatible with the Paris targets and evaluated for the globally largest emitters including the EU as well as Ger-many. The results show that domestic mitigation efforts need to be increased in the majority of those countries even more than for the below-2°C limit of the Can-cun Agreements. Moreover, even if the cost-effective level is assumed to be reached, there remains a strong need for support by the historical large emitters to others from a fairness perspective. Die derzeitigen national festgelegten Beiträge der Vertragsparteien des Pariser Abkommens reichen bei weitem nicht aus, um das langfristige Ziel zur Begren-zung der Erderwärmung zu erreichen. Daher bleibt die Frage, wie die globale Minderungslast auf faire und kostengünstige Weise auf die Vertragsparteien ver-teilt werden kann, aktuell. In diesem Beitrag werden Ansätze, die auf unterschied-lichen Fairnesskriterien und dem Kriterium der Kosteneffizienz basieren, auf ein globales Emissionsbudget angewendet, das mit den Pariser Zielen vereinbar ist, und für die weltweit größten Emittenten einschließlich der EU und Deutschlands ausgewertet. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass die inländischen Minderungsmaßnah-men in den meisten dieser Länder noch mehr verstärkt werden müssen als für die in den Cancun-Abkommen festgelegten Grenze von unter 2°C. Selbst wenn davon ausgegangen wird, dass das kosteneffektive Niveau erreicht wird, besteht aus einer Fairnessperspektive darüber hinaus ein großer Bedarf an Unterstüt-zung durch die historischen Großemittenten ggü anderen.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/197993
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper sustainability and innovation ; no. S 2019, 04
    Schlagworte: Treibhausgas-Emissionen; Umweltabkommen; Internationale Klimapolitik; Gerechtigkeit
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 63 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. A numerical analysis of optimal extraction and trade of oil under climate policy
    Erschienen: 2010
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano

    We introduce endogenous investments for increasing conventional and non-conventional oil extraction capacity in the integrated assessment model WITCH. The international price of oil emerges as the Nash equilibrium of a non-cooperative game. When... mehr

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 125 (2010,113)
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    We introduce endogenous investments for increasing conventional and non-conventional oil extraction capacity in the integrated assessment model WITCH. The international price of oil emerges as the Nash equilibrium of a non-cooperative game. When carbon emissions are not constrained, oil is used throughout the century, with unconventional oil taking over conventional oil from mid-century onward. When carbon emissions are constrained, oil consumption drops dramatically and the oil price is lower than in the BaU. Unconventional oil is not extracted. Regional imbalances in the distribution of stabilisation costs are magnified and the oil-exporting countries bear, on average, costs three times larger than in previous estimates. -- Climate Policy ; Integrated Assessment ; Oil Production ; Oil Revenues ; Oil Trade

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/43530
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 113.2010
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 46 S., 458,36 KB), graph. Darst.
  3. The influence of economic growth, population, and fossil fuel scarcity on energy investments
    Erschienen: 2013
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano

    This paper examines the dynamics of energy investments and clean energy Research and Development (R&D) using a scenario-based modeling approach. Starting from the global scenarios proposed in the RoSE model ensemble experiment, we analyze the... mehr

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 125 (2013,59)
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    This paper examines the dynamics of energy investments and clean energy Research and Development (R&D) using a scenario-based modeling approach. Starting from the global scenarios proposed in the RoSE model ensemble experiment, we analyze the dynamics of investments under different assumptions regarding economic and population growth as well as availability of fossil fuel resources, in the absence of a climate policy. Our analysis indicates that economic growth and the speed of income convergence across countries matters for improvements in energy efficiency, both via dedicated R&D investments but mostly through capital-energy substitution. In contrast, fossil fuel prices, by changing the relative competitiveness of energy sources, create an economic opportunity for radical innovation in the energy sector. Indeed, our results suggest that fossil fuel availability is the key driver of investments in low carbon energy innovation. However, this innovation, by itself, is not sufficient to induce emission reductions compatible with climate stabilization objectives.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/75429
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 59.2013
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (19 S.), graph. Darst.
  4. Endogenous participation in a partial climate agreement with open entry
    a numerical assessment
    Erschienen: 2013
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano

    Our purpose is to analyse the effectiveness and efficiency of a Partial Climate Agreement with open entry under a non-cooperative Nash-Equilibrium framework. We evaluate a partial agreement policy in which non-signatory countries can decide to join... mehr

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 125 (2013,60)
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    Our purpose is to analyse the effectiveness and efficiency of a Partial Climate Agreement with open entry under a non-cooperative Nash-Equilibrium framework. We evaluate a partial agreement policy in which non-signatory countries can decide to join or to leave a coalition of the willing at any point in time. By means of a simple analytical model and of a numerical integrated assessment model, we assess different coalition structures, and different minimum admission requirements. Our results indicate that a Partial Climate Agreement with open entry can be effective, achieving climate stabilization between 2C and 3C depending on the composition of the coalition of the willing. The policy turns out to be also rather efficient, with only minor losses with respect to a full cooperation agreement. Finally, we quantify the optimal admission requirement in about 40-50% of cumulative abatement.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/75428
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 60.2013
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (43 S.), graph. Darst.
  5. The WITCH 2016 model
    documentation and implementation of the shared socioeconomic pathways

    This paper describes the WITCH - World Induced Technical Change Hybrid - model in its structure, calibration, and the implementation of the SSP/RCP scenario implementation. The WITCH model is a regionally disaggregated hard-linked model based on a... mehr

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 125 (42)
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    This paper describes the WITCH - World Induced Technical Change Hybrid - model in its structure, calibration, and the implementation of the SSP/RCP scenario implementation. The WITCH model is a regionally disaggregated hard-linked model based on a Ramsey type optimal growth model and a detailed bottom-up energy sector model. A particular focus of the model is the modeling or technical change and RnD investments and the analysis of cooperative and non-cooperative climate policies. Moreover, the WITCH 2016 version now includes land-use change modeling based on the GLOBIOM model, and air pollutants, as well as detailed modeling of the transport sector and the possibility for stochastic modeling. This version has been also used to implement the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) set of scenarios and RCP based climate policies to provide a new set of climate scenarios. In this paper, we describe in detail the mathematical formulation of the WITCH model, the solution method and calibration, as well as the implementation of the five SSP scenarios. This report therefore provides detailed information for interested users of the model, and for understanding the implementation of the different "worlds" of the SSP.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/142316
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2016, 42
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 65 Seiten), Illustrationen