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  1. Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  Örebro University School of Business, Örebro, Sweden

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/244582
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2021, 8
    Schlagworte: Vector autoregression; Skewness and heavy tails; Generalized hyper- bolic skew Student's t distribution; Stochastic volatility; Markov Chain Monte Carlo
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Modelling the relation between the US real economy and the corporate bond-yield spread in Bayesian VARs with non-Gaussian disturbances
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  Örebro University School of Business, Örebro, Sweden

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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/244583
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2021, 9
    Schlagworte: Bayesian VAR; Generalized hyperbolic skew Student's t distribution; Stochastic volatility
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 39 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Predicting returns and dividend growth
    the role of non-Gaussian innovations
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  Örebro University School of Business, Örebro, Sweden

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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/244584
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2021, 10
    Schlagworte: Bayesian VAR; Dividend Growth Predictability; Predictive Regression; Return Predictability
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 15 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Matrix variate generalized laplace distributions
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  Örebro University School of Business, Örebro, Sweden

    The generalized asymmetric Laplace (GAL) distribution, also known as the variance/mean-gamma model, is a popular flexible class of distributions that can account for peakedness, skewness, and heavier than normal tails, often observed in financial or... mehr

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    The generalized asymmetric Laplace (GAL) distribution, also known as the variance/mean-gamma model, is a popular flexible class of distributions that can account for peakedness, skewness, and heavier than normal tails, often observed in financial or other empirical data. We consider extensions of the GAL distribution to the matrix variate case, which arise as covariance mixtures of matrix variate normal distributions. Two different mixing mechanisms connected with the nature of the random scaling matrix are considered, leading to what we term matrix variate GAL distributions of Type I and II. While Type I matrix variate GAL distribution has been studied before, there is no comprehensive account of Type II in the literature, except for their rather brief treatment as a special case of matrix variate generalized hyperbolic distributions. With this work we fill this gap, and present an account for basic distributional properties of Type II matrix variate GAL distributions. In particular, we derive their probability density function and the characteristic function, as well as provide stochastic representations related to matrix variate gamma distribution. We also show that this distribution is closed under linear transformations, and study the relevant marginal distributions. In addition, we also briefly account for Type I and discuss the connections with Type II. We hope that this work will be useful in the areas where matrix variate distributions provide an appropriate probabilistic tool for three-way or, more generally, panel data sets, which can arise across different applications.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    hdl: 10419/262156
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2022, 7
    Schlagworte: Covariance mixture of Gaussian distributions; distribution theory; generalized Laplace distribution; MatG distribution; matrix variate distribution; matrix variate gamma distribution; matrix gamma-normal distribution; matrix variate t distribution; normal variance-mean mixture; variance gamma distribution
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 27 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Matrix gamma distributions and related stochastic processes
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  Örebro University School of Business, Örebro, Sweden

    There is considerable literature on matrix-variate gamma distributions, also known as Wishart distributions, which are driven by a shape parameter with values in the (Gindikin) set {i/2, i = 1, . . . , k−1}∪((k−1)/2, ∞). We provide an extension of... mehr

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    There is considerable literature on matrix-variate gamma distributions, also known as Wishart distributions, which are driven by a shape parameter with values in the (Gindikin) set {i/2, i = 1, . . . , k−1}∪((k−1)/2, ∞). We provide an extension of this class to the case where the shape parameter may actually take on any positive value. In addition to the well-known singular Wishart as well as non-singular matrix-variate gamma distributions, the proposed class includes new singular matrix-variate distributions, with the shape parameter outside of the Gindikin set. This singular, non-Wishart case is no longer permutation invariant and derivation of its scaling properties requires special care. Among numerous newly established properties of the extended class are group-like relations with respect to the positive shape parameter. The latter provide a natural substitute for the classical convolution properties that are crucial in the study of infinite divisibility. Our results provide further clarification regarding the lack of infinite divisibility of Wishart distributions, a classical observation of Paul L'evy. In particular, we clarify why the row/column vectors in the off-diagonal blocks are infinitely divisible. A class of matrix-variate Laplace distributions arises naturally in this set-up as the distributions of the off-diagonal blocks of random gamma matrices. For the class of Laplace rectangular matrices, we obtain distributional identities that follow from the role they play in the structure of the matrix gamma distributions. We present several elegant and convenient stochastic representations of the discussed classes of matrix-valued distributions. In particular, we show that the matrix-variate gamma distribution is a symmetrization of the triangular Rayleigh distributed matrix - a new class of the matrix variables that naturally extend the classical univariate Rayleigh variables. Finally, a connection of the matrix-variate gamma distributions to matrix-valued L'evy processes of a vector argument is made. Namely, a L'evy process, termed a matrix gammaLaplace motion, is obtained by the subordination of the triangular Brownian motion of a vector argument to a vector-valued gamma motion of a vector argument. In this context, we introduce a triangular matrix-valued Rayleigh process, which, through symmetrization, leads to a new matrix-variate gamma process. This process when taken at a properly defined one-dimensional argument has the matrix gamma marginal distribution with the shape parameter equal to its argument.

     

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  6. Estimation of optimal portfolio compositions for small sample and singular covariance matrix
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  Örebro University School of Business, Örebro, Sweden

    In the paper we consider the optimal portfolio choice problem under parameter uncertainty when the covariance matrix of asset returns is singular. Very useful stochastic representations are deduced for the characteristics of the expected utility... mehr

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    In the paper we consider the optimal portfolio choice problem under parameter uncertainty when the covariance matrix of asset returns is singular. Very useful stochastic representations are deduced for the characteristics of the expected utility optimal portfolio. Using these stochastic representations, we derive the moments of higher order of the estimated expected return and the estimated variance of the expected utility optimal portfolio. Another line of applications leads to their asymptotic distributions obtained in the high-dimensional setting. Via a simulation study, it is shown that the derived high-dimensional asymptotic distributions provide good approximations of the exact ones even for moderate sample sizes.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/274600
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2022, 15
    Schlagworte: singular Wishart distribution; mean-variance portfolio; Moore-Penrose inverse
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 20 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Portfolio selection with a rank-deficient covariance matrix
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  Örebro University School of Business, Örebro, Sweden

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/244586
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2021, 12
    Schlagworte: Mean-variance portfolio; Rank-deficient covariance matrix; Linear ill-posed problems; Second order damped dynamical systems
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 26 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Tangency portfolio weights under a skew-normal model in small and large dimensions
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  Örebro University School of Business, Örebro, Sweden

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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/244587
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2021, 13
    Schlagworte: Asset allocation; high-dimensional asymptotics; matrix variate skew-normal distribution; stochastic representation; tangency portfolio
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. A test on the location of tangency portfolio for small sample size and singular covariance matrix
    Erschienen: [2023]
    Verlag:  Örebro University School of Business, Örebro, Sweden

    In this paper, we propose the test for the location of the tangency portfolio on the set of feasible portfolios when both the population and the sample covariance matrices of asset returns are singular. We derive the exact distribution of the test... mehr

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    In this paper, we propose the test for the location of the tangency portfolio on the set of feasible portfolios when both the population and the sample covariance matrices of asset returns are singular. We derive the exact distribution of the test statistic under both the null and alternative hypotheses. Furthermore, we establish the high-dimensional asymptotic distribution of that test statistic when both the portfolio dimension and the sample size increase to infinity. We complement our theoretical findings by comparing the high-dimensional asymptotic test with an exact finite sample test in the numerical study. A good performance of the obtained results is documented.

     

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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 2023, 11
    Schlagworte: Tangency portfolio; Hypothesis testing; Singular Wishart distribution; Singular covariance matrix; Moore-Penrose inverse; High-dimensional asymptotics
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 18 Seiten), Illustrationen