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  1. Estimating the impact of external shocks on the ECCU
    application to the COVID shock
    Author: Parlak, Vivian; Salinas, Gonzalo; Vargas, Mauricio
    Published: August 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    We measure the impact of frequent exogeneous shocks on small ECCU economies, including changes to global economic activity, tourism flows, oil prices, passport sales, FDI, and natural disasters. Using Canonical-Correlation Analysis (CCA) and dynamic... more

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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
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    We measure the impact of frequent exogeneous shocks on small ECCU economies, including changes to global economic activity, tourism flows, oil prices, passport sales, FDI, and natural disasters. Using Canonical-Correlation Analysis (CCA) and dynamic panel regression analysis we find significant effects of most of these shocks on output, while only fluctuations in oil prices have significant effects on inflation. Results also suggest a significant impact of FDI and passport sales on the external balance, a link that CCA identifies as the strongest among all analyzed relations. The model also shows how Covid-19 related shocks lead to substantial contractions in output in all ECCU countries and deterioration of the current account balance in most of them, depending on countries' tourism dependency

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781513585413
    Other identifier:
    Series: IMF working paper ; WP/21, 218
    Subjects: Forecasting; ECCU; COVID-19; Growth; Panel-Data; Classification Methods; Cluster Analysis; Factor Models; Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Principal Components
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 37 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Estimating the impact of external shocks on the ECCU
    application to the COVID shock
    Author: Parlak, Vivian; Salinas, Gonzalo; Vargas, Mauricio
    Published: August 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    We measure the impact of frequent exogeneous shocks on small ECCU economies, including changes to global economic activity, tourism flows, oil prices, passport sales, FDI, and natural disasters. Using Canonical-Correlation Analysis (CCA) and dynamic... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
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    We measure the impact of frequent exogeneous shocks on small ECCU economies, including changes to global economic activity, tourism flows, oil prices, passport sales, FDI, and natural disasters. Using Canonical-Correlation Analysis (CCA) and dynamic panel regression analysis we find significant effects of most of these shocks on output, while only fluctuations in oil prices have significant effects on inflation. Results also suggest a significant impact of FDI and passport sales on the external balance, a link that CCA identifies as the strongest among all analyzed relations. The model also shows how Covid-19 related shocks lead to substantial contractions in output in all ECCU countries and deterioration of the current account balance in most of them, depending on countries' tourism dependency

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781513585413
    Other identifier:
    Series: IMF working paper ; WP/21, 218
    Subjects: Forecasting; ECCU; COVID-19; Growth; Panel-Data; Classification Methods; Cluster Analysis; Factor Models; Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Principal Components
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 37 Seiten), Illustrationen