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  1. Divided government and polarization
    regression-discontinuity evidence from US States
    Autor*in: Repetto, Luca; Sosa Andrés, Maximiliano
    Erschienen: July 2022
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    This paper studies how divided government - arising when control of the government branches is split between parties - affects the polarization of the legislature and policy implementation. Using data on electoral and legislative outcomes for US... mehr

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    This paper studies how divided government - arising when control of the government branches is split between parties - affects the polarization of the legislature and policy implementation. Using data on electoral and legislative outcomes for US states and a regression-discontinuity design, we show that Republican state senators are substantially more polarized when they serve in a divided government than they are in a fully unified government. We find similar but smaller effects for Democrats. In addition, governors facing an opposing, united legislature veto more bills, and have more of these overridden. However, in terms of policy implementation, we find evidence of moderation: when a unified Republican government loses a chamber or the governor to the Democratic party, the implemented legislation becomes much more liberal. Correspondingly, when Democrats lose unified control, policies become more conservative. These results suggest that divided government creates incentives for legislators to polarize knowing they will need to compromise in order to obtain their preferred policy.

     
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    hdl: 10419/263753
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working paper ; no. 9823 (2022)
    Schlagworte: divided governments; polarization; policy liberalism; regression-discontinuity design; US state governments
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 39 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Powers that be?
    political alignment, government formation, and government stability
    Autor*in: Carozzi, Felipe; Cipullo, Davide; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: October 2022
    Verlag:  CESifo, Munich, Germany

    We study how partisan alignment across levels of government affects coalition formation and government stability using a regression discontinuity design and a large dataset of Spanish municipal elections. We document a positive effect of alignment on... mehr

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    We study how partisan alignment across levels of government affects coalition formation and government stability using a regression discontinuity design and a large dataset of Spanish municipal elections. We document a positive effect of alignment on both government formation and stability. Alignment increases the probability that the most-voted party appoints the mayor and decreases the probability that the government is unseated during the term. Aligned parties also obtain sizeable electoral gains in the next elections over unaligned ones. We show that these findings are not the consequence of favoritism in the allocation of transfers towards aligned governments.

     
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    hdl: 10419/267280
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working papers ; 10047 (2022)
    Schlagworte: government stability; government formation; political alignment; inter-governmental relations
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 26 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Divided they fall. fragmented parliaments and government stability
    Autor*in: Carozzi, Felipe; Cipullo, Davide; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: 16 April 2020
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP14619
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 68 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Scars of war
    the legacy of WW1 deaths on civic capital and combat motivation
    Autor*in: Carozzi, Felipe; Pinchbeck, Edward; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: February 2023
    Verlag:  CESifo, Munich, Germany

    How does the memory of lives lost in past wars shape communities and the next generation of soldiers? We use newly collected data on geolocated British servicemen to study the legacy of the Great War mortality shock on local communities and the... mehr

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    How does the memory of lives lost in past wars shape communities and the next generation of soldiers? We use newly collected data on geolocated British servicemen to study the legacy of the Great War mortality shock on local communities and the behaviour of soldiers in WW2. We find that community-wide fatalities in WW1 increase the numbers of deaths of the next generation in WW2 and encourage civic-oriented and cooperative behaviours, such as the creation of lasting war memorials, veterans associations and charities, as well as increasing voter participation. Soldiers exposed to WW1 mortality are then more likely to be awarded a medal for bravery or die in WW2. Overall, we present evidence that that one legacy of the Great War runs through and is amplified by civic capital and the remembrance of fallen soldiers.

     
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    hdl: 10419/271942
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working papers ; 10298 (2023)
    Schlagworte: World War; communities; combat motivation; conflict
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 61 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Scars of war: the legacy of WW1 deaths on civic capital and combat motivation
    Autor*in: Carozzi, Felipe; Pinchbeck, Edward; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: [2023]
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and Political Science, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Performance ; no. 1940 (August 2023)
    Schlagworte: world war; combat motivation; conflict; civic capital; memory
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 75 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Scars of war
    the legacy of wwi deaths on civic capital and combat motivation
    Autor*in: Carozzi, Felipe; Pinchbeck, Edward; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: 02 August 2023
    Verlag:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; DP18343
    Schlagworte: World War; Combat Motivation; Conflict; Civic Capital; Memory
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 78 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. The price of inattention
    evidence from the Swedish housing market
    Autor*in: Repetto, Luca; Solis, Alex
    Erschienen: August 2017
    Verlag:  Department of Economics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden

    Do behavioral biases a affect prices in a high-stake market? We study the role of left digit bias in the purchase of an apartment, one of the most important assets in a household's portfolio. Left-digit bias is the inability to fully process digits... mehr

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    Do behavioral biases a affect prices in a high-stake market? We study the role of left digit bias in the purchase of an apartment, one of the most important assets in a household's portfolio. Left-digit bias is the inability to fully process digits after the first, perceiving prices just below a round number (such as $ 3.99) as cheaper than their round counterpart ($4). We start by documenting that apartments listed at just-below asking prices are sold at a 3-5% higher final price after an auction. This effect appears not to be driven by i) differences in observable characteristics; ii) differences in real estate agents' behavior; or iii) institutional characteristics of the market. We show that apartments using just-below prices attract more bidders and bids, leading to higher competition and to a higher final price. Our results suggest that inattentive buyers might be losing roughly half a year of disposable income.

     
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    hdl: 10419/197647
    Auflage/Ausgabe: This Version: September 27, 2017
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / Department of Economics, Uppsala University ; 2017, 10
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 52 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Divided they fall
    fragmented parliaments and government stability
    Autor*in: Carozzi, Felipe; Cipullo, Davide; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: January 2020
    Verlag:  Department of Economics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden

    This paper studies how political fragmentation affects government stability. We show that each additional party with representation in Parliament increases the probability that the incumbent government is unseated by 4 percentage points. Governments... mehr

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    This paper studies how political fragmentation affects government stability. We show that each additional party with representation in Parliament increases the probability that the incumbent government is unseated by 4 percentage points. Governments with more resources at their disposal for bargaining are less likely to be replaced. When they are, new government leaders are younger and better educated, suggesting instability may induce positive selection. We interpret our results in light of a bargaining model of coalition formation featuring government instability. Our findings indicate that the rising fragmentation in parliaments worldwide may have a substantial impact on stability and political selection.

     
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    hdl: 10419/249370
    Auflage/Ausgabe: This Version: January 2020
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / Department of Economics, Uppsala University ; 2020, 1
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 67 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. Divided they fall
    fragmented parliaments and government stability
    Autor*in: Carozzi, Felipe; Cipullo, Davide; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: April 2020
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    This paper studies how political fragmentation affects government stability. We show that each additional party with representation in Parliament increases the probability that the incumbent government is unseated by 4 percentage points. Governments... mehr

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    This paper studies how political fragmentation affects government stability. We show that each additional party with representation in Parliament increases the probability that the incumbent government is unseated by 4 percentage points. Governments with more resources at their disposal for bargaining are less likely to be replaced. When they are, new government leaders are younger and better educated, suggesting instability may induce positive selection. We interpret our results in light of a bargaining model of coalition formation featuring government instability. Our findings indicate that the rising fragmentation in parliaments worldwide may have a substantial impact on stability and political selection.

     
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/216600
    Schriftenreihe: CESifo working paper ; no. 8204 (2020)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 67 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. Divided they fall
    fragmented parliaments and government stability
    Autor*in: Carozzi, Felipe; Cipullo, Davide; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: May 2019
    Verlag:  Centro de estudios monetarios y financieros, Madrid, Spain

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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / CEMFI ; 1911
    Schlagworte: Regierung; Parlament; Politische Instabilität; Verhandlungsmacht; Spanien
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 64 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. Distributive politics inside the city?
    the political economy of Spain’s plan E
    Autor*in: Carozzi, Felipe; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: [2017]
    Verlag:  Institut d’Economia de Barcelona, Barcelona

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2017, 09
    Schlagworte: Political economy; Distributive politics; Partisan alignment; Local governments
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 46 Seiten), Illustrationen
  12. Sending the pork home
    birth town bias in transfers to Italian municipalities
    Autor*in: Carozzi, Felipe; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: 2013
    Verlag:  IEB, Barcelona

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2013,35
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (29 S.), graph. Darst., Kt.
  13. Sending the pork home
    birth town bias in transfers to Italian municipalities
    Autor*in: Carozzi, Felipe; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: 2014
    Verlag:  CEMFI, Madrid

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    Schriftenreihe: CEMFI working paper ; 1401
    Schlagworte: Pork-barrel; distributive policies; political economy
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (38 S.), graph. Darst., Kt.
  14. Testing a large number of hypotheses in approximate factor models
    Autor*in: Amengual, Dante; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: 2014
    Verlag:  CEMFI, Madrid

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    Schriftenreihe: CEMFI working paper ; 1410
    Schlagworte: Approximate factor model; hypothesis testing; principal components; large model analysis; large data sets; inflation
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (56 S.), graph. Darst.
  15. Distributive politics inside the city?
    the political economy of Spain's Plan E
    Autor*in: Carozzi, Felipe; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: August 2017
    Verlag:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich

    We study distributive politics inside cities by analysing how local governments allocate investment projects to voters across neighbourhoods. In particular, we ask whether politicians use investment to target their own supporters. To this aim, we use... mehr

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    We study distributive politics inside cities by analysing how local governments allocate investment projects to voters across neighbourhoods. In particular, we ask whether politicians use investment to target their own supporters. To this aim, we use detailed geo-located investment data from Plan E, a large fiscal stimulus program carried out in Spain in 2009-2011. Our empirical strategy is based on a close-elections regression-discontinuity design. In contrast to previous studies - which use aggregate data at the district or municipal level - we exploit spatial variation in both investment and voter support within municipalities and find no evidence of supporter targeting. Complementary results indicate that voters may be responding to investment by increasing turnout. Overall, our findings suggest that distributive politics only play a minor role inside the city.

     
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    hdl: 10419/171092
    Auflage/Ausgabe: First Version: December 2016, this Version: September 2017
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; no. 6628
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 40 Seiten), Illustrationen
  16. Distributive politics inside the city?
    the political economy of Spain's plan E
    Autor*in: Carozzi, Felipe; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: 2016
    Verlag:  Department of Economics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden

    We study the allocation of investment projects by municipal governments across groups of voters using data from a fiscal stimulus program carried out in Spain between 2009 and 2011. This program provided municipalities with a large endowment to spend... mehr

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    We study the allocation of investment projects by municipal governments across groups of voters using data from a fiscal stimulus program carried out in Spain between 2009 and 2011. This program provided municipalities with a large endowment to spend in public investments and required the geocoding of each individual project. Combining these data with disaggregated election information at the census area level, we study whether politicians use expenditures to target their supporters or to raise turnout. Estimates from regression, matching and RDD methods show no evidence of local governments targeting areas of core support. Instead, investment goes disproportionately to low turnout areas, suggesting that politicians use funds to increase participation. We confirm this hypothesis by showing that, in the following elections, turnout is increased in areas that received more investment. Our results suggest that mobilization can be a strong force in shaping the allocation of resources across voter groups within cities.

     
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    hdl: 10419/197676
    Auflage/Ausgabe: This version: 19 December 2016
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / Department of Economics, Uppsala University ; 2016, 15
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 52 Seiten), Illustrationen
  17. Distributive politics inside the city?
    the political economy of Spain's plan E
    Autor*in: Carozzi, Felipe; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: February 2017
    Verlag:  SERC, Spatial Economics Research Centre, London

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    Schriftenreihe: SERC discussion paper ; 212
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 58 Seiten), Illustrationen
  18. Political budget cycles with informed voters
    evidence from Italy
    Autor*in: Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: May 2016
    Verlag:  Department of Economics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden

    I exploit a reform that required Italian municipalities to disclose their balance sheetsbefore elections to study whether having more informed voters aects the political budgetcycle. To start, investment spending in the year before elections is 28.5%... mehr

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    I exploit a reform that required Italian municipalities to disclose their balance sheetsbefore elections to study whether having more informed voters aects the political budgetcycle. To start, investment spending in the year before elections is 28.5% higher thanin the election year and this increase is mainly financed with new debt and sales of publicassets. Taking advantage of the staggered timing of municipal elections, I estimate thatthe reform reduced this pre-electoral spending increase by around one-third. I also study the role of local newspapers in disseminating municipal financial information to votersand I find that the reduction in spending after the reform is twice as strong in provinceswith above-median local newspapers sales per capita. I interpret these results as evidencethat mayors react to more informed voters by reducing spending manipulation.

     
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    hdl: 10419/168397
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / Department of Economics, Uppsala University ; 2016:6
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 50 Seiten), Illustrationen
  19. Sending the pork home
    birth town bias in transfers to Italian municipalities
    Autor*in: Carozzi, Felipe; Repetto, Luca
    Erschienen: 2015
    Verlag:  CESifo, München

    We ask whether the birthplaces of Italian members of Parliament are favoured in the allocation of central government transfers. Using a panel of municipalities for the years between 1994 and 2006, we find that municipal governments of legislators'... mehr

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    We ask whether the birthplaces of Italian members of Parliament are favoured in the allocation of central government transfers. Using a panel of municipalities for the years between 1994 and 2006, we find that municipal governments of legislators' birth towns receive larger transfers per capita. Exploiting variation in birthplaces induced by parliamentary turnover for estimation, we find that this effect is driven by legislators who were born in a town outside their district of election. As a result, we argue that our findings cannot be a consequence of re-election incentives, the usual motivation for pork-barrel policies in the literature. Rather, politicians may be pursuing other personal motives. We explore several possible mechanisms behind our results by matching parliamentarians to a detailed dataset on local level administrators.

     
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    hdl: 10419/123209
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 5554
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (30 S.), graph. Darst.