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  1. Vihreät toimet
    ilmastopolitiikan vaikutuksia työllisyyteen
    Autor*in: Kuusi, Tero; Pohjola, Johanna; Kaskinen, Tuuli; Kaitila, Ville; Karhinen, Santtu; Kauhanen, Antti; Lintunen, Jussi; Reinikainen, Tapio; Savolainen, Hannu; Sillanaukee, Otso; Suikkanen, Henrik
    Erschienen: 2021
    Verlag:  Valtioneuvoston kanslia, Helsinki

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    Standort:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Finnisch
    Medientyp: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9789523832336
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10024/163008
    Schriftenreihe: Valtioneuvoston selvitys- ja tutkimustoiminnan julkaisusarja ; 2021, 22
    Schlagworte: Klimaschutz; Beschäftigungseffekt; Arbeitsmarktpolitik; Finnland; Employment; Climate change mitigation; Structural change; Economic growth; Innovations; Environmental science; Economics; General equilibrium model; Gravity model; Interview survey
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 202 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Suomen metsäteollisuudennäkymiä vuoteen 2025
    Autor*in: Berg-Andersson, Birgitta; Kaitila, Ville; Kulvik, Martti; Lintunen, Jussi
    Erschienen: 11.05.2021
    Verlag:  ETLA, Elinkeinoelämän Tutkimuslaitos, Helsinki

    The importance of our forests is growing. Forest industry has retained its vital position within Finnish economy, and it seems reasonable to assume our forests' value added will contribute to Finland's wealth also far into the future. Of more recent... mehr

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    The importance of our forests is growing. Forest industry has retained its vital position within Finnish economy, and it seems reasonable to assume our forests' value added will contribute to Finland's wealth also far into the future. Of more recent interest is the value of forests being Finland's major carbon sink. This report discusses the past, present and future of the Finnish forest sector acknowledging both economic and environmental aspects. In the first part, we describe the impacts of the forest industry sectors to Finnish economy in large. National accounts input-output statistics show that the forest industries use significant shares of domestic intermediate products, and hence they connect extensively to other industry sectors. The second section looks at recent development as well as prospects up to year 2025. We expect wood industry to recover rather quickly from the backlash triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic, but paper and pulp industry to experience a less favourable development - particularly due to the fast decrease in demands of paper. The third and final contribution assesses quantitatively how logging relates to the carbon sink of Finnish forests. Our novel model suggests total roundwood removals to have a rather strong impact on forest land carbon sink. We estimate Finland's carbon sink to increase due to COVID-19 perturbed drop in logging, and the sink increase to remain relatively strong during the next few years.

     
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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Finnisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/251080
    Schriftenreihe: ETLA raportti ; 112
    Schlagworte: Finnish forest sector; Near future; Economic forecast
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 36 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Suomen metsäteollisuuden näkymiä vuoteen 2025
    = The Finnish forest industries up to year 2025
    Autor*in: Berg-Andersson, Birgitta; Kaitila, Ville; Kulvik, Martti; Lintunen, Jussi
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  Elinkeinoelämän tutkimuslaitos, Helsinki

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Sprache: Finnisch
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    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: ETLA raportti ; no. 112 (11.5.2021)
    Schlagworte: Finnish forest sector; Near future; Economic forecast
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 37 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Metsäteollisuudenvähähiilisyystiekartantaloudelliset vaikutukset
    = The low-carbon roadmap of the Finnish forest industries : an economic impact assessment
    Autor*in: Lintunen, Jussi; Ali-Yrkkö, Jyrki; Kulvik, Martti
    Erschienen: 17.6.2020
    Verlag:  ETLA, Elinkeinoelämän Tutkimuslaitos, Helsinki

    In this paper, we analyse the economic impacts of the low-carbon roadmap made for the Finnish forest indus-tries. The analysis is based on a future scenario provid-ed by AFRY. Given the unit prices and production levels of six forest industry... mehr

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    In this paper, we analyse the economic impacts of the low-carbon roadmap made for the Finnish forest indus-tries. The analysis is based on a future scenario provid-ed by AFRY. Given the unit prices and production levels of six forest industry production categories, we assess the value added and employment effects to the Finnish economy. If the scenario is fulfilled, the change would be stark compared to the developments in the previous decades. The value added of forest industries would in-crease 55-75% from 2017 to 2035 and 90-135% from 2017 to 2050. The indirect effects through the value chains would be of similar magnitude. If the develop-ment of labour productivity would remain at recently ob-served levels, the increased forest industry production would maintain the current employment leve

     
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    Sprache: Finnisch
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/237395
    Schriftenreihe: ETLA raportti ; 105 (2020)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 16 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. FutureForest2040: suomen metsäalan rakenteelliset muutokset sekä markkina- ja työllisyysnäkymät vuoteen 2040
    Autor*in: Berg-Andersson, Birgitta; Kulvik, Martti; Lintunen, Jussi; Kunttu, Janni; Orfanidou, Timokleia
    Erschienen: 28.9.2022
    Verlag:  Taloustieto Oy, Helsinki

    Forests can be seen as a source of wood raw material and bioenergy, a recreational area with health benefits, a carbon sink, and a source of biodiversity. This report examines how different shifts in perceptions and in the wider forest sector... mehr

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    DSP 284
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    Forests can be seen as a source of wood raw material and bioenergy, a recreational area with health benefits, a carbon sink, and a source of biodiversity. This report examines how different shifts in perceptions and in the wider forest sector environment affect forest sector production, wood use, and the development of workforce skills needs. The forward-looking analysis is based on a projection up to 2026 and scenario work up to 2040. Combined with today's views on changes in forest ownership and management practices, technological developments and policy measures already agreed and planned, the foresight work creates a broad vision of the future of the forest sector. Although the outlook for the forest-based industries is relatively stable for the coming years, significant changes are foreseen by 2040. Changes in forestry will be driven by changes in forest management practices and forest ownership, climate and biodiversity targets for land use, and changes in the risk of natural disturbances due to climate change. In production, development paths depend more strongly on how society, and hence demand for final products, evolves. Value added in the forest industry can increase, in particular if the by-products of production can be diverted from energy production to high value-added products. This development will be limited by the energy needs of the production processes themselves, which will have to be met by other means if the energy from the by-products is abandoned in significant quantities.

     
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    Sprache: Finnisch
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/270489
    Schriftenreihe: ETLA raportti ; 131
    Schlagworte: Scenarios; Foresight; Forest sector; Wood uses; Forest management practices
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 42 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Micro meets macro via aggregation
    Autor*in: Lintunen, Jussi; Ropponen, Olli; Vartia, Yrjö O.
    Erschienen: Mar. 2009
    Verlag:  HECER, Helsinki

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion papers / Helsinki Center of Economic Research ; 259
    Schlagworte: Aggregation; Mikrofundierung; Wissenschaftliche Methode; Theorie
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (27 S., 672 KB)
  7. On the economics of forest carbon
    renewable and carbon neutral but not emission free
    Autor*in: Lintunen, Jussi; Uusivuori, Jussi
    Erschienen: 2014
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano

    First-best optimal forest sector carbon policy is examined. Using a comprehensive forest sector model with a detailed carbon cycle section we show that the renewability and carbon neutrality arguments do not warrant emission free treatment of forest... mehr

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    DS 125 (2014,13)
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    First-best optimal forest sector carbon policy is examined. Using a comprehensive forest sector model with a detailed carbon cycle section we show that the renewability and carbon neutrality arguments do not warrant emission free treatment of forest bioenergy. However, under the biomass stock change carbon accounting convention followed by UNFCCC and IPCC, the forest owners pay for the roundwood emissions and, to avoid double counting, the use of roundwood is treated as emission free. The bioenergy from harvest residues cannot be treated as emission free either. Their emission factors are determined through the decay time-scales specific to residue fractions and discount rate used in welfare assessment. In addition, we show that an optimal policy subsidizes the production of wood products sequestering carbon. The relative magnitude of the subsidy is based on the fraction of the carbon stored, the lifetime of the products and the discount rate. Correspondingly, the carbon removals by biomass growth are subsidized and the harvest residue generation taxed. Further, we show that the supply side policies are independent of final use of harvested timber. Numerical solution of the model shows that, although the use of wood is not emission free, it is optimal to increase the use of wood, possibly also in the energy sector. Before the wood use can be increased, the forest biomass has to be increased. This initial carbon sink speeds up the convergence to the lower steady-state atmospheric carbon stock.

     
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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/101951
    Auflage/Ausgabe: This version: November 26, 2013
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 13.2014
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (52 S.), graph. Darst.
  8. On optimal emission control
    taxes, substitution and business cycles
    Autor*in: Lintunen, Jussi; Vilmi, Lauri
    Erschienen: 2013
    Verlag:  Bank of Finland, Helsinki

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    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Ebook
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    ISBN: 9789526699431
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/212264
    Schriftenreihe: Bank of Finland research discussion papers ; 2013,24
    Schlagworte: Ökosteuer; Optimale Besteuerung; Real-Business-Cycle-Theorie
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (34 S.)
  9. Optimal management of markets for bankable emission permits
    Autor*in: Lintunen, Jussi; Kuusela, Olli-Pekka
    Erschienen: 2015
    Verlag:  Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano

    We examine the optimal management of emission permit markets when banking but not borrowing of permits is allowed. The regulator maximizes expected social welfare through an optimal allocation rule in an infinite horizon setting. The policy is... mehr

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    DS 125 (2015,48)
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    We examine the optimal management of emission permit markets when banking but not borrowing of permits is allowed. The regulator maximizes expected social welfare through an optimal allocation rule in an infinite horizon setting. The policy is second-best as the emission cap is set before the uncertainty about the current state of the economy is resolved. In this setting, the role of banking is to decrease the regulator's risk as it generates an endogenous price floor in the permit markets. We show that the regulator's optimal policy adjusts the emissions cap irrespective of the existing number of permits in the bank, with the implication that the regulator neutralizes the effect of the existing bank on future permit prices. We derive the optimality conditions for the second-best emission cap with banking and solve the model analytically in the case of IID shocks. Our results show that the discount factor together with the slopes of the marginal damages and benefits determine the welfare gains from allowing baking of permits. Finally, to address the current state of the EU Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS) and guide the design of future permit markets, we solve the model numerically with persistent shock process and show that the optimal emission cap is positively correlated with business cycles, meaning that during downturns the regulator should tighten the cap. The expected emissions and permit prices also correlate positively with economic activity.

     
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/113944
    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 48.2015
    Umfang: Online-Ressource (33 S.), graph. Darst.