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Displaying results 1 to 8 of 8.

  1. Timor-Leste economic report
    March 2018
    Published: 2018
    Publisher:  World Bank Group, [Washington, DC]

    Gross domestic product (GDP)1 growth is expected to have fallen sharply in 2017 to a projected -1.8 percent from 5.3 percent the year before. This contraction is driven by a reversal of trend in government spending. In the last six months, the... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

     

    Gross domestic product (GDP)1 growth is expected to have fallen sharply in 2017 to a projected -1.8 percent from 5.3 percent the year before. This contraction is driven by a reversal of trend in government spending. In the last six months, the political impasse has worsened, with the President declaring a ‘serious institutional crisis’ and dissolving Parliament in January 2018. The current government has not been able to pass its rectification budget for 2017 nor a budget for 2018 to date. The resulting tight budget envelope has led to a sharp reduction in government expenditure of some 24 percent year-on-year, especially felt in the last three months of the year. With government expenditure making up about 75 percent of GDP, weakening expenditure has had a significant downwards impact on growth in 2017. Offshore petroleum production has continued to gradually decline over 2017 as existing fields are steadily depleted, while coffee exports were lower in 2017 due to poor weather conditions. International arrivals by air continued to grow, suggesting that the international visitor market has held up. Private consumption has been more robust in 2017, but investment, both public and private, has declined and foreign direct investment (FDI) has dried up. There remains an urgent long-term agenda of development in Timor-Leste which a new government program could focus on. Key priority reform areas include addressing the multi-sectoral challenge of severe malnutrition, improving systems of public service delivery, supporting a broadening and diversification of the economy, and putting environmental and fiscal management back on a sustainable path. Existing fiscal reserves provide a golden opportunity to achieve these reforms, but only if they are utilized to support a transition to a long-term sustainable economic and fiscal model

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/29513
    Parent title:
    Subjects: DEFORESTATION; ECONOMIC GROWTH; ECONOMIC OUTLOOK; FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT; JOB CREATION; NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT; OFFSHORE OIL; OIL PRODUCTION; PUBLIC FINANCE; PUBLIC SPENDING; RISK; TRADE
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Second-stage sampling for conflict areas
    methods and implications
    Author: Himelein, Kristen; Eckman, Stephanie; Murray, Siobhan; Bauer, Johannes
    Published: March 2016
    Publisher:  World Bank Group, Poverty and Equity Global Practice Group, Washington, D.C.

    The collection of survey data from war zones or other unstable security situations is vulnerable to error because conflict often limits the implementation options. Although there are elevated risks throughout the process, this paper focuses... more

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

     

    The collection of survey data from war zones or other unstable security situations is vulnerable to error because conflict often limits the implementation options. Although there are elevated risks throughout the process, this paper focuses specifically on challenges to frame construction and sample selection. The paper uses simulations based on data from the Mogadishu High Frequency Survey Pilot to examine the implications of the choice of second-stage selection methodology on bias and variance. Among the other findings, the simulations show the bias introduced by a random walk design leads to the underestimation of the poverty headcount by more than 10 percent. The paper also discusses the experience of the authors in the time required and technical complexity of the associated back-office preparation work and weight calculations for each method. Finally, as the simulations assume perfect implementation of the design, the paper also discusses practicality, including the ease of implementation and options for remote verification, and outlines areas for future research and pilot testing

     
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    Content information
    Volltext (kostenfrei)
    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/24158
    Series: Policy research working paper ; 7617
    Subjects: Politische Instabilität; Datenerhebung; Statistischer Fehler; Random Walk; Mogadischu; Somalia; ADMINISTRATIVE RECORDS; ADMINISTRATIVE RECORDS; AGE; ALGORITHMS; BACK OFFICE; BACK-OFFICE; BEST PRACTICE; BUSINESS; CALCULATION; CASE; CASES; CELL PHONES; CLASSIFICATION; CLUSTERING; COMPUTER; CONFIDENCE INTERVALS; CONFIDENCE INTERVALS; COUNTING; DATA COLLECTION; DATA COLLECTION; DESCRIPTION; DOCUMENT; EFFECTS; ENUMERATION; EQUIPMENT; ERRORS; ESTIMATES; ESTIMATING; HUMAN ERROR; IMAGE; IMAGES; IMPLEMENTATION PLANS; IMPLEMENTATIONS; INFORMATION; INTERVIEWS; MEASUREMENT; MEASURES; METHODOLOGIES; METHODOLOGY; METHODS; MISSING VALUES; MISSING VALUES; MODELING; MONITORING; NAVIGATION; NETWORK; OBJECT; OPEN ACCESS; PERFORMANCE; PHONES; PILOT TESTING; PRECISION; PREDICTION; PROBABILITIES; PROBABILITY; PROBABILITY SAMPLES; PROTOCOL; PROTOCOLS; RANDOM SAMPLING; RANDOM SAMPLING; RANDOM WALK; RANDOM WALK; RESEARCH; RESEARCH WORKING PAPERS; RESEARCHERS; RESULT; RESULTS; RISK; ROUTING; SAMPLE DESIGN; SAMPLE DESIGN; SAMPLE SIZE; SAMPLE SIZE; SAMPLES; SAMPLING; SAMPLING DESIGNS; SATELLITE; SCENARIOS; SEARCH; SECURITY; SIMULATION; SIMULATIONS; SIZE; SMART PHONES; SOFTWARE; SPACE; STANDARD; STANDARD DEVIATION; STANDARD DEVIATION; STANDARDS; STATISTICS; SUPERVISION; SURVEY DATA; SURVEY DATA; SURVEY METHODOLOGY; SURVEY METHODOLOGY; SURVEYS; TARGET; TECHNICAL TRAINING; TECHNICAL TRAINING; TECHNIQUES; TECHNOLOGY; TESTING; THEORY; VARIABLES; VERIFICATION; WEB; WEIGHT; WEIGHTING; WWW
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 33 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Child labour risk identification model
    methodology for designing preventive strategies at local level
    Published: 2022
    Publisher:  Naciones Unidas, CEPAL, Santiago

    Considering that it is imperative to provide reliable, comprehensive and timely data that serve as a basis to determine the priorities of national and sub-national action aimed at the prevention and elimination of child labour, the ILO Regional... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Ibero-Amerikanisches Institut Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Bibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

     

    Considering that it is imperative to provide reliable, comprehensive and timely data that serve as a basis to determine the priorities of national and sub-national action aimed at the prevention and elimination of child labour, the ILO Regional Office for the Americas promoted an alliance with the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) in order to jointly generate tools and knowledge that enable the timely identification of children and adolescents who are on the path towards child labour. From this alliance, a tool with two methodologies emerged: the Child Labour Risk Identification Model and the Child Labour Vulnerability Index, which, although with differences, allow —based on the statistical information existing in the countries— to identify the territories in which there is greater probability or vulnerability of child labour and estimate the weight of various risk indicators in the territories, in order to define which multi-sectoral actions are most relevant in them to interrupt the development of child labour. This would enable countries, both at the national and sub-national levels, to have reliable information to design focused and articulated responses, improve the performance and effectiveness of public policies, advance in the achievement of national goals, and contribute to achievement of the global commitments assumed. Introduction .-- 1. Child and adolescent labour in Latin America and the Caribbean .-- 2. Factorsassociated with child and adolescent labour .-- 3. Child labour measurement and its information sources .-- 4. Proposals for child labour risk estimate at the local level .-- 5. Conclusions.

     
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  4. Institutional and methodological recommendations for the measurement of indicators for the disaster-related Sustainable Development Goals and the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction
    Published: 2022
    Publisher:  United Nations, ECLAC, Santiago

    This document outlines institutional and methodological recommendations proposes six methodological steps for measuring indicators for the disaster-related Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) and the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction and... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Ibero-Amerikanisches Institut Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Bibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

     

    This document outlines institutional and methodological recommendations proposes six methodological steps for measuring indicators for the disaster-related Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) and the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction and defines a number of global, regional and national criteria and instruments. The document is accompanied by a Matrix of Requirements, a diagnostic mechanism to identify the gaps and needs in statistical processes that require greater clarification and support from the national statistical offices and stakeholders involved. Introduction .-- Chapter I. Background .-- Chapter II. Monitoring implementation of the Sendai Framework in Latin America and the Caribbean .-- Chapter III. Institutional aspects of generating data and statistical information for monitoring the Sendai Framework .-- Chapter IV. Methodological proposal for estimation of the indicators .-- Chapter V. Final recommendations.

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  5. Second-stage sampling for conflict areas
    methods and implications
    Author: Himelein, Kristen; Eckman, Stephanie; Murray, Siobhan; Bauer, Johannes
    Published: March 2016
    Publisher:  World Bank Group, Poverty and Equity Global Practice Group, Washington, D.C.

    The collection of survey data from war zones or other unstable security situations is vulnerable to error because conflict often limits the implementation options. Although there are elevated risks throughout the process, this paper focuses... more

    Location:
    Orient-Institut Beirut
    Signature:
    Online
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Clausthal
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 2 (7617)
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    The collection of survey data from war zones or other unstable security situations is vulnerable to error because conflict often limits the implementation options. Although there are elevated risks throughout the process, this paper focuses specifically on challenges to frame construction and sample selection. The paper uses simulations based on data from the Mogadishu High Frequency Survey Pilot to examine the implications of the choice of second-stage selection methodology on bias and variance. Among the other findings, the simulations show the bias introduced by a random walk design leads to the underestimation of the poverty headcount by more than 10 percent. The paper also discusses the experience of the authors in the time required and technical complexity of the associated back-office preparation work and weight calculations for each method. Finally, as the simulations assume perfect implementation of the design, the paper also discusses practicality, including the ease of implementation and options for remote verification, and outlines areas for future research and pilot testing

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Content information
    Volltext (kostenfrei)
    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/24158
    Series: Policy research working paper ; 7617
    Subjects: Politische Instabilität; Datenerhebung; Statistischer Fehler; Random Walk; Mogadischu; Somalia; ADMINISTRATIVE RECORDS; ADMINISTRATIVE RECORDS; AGE; ALGORITHMS; BACK OFFICE; BACK-OFFICE; BEST PRACTICE; BUSINESS; CALCULATION; CASE; CASES; CELL PHONES; CLASSIFICATION; CLUSTERING; COMPUTER; CONFIDENCE INTERVALS; CONFIDENCE INTERVALS; COUNTING; DATA COLLECTION; DATA COLLECTION; DESCRIPTION; DOCUMENT; EFFECTS; ENUMERATION; EQUIPMENT; ERRORS; ESTIMATES; ESTIMATING; HUMAN ERROR; IMAGE; IMAGES; IMPLEMENTATION PLANS; IMPLEMENTATIONS; INFORMATION; INTERVIEWS; MEASUREMENT; MEASURES; METHODOLOGIES; METHODOLOGY; METHODS; MISSING VALUES; MISSING VALUES; MODELING; MONITORING; NAVIGATION; NETWORK; OBJECT; OPEN ACCESS; PERFORMANCE; PHONES; PILOT TESTING; PRECISION; PREDICTION; PROBABILITIES; PROBABILITY; PROBABILITY SAMPLES; PROTOCOL; PROTOCOLS; RANDOM SAMPLING; RANDOM SAMPLING; RANDOM WALK; RANDOM WALK; RESEARCH; RESEARCH WORKING PAPERS; RESEARCHERS; RESULT; RESULTS; RISK; ROUTING; SAMPLE DESIGN; SAMPLE DESIGN; SAMPLE SIZE; SAMPLE SIZE; SAMPLES; SAMPLING; SAMPLING DESIGNS; SATELLITE; SCENARIOS; SEARCH; SECURITY; SIMULATION; SIMULATIONS; SIZE; SMART PHONES; SOFTWARE; SPACE; STANDARD; STANDARD DEVIATION; STANDARD DEVIATION; STANDARDS; STATISTICS; SUPERVISION; SURVEY DATA; SURVEY DATA; SURVEY METHODOLOGY; SURVEY METHODOLOGY; SURVEYS; TARGET; TECHNICAL TRAINING; TECHNICAL TRAINING; TECHNIQUES; TECHNOLOGY; TESTING; THEORY; VARIABLES; VERIFICATION; WEB; WEIGHT; WEIGHTING; WWW
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 33 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Child labour risk identification model
    methodology for designing preventive strategies at local level
    Published: 2022
    Publisher:  Naciones Unidas, CEPAL, Santiago

    Considering that it is imperative to provide reliable, comprehensive and timely data that serve as a basis to determine the priorities of national and sub-national action aimed at the prevention and elimination of child labour, the ILO Regional... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Ibero-Amerikanisches Institut Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Bibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    Considering that it is imperative to provide reliable, comprehensive and timely data that serve as a basis to determine the priorities of national and sub-national action aimed at the prevention and elimination of child labour, the ILO Regional Office for the Americas promoted an alliance with the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) in order to jointly generate tools and knowledge that enable the timely identification of children and adolescents who are on the path towards child labour. From this alliance, a tool with two methodologies emerged: the Child Labour Risk Identification Model and the Child Labour Vulnerability Index, which, although with differences, allow —based on the statistical information existing in the countries— to identify the territories in which there is greater probability or vulnerability of child labour and estimate the weight of various risk indicators in the territories, in order to define which multi-sectoral actions are most relevant in them to interrupt the development of child labour. This would enable countries, both at the national and sub-national levels, to have reliable information to design focused and articulated responses, improve the performance and effectiveness of public policies, advance in the achievement of national goals, and contribute to achievement of the global commitments assumed. Introduction .-- 1. Child and adolescent labour in Latin America and the Caribbean .-- 2. Factorsassociated with child and adolescent labour .-- 3. Child labour measurement and its information sources .-- 4. Proposals for child labour risk estimate at the local level .-- 5. Conclusions.

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  7. Institutional and methodological recommendations for the measurement of indicators for the disaster-related Sustainable Development Goals and the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction
    Published: 2022
    Publisher:  United Nations, ECLAC, Santiago

    This document outlines institutional and methodological recommendations proposes six methodological steps for measuring indicators for the disaster-related Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) and the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction and... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Ibero-Amerikanisches Institut Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Bibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    This document outlines institutional and methodological recommendations proposes six methodological steps for measuring indicators for the disaster-related Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) and the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction and defines a number of global, regional and national criteria and instruments. The document is accompanied by a Matrix of Requirements, a diagnostic mechanism to identify the gaps and needs in statistical processes that require greater clarification and support from the national statistical offices and stakeholders involved. Introduction .-- Chapter I. Background .-- Chapter II. Monitoring implementation of the Sendai Framework in Latin America and the Caribbean .-- Chapter III. Institutional aspects of generating data and statistical information for monitoring the Sendai Framework .-- Chapter IV. Methodological proposal for estimation of the indicators .-- Chapter V. Final recommendations.

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  8. Timor-Leste economic report
    March 2018
    Published: 2018
    Publisher:  World Bank Group, [Washington, DC]

    Gross domestic product (GDP)1 growth is expected to have fallen sharply in 2017 to a projected -1.8 percent from 5.3 percent the year before. This contraction is driven by a reversal of trend in government spending. In the last six months, the... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Orient-Institut Beirut
    Signature:
    Online
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Clausthal
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 734
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    Gross domestic product (GDP)1 growth is expected to have fallen sharply in 2017 to a projected -1.8 percent from 5.3 percent the year before. This contraction is driven by a reversal of trend in government spending. In the last six months, the political impasse has worsened, with the President declaring a ‘serious institutional crisis’ and dissolving Parliament in January 2018. The current government has not been able to pass its rectification budget for 2017 nor a budget for 2018 to date. The resulting tight budget envelope has led to a sharp reduction in government expenditure of some 24 percent year-on-year, especially felt in the last three months of the year. With government expenditure making up about 75 percent of GDP, weakening expenditure has had a significant downwards impact on growth in 2017. Offshore petroleum production has continued to gradually decline over 2017 as existing fields are steadily depleted, while coffee exports were lower in 2017 due to poor weather conditions. International arrivals by air continued to grow, suggesting that the international visitor market has held up. Private consumption has been more robust in 2017, but investment, both public and private, has declined and foreign direct investment (FDI) has dried up. There remains an urgent long-term agenda of development in Timor-Leste which a new government program could focus on. Key priority reform areas include addressing the multi-sectoral challenge of severe malnutrition, improving systems of public service delivery, supporting a broadening and diversification of the economy, and putting environmental and fiscal management back on a sustainable path. Existing fiscal reserves provide a golden opportunity to achieve these reforms, but only if they are utilized to support a transition to a long-term sustainable economic and fiscal model

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/29513
    Parent title: Timor-Leste economic report - Show all bands
    Subjects: DEFORESTATION; ECONOMIC GROWTH; ECONOMIC OUTLOOK; FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT; JOB CREATION; NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT; OFFSHORE OIL; OIL PRODUCTION; PUBLIC FINANCE; PUBLIC SPENDING; RISK; TRADE
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten), Illustrationen