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  1. Fintech credit risk assessment for SMEs
    evidence from China
    Author: Huang, Yiping; Zhang, Longmei; Li, Zhenhua; Qiu, Han; Sun, Tao; Wang, Xue
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    Promoting credit services to small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs) has been a perennial challenge for policy makers globally due to high information costs. Recent fintech developments may be able to mitigate this problem. By leveraging big data or... more

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    Promoting credit services to small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs) has been a perennial challenge for policy makers globally due to high information costs. Recent fintech developments may be able to mitigate this problem. By leveraging big data or digital footprints on existing platforms, some big technology (BigTech) firms have extended short-term loans to millions of small firms. By analyzing 1.8 million loan transactions of a leading Chinese online bank, this paper compares the fintech approach to assessing credit risk using big data and machine learning models with the bank approach using traditional financial data and scorecard models. The study shows that the fintech approach yields better prediction of loan defaults during normal times and periods of large exogenous shocks, reflecting information and modeling advantages. BigTech's proprietary information can complement or, where necessary, substitute credit history in risk assessment, allowing unbanked firms to borrow. Furthermore, the fintech approach benefits SMEs that are smaller and in smaller cities, hence complementing the role of banks by reaching underserved customers. With more effective and balanced policy support, BigTech lenders could help promote financial inclusion worldwide

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
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    ISBN: 9781513557618
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    Series: IMF working paper ; WP/20, 193
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 43 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. The impact of global liquidity on financial landscapes and risks in the ASEAN-5 countries
    Author: Sun, Tao
    Published: 2015
    Publisher:  IMF, Washington, DC

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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
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    ISBN: 9781513543734
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    Series: IMF working paper ; 15/211
    Subjects: Liquidität; Finanzmarkt; Stabilisierungspolitik; Welt
    Scope: Online-Ressource (36 S.), graph. Darst.
  3. Effects of capital flow liberalization
    what is the evidence from recent experiences of emerging market economies?
    Author: Saadi Sedik, Tahsin; Sun, Tao
    Published: 2012
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C

    This paper analyzes the experiences of emerging market economies (EMEs) that have liberalized capital flows over the past 15 years with respect to macroeconomic performance and risks to financial stability. The results of the panel data regressions... more

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    This paper analyzes the experiences of emerging market economies (EMEs) that have liberalized capital flows over the past 15 years with respect to macroeconomic performance and risks to financial stability. The results of the panel data regressions indicate that greater openness to capital flows is associated with higher growth, gross capital flows, and equity returns and with lower inflation and bank capital adequacy ratios. The effects vary depending on thresholds. As a potential application of these findings, the paper explores the possible effects of liberalization on China by applying the coefficients of explanatory variables to the corresponding variables of China in 2012–16

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
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    ISBN: 1589068033; 9781589068032
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    Series: IMF Working Papers ; Working Paper No. 12/275
    Subjects: Finanzmarktregulierung; Kapitalmobilität; Schwellenländer; China
    Scope: Online-Ressource (27 p)
  4. China's financial interlinkages and implications for inter-agency coordination
    Author: Liao, Min; Sun, Tao; Zhang, Jinfan
    Published: August 2016
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    China's financial system has become very large, diversified, and interconnected. This changing financial landscape could potentially produce systemic risks, arising primarily from growing financial interconnectedness. The paper argues that, to... more

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    China's financial system has become very large, diversified, and interconnected. This changing financial landscape could potentially produce systemic risks, arising primarily from growing financial interconnectedness. The paper argues that, to address the potential systemic risks, Chinese authorities should further strengthen internal coordination, notably by institutionalizing better information collection and sharing among regulators, as well as enhancing coordinated and comprehensive analysis of systemic risk

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
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    ISBN: 9781475530490
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    Series: IMF working paper ; WP/16, 181
    Subjects: Finanzsystem; Systemrisiko; China
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 31 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. China's financial interlinkages and implications for inter-agency coordination
    Author: Liao, Min; Sun, Tao; Zhang, Jinfan
    Published: August 2016
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    China's financial system has become very large, diversified, and interconnected. This changing financial landscape could potentially produce systemic risks, arising primarily from growing financial interconnectedness. The paper argues that, to... more

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    China's financial system has become very large, diversified, and interconnected. This changing financial landscape could potentially produce systemic risks, arising primarily from growing financial interconnectedness. The paper argues that, to address the potential systemic risks, Chinese authorities should further strengthen internal coordination, notably by institutionalizing better information collection and sharing among regulators, as well as enhancing coordinated and comprehensive analysis of systemic risk

     
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  6. Spillovers to emerging equity markets
    an econometric assessment
    Author: Psalida, L. Effie; Sun, Tao
    Published: 2009
    Publisher:  Internat. Monetary Fund, Washington, DC

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 128 (09.111)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
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    Series: IMF working paper ; 09/111
    Subjects: Schwellenländer; Aktienmarkt; Spillover-Effekt
    Scope: 33 S., graph. Darst.
    Notes:

    Literaturverz. S. 30
  7. Spillovers of the U.S. subprime financial turmoil to mainland China and Hong Kong SAR
    evidence from stock markets
    Author: Sun, Tao; Zhang, Xiaojing
    Published: 2009
    Publisher:  Internat. Monetary Fund, Washington, DC

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 128 (09.166)
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    Series: IMF working paper ; 09/166
    Subjects: Subprime-Krise; Finanzkrise; Aktienmarkt; Spillover-Effekt; USA; China; Hongkong
    Scope: 42 S., graph. Darst.
    Notes:

    Literaturverz. S. 40 - 42
  8. Sovereign wealth funds and financial stability
    an event study analysis
    Author: Sun, Tao; Hesse, Heiko
    Published: 2009
    Publisher:  Internat. Monetary Fund, Washington, DC

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 128 (09.239)
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    Language: English
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    Series: IMF working paper ; 09/239
    Subjects: Staatsfonds; Internationaler Finanzmarkt; Finanzkrise
    Scope: 17 S., graph. Darst.
    Notes:

    Literaturverz. S. 16 - 17
  9. Understanding big data
    data calculus in the digital era
    Author: Bolton, Patrick; Holmström, Bengt; Maskin, Eric; Pissaridēs, Christophoros A.; Spence, Andrew Michael; Sun, Tao; Sun, Tianshu; Xiong, Wei; Yang, Liyan; Chen, Long; Huang, Yadong; Li, Yong; Luo, Xuan; Ma, Yingju; Ouyang, Shumiao; Zhu, Feng
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  [University of Toronto - Rotman School of Management], [Toronto]

    Information processing has been defined as “the change (processing) of information in any manner detectable by an observer, a process that describes everything that happens in the universe, from the falling of a rock to the printing of a text file... more

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    Information processing has been defined as “the change (processing) of information in any manner detectable by an observer, a process that describes everything that happens in the universe, from the falling of a rock to the printing of a text file from a digital computer system.” Human society has long realized that information processing and sharing are essential to the pursuit of physical, social, and economic well-being. Knowing and sharing information about one’s surroundings is essential to success in the physical world. Knowing and sharing information about one’s “neighbors” is essential to success in the social world. “Knowing-your-customers” (KYC) in order to serve them well is the supreme norm for success in the business world. Sharing that information – the Yellow Pages practice that makes certain personal information, such as name, telephone number, and address public -- has become a tradition in modern human relations. The pervasive use of digitized information has reached a new height that we call the era of "big data." While this has led to unprecedented societal cooperation, it has also intensified three major concerns: How can we properly protect personal privacy in the age of big data? How do we understand and manage the ownership and distribution of benefits and risks arising from the use of data? Will the use of big data lead to "winner-take-all" markets that undermine competition to the detriment of consumers and society? These are the subjects of this report. We focus on analyzing concrete evidence about "big data" to draw conclusions on its impact. As Nobel Laureate Ronald Coase (1994) suggested, it is important to step away from pure "blackboard economics" that tends to only live in [a theoretician's] mind: "what we need is more empirical work ... An inspired theoretician might do as well without such empirical work, but ... the inspiration is most likely to come through the stimulus provided by the patterns, puzzles, and anomalies revealed by the systematic gathering of data, particularly when the prime need is to break our existing habits of thought."This viewpoint is particularly relevant because, unlike many production inputs, data has the properties of non-rivalry and non-separability. Unless an evidence-based, integrated and multi-stakeholder approach is adopted, users can be unintentionally hurt in the name of protection. We don’t want to "dismember the goose that laid the golden egg."

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
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    Edition: This version is updated on February 5, 2021
    Series: [Rotman School of Management working paper ; no. 3791018]
    Subjects: big data; data economics; information economics; privacy; market competition
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 86 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. More than joints
    multi-substance use, choice limitations, and policy implications
    Author: Sovinsky, Michelle; Jacobi, Liana; Allocca, Alessandra; Sun, Tao
    Published: 18 December 2023
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; DP18693
    Subjects: Complementarity; Marijuana legalisation; Limited choice sets; Data restrictions; Discrete choice models
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 51 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. More than joints
    multi-substance use, choice limitations, and policy implications
    Author: Sovinsky, Michelle; Jacobi, Liana; Allocca, Alessandra; Sun, Tao
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  Collaborative Research Center Transregio 190, [München]

    As illicit substances move into the legal product space, substitution patterns with legal products become more salient. In particular, marijuana legalization may have implications for the use of other legal “sin” goods. We estimate a structural model... more

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    As illicit substances move into the legal product space, substitution patterns with legal products become more salient. In particular, marijuana legalization may have implications for the use of other legal “sin” goods. We estimate a structural model of multi-product use of illegal and legal substances considering joint use, limited access to illicit products, and persistence in use. We focus on a young person’s choice to consume marijuana, alcohol or cigarettes (and possible combinations), and we find that sin goods are complements. Furthermore, our findings emphasize the necessity of accounting for joint consumption and access to obtain correct price sensitivity estimates. Post-legalization, youth marijuana use would increase from 25% to 37%. However, counterfactual results show that a combination of (reasonable) tax increases on all goods along with enforcement against illegal use can potentially revert use to pre-legalization levels. The earlier the tax increases are implemented the more effective they are at curbing future use. Our results inform the policy debate regarding the impact of marijuana legalization on the long-term use of sin goods.

     
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    hdl: 10419/282178
    Series: Discussion paper / Rationality & Competition, CRC TRR 190 ; no. 487 (December 19, 2023)
    Subjects: complementarity; marijuana legalization; limited choice sets; data restrictions; discrete choice models
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 48 Seiten), Illustrationen
  12. Fintech credit risk assessment for SMEs
    evidence from China
    Author: Huang, Yiping; Zhang, Longmei; Li, Zhenhua; Qiu, Han; Sun, Tao; Wang, Xue
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    Promoting credit services to small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs) has been a perennial challenge for policy makers globally due to high information costs. Recent fintech developments may be able to mitigate this problem. By leveraging big data or... more

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    Promoting credit services to small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs) has been a perennial challenge for policy makers globally due to high information costs. Recent fintech developments may be able to mitigate this problem. By leveraging big data or digital footprints on existing platforms, some big technology (BigTech) firms have extended short-term loans to millions of small firms. By analyzing 1.8 million loan transactions of a leading Chinese online bank, this paper compares the fintech approach to assessing credit risk using big data and machine learning models with the bank approach using traditional financial data and scorecard models. The study shows that the fintech approach yields better prediction of loan defaults during normal times and periods of large exogenous shocks, reflecting information and modeling advantages. BigTech's proprietary information can complement or, where necessary, substitute credit history in risk assessment, allowing unbanked firms to borrow. Furthermore, the fintech approach benefits SMEs that are smaller and in smaller cities, hence complementing the role of banks by reaching underserved customers. With more effective and balanced policy support, BigTech lenders could help promote financial inclusion worldwide

     
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  13. Identifying vulnerabilities in systemically-important financial institutions in a macrofinancial linkages framework
    Author: Sun, Tao
    Published: 2011
    Publisher:  Internat. Monetary Fund, Washington, DC

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: IMF working paper ; 11/111
    Subjects: Finanzmarkt; Bank; Bankgeschäft; Risiko; Theorie
    Scope: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 39 S., 1,366 KB), graph. Darst.
  14. Does G-4 liquidity spill over?
    Author: Psalida, L. Effie; Sun, Tao
    Published: 2011
    Publisher:  Internat. Monetary Fund, Washington, DC

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Series: IMF working paper ; 11/237
    Subjects: Kapitalmobilität; Liquidität; Welt
    Scope: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 29 S., 1,321 KB), graph. Darst.
  15. Local government financing platforms in China
    a fortune or misfortune?
    Author: Lu, Yinqiu; Sun, Tao
    Published: 2013
    Publisher:  IMF, Washington, DC

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    VS 301 (2013,243)
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    ISBN: 9781475599671
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    Series: IMF working paper ; 13/243
    Subjects: Kommunale Infrastruktur; Infrastrukturinvestition; Wirtschaftswachstum; China
    Scope: Online-Ressource (29 S.), graph. Darst.
  16. How effective are macroprudential policies in China?
    Author: Wang, Bin; Sun, Tao
    Published: 2013
    Publisher:  IMF, Washington, DC

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: IMF working paper ; 13/75
    Subjects: Bankenaufsicht; Wirkungsanalyse; China
    Scope: Online-Ressource (58 S.), graph. Darst.
  17. Financial structures and economic outcomes
    an empirical analysis
    Author: Gole, Tom; Sun, Tao
    Published: 2013
    Publisher:  IMF, Washington, DC

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: IMF working paper ; 13/121
    Subjects: Finanzsystem; Finanzintermediation; Internationale Bank; Wirtschaftswachstum; Welt; Econometric models; Econometrics
    Scope: Online-Ressource (28 S.), graph. Darst.
  18. Forecasting Thailand's core inflation
    Author: Sun, Tao
    Published: 2004
    Publisher:  IMF, Washington, DC

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 128 (04.90)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: IMF working paper ; 04/90
    Subjects: Inflation; Prognoseverfahren; Thailand
    Scope: 28 S, graph. Darst
    Notes:
  19. The impact of global liquidity on financial landscapes and risks in the ASEAN-5 countries
    Author: Sun, Tao
    Published: 2015
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C

    This paper analyzes the transmission of global liquidity to the ASEAN-5 countries (ASEAN-5), including the impact on financial landscapes and risks to financial stability. It finds that global liquidity transmission and changing financial landscapes... more

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    Universitätsbibliothek Braunschweig
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    This paper analyzes the transmission of global liquidity to the ASEAN-5 countries (ASEAN-5), including the impact on financial landscapes and risks to financial stability. It finds that global liquidity transmission and changing financial landscapes have contributed to increases in risks to financial stability in ASEAN-5. Therefore, policymakers in ASEAN-5 should prepare for possible liquidity tightening, strengthen regulation of nonbanks, and establish a comprehensive financial stability framework. A number of couontries are well-advanced in this process

     
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  20. Effects of capital flow liberalization
    what is the evidence from recent experiences of emerging market economies?
    Author: Saadi Sedik, Tahsin; Sun, Tao
    Published: 2012
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C

    This paper analyzes the experiences of emerging market economies (EMEs) that have liberalized capital flows over the past 15 years with respect to macroeconomic performance and risks to financial stability. The results of the panel data regressions... more

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    Orient-Institut Beirut
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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
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    This paper analyzes the experiences of emerging market economies (EMEs) that have liberalized capital flows over the past 15 years with respect to macroeconomic performance and risks to financial stability. The results of the panel data regressions indicate that greater openness to capital flows is associated with higher growth, gross capital flows, and equity returns and with lower inflation and bank capital adequacy ratios. The effects vary depending on thresholds. As a potential application of these findings, the paper explores the possible effects of liberalization on China by applying the coefficients of explanatory variables to the corresponding variables of China in 2012–16

     
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