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  1. Is secessionism mostly about income or identity?
    a global analysis of 3,003 subnational regions
    Author: Desmet, Klaus; Ortuño-Ortín, Ignacio; Özak, Ömer
    Published: September 2022
    Publisher:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    This paper analyzes whether the propensity to secede by subnational regions responds mostly to differences in income per capita or to distinct identities. We explore this question in a quantitative political economy model where people's willingness... more

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    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    DS 4
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    This paper analyzes whether the propensity to secede by subnational regions responds mostly to differences in income per capita or to distinct identities. We explore this question in a quantitative political economy model where people's willingness to finance a public good depends on their income and identity. Using high-resolution economic and linguistic data for the entire globe, we predict the propensity to secede of 3,003 subnational regions in 173 countries. We validate the model-based predictions with data on secessionist movements, state fragility, regional autonomy, and conflict, as well as with an application to the dissolution of the Soviet Union. Counterfactual analysis strongly suggests that identity trumps income in determining a region's propensity to secede. Removing identity differences reduces the average support for secession from 7.5% to 0.6% of the population.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/265791
    Series: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 15570
    Subjects: secessionism; separatism; federalism; conflict; identity; political economy; international relations
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 46 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Secession and social polarization
    evidence from Catalonia
    Author: Balcells, Laia; Fernández Albertos, José; Kuo, Alexander
    Published: January 2021
    Publisher:  United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research, Helsinki, Finland

    Does secessionism lead to social polarization? Despite much research on independence movements, their relationship to polarization, a key mechanism theorized as increasing the chances of violent conflict, remains less understood. We argue that... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    DS 248
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    Does secessionism lead to social polarization? Despite much research on independence movements, their relationship to polarization, a key mechanism theorized as increasing the chances of violent conflict, remains less understood. We argue that secessionist conflicts can polarize along both policy and ethnic group lines even when they take the form of non-violent disputes. However, polarization does not necessarily lead to violence. We explore the case of Catalonia, a region that experienced a deep secessionist crisis in the last months of 2017, using novel data from a panel survey fielded across two key time periods and embedded experiments. We find a society with great levels of affective polarization in that pro- and anti-independence advocates have strong negative views of one another. In addition, there is spillover in terms of the assessment of associated language groups. However, there is a group of moderates in between the two policy poles that limit the extent of this polarization. Contrary to common wisdom, these moderates have very stable preferences. Our results contribute to the understanding of the underexplored polarization dynamics of secessionist movements, particularly in places where high-intensity violence (i.e. terrorism, civil war) has not yet occurred.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9789292569365
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/229403
    Series: WIDER working paper ; 2021, 2
    Subjects: Catalonia; conflict; independence movements; polarization; secessionism
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen