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  1. Media coverage and immigration worries
    econometric evidence
    Published: 2018
    Publisher:  German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), DIW Berlin, Berlin, Germany

    This paper empirically explores the link between mass media coverage of migration and immigration worries. Using detailed data on media coverage in Germany, we show that the amount of media reports regarding migration issues is positively associated... more

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    This paper empirically explores the link between mass media coverage of migration and immigration worries. Using detailed data on media coverage in Germany, we show that the amount of media reports regarding migration issues is positively associated with concerns about immigration among the German population. The association is robust to the inclusion of time-variant individual control variables and individual fixed-effects. We employ media spillovers from the neighboring country of Switzerland, which occur due to referendum decisions on immigration as an instrumental variable to address endogeneity concerns. The IV estimates suggest that media coverage has a causal impact on immigration worries. Exploring heterogeneous effects between respondents, the results reveal that the link between media reports and immigration worries is particularly relevant for women and respondents active in the workforce.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/180392
    Series: SOEPpapers on multidisciplinary panel data research ; 970 (2018)
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 23 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Landlockedness and economic development
    analyzing subnational panel data and exploring mechanisms
    Published: November 2017
    Publisher:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    This paper revisits the hypothesis that landlocked regions are systematically poorer than regions with ocean access, using panel data for 1,527 subnational regions in 83 nations from 1950-2014. This data structure allows us to exploit... more

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    This paper revisits the hypothesis that landlocked regions are systematically poorer than regions with ocean access, using panel data for 1,527 subnational regions in 83 nations from 1950-2014. This data structure allows us to exploit within-country-time variation only (e.g., regional variation within France at one point in time), thereby controlling for a host of unobservables related to country-level particularities, such as a country's unique history, cultural attributes, or political institutions. Our results suggest lacking ocean access decreases regional GDP per capita by 10 - 13 percent. We then explore potential mechanisms and possible remedies. First, national political institutions appear to play a marginal role at best in the landlocked-income relationship. Second, the income gap between landlocked and non-landlocked regions within the same nation widens as i) GDP per capita rises, ii) international trade becomes more relevant for the nation, and iii) national production shifts to manufacturing. Finally, we find evidence consistent with the hypothesis that national infrastructure (i.e., transport-related infrastructure and rail lines) can alleviate the lagging behind of landlocked regions.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/173009
    Series: Array ; no. 6733
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 31 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Too hot to play it cool?
    temperature and media bias
    Published: November 2023
    Publisher:  Heinrich-Heine-University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE), Düsseldorf, Germany

    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Düsseldorf
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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9783863044077
    Series: Discussion paper / Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE) ; no 408
    Subjects: media bias; tonality; temperature; U.S. newscasts
    Scope: 13 Seiten, Karte, Diagramme
  4. Effects of fiscal policies on house prices
    new evidence, persistence, consequences
    Published: 2009

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    A 259027
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Dissertation
    Format: Print
    Subjects: Finanzpolitik; Immobilienpreis; Bodenpreis; Infrastruktur; Öffentliche Güter; Öffentliche Schulden; Ricardianische Äquivalenz; Theorie; Schätzung; Schweiz; Zürich; Capitalization Theory
    Scope: VIII, 173 S., graph. Darst.
    Notes:

    Freiburg/Schweiz, Univ., Diss., 2009

  5. Does high-skilled migration affect publicly financed investments?
    Published: 2012
    Publisher:  IZA, Bonn

    This paper analyzes the interaction between migration of high-skilled labor and publicly financed investment. We develop a theoretical model with multiple, ex ante identical jurisdictions where individuals decide on education and subsequent... more

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    This paper analyzes the interaction between migration of high-skilled labor and publicly financed investment. We develop a theoretical model with multiple, ex ante identical jurisdictions where individuals decide on education and subsequent emigration. Migration decisions are based on differences in net income across jurisdictions which may occur endogenously. The interaction between income differences and migration flows gives rise to the potential of multiple equilibria: a symmetric equilibrium without migration and an asymmetric equilibrium in which net income levels differ among jurisdictions and trigger migration flows. In the former equilibrium, all jurisdictions have the same public investment level. In the latter one, public investment is high in host economies of skilled expatriates and low in source economies. We empirically test the hypothesis that emigration rates are negatively associated with publicly financed investment levels for OECD countries. -- high-skilled migration ; human capital externalities ; publicly financed investment

     

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    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
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    hdl: 10419/62361
    Series: Discussion paper series / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit ; 6610
    Subjects: Brain Drain; Öffentliche Investition; Theorie; OECD-Staaten
    Scope: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 24, [3] S., 256,62 KB), graph. Darst.
  6. Wage effects of high-skilled migration
    international evidence
    Published: 2012
    Publisher:  IZA, Bonn

    This paper argues that international migration of high-skilled workers triggers productivity effects at the macro level such that the wage rate of skilled workers may rise in host countries and decline in source countries. We exploit a recent data... more

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    This paper argues that international migration of high-skilled workers triggers productivity effects at the macro level such that the wage rate of skilled workers may rise in host countries and decline in source countries. We exploit a recent data set on international bilateral migration flows and provide evidence which is consistent with this hypothesis. We propose different instrumentation strategies to identify the causal effect of skilled migration on log differences of GDP per capita, total factor productivity, and wages of skilled workers between pairs of source and destination countries. These address the endogeneity problem which potentially arises when international wage differences affect migration decisions. -- international high-skilled migration ; wage effects ; total factor productivity

     

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    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/62412
    Series: Discussion paper series / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit ; 6611
    Subjects: Brain Drain; Hochqualifizierte Arbeitskräfte; Lohnniveau; Produktivität; OECD-Staaten
    Scope: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 22, [5] S., 239,69 KB)
  7. Media coverage and immigration worries
    econometric evidence
    Published: April 2018
    Publisher:  düsseldorf university press, Düsseldorf, Germany

    This paper empirically explores the link between mass media coverage of migration and immigration worries. Using detailed data on media coverage in Germany, we show that the amount of media reports regarding migration issues is positively associated... more

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 256 (288)
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    This paper empirically explores the link between mass media coverage of migration and immigration worries. Using detailed data on media coverage in Germany, we show that the amount of media reports regarding migration issues is positively associated with concerns about immigration among the German population. The association is robust to the inclusion of time-variant individual control variables and individual fixed-effects. We employ media spillovers from the neighboring country of Switzerland, which occur due to referendum decisions on immigration as an instrumental variable to address endogeneity concerns. The IV estimates suggest that media coverage has a causal impact on immigration worries. Exploring heterogeneous effects between respondents, the results reveal that the link between media reports and immigration worries is particularly relevant for women and respondents active in the workforce.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9783863042875
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/177889
    Series: Discussion paper / Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics ; no 288
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 35 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Electoral turnout during states of emergency and effects on incumbent vote shares
    Published: January 2021
    Publisher:  Verein für Socialpolitik, [Köln]

    Bavarian mayors are elected by majority rule in two-round (runoff) elections. Between the first and second ballot of the mayoral election in March 2020, the Bavarian state government announced an official state of emergency with measures to fight the... more

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    Bavarian mayors are elected by majority rule in two-round (runoff) elections. Between the first and second ballot of the mayoral election in March 2020, the Bavarian state government announced an official state of emergency with measures to fight the spread of Covid-19, including a shutdown of public life. For the second ballot, voting in person was prohibited and only postal voting was allowed. We contrast turnout of the first and second ballot in 2020 with the first and second ballots from previous elections in a difference-indifferences setting. The state of emergency led to a more than 10 percentage points higher turnout in Bavarian municipalities. We employ the state of emergency induced higher turnout from the difference-in-differences setting as an instrument to analyze the effect of turnout on the vote shares of local incumbents. A 10-percentage point increase in turnout leads to a 3.4 percentage point higher vote share for incumbent mayors. Our results point to the relevance of turnout related incumbency effects.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/242332
    Series: Jahrestagung 2021 / Verein für Socialpolitik ; 26
    Subjects: Incumbency effects; turnout; mayoral elections; voting in crises
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 42 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. Who is the ultimate boss of legislators
    voters, special interest groups or parties?
    Published: January 2020
    Publisher:  Verein für Socialpolitik, [Köln]

    Politicians have multiple principals. We investigate the weights that politicians put on the revealed preferences of their constituents, special interest groups and party when deciding on legislative proposals. Preferences of constituents, special... more

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    Politicians have multiple principals. We investigate the weights that politicians put on the revealed preferences of their constituents, special interest groups and party when deciding on legislative proposals. Preferences of constituents, special interest groups and parties are directly observed in our setting and they are positively correlated among each other. The empirical findings suggest that constituent preferences are assigned the lowest weight. Holding constant the preferences of other principals, constituent preferences are assigned a weight of only 10.0%. Party preferences are assigned the highest weight of all principals and special interest groups lie in between. A politician's personal ideology plays no substantial role in legislative decisions. We explore conflict among principals as well as heterogeneity among politicians. Our results cast doubt on the empirical relevance of the median voter model and suggest that more principals need to be considered to explain legislative decisions.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
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    hdl: 10419/224562
    Series: Jahrestagung 2020 / Verein für Socialpolitik ; 58
    Subjects: Principal-agent; multiple principals; voting; political representation; behavior of politicians
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 37 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. Electoral turnout during states of emergency and effects on incumbent vote share
    Published: [2020]
    Publisher:  CREMA, Zürich

    In March 2020, the second ballot of local elections in the German state of Bavaria was held under an official state of emergency due to the Covid-19 pandemic. Bavarian mayors are elected by majority rule in two-round (runoff) elections. Between the... more

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    In March 2020, the second ballot of local elections in the German state of Bavaria was held under an official state of emergency due to the Covid-19 pandemic. Bavarian mayors are elected by majority rule in two-round (runoff) elections. Between the first and second ballot of the election, the state government announced a state of emergency with drastic measures to fight the spread of Covid-19, including a shutdown of public life and restrictions to individual mobility. We employ a difference-in-difference setting to contrast turnout of the first and second ballot in 2020 with the first and second ballots from previous elections. The state of emergency led to an increase in turnout of 10 percentage points. This increase in turnout is robust and there is no relevant heterogeneity of the increase across municipalities. We argue that voting is an act of identifying with the collectivity of society which seemed to increase under adverse circumstances. In addition, the emergency induced higher turnout from the difference-in-difference setting is employed as an instrument to analyze the effect of turnout on the vote share of incumbents. Controlling for party affiliations and other factors, the results indicate that incumbents tend to profit marginally from higher turnout.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/225552
    Series: Working paper / CREMA, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts ; no. 2020, 10
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 36 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. How confidence in health care systems affects mobility and compliance during the COVID-19 pandemic

    Trust in the health care system requires being confident that sufficient and appropriate treatments will be provided if needed. The COVID-19 public health crisis is a significant, global, and (mostly) simultaneous test of the behavioral implications... more

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    Trust in the health care system requires being confident that sufficient and appropriate treatments will be provided if needed. The COVID-19 public health crisis is a significant, global, and (mostly) simultaneous test of the behavioral implications arising from this trust. We explore whether populations reporting low levels of confidence in the health care system exhibit a stronger behavioral reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic. We track the dynamic responses to the COVID-19 pandemic across 38 countries and 621 regions by exploiting a large dataset on human mobility generated between February 15 and June 5, 2020 and a broad range of contextual factors (e.g. deaths or policy implementations). Using a time-dynamic framework we find that societies with low levels of health care confidence initially exhibit a faster response with respect to staying home. However, this reaction plateaus sooner, and after the plateau it declines with greater magnitude than does the response from societies with high health care confidence. On the other hand, regions with higher confidence in the health care system are more likely to reduce mobility once the government mandates that its citizens are not to leave home except for essential trips, compared to those with lower health care system confidence. Regions with high trust in the government but low confidence in the health care system dramatically reduce their mobility, suggesting a correlation for trust in the state with respect to behavioral responses during a crisis.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
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    hdl: 10419/225553
    Series: Working paper / CREMA, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts ; no. 2020, 11
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 31 Seiten)
  12. How does globalisation affect COVID-19 responses?
    Published: [2020]
    Publisher:  CREMA, Zürich

    This paper examines the effects of globalisation on the pace of governments implementing international travel restrictions during the recent coronavirus pandemic. We find that more globalised countries experienced a longer delay in implementing... more

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    This paper examines the effects of globalisation on the pace of governments implementing international travel restrictions during the recent coronavirus pandemic. We find that more globalised countries experienced a longer delay in implementing international travel restriction policies with respect to the date of the first confirmed COVID-19 case. We also find that informational (a subcomponent of social globalisation) and political globalisation have the strongest effects on the observed delays in implementing international travel restriction policies in more globalised countries. Lastly, we do not find evidence that more globalised countries are more likely to adopt a more restrictive international travel policy as the first response to the pandemic. These findings highlight the dynamic relationship between globalisation and protectionism when governments respond to significant global events such as a public health crisis.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
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    hdl: 10419/225554
    Series: Working paper / CREMA, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts ; no. 2020, 12
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 21 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. Inequalities, exclusion and COVID-19 in Sub-Saharan Africa
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  CREMA, Zürich

    Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 crisis, there is an increased interest to understand how social inequalities, discrimination, and inclusion are related to the pandemic. Sub-Saharan Africa has been comparatively resilient regarding the number of... more

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    Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 crisis, there is an increased interest to understand how social inequalities, discrimination, and inclusion are related to the pandemic. Sub-Saharan Africa has been comparatively resilient regarding the number of cases and fatalities per capita. At the same time, the region has high rates of multiple inequalities. Socioeconomic inequalities could adversely affect the fight against COVID-19 by influencing people's access to healthcare and eroding confidence and trust in public health institutions. This work investigates the effects of education, gender, income, and political inequalities on COVID-19 in Sub-Saharan Africa. The study also explores a country case study from Ghana to complement the systematic regional analysis. We find that pre-existing income inequality, along with some other dimensions of inequality, may have contributed to higher infection and mortality rates of COVID-19. We recommend that in the shortterm governments should consider outcomes of inequality in their fight against COVID-19. In the medium and long-term, and for the effectiveness of measures to fight future outbreaks, governments should strive to reduce various forms of inequalities.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/234620
    Series: Working paper / CREMA, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts ; no. 2021, 05
    Subjects: COVID-19; Inequality; Sub-Saharan Africa
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 21 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. The influence of culture, development aid and temperature on regional incomes
    Published: 2021
    Publisher:  Universität Bayreuth, Bayreuth

    Universitätsbibliothek Braunschweig
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    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Contributor: Stadelmann, David (AkademischeR BetreuerIn)
    Language: English
    Media type: Dissertation
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    Subjects: Regional culture; regional development; subnational data; institutions; Evaluation; development projects; drinking water; sanitation; child mortality; Regional temperature; regional incomes; non-linearity
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 326 Seiten), Illustrationen
    Notes:

    Dissertation, Universität Bayreuth, 2021

  15. More federal legislators lead to more resources for their constituencies
    evidence from exogenous differences in seat allocations
    Published: August 2019
    Publisher:  Verein für Socialpolitik, [Leipzig]

    Electoral district magnitude varies across German electoral constituencies and over legislative periods due to Germany’s electoral system. The number of seats in parliament per constituency is effectively random. This setting permits us to... more

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    Electoral district magnitude varies across German electoral constituencies and over legislative periods due to Germany’s electoral system. The number of seats in parliament per constituency is effectively random. This setting permits us to investigate exogenous variations in district magnitude on federal resource allocation. We analyse the effect of having more than one federal representative per constituency on federal government resources by exploiting information from 1,375 German constituencies from 1998 to 2017. More representatives per constituency lead to statistically significantly more employment of federal civil servants in the respective constituencies. The size of the effect corresponds to about 34 federal civil servants once a constituency is represented by additional legislators from party lists. A battery of robustness tests supports our results. Further evidence points to some heterogeneity of the effect. In particular, constituencies represented by additional legislators who are experienced and who are members of larger, competing parties obtain more federal resources.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/203521
    Series: Array ; Array
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 36 Seiten), Illustrationen
  16. Incentives dominate selection
    chamber-changing legislators are driven by electoral rules and voter preferences
    Published: February 2019
    Publisher:  Verein für Socialpolitik, [Leipzig]

    The role of electoral incentives vs. selection is ideally analyzed in a setting where the same legislators are selected to decide on policies under different electoral rules and where voter preferences on policies can be precisely measured. This is... more

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    The role of electoral incentives vs. selection is ideally analyzed in a setting where the same legislators are selected to decide on policies under different electoral rules and where voter preferences on policies can be precisely measured. This is the first paper to look at such a situation. The institutional setting of Switzerland allows us to observe the behavior of legislators who change from a proportionally-elected chamber to a majority-elected chamber of parliament with their electorate being the same in both chambers. Voter preferences are revealed in a large number of referenda. We causally identify behavioral changes of legislators who are chamber-changers in comparison to other legislators due to the respective electoral rules along three dimensions, all measured at the level of individual legislators: representation of revealed voter preferences for policies, party loyalty, and interest group affiliations. The evidence suggests that electoral incentives explain the behavioral response of chamber-changers towards voter preferences to such an extent that there remains no role for selection. Chamber-changers become less loyal towards their party and adapt their lobby group affiliations towards more district-oriented interests after having changed from a proportionally-elected chamber to a majority-elected chamber.

     

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    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
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    hdl: 10419/203559
    Series: Array ; Array
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 35 Seiten), Illustrationen
  17. Coastal proximity and individual living standards
    econometric evidence from geo-referenced household surveys
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  CREMA, Zürich

    We investigate geo-referenced household-level data consisting of up to 206,896 individuals living in 21,826 localities across 28 sub-Saharan African countries over 20 years. We analyse the relevance of coastal proximity as a predictor of individual... more

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    We investigate geo-referenced household-level data consisting of up to 206,896 individuals living in 21,826 localities across 28 sub-Saharan African countries over 20 years. We analyse the relevance of coastal proximity as a predictor of individual economic living standards. Our setting allows us to account for country-time fixed effects as well as individual-specific controls such as age, gender, and most importantly, urbanity. Results reveal that individuals living further away from the coast are more disadvantaged than individuals living in coastal regions along an array of welfare indicators. The findings are robust to the inclusion of other geographic covariates of development such as climate (e.g. temperature, precipitation), elevation or terrain ruggedness. We also explore mechanisms through which coastal proximity may influence individual welfare and decompose the estimated effect of coastal proximity via formal mediation analysis. Our results highlight the role of human capital as well as infrastructural endowments in reconciling the large intra-national disparities in individual economic welfare.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
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    hdl: 10419/234637
    Series: Working paper / CREMA, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts ; no. 2021, 22
    Subjects: Geography; Coastal Proximity; Sub-Saharan Africa; Mediation Analysis
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 31 Seiten), Illustrationen
  18. Income and terrorism: insights from subnational data
    Published: December 2021
    Publisher:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    To better understand potential relationships between income and terrorism, we study data for 1,527 subnational regions in 75 countries between 1970 and 2014. Results consistently imply an inverted U-shape that remains robust to accounting for a... more

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    To better understand potential relationships between income and terrorism, we study data for 1,527 subnational regions in 75 countries between 1970 and 2014. Results consistently imply an inverted U-shape that remains robust to accounting for a comprehensive set of region-level covariates, region- and time-fixed effects, as well as estimating an array of alternative specifications. The threat of terrorism systematically rises as low-income polities become richer, peaking at an income level of about US$12,800 per capita (in constant 2005 PPP US$), but then falls consistently above that level. This pattern emerges for domestic and transnational terrorism alike. Peaks in the income-terrorism relationship differ by perpetrator ideology. Thus, alleviating poverty per se may first exacerbate terrorism, contrary to much of the proposed recipes advocated since 9/11.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/250631
    Series: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 14970
    Subjects: subnational income; subnational terrorism; domestic terrorism; transnational terrorism; terror group ideology
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 33 Seiten), Illustrationen
  19. Is temperature adversely related to economic growth?
    evidence on the short-run and the long-run links from sub-national data
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  CREMA, Zürich

    We investigate the effect of rising temperatures on economic development, using sub-national data for approximately 1,500 sub-national regions in 81 countries from the 1950s to the 2010s. Accounting for region- and time-fixed factors by means of a... more

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    We investigate the effect of rising temperatures on economic development, using sub-national data for approximately 1,500 sub-national regions in 81 countries from the 1950s to the 2010s. Accounting for region- and time-fixed factors by means of a two-way fixed effects panel approach, we find no evidence that rising temperatures are adversely related to regional growth measured as changes in regional per capita gross domestic product (GDP). In addition to a panel setting, we also consider the long-run analogue of the panel model, exploring the relationship between regional temperature and growth over longer time periods. Applying this long-difference approach, we find evidence of a statistically significant negative association between temperature and regional economic activity. This suggests that intensification effects matter, meaning that the adverse relationship between temperature increases and growth may compound and materialize only in the longer run. What is more, we find that these adverse long-run effects of regional warming matter only to regions located in countries with relatively unfavorable economic and institutional conditions, that is, in countries with high levels of poverty, a lack of democracy, and a weak rule of law. This strongly points to the role of sound (country-specific) economic and institutional conditions in reducing vulnerability to higher temperatures. In line with this interpretation, we find no evidence for an adverse long-run relationship between temperature and growth for regions located in richer and democratic countries or those with an established rule of law.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
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    hdl: 10419/274091
    Series: Working paper / CREMA, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts ; no. 2021, 36
    Subjects: regional temperature; regional economic growth; sub-national data; longdifferenceapproach
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 37 Seiten), Illustrationen
  20. The link between regional temperature and regional income
    econometric evidence with sub-national data
    Published: [2020]
    Publisher:  CREMA, Zürich

    We study the effect of temperature on economic development on the sub-national level, employing cross-sectional data for up to 15,533 sub-national units from two distinct sources. In contrast to the existing cross-country literature on the... more

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    We study the effect of temperature on economic development on the sub-national level, employing cross-sectional data for up to 15,533 sub-national units from two distinct sources. In contrast to the existing cross-country literature on the temperature-income relationship, our setting allows us to exploit sub-national heterogeneity through the inclusion of country fixed effects and mitigate omitted variable bias. We find no negative relationship between regional temperature and four different measures of economic development (per capita GDP, growth of per capita GDP, nightlights and gross cell production). We also test whether temperature is non-linearly related to income (with hotter regions being potentially particularly prone to adverse effects of temperature on income) but find no evidence in favor of such a relationship. Finally, we examine whether the effect of temperature on economic development is especially pronounced in poorer regions (e.g., due to weaker adaptation), but find no robust evidence for this proposition. In sum, our findings suggest that adaptation to temperature differences could be feasible and relevant.

     

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    hdl: 10419/223383
    Series: Working paper / CREMA, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts ; no. 2020, 01
    Subjects: Klima; Klimawandel; Regionalentwicklung; Regionales Wachstum; Regionale Einkommensverteilung; Welt
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 41 Seiten), Illustrationen
  21. Risk preference and child labour
    econometric evidence
    Published: [2020]
    Publisher:  CREMA, Zürich

    The literature suggests that the household invests in the human capital of a child member not only for altruistic reasons but also as insurance against future income shocks. Hence, the allocation of the child's time between school and work is a... more

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    The literature suggests that the household invests in the human capital of a child member not only for altruistic reasons but also as insurance against future income shocks. Hence, the allocation of the child's time between school and work is a function of the risk preference of the household head. This paper estimates the effect of parental risk preference on child labour decisions in the household using recall information on child labour and a risk elicitation question. We address endogeneity issues by applying an instrumental variable estimation technique. We find that risk-averse households are more likely to send their children to work. Further analyses suggest that such outcomes are driven by the need to maximise the household's expected income from the child. Evidence from instrumental variable regressions indicates that the relationship between risk aversion and child labour is causal and that risk aversion induces higher probabilities of children working.

     

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    hdl: 10419/223384
    Series: Working paper / CREMA, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts ; no. 2020, 02
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten), Illustrationen
  22. Certified Corona-immunity as a resource and strategy to cope with pandemic costs
    Published: [2020]
    Publisher:  CREMA, Zürich

    A pandemic is not only a biological event and a public health disaster, but it also generates impacts that are worth understanding from a societal, historical, and cultural perspective.In this contribution, we argue that as the disease spreads, we... more

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    A pandemic is not only a biological event and a public health disaster, but it also generates impacts that are worth understanding from a societal, historical, and cultural perspective.In this contribution, we argue that as the disease spreads, we are able to harness a valuable key resource, namely people who have immunity to Corona. This vital resource must be employed effectively, it must be certified, it must be searched for, it must be found, and it may even be activelyproduced. We discuss why this needs to be done and how this can be achieved. Our arguments not only apply to the current pandemic, but also to any future rapidly spreading, infectious disease epidemics. In addition, we argue for awareness of a secondary non-biological crisis arising from the side effects of pandemic reactions. There is a risk that the impacts of the secondary crisis could outweigh that of the biological event from a health and societal perspective.

     

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    hdl: 10419/223385
    Series: Working paper / CREMA, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts ; no. 2020, 03
    Subjects: Coronavirus; Standardisierung; Gesundheit
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 13 Seiten), Illustrationen
  23. Subnational income growth and international border effects
    Published: May 2021
    Publisher:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    This paper analyses the effect of international borders and of trade agreements at international borders on subnational (i.e. regional) growth. We construct an extensive panel dataset covering 1,350 regions in 86 countries worldwide between 1950 and... more

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    This paper analyses the effect of international borders and of trade agreements at international borders on subnational (i.e. regional) growth. We construct an extensive panel dataset covering 1,350 regions in 86 countries worldwide between 1950 and 2017. Our results show that international borders decrease regional income per capita, while trade agreements at international borders increase regional income per capita by about the same magnitude. The positive marginal effect of trade agreements on regional income corresponds to at least three fifths of the negative marginal effect of international borders. Thus, trade agreements can compensate negative border effects and explain regional inequalities within countries. An array of robustness tests supports our interpretations.

     

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    hdl: 10419/236642
    Series: CESifo working paper ; no. 9100 (2021)
    Subjects: border effects; trade; trade agreements; GDP per capita; regional analysis
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 44 Seiten), Illustrationen
  24. To swing or not to swing
    an assessment of age and political cynicism of swing voting
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  CREMA, Zürich

    The empirical question of voting preferences and how these may change (swing) is yet to be answered, as there is little first-hand microeconomic evidence on swing voting. We focus on the interactions between voters' age and political cynicism.... more

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    The empirical question of voting preferences and how these may change (swing) is yet to be answered, as there is little first-hand microeconomic evidence on swing voting. We focus on the interactions between voters' age and political cynicism. Towards this end, we apply a stated and revealed preference framework to assess swing voting, using data from the Dutch Parliamentary Election Survey (DPES) 1989 to 2010. Our results indicate that swing voting is less likely to occur in older age groups and more likely among individuals with higher levels of political cynicism. The age effects tend to be stronger among those with lower political cynicism values.

     

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    Series: Working paper / CREMA, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts ; no. 2021, 24
    Subjects: swing voting; age; cynicism; elections
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 19 Seiten)
  25. Too hot to play it cool?
    temperature and media bias
    Published: November 2023
    Publisher:  Heinrich-Heine-University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE), Düsseldorf, Germany

    This paper examines the impact of outdoor temperature on media bias. We use 12 years of daily hand-coded data on the tonality of news broadcast by the three major US news networks, ABC News, CBS News, and NBC News, all headquartered in New York City,... more

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    This paper examines the impact of outdoor temperature on media bias. We use 12 years of daily hand-coded data on the tonality of news broadcast by the three major US news networks, ABC News, CBS News, and NBC News, all headquartered in New York City, and merge it with granular, geospatial weather data. Our identification strategy exploits detailed variations in local daily high temperatures to estimate the effect of heat on media bias in news reporting about the Republican and Democratic parties, controlling for time and network-month fixed effects. We find a positive effect of a substantial magnitude: a 1°C increment in daily maximum temperature on a hot day (>25°C) leads to a 20% increase in the media bias measured as the difference in the share of negative news about the Republicans and the Democrats. This effect exists only for maximum temperatures, as opposed to minimum or average temperatures. The results are robust to placebo tests using past or future temperatures. Our findings extend the previously established link - from hot temperatures to negative affect and a decline in cognitive ability - to the determinants of media bias.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
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    ISBN: 9783863044077
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    hdl: 10419/279887
    Series: Discussion paper / Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE) ; no 408
    Subjects: media bias; tonality; temperature; U.S. newscasts
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 19 Seiten), Illustrationen