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  1. The information content of conflict, social unrest and policy uncertainty measures for macroeconomic forecasting
    Author: Diakonova, Marina; Molina, Luis; Mueller, Hannes; Pérez, Javier J.; Rauh, Cristopher
    Published: 2022
    Publisher:  Banco de España, Madrid

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 470
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Documentos de trabajo / Banco de España, Eurosistema ; no. 2232
    Subjects: forecasting; social unrest; social conflict; policy uncertainty; forecasting GDP; natural language processing; geopolitical risk
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 54 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. The economic impact of conflict-related and policy uncertainty shocks
    the case of Russia
    Author: Diakonova, Marina; Ghirelli, Corinna; Molinaand, Luis; Pérez, Javier J.
    Published: 2022
    Publisher:  Banco de España, Madrid

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    VS 470
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
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    Series: Documentos de trabajo / Banco de España, Eurosistema ; no. 2242
    Subjects: GDP forecasting; natural language processing; social unrest; social conflict,policy uncertainty; geopolitical risk
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 29 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Social repercussions of pandemics
    Author: Barrett, Philip; Chen, Sophia
    Published: January 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    Epidemics may have social scarring effects, increasing the likelihood of social unrest. They may also have mitigating effect, suppressing unrest by dissuading social activities. Using a new monthly panel on social unrest in 130 countries, we find a... more

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    Epidemics may have social scarring effects, increasing the likelihood of social unrest. They may also have mitigating effect, suppressing unrest by dissuading social activities. Using a new monthly panel on social unrest in 130 countries, we find a positive cross-sectional relationship between social unrest and epidemics. But the relationship reverses in the short run, implying that the mitigating effect dominates in the short run. Recent trends in social unrest immediately before and after the COVID-19 outbreak are consistent with this historic evidence. It is reasonable to expect that, as the pandemic fades, unrest may reemerge in locations where it previously existed

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781513567723
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    Series: IMF working paper ; WP/21, 21
    Subjects: COVID-19; crisis; disasters; epidemic; social unrest
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 21 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Polygyny, inequality, and social unrest
    Author: Krieger, Tim; Renner, Laura
    Published: [2020]
    Publisher:  Verein für Socialpolitik, [Köln]

    This paper proposes three theoretical mechanisms through which polygyny may be related to social unrest. The mechanisms are related to different dimensions of grievance-inducing and, partly, greed-related inequality, which may occur in polygynous... more

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    This paper proposes three theoretical mechanisms through which polygyny may be related to social unrest. The mechanisms are related to different dimensions of grievance-inducing and, partly, greed-related inequality, which may occur in polygynous societies. These dimensions include (i) economic, reproductive and social inequality resulting in relative deprivation among non-elite men; (ii) inequality within elites when it comes to the distribution of resources and inheritance, both related to the relative position of dependent family members in a clan; and (iii) gender inequality in general. Using data for 41 African countries from 1990-2014, we provide evidence for these mechanisms and their relationship to social unrest. We find that especially the first and third dimension of inequality are correlated with social unrest. Furthermore, we consider several potential counter-arguments but do not find support for them.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/242335
    Series: Jahrestagung 2021 / Verein für Socialpolitik ; 4
    CESifo working paper ; no. 8230 (2020)
    Subjects: polygyny; inequality; women's rights; social unrest; Africa; institutions
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 64 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Social repercussions of pandemics
    Author: Barrett, Philip; Chen, Sophia
    Published: January 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    Epidemics may have social scarring effects, increasing the likelihood of social unrest. They may also have mitigating effect, suppressing unrest by dissuading social activities. Using a new monthly panel on social unrest in 130 countries, we find a... more

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    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
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    Epidemics may have social scarring effects, increasing the likelihood of social unrest. They may also have mitigating effect, suppressing unrest by dissuading social activities. Using a new monthly panel on social unrest in 130 countries, we find a positive cross-sectional relationship between social unrest and epidemics. But the relationship reverses in the short run, implying that the mitigating effect dominates in the short run. Recent trends in social unrest immediately before and after the COVID-19 outbreak are consistent with this historic evidence. It is reasonable to expect that, as the pandemic fades, unrest may reemerge in locations where it previously existed

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781513567723
    Other identifier:
    Series: IMF working paper ; WP/21, 21
    Subjects: COVID-19; crisis; disasters; epidemic; social unrest
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 21 Seiten), Illustrationen