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  1. On empirical challenges in forecasting market betas in crypto markets
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University in Prague, Prague

    This paper investigates the predictability of market betas for crypto assets. The market beta is the optimal weight of a short position in a simple two-asset portfolio hedging the market risk. Investors are therefore keen to forecast the market beta... more

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 167
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    This paper investigates the predictability of market betas for crypto assets. The market beta is the optimal weight of a short position in a simple two-asset portfolio hedging the market risk. Investors are therefore keen to forecast the market beta accurately. Estimating the market beta is a fundamental financial problem and we document pervasive empirical issues that arise in the emerging market of crypto assets. Although recent empirical results about US stocks suggest predictability of the future realized betas about 55%, predictability for the universe of crypto assets is at most 20%. Our results suggest that the crypto market betas are highly sensitive not only to the beta estimation method but also to the selection of the market index. Thus we also contribute to the discussion on the appropriate market representation.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/272791
    Series: IES working paper ; 2022, 19
    Subjects: Asset pricing; CAPM; Market Beta; Cryptocurrency
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 26 Seiten), Illustrationen