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  1. Internal trade in Canada
    case for liberalization
    Author: Alvarez, Jorge; Krznar, Ivo; Tombe, Trevor
    Published: 2019
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    This paper assesses the costs of internal trade barriers and proposes policies to improve internal trade. Estimates suggest that complete liberalization of internal trade in goods can increase GDP per capita by about 4 percent and reallocate... more

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    This paper assesses the costs of internal trade barriers and proposes policies to improve internal trade. Estimates suggest that complete liberalization of internal trade in goods can increase GDP per capita by about 4 percent and reallocate employment towards provinces that experience large productivity gains from trade. The positive impact highlights the need for federal, provincial and territorial governments to work together to reduce internal trade barriers. There is significant scope to build on the new Canadian Free Trade Agreement to more explicitly identify key trade restrictions, resolve differences, and agree on cooperative solutions

     
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  2. Internal trade in Canada
    case for liberalization
    Author: Alvarez, Jorge; Krznar, Ivo; Tombe, Trevor
    Published: 2019
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    This paper assesses the costs of internal trade barriers and proposes policies to improve internal trade. Estimates suggest that complete liberalization of internal trade in goods can increase GDP per capita by about 4 percent and reallocate... more

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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
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    This paper assesses the costs of internal trade barriers and proposes policies to improve internal trade. Estimates suggest that complete liberalization of internal trade in goods can increase GDP per capita by about 4 percent and reallocate employment towards provinces that experience large productivity gains from trade. The positive impact highlights the need for federal, provincial and territorial governments to work together to reduce internal trade barriers. There is significant scope to build on the new Canadian Free Trade Agreement to more explicitly identify key trade restrictions, resolve differences, and agree on cooperative solutions

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781498326650
    Other identifier:
    Series: IMF working paper ; WP/19, 158
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 39 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Towards macroprudential stress testing
    incorporating macro-feedback effects
    Author: Krznar, Ivo; Matheson, Troy
    Published: June 2017
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    Macro-feedback effects have been identified as a key missing element for more effective macro-prudential stress testing. To fill this gap, this paper develops a framework that facilitates the analysis of both the direct effects of macroeconomic... more

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    Macro-feedback effects have been identified as a key missing element for more effective macro-prudential stress testing. To fill this gap, this paper develops a framework that facilitates the analysis of both the direct effects of macroeconomic shocks on the solvency of individual banks and feedback effects that allow for the amplification and propagation of shocks that can result from bank deleveraging and credit crunches. The framework ensures consistency in the key relationships between macroeconomic and financial variables, and banks' balance sheets. This is accomplished by embedding a standard stress-testing framework based on individual banks' data in a semi-structural macroeconomic model. The framework has numerous applications that can strengthen stress testing and macro financial analysis. Moreover, it provides an avenue for many extensions that address the challenges of incorporating other second-round effects important for comprehensive systemic risk analysis, such as interactions between solvency, liquidity and contagion risks. To this end, the paper presents some preliminary simulations of feedback effects arising from the link between the liquidity and solvency risk

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781484303634
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    Series: IMF working paper ; WP/17, 149
    Subjects: Finanzmarktaufsicht; Stresstest; Kreditrationierung
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 50 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Financial and business cycles in Brazil
    Author: Krznar, Ivo; Matheson, Troy
    Published: January 2017
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    This paper explores the nexus between the financial cycle and business cycle in Brazil. Cycles are estimated using a variety of commonly-used statistical methods and with a small, semistructural model of the Brazilian economy. An advantage of using... more

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    This paper explores the nexus between the financial cycle and business cycle in Brazil. Cycles are estimated using a variety of commonly-used statistical methods and with a small, semistructural model of the Brazilian economy. An advantage of using the model-based approach is that financial and business cycles can be jointly estimated, allowing information from all key economic relationships to be used in a consistent way. The results show that Brazil is now in the downturn phase of the financial cycle. Moreover, the results underscore the importance of macro-financial linkages and highlight risks to the recovery going forward

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781475571042
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    Series: IMF working paper ; WP/17, 12
    Subjects: Finanzmarkt; Konjunktur; Index; Wirtschaftsmodell; Brasilien
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 29 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Approaches to climate risk analysis in FSAPs
    Author: Adrian, Tobias; Grippa, Pierpaolo; Groß, Marco; Haksar, Vikram; Krznar, Ivo; Lamichhane, Sujan; Lepore, Caterina; Lipinsky, Fabian; Oura, Hiroko; Panagiotopoulos, Apostolos
    Published: 2022
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC

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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9798400213014; 9798400212970
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    Series: Staff climate notes ; 2022, 005
    Subjects: Climate change; physical risk; transition risk; risk analysis; stress testing; Financial Sector Assessment Program
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 33 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. The global bank stress test
    Author: Ding, Xiaodan; Groß, Marco; Krznar, Ivo; Laliotis, Dimitrios; Lipinsky, Fabian; Lukyantsau, Pavel; Tressel, Thierry
    Published: 2022 APR
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Publication Services, Washington, DC, U.S.A.

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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
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    Series: Departmental paper / International Monetary Fund ; DP/2022, 009
    Subjects: Covid-19 pandemic; bank stress test; financial sector vulnerabilities; stress testing; bank stress tests; IMF Library; Global Bank stress test; GST methodology; bilateral work; Stress testing; Value-added tax; COVID-19; Capital adequacy requirements; Commercial banks; Global
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 40 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Investment in Brazil
    from crisis to recovery
    Author: Krznar, Ivo; Matheson, Troy
    Published: January 2018
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    While Brazil's deep recession has been broad based, it has been marked by a particularly large fall in investment. Real investment fell by around 30 percent between the beginning of 2014 and the beginning of 2017. This paper finds that a variety of... more

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    While Brazil's deep recession has been broad based, it has been marked by a particularly large fall in investment. Real investment fell by around 30 percent between the beginning of 2014 and the beginning of 2017. This paper finds that a variety of factors contributed to the investment decline, including a deterioration in Brazil's medium-term growth prospects, rising real interest rates, falling terms of trade, rising uncertainty related to economic policy, rising levels of corporate leverage and lower cash flow. Some of the factors that have weighed on investment over recent years have begun to normalize providing some impetus for a recovery. However, still-high levels of corporate leverage and the prospect of continued uncertainty related to economic policy settings suggest a turnaround in investment is likely to be subdued

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
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    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781484337417
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    Series: IMF working paper ; WP/18, 6
    Subjects: Investition; Konjunktur; Brasilien
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 17 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Towards macroprudential stress testing
    incorporating macro-feedback effects
    Author: Krznar, Ivo; Matheson, Troy
    Published: June 2017
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    Macro-feedback effects have been identified as a key missing element for more effective macro-prudential stress testing. To fill this gap, this paper develops a framework that facilitates the analysis of both the direct effects of macroeconomic... more

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    Macro-feedback effects have been identified as a key missing element for more effective macro-prudential stress testing. To fill this gap, this paper develops a framework that facilitates the analysis of both the direct effects of macroeconomic shocks on the solvency of individual banks and feedback effects that allow for the amplification and propagation of shocks that can result from bank deleveraging and credit crunches. The framework ensures consistency in the key relationships between macroeconomic and financial variables, and banks' balance sheets. This is accomplished by embedding a standard stress-testing framework based on individual banks' data in a semi-structural macroeconomic model. The framework has numerous applications that can strengthen stress testing and macro financial analysis. Moreover, it provides an avenue for many extensions that address the challenges of incorporating other second-round effects important for comprehensive systemic risk analysis, such as interactions between solvency, liquidity and contagion risks. To this end, the paper presents some preliminary simulations of feedback effects arising from the link between the liquidity and solvency risk

     
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  9. Financial and business cycles in Brazil
    Author: Krznar, Ivo; Matheson, Troy
    Published: January 2017
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    This paper explores the nexus between the financial cycle and business cycle in Brazil. Cycles are estimated using a variety of commonly-used statistical methods and with a small, semistructural model of the Brazilian economy. An advantage of using... more

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    Orient-Institut Beirut
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    This paper explores the nexus between the financial cycle and business cycle in Brazil. Cycles are estimated using a variety of commonly-used statistical methods and with a small, semistructural model of the Brazilian economy. An advantage of using the model-based approach is that financial and business cycles can be jointly estimated, allowing information from all key economic relationships to be used in a consistent way. The results show that Brazil is now in the downturn phase of the financial cycle. Moreover, the results underscore the importance of macro-financial linkages and highlight risks to the recovery going forward

     
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  10. International business cycles with frictions in goods and factors markets
    Author: Krznar, Ivo
    Published: 2008

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 1401 (18)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: Working papers / Croatian National Bank ; 18
    Subjects: Internationale Konjunktur; Konjunkturzusammenhang; Real-Business-Cycle-Theorie; Anpassungskosten; Konsumentenverhalten; Theorie
    Scope: 37 S., graph. Darst.
    Notes:

    Parallel als Online-Ausg. erschienen
  11. Optimal international reserves of the CNB with endogenous probability of crisis
    Author: Čeh, Ana Maria; Krznar, Ivo
    Published: 2009

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 1401 (21)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: Working papers / Croatian National Bank ; 21
    Subjects: Währungsreserven; Währungssubstitution; Bankenkrise; Kapitalmobilität; Kroatien
    Scope: 24 S., graph. Darst.
    Notes:

    Parallel als Online-Ausg. erschienen
  12. Habit persistence and international comovements
    Author: Dmitriev, Alexandre; Krznar, Ivo
    Published: 2010

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 1401 (23)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: Working papers / Croatian National Bank ; 23
    Subjects: Real-Business-Cycle-Theorie; Intertemporale Entscheidung; Einkommenshypothese; Investition; Theorie
    Scope: 21 S., graph. Darst.
    Notes:

    Parallel als Online-Ausg. erschienen
  13. Investment in Brazil
    from crisis to recovery
    Author: Krznar, Ivo; Matheson, Troy
    Published: January 2018
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    While Brazil's deep recession has been broad based, it has been marked by a particularly large fall in investment. Real investment fell by around 30 percent between the beginning of 2014 and the beginning of 2017. This paper finds that a variety of... more

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    While Brazil's deep recession has been broad based, it has been marked by a particularly large fall in investment. Real investment fell by around 30 percent between the beginning of 2014 and the beginning of 2017. This paper finds that a variety of factors contributed to the investment decline, including a deterioration in Brazil's medium-term growth prospects, rising real interest rates, falling terms of trade, rising uncertainty related to economic policy, rising levels of corporate leverage and lower cash flow. Some of the factors that have weighed on investment over recent years have begun to normalize providing some impetus for a recovery. However, still-high levels of corporate leverage and the prospect of continued uncertainty related to economic policy settings suggest a turnaround in investment is likely to be subdued

     
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    Language: English
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    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781484337417
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    Series: IMF working paper ; WP/18, 6
    Subjects: Investition; Konjunktur; Brasilien
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 17 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. The global bank stress test
    Author: Ding, Xiaodan; Groß, Marco; Krznar, Ivo; Laliotis, Dimitrios; Lipinsky, Fabian; Lukyantsau, Pavel; Tressel, Thierry
    Published: 2022
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Publication Services, Washington, DC, U.S.A.

    This paper presents the framework underlying the Global Bank Stress Test (GST) and applies it to recent data and global scenarios to illustrate the usefulness of the framework in assessing the potential impact of global shocks on banks around the... more

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    This paper presents the framework underlying the Global Bank Stress Test (GST) and applies it to recent data and global scenarios to illustrate the usefulness of the framework in assessing the potential impact of global shocks on banks around the world. The results of this latest update of the GST continue to point to relatively lower levels of resilience of banks in emerging market economies (EMs) than in advanced economies (AEs)

     
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  15. Approaches to climate risk analysis in FSAPs
    Author: Adrian, Tobias; Grippa, Pierpaolo; Groß, Marco; Haksar, Vikram; Krznar, Ivo; Lamichhane, Sujan; Lepore, Caterina; Lipinsky, Fabian; Oura, Hiroko; Panagiotopoulos, Apostolos
    Published: 2022
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC

    Climate change presents risks and opportunities for the real economies and financial sectors of the IMF's global membership. Understanding the risks is key to prepare for a successful transition to a lower carbon global economy. This will unlock the... more

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    Climate change presents risks and opportunities for the real economies and financial sectors of the IMF's global membership. Understanding the risks is key to prepare for a successful transition to a lower carbon global economy. This will unlock the many opportunities for technological progress and structural transformation along the path that financial sectors around the world will need to adapt to and support. This note lays out the IMF staff's emerging approach to assessing the impact of climate change on banking sector stability risks conducted in the context of the IMF's Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). The note starts with a primer on climate change risk, both transition and physical, explaining some of the technical terms and concepts used in this work. It explains the approach to standard risk analysis in FSAPs, and how this would be modified in broad terms to incorporate climate risk. The note then discusses different approaches to the analysis of physical versus transition risk, their implications for the macro-economy and across sectors in the real economy and different geographies, and how all these effects map into the banking sector. The note illustrates concepts with examples of applications from recent FSAPs and takes note of the many challenges confronting this work, including data gaps and uncertainty regarding climate projections and long simulation horizons in conducting the climate risk analysis. As such the note is focused on methods that IMF staff are deploying to raise awareness of the risks, and adaptation needs, including need for banks to develop tools to manage climate risks and for financial sector supervisory authorities to adequately supervise this risk

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9798400213014; 9798400212970
    Other identifier:
    Series: Staff climate notes ; 2022, 005
    Subjects: physical risk; transition risk; risk analysis; Financial Sector Assessment Program; Climate change; stress testing; Environmental Economics; Taxation; Finance: General; Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Demand and Supply; Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Government Policy; Energy: Government Policy; Financial Institutions and Services: General; Financial Forecasting and Simulation; Financial Institutions and Services: Other; Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation; Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming; Taxation and Subsidies: Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies; Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation; General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation; Economics of specific sectors; Economic & financial crises & disasters; Economics: General; Public finance & taxation; Finance; Environmental economics; Economic sectors; Financial crises; Climate change; Environment; Carbon tax; Taxes; Macroeconomics; Financial sector policy and analysis; Informal sector; Economics; Currency crises; Climatic changes; Environmental impact charges; Financial risk management; Emissions trading; Financial services industry
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 33 Seiten), Illustrationen
  16. Impact of external shocks on domestic inflation and GDP
    Author: Krznar, Ivo; Kunovac, Davor
    Published: 2010

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 1401 (26)
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    Media type: Book
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    Series: Working papers / Croatian National Bank ; 26
    Subjects: Schock; Spillover-Effekt; Inflation; Nationaleinkommen; Kleine offene Volkswirtschaft; VAR-Modell; Kroatien
    Scope: 10 S., graph. Darst.
    Notes:

    Parallel als Online-Ausg. erschienen
  17. Model neravnoteže na tržištu kredita i razdoblje kreditnog loma
    Author: Čeh, Ana Maria; Dumčić, Mirna; Krznar, Ivo
    Published: 2011
    Publisher:  Hrvatska Narodna Banka, Zagreb

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    C 265542
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    Language: Croatian
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    Series: Istraživanja / Hrvatska Narodna Banka ; 30
    Subjects: Kreditmarkt; Kreditrationierung; Kroatien
    Scope: 17 S., graph. Darst.
  18. Identifying recession and expansion periods in Croatia
    Author: Krznar, Ivo
    Published: 2011

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 1401 (29)
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    Series: Working papers / Croatian National Bank ; 29
    Subjects: Konjunktur; Konjunktureller Wendepunkt; Algorithmus; Markov-Kette; Schätzung; Kroatien
    Scope: 19 S., graph. Darst.
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  19. A credit market disequilibrium model and periods of credit crunch
    Author: Čeh, Ana Maria; Dumičić, Mirna; Krznar, Ivo
    Published: 2011

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 1401 (28)
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    Series: Working papers / Croatian National Bank ; 28
    Subjects: Kreditmarkt; Kreditrationierung; Kroatien
    Scope: 17 S., graph. Darst.
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  20. Analiza kretanja domaće stope inflacije i Philipsova krivulja
    Author: Krznar, Ivo
    Published: 2011
    Publisher:  Hrvatska Narodna Banka, Zagreb

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    C 265525
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: Croatian
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    Series: Istraživanja / Hrvatska Narodna Banka ; 31
    Subjects: Phillips-Kurve; Inflationsrate; Kroatien
    Scope: 36 S., graph. Darst.
  21. Identifikacija razdoblja recesija i ekspanzija u Hrvatskoj
    Author: Krznar, Ivo
    Published: 2011
    Publisher:  Hrvatska Narodna Banka, Zagreb

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    C 265526
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: Croatian
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    Series: Istraživanja / Hrvatska Narodna Banka ; 32
    Subjects: Konjunktur; Konjunktureller Wendepunkt; Algorithmus; Markov-Kette; Kroatien
    Scope: 19 S., graph. Darst.
  22. Valutna kriza: teorija i praksa s primjenom na Hrvatsku
    Author: Krznar, Ivo
    Published: 2004

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    C 239170
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    Series: Istraživanja / Hrvatska Narodna Banka ; 13
    Subjects: Währungskrise; Theorie; Kroatien
    Scope: [4], 43 S, graph. Darst
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  23. An analysis of the domestic inflation rate dynamics and the Phillips Curve
    Author: Krznar, Ivo
    Published: 2011

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 1401 (31)
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    Series: Working papers / Croatian National Bank ; 31
    Subjects: Phillips-Kurve; Inflation; Kroatien
    Scope: 36 S., graph. Darst.
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  24. Financial conditions and economic activity
    Author: Dumčić, Mirna; Krznar, Ivo
    Published: 2013

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 1401 (37)
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    Series: Working papers / Croatian National Bank ; 37
    Subjects: Wirtschaftsindikator; Index; Indexberechnung; Nationaleinkommen; VAR-Modell; Kroatien; Eurozone
    Scope: 14 S., graph. Darst.
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  25. With great power comes great responsibility
    macroprudential tools at work in Canada
    Author: Krznar, Ivo; Morsink, James
    Published: 2014
    Publisher:  IMF, Washington, DC

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    VS 301 (2014,83)
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    ISBN: 9781484383445
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    Series: IMF working paper ; 14/83
    Subjects: Wohnungsmarkt; Hypothek; Kreditversicherung; Finanzmarktaufsicht; Kanada
    Scope: Online-Ressource (34 S.), graph. Darst.