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  1. Climate change impacts on agriculture in Latin America and the Caribbean
    an application of the integrated economic-environmental modeling (IEEM) platform
    Autor*in: Banerjee, Onil; Cicowiez, Martín; Rios, Ana R.; De Lima, Cicero Z.
    Erschienen: November 2021
    Verlag:  Inter-American Development Bank, Environment, Rural Development and Disaster Risk Management Division, [Washington, DC]

    In this paper, we assess the economy-wide impact of Climate Change (CC) on agriculture and food security in 20 Latin American and the Caribbean (LAC) countries. Specifically, we focus on the following three channels through which CC may affect... mehr

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    In this paper, we assess the economy-wide impact of Climate Change (CC) on agriculture and food security in 20 Latin American and the Caribbean (LAC) countries. Specifically, we focus on the following three channels through which CC may affect agricultural and non-agricultural production: (i) agricultural yields; (ii) labor productivity in agriculture, and; (iii) economy-wide labor productivity. We implement the analysis using the Integrated Economic-Environmental Model (IEEM) and databases for 20 LAC available through the OPEN IEEM Platform. Our analysis identifies those countries most affected according to key indicators including Gross Domestic Product (GDP), international commerce, sectoral output, poverty, and emissions. Most countries experience negative impacts on GDP, with the exception of the major soybean producing countries, namely, Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay. We find that CC-induced crop productivity and labor productivity changes affect countries differently. The combined impact, however, indicates that Belize, Nicaragua, Guatemala and Paraguay would fare the worst. Early identification of these hardest hit countries can enable policy makers pre-empting these effects and beginning the design of adaptation strategies early on. In terms of greenhouse gas emissions, only Argentina, Chile and Uruguay would experience small increases in emissions.

     
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    hdl: 10419/252342
    Schriftenreihe: IDB working paper series ; no IDB-WP-01289
    Schlagworte: Integrated Economic-Environmental Modeling (IEEM) Platform; dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model; climate change; agriculture; greenhouse gas emissions
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 41 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Productive public investment in agriculture for economic recovery with rural well-being
    an analysis of prospective scenarios for Mexico
    Autor*in: Sánchez, Marco V.; Cicowiez, Martín; Ortega, Araceli
    Erschienen: 2021
    Verlag:  Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome

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    ISBN: 9789251350676
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    Schriftenreihe: FAO agricultural development economics technical study ; 11
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 92 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Construcción de una Matriz de Contabilidad Social para Argentina para el año 2018
    Autor*in: Banerjee, Onil; Cicowiez, Martín
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de la Plata, [La Plata, Argentina]

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    hdl: 10419/250376
    Schriftenreihe: Documento de trabajo / CEDLAS ; nro. 287 (septiembre, 2021)
    Schlagworte: Sozialrechnungsmatrix; Argentinien
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 30 Seiten)
  4. An Amazon tipping point
    the economic and environmental fallout
    Autor*in: Banerjee, Onil; Cicowiez, Martín; Macedo, Marcia; Malek, Žiga; Verburg, Peter; Goodwin, Sean; Vargas, Renato; Rattis, Ludmila; Brando, Paulo M.; Coe, Michael T.; Neill, Christopher; Marti, Octavio Damiani
    Erschienen: July 2021
    Verlag:  Inter-American Development Bank, Department of Research and Chief Economist, [Washington, DC]

    The Amazon biome, despite its resilience, is being pushed by unsustainable economic drivers towards an ecological tipping point where restoration to its previous state may no longer possible. This is the result of self-reinforcing interactions... mehr

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    The Amazon biome, despite its resilience, is being pushed by unsustainable economic drivers towards an ecological tipping point where restoration to its previous state may no longer possible. This is the result of self-reinforcing interactions between deforestation, climate change and fire. In this paper, we develop scenarios that represent movement towards an Amazon tipping point and strategies to avert one. We assess the economic, natural capital and ecosystem services impacts of these scenarios using the Integrated Economic-Environmental Modeling (IEEM) Platform linked with high resolution spatial land use land cover change and ecosystem services modeling (IEEMESM). This papers main contributions are developing: (i) a framework for evaluating strategies to avert an Amazon tipping point based on their relative costs, benefits and trade-offs, and; (ii) a first approximation of the economic, natural capital and ecosystem services impacts of movement towards an Amazon tipping point, and evidence to build the economic case for strategies to avert it. We find that a conservative estimate of the cumulative regional cost through 2050 of an Amazon tipping point would be US$256.6 billion in Gross Domestic Product. Policies that would contribute to averting a tipping point, including strongly reducing deforestation, investing in climate-adapted agriculture, and improving fire management, would generate approximately US$339.3 billion in additional wealth. From a public investment perspective, the returns to implementing strategies for averting a tipping point would be US$29.5 billion. Quantifying the costs, benefits and trade-offs of policies to avert a tipping point in a transparent and replicable manner can pave the way for evidence-based approaches to support policy action focusing on the design of regional strategies for the Amazon biome and catalyze global cooperation and financing to enable their implementation.

     
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    hdl: 10419/237514
    Schriftenreihe: IDB working paper series ; no IDB-WP-01259
    Schlagworte: Integrated Economic-Environmental Modeling (IEEM) Platform; dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model; ecosystem services modeling; agriculture; climate change; decarbonization
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 106 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Exchange-rate policy in a dollarized economy
    implications for growth and employment in Bolivia
    Autor*in: Cicowiez, Martín; Machicado, Carlos Gustavo; Muriel Hernández, Beatriz; Herrera Jiménez, Alejandro; Goytia, Alejandra
    Erschienen: February 2020
    Verlag:  PEP, Partnership for Economic Policy, [Nairobi]

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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / PEP, Partnership for Economic Policy ; 2020, 08
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 53 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Distributional and economy-wide effects of post-conflict policy in Colombia
    Autor*in: Jiménez, Dora Elena; Saldarriaga-Isaza, Adrián; Cicowiez, Martín
    Erschienen: February 2020
    Verlag:  PEP, Partnership for Economic Policy, [Nairobi]

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    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / PEP, Partnership for Economic Policy ; 2020, 12
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 41 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Analysis of alternative routes of public investment in agriculture and their impact on economic growth and rural poverty reduction in Nicaragua
    Autor*in: Sánchez, Marco V.; Cicowiez, Martín; Ramírez, Janet
    Erschienen: 2020
    Verlag:  Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome

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    ISBN: 9789251333518
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    Schriftenreihe: FAO agricultural development economics technical study ; 8
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 80 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Construction of an extended environmental and economic social accounting matrix from a practitioner's perspective
    Autor*in: Banerjee, Onil; Cicowiez, Martín; Vargas, Renato; Horridge, Mark
    Erschienen: [2019]
    Verlag:  CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de la Plata, [La Plata, Argentina]

    In 2014, the United Nations published the first International Standard for environmental-economic statistics, known as the System of Environmental-Economic Accounting (SEEA).. As more countries adopt and implement the SEEA, the availability of... mehr

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    In 2014, the United Nations published the first International Standard for environmental-economic statistics, known as the System of Environmental-Economic Accounting (SEEA).. As more countries adopt and implement the SEEA, the availability of consistent environmental and economic information increases the need for analytical tools that can use this data to respond to policy relevant questions. In this paper, we present a workflow to develop an environmentally-extended social accounting matrix, which can serve as the basic database for the development of environmentally-extended computable general equilibrium models. To illustrate, and given its comprehensive implementation of the SEEA, we apply this workflow to the Guatemalan case and the Integrated Economic-Environmental Modeling (IEEM) Platform.

     
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    hdl: 10419/214146
    Schriftenreihe: Documento de trabajo / CEDLAS ; nro. 253 (octubre, 2019)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 29 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. Construcción de una Matriz de Contabilidad Social para Paraguay para el año 2014
    Autor*in: Cicowiez, Martín; Galeano, Juan José
    Erschienen: [2019]
    Verlag:  CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de la Plata, [La Plata, Argentina]

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    hdl: 10419/214144
    Schriftenreihe: Documento de trabajo / CEDLAS ; nro. 251 (septiembre, 2019)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 26 Seiten)
  10. Export diversification through public investment in cultural tourism
    insights from a multi-regional model of Bolivia
    Autor*in: Banerjee, Onil; Cicowiez, Martín; Moreda, Adela
    Erschienen: November 2019
    Verlag:  Inter-American Development Bank (IDB), [Washington, DC]

    The growth of cultural tourism globally has presented an important opportunity for public investment in tourism to drive economic development in developing countries. With Bolivia's regional disparities in income and opportunity, it is critical to... mehr

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    The growth of cultural tourism globally has presented an important opportunity for public investment in tourism to drive economic development in developing countries. With Bolivia's regional disparities in income and opportunity, it is critical to understand the regionally differentiated welfare impacts of public investment. We develop a first multi-regional economy-wide model for Bolivia and apply it to the economic analysis of a US$26 million investment in tourism to diversify export earnings and reduce poverty. While the framework is more data intense than national level economy-wide models, a multi-regional approach is powerful for shedding light on regional trade-offs, benefits and costs, and enables analysis of smaller investment and demand shocks than that typically possible in a national level framework

     
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    Hinweise zum Inhalt
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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/208188
    Schriftenreihe: IDB working paper series ; no. IDB-WP-01027
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 34 Seiten), Illustrations
  11. Evaluación ex-ante de un programa de sanidad animal
    un análisis de equilibrio general computable de la erradicación de la mosca de la bichera en Uruguay
    Autor*in: Ackermann, María Noel; Barboza, Natalia; Cicowiez, Martín; Cortelezzi, Ángela; Durán, Verónica
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de la Plata, [La Plata, Argentina]

    The New World Screwworm (NWS) fly causes a parasitic disease that produces large losses in Uruguayan livestock farming - mainly due to the working hours devoted to its prevention and treatment and the death of sheep. In this paper, we apply a dynamic... mehr

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    The New World Screwworm (NWS) fly causes a parasitic disease that produces large losses in Uruguayan livestock farming - mainly due to the working hours devoted to its prevention and treatment and the death of sheep. In this paper, we apply a dynamic computable general equilibrium model to estimate the macroeconomic and sectoral effects of eradicating the NWS. The results show positive impacts on overall output and labor market indicators such as wages and employment. On the other hand, the appreciation of the real exchange rate generated by the increase in livestock exports has a negative impact on other tradable sectors of the Uruguayan economy. Besides, we consider three alternative financing sources for the additional government spending.

     
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    hdl: 10419/274101
    Schriftenreihe: Documento de trabajo / CEDLAS ; nro. 289 (noviembre, 2021)
    Schlagworte: Cochliomyia hominivorax; New World Screwworm eradication; ex-ante evaluation; computable general equilibrium model
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 27 Seiten), Illustrationen
  12. An Amazon tipping point
    the economic and environmental fallout
    Autor*in: Banerjee, Onil; Cicowiez, Martín; Macedo, Marcia; Malek, Žiga; Verburg, Peter; Goodwin, Sean; Vargas, Renato; Rattis, Ludmila; Brando, Paulo M.; Coe, Michael T.; Neill, Christopher; Damiani, Octavio
    Erschienen: [2021]
    Verlag:  CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de la Plata, [La Plata, Argentina]

    The Amazon biome, despite its resilience, is being pushed by unsustainable economic drivers towards an ecological tipping point where restoration to its previous state may no longer possible. This is the result of self-reinforcing interactions... mehr

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    The Amazon biome, despite its resilience, is being pushed by unsustainable economic drivers towards an ecological tipping point where restoration to its previous state may no longer possible. This is the result of self-reinforcing interactions between deforestation, climate change and fire. In this paper, we develop scenarios that represent movement towards an Amazon tipping point and strategies to avert one. We assess the economic, natural capital and ecosystem services impacts of these scenarios using the Integrated Economic-Environmental Modeling (IEEM) Platform linked with high resolution spatial land use land cover change and ecosystem services modeling (IEEM+ESM). This paper’s main contributions are developing: (i) a framework for evaluating strategies to avert an Amazon tipping point based on their relative costs, benefits and trade-offs, and; (ii) a first approximation of the economic, natural capital and ecosystem services impacts of movement towards an Amazon tipping point, and evidence to build the economic case for strategies to avert it. We find that a conservative estimate of the cumulative regional cost through 2050 of an Amazon tipping point would be US$256.6 billion in Gross Domestic Product. Policies that would contribute to averting a tipping point, including strongly reducing deforestation, investing in climate-adapted agriculture, and improving fire management, would generate approximately US$339.3 billion in additional wealth. From a public investment perspective, the returns to implementing strategies for averting a tipping point would be US$29.5 billion. Quantifying the costs, benefits and trade-offs of policies to avert a tipping point in a transparent and replicable manner can pave the way for evidence-based approaches to support policy action focusing on the design of regional strategies for the Amazon biome and catalyze global cooperation and financing to enable their implementation.

     
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    hdl: 10419/274104
    Schriftenreihe: Documento de trabajo / CEDLAS ; nro. 292 (diciembre, 2021)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 104 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. Taxation, infrastructure investment, growth, and poverty reduction
    a case study of Zimbabwe
    Autor*in: Lofgren, Hans; Cicowiez, Martín
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de la Plata, [La Plata, Argentina]

    In recent decades, Zimbabwe’s development record has been disappointing. In the last few years, a severe drought and the Covid-19 pandemic have added to the country’s development challenges. This paper is concerned with the long-run need to find a... mehr

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    In recent decades, Zimbabwe’s development record has been disappointing. In the last few years, a severe drought and the Covid-19 pandemic have added to the country’s development challenges. This paper is concerned with the long-run need to find a path toward faster growth in GDP, employment, and incomes, accompanied by more rapid progress on poverty reduction and other parts of the global sustainable development agenda. As part of this search, the country will need to address structural constraints including a large infrastructure gap, an inefficient government, and unhospitable business climate. Among these, this paper is focused on infrastructure and alternative means of financing scaled-up investments - what are the consequences of relying on domestic taxes compared to foreign financing? To address these questions, the paper draws on simulations with SDGSIM, a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, designed for SDG analysis but applicable to analysis of policies in a wide range of areas, including growth, fiscal space, and external shocks. The model was adapted to the Zimbabwean context and calibrated to a database for 2016. The simulations cover the period 2016-2030 and analyzes the effects of alternative levels and priorities for government spending and resource mobilization (domestic and foreign). The simulation results cover a wide range of economic indicators, including some related to the global Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) agenda. [...]

     
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    hdl: 10419/274107
    Schriftenreihe: Documento de trabajo / CEDLAS ; nro. 295 (marzo, 2022)
    Schlagworte: Infrastrukturinvestition; Wirtschaftswachstum; Armutsbekämpfung; Privater Konsum; Besteuerungsverfahren; Szenariotechnik; Simbabwe
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 52 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. Productive public investment in agriculture for economic recovery with rural well-being
    an analysis of prospective scenarios for Uganda
    Autor*in: Sánchez, Marco V.; Cicowiez, Martín; Fontes, Francisco
    Erschienen: 2022
    Verlag:  Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome

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    ISBN: 9789251358047
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    Schriftenreihe: FAO agricultural development economics technical study ; 16
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 70 Seiten), Illustrationen
  15. Repurposing agriculture's public budget to align healthy diets affordability and agricultural transformation objectives in Ethiopia
    background paper for The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2022
    Autor*in: Sánchez, Marco V.; Cicowiez, Martín
    Erschienen: 2022
    Verlag:  Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome

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    ISBN: 9789251366950
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    Schriftenreihe: FAO agricultural development economics working paper ; 22, 04 (July 2022)
    Schlagworte: computable general equilibrium; optimal policy design; economic development; agricultural transformation; nutrition
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 40 Seiten), Illustrationen
  16. Decarbonization of Costa Rica's agriculture, forestry and other land uses sectors
    an application of the IEEM+ESM approach
    Autor*in: Banerjee, Onil; Cicowiez, Martín; Vargas, Renato; Molina-Pérez, Edmundo; Malek, Žiga
    Erschienen: March 2021
    Verlag:  Inter-American Development Bank, Environment, Rural Development and Disaster Risk Management Division, [Washington, DC]

    This paper evaluates the economic and environmental impacts of implementing Costa Ricas Decarbonization Plan, focusing specifically on the Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Uses (AFOLU) sectors. To do so, we apply the Integrated... mehr

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    This paper evaluates the economic and environmental impacts of implementing Costa Ricas Decarbonization Plan, focusing specifically on the Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Uses (AFOLU) sectors. To do so, we apply the Integrated Economic-Environmental Modeling (IEEM) framework for Costa Rica, linked with high resolution spatial land use land cover and ecosystem services modeling (IEEMESM). This is the first economy-wide analysis of Costa Ricas Decarbonization Plan that integrates both economic and ecosystem services impacts. Such an integrated approach is critical for understanding cross-sectoral implications of decarbonization despite the sector-specific focus of AFOLU, while considering the impacts on future ecosystem services flows and wealth. Our results indicate that the positive cumulative wealth impacts of the full decarbonization of Costa Ricas AFOLU sectors are on the order of US$8,747 million by 2050 and generally enhances the future flow of ecosystem services. Decarbonization of AFOLU is pro-poor, lifting 4,530 out of poverty by 2050. From a public investment perspective, decarbonization generates economic returns of US$1,114 million when natural capital and environmental quality are considered. The IEEMESM Platform developed in this paper provides a strong foundation for future analysis and refinement of proposed decarbonization strategies for the country, while weighing the relative costs and benefits of the economic, environmental and social dimensions in an integrated way.

     
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    hdl: 10419/237484
    Schriftenreihe: IDB working paper series ; no IDB-WP-01200
    Schlagworte: Integrated Economic-Environmental Modeling (IEEM) Platform; dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model; ecosystem services modeling; agriculture; climate change; decarbonization
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 64 Seiten), Illustrationen
  17. Efectos económicos y ambientales del plan de descarbonización de Costa Rica
    una aplicación de la plataforma IEEM al sector de energía y transporte
    Autor*in: Banerjee, Onil; Cicowiez, Martín
    Erschienen: marzo 2021
    Verlag:  Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo, División de Medio Ambiente, Desarrollo Rural y Administración de Riesgos por Desastres, [Washington, DC]

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    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/237480
    Schriftenreihe: Documento de trabajo del BID ; no IDB-WP-01194
    Schlagworte: Treibhausgas-Emissionen; Klimapolitik; Energiewirtschaft; Verkehrssektor; Wirkungsanalyse; Simulation; Costa Rica
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 61 Seiten), Illustrationen
  18. The value of biodiversity in economic decision making
    applying the IEEM+ESM approach to conservation strategies in Colombia
    Autor*in: Banerjee, Onil; Cicowiez, Martín; Malek, Žiga; Verburg, Peter; Vargas, Renato; Goodwin, Sean
    Erschienen: December 2020
    Verlag:  Inter-American Development Bank, Environment, Rural Development and Risk Management Division, [Washington, DC]

    In this paper we evaluate the economic, natural capital and ecosystem services impacts of strategies for conserving Colombias rich natural capital endowment. Specifically, we consider Government program proposals for establishing Payment for... mehr

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    In this paper we evaluate the economic, natural capital and ecosystem services impacts of strategies for conserving Colombias rich natural capital endowment. Specifically, we consider Government program proposals for establishing Payment for Ecosystem Services (PES), implementing more sustainable silvopastoral systems and expanding habitat banking. We develop and apply the Integrated Economic-Environmental Modeling (IEEM) Platform linked with spatial Land Use Land Cover (LULC) and Ecosystem Services Modeling (IEEMESM) to shed light on the multi-dimensional impacts of these programs from the perspective of sustainable economic development and intergenerational wealth. Advancing the state-of-the-art in integrated economic-environmental modeling, our framework for the first time integrates dynamic endogenous feedbacks between natural capital, ecosystem services and the economic system to fully capture how changes in natural capital and ecosystem service flows affect the economy and vice versa. Our approach quantitatively models the economy, natural capital and ecosystem services as one integrated and complex system at a high level of spatial resolution across Colombias 32 Departments. [...]

     
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    hdl: 10419/237479
    Schriftenreihe: IDB working paper series ; no IDB-WP-01193
    Schlagworte: Integrated Economic-Environmental Modeling (IEEM) Platform; dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model; ecosystem services modeling; land use land cover modeling; natural capital; payment for ecosystem services; habitat banking; Colombia
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 93 Seiten), Illustrationen
  19. Integrating the value of natural capital in evidence-based policy making
    Autor*in: Banerjee, Onil; Vargas, Renato; Cicowiez, Martín
    Erschienen: December 2020
    Verlag:  Inter-American Development Bank, Environment, Rural Development and Risk Management Division, [Washington, DC]

    This paper describes how Natural Capital Accounting (NCA) can be integrated into economy wide analytical frameworks to enhance evidence based decision making. Examples from applications of the Integrated Environmental Economic Modelling (IEEM)... mehr

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    This paper describes how Natural Capital Accounting (NCA) can be integrated into economy wide analytical frameworks to enhance evidence based decision making. Examples from applications of the Integrated Environmental Economic Modelling (IEEM) Platform show how explicitly accounting for the contributions of the environment to the economy in economic forecasting can lead to substantially different policy recommendations, overcoming some of the scope limitations of traditional economic performance analysis. Furthermore, the paper describes how NCA can be integrated into more traditional economic performance measurements, such as the System of National Accounts and their indicators such as adjusted Gross Domestic Product and Genuine Savings. Integration of natural capital into economy-wide analytical frameworks leads to better policy uptake of research findings and it empowers policymakers to avoid short-sighted decisions, which, although they can generate short-term economic gain, can have adverse consequences for economic, social, and environmental sustainability in the long run.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: IDB working paper series ; no IDB-WP-01125
    Schlagworte: Natural capital; biodiversity; wealth inequality; ecosystem service; gross domestic product; reforestation; social network analysis
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 55 Seiten), Illustrationen
  20. Methods for modeling public policy and investment impacts on the economy, natural capital and ecosystem services
    Autor*in: Banerjee, Onil; Crossman, Neville; Vargas, Renato; Brander, Luke; Verburg, Peter; Cicowiez, Martín; Hauck, Jennifer; McKenzie, Emily
    Erschienen: November 2020
    Verlag:  Inter-American Development Bank, Environment, Rural Development, Environment and Disaster Risk Management Division, [Washington, DC]

    The year 2020 is a critical year for sustainable development policy and practice with the review and renewal of various international commitments including the Sustainable Development Goals, the Convention on Biological Diversity and the Paris... mehr

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    The year 2020 is a critical year for sustainable development policy and practice with the review and renewal of various international commitments including the Sustainable Development Goals, the Convention on Biological Diversity and the Paris Agreement. The post-2020 agenda needs to be informed by more robust analytical approaches that capture the interactions between the economy, society and the environment. In this paper, we review the state of the art in available models and datasets that lay the groundwork for future analytical work to inform this agenda. Based on this review, we propose an integrated modeling approach for global analysis to underpin international policy discourse and advocacy, and; a sub-global approach focusing on evaluating specific strategies and policy portfolios to make progress toward sustainability commitments considering detailed local country context. Both approaches rely on integrating whole of economy computable general equilibrium models with spatial land use land cover and ecosystem services models. Endogenizing feedbacks between modeling system components ensures that evidence is based on interactions between all system components. Recent advances in methods, data and available tools discussed herein reduce barriers to entry for this type of complex systems analysis and increases the timeliness of policy advice.

     
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    hdl: 10419/237442
    Schriftenreihe: IDB working paper series ; no IDB-WP-01124
    Schlagworte: natural capital; biodiversity; ecosystem services; integrated economic-environmental modeling; The IEEM Platform; GTAP; computable general equilibrium (CGE) modeling; ecosystem services modeling; land use land cover (LULC) c hange modeling
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 51 Seiten), Illustrationen
  21. Inversión pública productiva en la agricultura para la recuperación económica con bienestar rural
    un análisis de escenarios prospectivos para Paraguay
    Autor*in: Sánchez, Marco V.; Cicowiez, Martín; Molinas, José
    Erschienen: 2022
    Verlag:  Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura, Roma

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    ISBN: 9789251369739
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    Schriftenreihe: Array ; 19
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 86 Seiten)
  22. Investigating the economic and social impact of the Nigerian Rural Electrification Fund (REF-1) program through a gender computable general equilibrium model
    Autor*in: Cicowiez, Martín; Akinyemi, Opeyemi; Sesan, Temilade; Adu, Omobola; Sokeye, Babajide
    Erschienen: July 2021
    Verlag:  PEP, Partnership for Economic Policy, [Nairobi]

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    Schriftenreihe: PEP working paper series ; 2021, 17
    Schlagworte: rural electrification; public spending; renewable energy; gender CGE
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 37 Seiten), Illustrationen
  23. La Contribución Económica-Ambiental de Programas de Conservación en México
    una Aplicación del Modelo Integrado Económico-Ambiental (IEEM)
    Autor*in: Banerjee, Onil; Cicowiez, Martín; Torres Rojo, Juan Manuel; Vargas, Renato; Lopez-Conlon, Mónica; Salcone, Jacob; Edens, Bram; Begne De Larrea, Elsa Marcela; Rodríguez-Ortega, César; Torre-Bárcena, José Eduardo de la; Díaz-Núñez, Vicente; Guillen-Martin, Francisco
    Erschienen: 2023
    Verlag:  CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de la Plata, [La Plata, Argentina]

    En este estudio se investigan los impactos, tanto económicos como aquellos sobre el capital natural y servicios ecosistémicos, de tres programas de conservación en México. Más precisamente, se analizan el programa de pago por servicios ambientales,... mehr

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    En este estudio se investigan los impactos, tanto económicos como aquellos sobre el capital natural y servicios ecosistémicos, de tres programas de conservación en México. Más precisamente, se analizan el programa de pago por servicios ambientales, el programa para reducir las emisiones en el sector agrícola, silvicultura y otros usos de la tierra, y el programa de unidades de manejo para la conservación de la vida silvestre. La estimación de los beneficios de estos programas es importante para justificar su financiamiento, en un contexto en el cual los recursos públicos son cada vez más escasos. Para tal fin, se aplica el Modelo Económico-Ambiental Integrado (IEEM por sus siglas en inglés) vinculado con la modelación espacial de alta resolución de cambios en uso y cobertura de suelos y servicios ecosistémicos (IEEM+ESM). Los resultados muestran que el impacto combinado de estos tres programas sobre el producto interno bruto acumulado hasta el año 2035 es de alrededor de US$856.9 millones de dólares, mientras que el impacto sobre la riqueza es aproximadamente US$492.3 millones de dólares. En conjunto, los tres programas considerados reducen la pobreza en 1,800 individuos. IEEM+ESM permite cuantificar, además de los efectos puramente económicos, el aporte que realizan distintos servicios ecosistémicos como, por ejemplo, cultura y recreación, de abastecimiento de agua y de regulación. A modo de ejemplo, cuando se consideran los servicios ecosistémicos de regulación, el impacto conjunto de los tres programas sobre el producto interno bruto es 1.34 veces más elevado. Los resultados presentados en este estudio pueden ser de utilidad para la obtención de recursos que permitan la continuidad e, incluso, la ampliación de estos programas, considerando que contribuyen a la conservación de la biodiversidad y el capital natural, así como también al bienestar de la sociedad mexicana.

     
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    hdl: 10419/289896
    Schriftenreihe: Documento de trabajo / CEDLAS ; nro. 315 (Junio, 2023)
    Schlagworte: Naturschutz; Wirkungsanalyse; Mexiko
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 46 Seiten), Illustrationen
  24. Long run growth in Haiti
    Autor*in: Cicowiez, Martín; Filippo, Agustín; Katz, Sebastián
    Erschienen: [2018]
    Verlag:  CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de la Plata, [La Plata, Argentina]

    In this paper, we first assess the historical evolution of total factor productivity in Haiti and then consider alternative scenarios related to accelerating growth. Specifically, we focus on issues of intertemporal coordination between population... mehr

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    In this paper, we first assess the historical evolution of total factor productivity in Haiti and then consider alternative scenarios related to accelerating growth. Specifically, we focus on issues of intertemporal coordination between population growth, TFP (Total Factor Productivity), capital accumulation, foreign debt, output, and consumption. To that end, we developed a model of the Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans type. This class of models are the workhorse of most contemporary work in modeling the long and very long term growth of countries (Barro and Sala-i-Martin 2004 and Acemoglu 2009). In doing so, we make two contributions to the empirical economic analysis of developing countries such as Haiti: (a) we estimate Haiti’s capital stock and perform a growth accounting exercises using data that goes back to the 1950s; and (b) we built a 2016 macro consistent dataset and use it to calibrate a long-run growth model for a small open economy such as Haiti.

     
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    hdl: 10419/214131
    Auflage/Ausgabe: this version: October 13, 2018
    Schriftenreihe: Documento de trabajo / CEDLAS ; nro. 238 (noviembre 2018)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 24 Seiten), Illustrationen
  25. Linking Armington and CET elasticities of substitution and transformation to price elasticities of import demand and export supply
    a note for CGE practitioners
    Autor*in: Lofgren, Hans; Cicowiez, Martín
    Erschienen: [2018]
    Verlag:  CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de la Plata, [La Plata, Argentina]

    Armington and constant-elasticity-of-transformation (CET) functions are routinely used in computable general equilibrium (CGE) Models to model foreign trade. The CET function is applied to producer decisions about whether to export and or sell at... mehr

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    Armington and constant-elasticity-of-transformation (CET) functions are routinely used in computable general equilibrium (CGE) Models to model foreign trade. The CET function is applied to producer decisions about whether to export and or sell at home. Decisions by domestic demanders whether to purchase imports or domestic output are covered by the Armington function. The Armington function is a constant-elasticity-of-substitution (CES) function. This note is concerned with the links between (a) price elasticities of import demand and constant elasticities of substitution between demand for imports and domestic output; and (b) price elasticities of export supply and constant elasticities of transformation between supply to exports and domestic market. These links are important since researchers often may wish to compare estimates of price elasticities to the price elasticities implied by elasticities of substitution and transformation. In this note, price elasticities related to each function are derived from their representation in many CGE models - the function itself and a first-order optimality condition. In an appendix, these representations are derived from cost minimization and revenue maximization given prices and the "technology" embodied by the Armington and CET functions.

     
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    Schriftenreihe: Documento de trabajo / CEDLAS ; nro. 222 (febrero, 2018)
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 18 Seiten)