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  1. Higher economic growth in poor countries, lower migration flows to the OECD
    revisiting the migration hump with panel data
    Published: 06/2020
    Publisher:  Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel

    Comparing the emigration rates of countries at different stages of economic development, an inverse u-shape emerges. Although merely based on cross-sectional evidence, the "migration hump" is often treated as a causal relationship. Since the peak is... more

    Informationszentrum der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik e.V.
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

     

    Comparing the emigration rates of countries at different stages of economic development, an inverse u-shape emerges. Although merely based on cross-sectional evidence, the "migration hump" is often treated as a causal relationship. Since the peak is located at rather high per capita incomes of 6000-10 000 USD policy makers in rich destination countries worry that supporting economic development in poor origin countries might increase migration. In this paper we systematically test whether the migration hump holds up to more scrutiny, finding that the crosssectional pattern is misleading. Using 35 years of migration flow data from 198 countries of origin to OECD destinations, we successfully reproduce the hump-shape in the cross-section. However, more rigorous fixed effects panel estimations that exploit the variation over time consistently show a negative association between income and emigration. This result is independent of the level of income a country starts out at and thus casts doubt on any causal interpretation of the migration hump.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/231567
    Series: Kiel working paper ; no. 2145 (June 2020)
    Subjects: Internationale Migration; Ursache; Kausalität; Entwicklung; Wirtschaftswachstum; Entwicklungshilfe; Statistische Analyse; International migration; economic development; development assistance
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Higher economic growth in poor countries, lower migration flows to the OECD
    revisiting the migration hump with panel data
    Published: 06/2020
    Publisher:  Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel

    Comparing the emigration rates of countries at different stages of economic development, an inverse u-shape emerges. Although merely based on cross-sectional evidence, the "migration hump" is often treated as a causal relationship. Since the peak is... more

    Fachinformationsverbund Internationale Beziehungen und Länderkunde
    No inter-library loan
    Informationszentrum der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik e.V.
    No inter-library loan
    Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle, Bibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 3
    No inter-library loan

     

    Comparing the emigration rates of countries at different stages of economic development, an inverse u-shape emerges. Although merely based on cross-sectional evidence, the "migration hump" is often treated as a causal relationship. Since the peak is located at rather high per capita incomes of 6000-10 000 USD policy makers in rich destination countries worry that supporting economic development in poor origin countries might increase migration. In this paper we systematically test whether the migration hump holds up to more scrutiny, finding that the crosssectional pattern is misleading. Using 35 years of migration flow data from 198 countries of origin to OECD destinations, we successfully reproduce the hump-shape in the cross-section. However, more rigorous fixed effects panel estimations that exploit the variation over time consistently show a negative association between income and emigration. This result is independent of the level of income a country starts out at and thus casts doubt on any causal interpretation of the migration hump.

     

    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/231567
    Series: Kiel working paper ; no. 2145 (June 2020)
    Subjects: Internationale Migration; Ursache; Kausalität; Entwicklung; Wirtschaftswachstum; Entwicklungshilfe; Statistische Analyse; International migration; economic development; development assistance
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen