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  1. Intergovernmental transfers and expenditure arrears
    Author: Chiades, Paolo; Greco, Luciano; Mengotto, Vanni; Moretti, Luigi; Valbonesi, Paola
    Published: [2016]
    Publisher:  Banca d'Italia Eurosistema, [Rom]

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    VS 450 (1076)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Temi di discussione / Banca d'Italia ; number 1076 (July 2016)
    Subjects: local public finance; fiscal consolidation; fiscal rules; instrumental variables
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 54 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Fiscal austerity and migration
    a missing link
    Author: Bandeira, Guillherme; Caballé, Jordi; Vella, Eugenia
    Published: March 2019
    Publisher:  GSE, Graduate School of Economics, Barcelona

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    VS 541
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Barcelona GSE working paper series ; no 1075
    Subjects: fiscal consolidation; emigration; matching frictions; Greek crisis
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 52 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Successful transitions from public to private-sector led growth
    lessons for Benin
    Author: Diallo, Aissatou
    Published: December 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    Many Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries, like Benin, have scaled up public investment during the last decade. Such a strategy contributed to the improvement of infrastructure, but also to a build-up of debt vulnerabilities. Looking forward, the... more

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    Bibliothek der Pädagogischen Hochschule Freiburg/Breisgau
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    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Heidenheim, Bibliothek
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    Many Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries, like Benin, have scaled up public investment during the last decade. Such a strategy contributed to the improvement of infrastructure, but also to a build-up of debt vulnerabilities. Looking forward, the planned fiscal consolidation will result in some restraint of public spending, and, in particular, public investment. In this context, maintaining or even raising the region's economic growth will require an offset by the private sector. The analysis draws lessons from countries that have successfully transitioned from public investment to private investment-led growth using a global sample starting in the mid-1980s. These lessons highlight policies that have been crucial in fostering a rebound of private investment in the wake of a contraction of public investment. The analytical framework proposed by Hausman, Rodrik and Velasco (2005) is used to identify and classify such policies. Finally, the paper analyses how the identified policies could help Benin achieving a smooth transition from public to private sector-led growth

     
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  4. Fiscal policy in times of fiscal stress
    or what to do when r > g
    Author: Havemann, Roy; Hollander, Hylton
    Published: May 2022
    Publisher:  United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research, Helsinki, Finland

    South Africa runs a primary fiscal deficit and the long-term interest rate on government borrowing, r, is greater than the long-term economic growth rate, g. Without intervention, debt will continue to rise until there is a disorderly fiscal stop.... more

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    South Africa runs a primary fiscal deficit and the long-term interest rate on government borrowing, r, is greater than the long-term economic growth rate, g. Without intervention, debt will continue to rise until there is a disorderly fiscal stop. Reforms to raise growth have not materialized, leaving fiscal consolidation as the second-best solution to achieve fiscal sustainability. We show that the least-cost policy is to impose a time-consistent fiscal policy rule with debt-toGDP as the fiscal anchor and for the intermediate operational objective to be a pre-announced path for real government consumption spending rather than the current nominal expenditure ceiling. This optimal policy result obtains with and without explicit policy coordination between the fiscal and monetary authorities.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9789292671839
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/264359
    Series: WIDER working paper ; 2022, 52
    Subjects: fiscal sustainability; fiscal consolidation; policy coordination; optimal policy
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 34 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Reforming the Greek pension system
    Author: Kangur, Alvar; Kalavrezou, Niki; Kim, Daehaeng
    Published: July 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    The Greek pension system has been costly, complex, and distortive, which has contributed to Greece's fiscal problems and discouraged labor force participation. Several attempts to reform the system faltered due to lack of implementation, pushback by... more

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    The Greek pension system has been costly, complex, and distortive, which has contributed to Greece's fiscal problems and discouraged labor force participation. Several attempts to reform the system faltered due to lack of implementation, pushback by vested interests, and court rulings leading to reversals. A series of reforms introduced throughout 2015-17 unified benefit and contribution rules, removed several distortions and reduced fragmentation and costs. If fully implemented throughout the long-term, these reforms can go a long way towards enhancing the pension system affordability. However, reforms faced setbacks and fell short of creating stronger incentives to build long contribution histories, to deliver sustainable growth by improving the fiscal policy mix, and to ensure fairness and equitable burden sharing across generations and interest groups. Policy priorities should aim towards fully implementing the 2015-17 reforms and complementing them with additional reforms to address these remaining objectives

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781513588841
    Other identifier:
    Series: IMF working paper ; WP/21, 188
    Subjects: pension reform; labor market incentives; fiscal consolidation; Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts; Fiscal Policy; Retirement Policies; Retirement; Social Security and Public Pensions
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 26 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Successful transitions from public to private-sector led growth
    lessons for Benin
    Author: Diallo, Aissatou
    Published: December 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    Many Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries, like Benin, have scaled up public investment during the last decade. Such a strategy contributed to the improvement of infrastructure, but also to a build-up of debt vulnerabilities. Looking forward, the... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
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    Many Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries, like Benin, have scaled up public investment during the last decade. Such a strategy contributed to the improvement of infrastructure, but also to a build-up of debt vulnerabilities. Looking forward, the planned fiscal consolidation will result in some restraint of public spending, and, in particular, public investment. In this context, maintaining or even raising the region's economic growth will require an offset by the private sector. The analysis draws lessons from countries that have successfully transitioned from public investment to private investment-led growth using a global sample starting in the mid-1980s. These lessons highlight policies that have been crucial in fostering a rebound of private investment in the wake of a contraction of public investment. The analytical framework proposed by Hausman, Rodrik and Velasco (2005) is used to identify and classify such policies. Finally, the paper analyses how the identified policies could help Benin achieving a smooth transition from public to private sector-led growth

     
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  7. Managing growth in a volatile world
    Published: June 2012
    Publisher:  The World Bank, Washington, DC

    The year began on a positive note. A marked improvement in market sentiment, combined with monetary policy easing in developing countries, was reflected in a rebound in economic activity in both developing and advanced countries. Industrial... more

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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
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    The year began on a positive note. A marked improvement in market sentiment, combined with monetary policy easing in developing countries, was reflected in a rebound in economic activity in both developing and advanced countries. Industrial production, trade and capital goods sales all returned to positive territory, following the slow growth of the fourth quarter of 2011. Although debt levels in developing countries are lower, several countries (notably Jordan, India, and Pakistan) must reduce their structural fiscal balances to reduce debt to 40 percent of Gross domestic Product (GDP) by 2020 (or prevent debt-to-GDP ratios from rising further). As a result, sharp swings in investor sentiment and financial conditions will continue to complicate the conduct of macroeconomic policy in developing countries. In these conditions, policy in developing countries needs to be less reactive to short-term changes in external conditions, and more responsive to medium-term domestic considerations. A return to more neutral macroeconomic policies would also help developing countries reduce their vulnerabilities to external shocks, by rebuilding fiscal space, reducing short-term debt exposures and recreating the kinds of buffers that allowed them to react so resiliently to the 2008/09 crisis.

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/12106
    Series: Global economic prospects ; volume 5 (June 2012)
    Subjects: Wirtschaftslage; Welt; Global Economic Prospects; accounting; arbitrage; assets; bailout; bank lending; Bank Loans; banking systems; basis points; binding constraint; bond; bond issuance; Bond Issues; bond spreads; Bond Yields; bonds; borrowing costs; budget constraint; buffers; business confidence; capacity constraints; capital constraints; capital goods; capital inflows; capital markets; Capital outflows; capital requirements; capitalization; CDS; central bank; Commodities; commodity; commodity markets; commodity price; commodity prices; commodity traders; consumer demand; consumer goods; consumer spending; Copyright Clearance; Copyright Clearance Center; country capital; country debt; country Equity; Credit Default; Credit Default Swap; credit squeeze; credit squeezes; crisis countries; Current account balance; current account balances; current account deficit; current account deficits; debt; Debt data; debt flows; debt levels; debt obligations; debt restructuring; debt stocks; debts; decline in investment; deposits; developing countries; developing country; Developing country Equity; developing economies; developing economy; domestic markets; downside scenario; durable; durables; Economic developments; Emerging Markets; Emerging-market; Equities; equity issuance; Equity Issues; Equity market; Equity markets; exchange rate; Exchange Rates; expenditure; expenditures; export growth; export value Interest Rates; exporter; exporters; exposures; external shocks; financial crises; financial crisis; financial institutions; financial integration; financial market; financial markets; financial sector; financial sector developments; financial sectors; financial systems; financing requirements; fiscal consolidation; fiscal deficits; fiscal policies; fiscal policy; food price; food prices; foreign banks; foreign currency; Global Economy; global finance; global financial markets; global financial systems; global output; global trade; Government account; government accounts; Government budget; government debt; government deficit; government deficits; government expenditure; government expenditures; government revenue; government revenues; government spending; Gross debt; growth rate; growth rates; High-Income Countries; high-income country; household savings; human capital; import; import demand; Income; income growth; incomes; Inflation; inflation rates; inflationary pressures; interest rates; International Bank; international business; International capital; International capital flows; international financial institutions; international financial markets; international reserves; International Settlements; International Trade; investing; investment activity; investment spending; lenders; level of risk; loan; local currency; low-income countries; macroeconomic policies; macroeconomic policy; Macroeconomic vulnerabilities; market conditions; market price; market prices; Market regulators; maturity; middle-income countries; Monetary Fund; monetary policies; monetary policy; natural disasters; Net capital; oil commodities; oil price; oil prices; Output; Output Gap; output gaps; political stability; political uncertainty; Portfolio; portfolio capital; post-crisis period; power parity; private banks; Private creditors; Private debt; private inflows; public spending; purchasing power; purchasing power parity; rate of growth; real interest; real interest rates; Regional trade; regulators; remittances; reserve; return; risk assessments; risk aversion; savings; savings rate; short-term debt; small countries; sovereign debt; stock markets; sustainable growth; technological change; trade deficit; trade finance; trading; transition countries; Treasury; Treasury Yields; value index; volatile capital; volatility; weights; withdrawal; world economy; World Trade
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 162 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Navigating strong currents
    Published: January 2011
    Publisher:  The World Bank, Washington, DC

    Economic activity in most developing countries has, or is close to having, recovered. Supported by resurgence in international and domestic financial flows and higher commodity prices, most of the spare capacity in developing countries that was... more

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    Economic activity in most developing countries has, or is close to having, recovered. Supported by resurgence in international and domestic financial flows and higher commodity prices, most of the spare capacity in developing countries that was created by the crisis has been reabsorbed, and developing countries have regained trend growth rates close to those observed in the pre-crisis period. The remainder of this report is organized as follows. The next section discusses recent developments in global production, trade, and financial markets, and presents updates of the World Bank's forecast for the global economy and developing countries. The global economy is transitioning from the bounce-back phase of the recovery toward a period of slower but more sustainable growth. Growth in most developing countries is increasingly running into capacity constraints, while in high-income and developing Europe and Central Asia growth is hampered by the concentrated nature of slack and ongoing restructuring. In this environment, policy needs to be moving away from short-term demand stimulus toward measures that generate additional employment by enhancing the supply potential of economies. The global policy environment has become highly charged and uncertain, and presents multiple risks to prospects for developing countries. As emphasized at the recent G-20 meetings in Seoul (G-20 2010), both developing and high-income countries will need to take care to minimize the negative external consequences of their domestic policy actions. Concretely, this means that while countries must remain mindful of domestic conditions, when opportunities present themselves to pursue domestic policy objectives in a manner that support adjustment elsewhere in the global economy these should be taken up.

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/12102
    Series: Global economic prospects ; volume 2 (January 2011)
    Subjects: Wirtschaftslage; Welt; Global Economic Prospects; asset price; auction; Bank Bond; Bank Equity; bank lending; bank loan; banking assets; banking sector; banking sectors; banking system; basis points; Bond; bond flows; bond issuance; Bond Portfolio; bond yield; bonds; capacity constraints; capital control; capital controls; capital flows; capital formation; capital gains; capital inflow; Capital inflows; capital markets; capital outflows; capital shortages; CDS; Central Bank; commodities; commodity; commodity prices; consumer debt; consumer demand; consumer goods; contingent liabilities; Copyright Clearance; Copyright Clearance Center; corporate bonds; credit default; credit default swap; credit default swaps; credit rating; creditors; Current account balance; current account balances; current account deficit; current account deficits; current account surpluses; debt flows; debt relief; deposits; developing countries; Developing country; developing economies; dividends; dollar value; domestic credit; domestic economy; durable; durable goods; economic developments; economic performance; emerging markets; equipment; equities; equity flows; equity issues; equity market; equity markets; exchange rate; exchange rate movements; exchange rates; exporters; exposure; financial crisis; financial flows; financial inflows; financial institutions; financial integration; financial market; financial markets; financial sector; financial sector policies; Financial Stability; financial support; fiscal consolidation; fiscal consolidations; fiscal deficits; fiscal policy; Fixed investment; flows of capital; Food price; food prices; foreign banks; foreign capital; Foreign direct investment; foreign exchange; foreign exchange market; foreign holdings; foreign investors; fund managers; future growth; futures; global economy; global exports; global financial markets; global investors; global pension; global trade; government finances; government spending; growth rate; growth rates; hedge funds; holdings; host country; import costs; income; incomes; indebtedness; inflation; inflationary pressure; inflationary pressures; infrastructure investment; institutional development; Institutional investor; interest income; interest rate; interest rate differentials; interest rates; International Bank; international bond; International capital; International capital flows; international financial markets; International settlements; investment climate; investment flows; investment funds; investment projects; investment rates; investment spending; investment vehicles; labor market; liquidity; local currency; local economy; local market; long-term interest; loss of confidence; Low-income countries; macroeconomic management; macroeconomic policy; market developments; market expectations; market index; market makers; market participants; market price; market prices; market valuations; market volatility; maturity; middle-income countries; monetary policy; money market; money supply; monopoly; Net debt; oil price; oil prices; output; output gap; output gaps; pension; pension funds; pension systems; political stability; Portfolio; portfolio investment; portfolios; power parity; price volatility; private capital; private capital flows; Private creditors; private savings; public finances; purchasing power; rapid expansion; regulatory requirements; remittance; remittances; repayments; reserve; reserve requirements; reserves; savings; savings rates; securities; short-term assets; short-term debt; sovereign debt; sovereign debt markets; speculative bubble; supply shocks; tax; tax rate; tax rates; Technological change; trading; transaction costs; transition countries; transition economies; Treasuries; Unemployment rates; volatility; withdrawal; world economy; world trade; yield spreads
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 129 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. Assuring growth over the medium term
    Published: January 2013
    Publisher:  The World Bank, Washington, DC

    More than four years after the global financial crisis hit, high-income countries struggle to restructure their economies and regain fiscal sustainability. Developing countries, where growth is 1-2 percentage points below what it was during the... more

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    More than four years after the global financial crisis hit, high-income countries struggle to restructure their economies and regain fiscal sustainability. Developing countries, where growth is 1-2 percentage points below what it was during the pre-crisis period, have been affected by the weakness in high-income countries. To regain pre-crisis growth rates, they will need to focus on productivity-enhancing domestic policies rather than demand stimulus. Although the major risks to the global economy are similar to those of a year ago, the likelihood that they will materialize has diminished, as has the magnitude of estimated impacts should these events occur. Major downside risks include the loss of access to capital markets by vulnerable Euro Area countries, lack of agreement on U.S. fiscal policy and the debt ceiling, and commodity price shocks. In an environment of slow growth and continued volatility, a steady hand is required in developing countries to avoid pro-cyclical policy and to rebuild macroeconomic buffers so that authorities can react in the case of new external or domestic shocks.

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9780821398821
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/12124
    Series: Global economic prospects ; volume 6 (January 2013)
    Subjects: Wirtschaftswachstum; Produktivitätsentwicklung; Entwicklungsländer; Global Economic Prospects; accounting; arbitrage; assets; bailout; bank lending; Bank Loans; banking systems; basis points; binding constraint; bond; bond issuance; Bond Issues; bond spreads; Bond Yields; bonds; borrowing costs; budget constraint; buffers; business confidence; capacity constraints; capital constraints; capital goods; capital inflows; capital markets; Capital outflows; capital requirements; capitalization; CDS; central bank; Commodities; commodity; commodity markets; commodity price; commodity prices; commodity traders; consumer demand; consumer goods; consumer spending; Copyright Clearance; Copyright Clearance Center; country capital; country debt; country Equity; Credit Default; Credit Default Swap; credit squeeze; credit squeezes; crisis countries; Current account balance; current account balances; current account deficit; current account deficits; debt; Debt data; debt flows; debt levels; debt obligations; debt restructuring; debt stocks; debts; decline in investment; deposits; developing countries; developing country; Developing country Equity; developing economies; developing economy; domestic markets; downside scenario; durable; durables; Economic developments; Emerging Markets; Emerging-market; Equities; equity issuance; Equity Issues; Equity market; Equity markets; exchange rate; Exchange Rates; expenditure; expenditures; export growth; export value Interest Rates; exporter; exporters; exposures; external shocks; financial crises; financial crisis; financial institutions; financial integration; financial market; financial markets; financial sector; financial sector developments; financial sectors; financial systems; financing requirements; fiscal consolidation; fiscal deficits; fiscal policies; fiscal policy; food price; food prices; foreign banks; foreign currency; Global Economy; global finance; global financial markets; global financial systems; global output; global trade; Government account; government accounts; Government budget; government debt; government deficit; government deficits; government expenditure; government expenditures; government revenue; government revenues; government spending; Gross debt; growth rate; growth rates; High-Income Countries; high-income country; household savings; human capital; import; import demand; Income; income growth; incomes; Inflation; inflation rates; inflationary pressures; interest rates; International Bank; international business; International capital; International capital flows; international financial institutions; international financial markets; international reserves; International Settlements; International Trade; investing; investment activity; investment spending; lenders; level of risk; loan; local currency; low-income countries; macroeconomic policies; macroeconomic policy; Macroeconomic vulnerabilities; market conditions; market price; market prices; Market regulators; maturity; middle-income countries; Monetary Fund; monetary policies; monetary policy; natural disasters; Net capital; oil commodities; oil price; oil prices; Output; Output Gap; output gaps; political stability; political uncertainty; Portfolio; portfolio capital; post-crisis period; power parity; private banks; Private creditors; Private debt; private inflows; public spending; purchasing power; purchasing power parity; rate of growth; real interest; real interest rates; Regional trade; regulators; remittances; reserve; return; risk assessments; risk aversion; savings; savings rate; short-term debt; small countries; sovereign debt; stock markets; sustainable growth; technological change; trade deficit; trade finance; trading; transition countries; Treasury; Treasury Yields; value index; volatile capital; volatility; weights; withdrawal; world economy; World Trade
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 178 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. Managing growth in a volatile world
    Published: June 2012
    Publisher:  The World Bank, Washington, DC

    The year began on a positive note. A marked improvement in market sentiment, combined with monetary policy easing in developing countries, was reflected in a rebound in economic activity in both developing and advanced countries. Industrial... more

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    Orient-Institut Beirut
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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
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    Universitätsbibliothek Clausthal
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    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
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    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
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    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
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    The year began on a positive note. A marked improvement in market sentiment, combined with monetary policy easing in developing countries, was reflected in a rebound in economic activity in both developing and advanced countries. Industrial production, trade and capital goods sales all returned to positive territory, following the slow growth of the fourth quarter of 2011. Although debt levels in developing countries are lower, several countries (notably Jordan, India, and Pakistan) must reduce their structural fiscal balances to reduce debt to 40 percent of Gross domestic Product (GDP) by 2020 (or prevent debt-to-GDP ratios from rising further). As a result, sharp swings in investor sentiment and financial conditions will continue to complicate the conduct of macroeconomic policy in developing countries. In these conditions, policy in developing countries needs to be less reactive to short-term changes in external conditions, and more responsive to medium-term domestic considerations. A return to more neutral macroeconomic policies would also help developing countries reduce their vulnerabilities to external shocks, by rebuilding fiscal space, reducing short-term debt exposures and recreating the kinds of buffers that allowed them to react so resiliently to the 2008/09 crisis.

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/12106
    Series: Global economic prospects ; volume 5 (June 2012)
    Subjects: Wirtschaftslage; Welt; Global Economic Prospects; accounting; arbitrage; assets; bailout; bank lending; Bank Loans; banking systems; basis points; binding constraint; bond; bond issuance; Bond Issues; bond spreads; Bond Yields; bonds; borrowing costs; budget constraint; buffers; business confidence; capacity constraints; capital constraints; capital goods; capital inflows; capital markets; Capital outflows; capital requirements; capitalization; CDS; central bank; Commodities; commodity; commodity markets; commodity price; commodity prices; commodity traders; consumer demand; consumer goods; consumer spending; Copyright Clearance; Copyright Clearance Center; country capital; country debt; country Equity; Credit Default; Credit Default Swap; credit squeeze; credit squeezes; crisis countries; Current account balance; current account balances; current account deficit; current account deficits; debt; Debt data; debt flows; debt levels; debt obligations; debt restructuring; debt stocks; debts; decline in investment; deposits; developing countries; developing country; Developing country Equity; developing economies; developing economy; domestic markets; downside scenario; durable; durables; Economic developments; Emerging Markets; Emerging-market; Equities; equity issuance; Equity Issues; Equity market; Equity markets; exchange rate; Exchange Rates; expenditure; expenditures; export growth; export value Interest Rates; exporter; exporters; exposures; external shocks; financial crises; financial crisis; financial institutions; financial integration; financial market; financial markets; financial sector; financial sector developments; financial sectors; financial systems; financing requirements; fiscal consolidation; fiscal deficits; fiscal policies; fiscal policy; food price; food prices; foreign banks; foreign currency; Global Economy; global finance; global financial markets; global financial systems; global output; global trade; Government account; government accounts; Government budget; government debt; government deficit; government deficits; government expenditure; government expenditures; government revenue; government revenues; government spending; Gross debt; growth rate; growth rates; High-Income Countries; high-income country; household savings; human capital; import; import demand; Income; income growth; incomes; Inflation; inflation rates; inflationary pressures; interest rates; International Bank; international business; International capital; International capital flows; international financial institutions; international financial markets; international reserves; International Settlements; International Trade; investing; investment activity; investment spending; lenders; level of risk; loan; local currency; low-income countries; macroeconomic policies; macroeconomic policy; Macroeconomic vulnerabilities; market conditions; market price; market prices; Market regulators; maturity; middle-income countries; Monetary Fund; monetary policies; monetary policy; natural disasters; Net capital; oil commodities; oil price; oil prices; Output; Output Gap; output gaps; political stability; political uncertainty; Portfolio; portfolio capital; post-crisis period; power parity; private banks; Private creditors; Private debt; private inflows; public spending; purchasing power; purchasing power parity; rate of growth; real interest; real interest rates; Regional trade; regulators; remittances; reserve; return; risk assessments; risk aversion; savings; savings rate; short-term debt; small countries; sovereign debt; stock markets; sustainable growth; technological change; trade deficit; trade finance; trading; transition countries; Treasury; Treasury Yields; value index; volatile capital; volatility; weights; withdrawal; world economy; World Trade
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 162 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. Navigating strong currents
    Published: January 2011
    Publisher:  The World Bank, Washington, DC

    Economic activity in most developing countries has, or is close to having, recovered. Supported by resurgence in international and domestic financial flows and higher commodity prices, most of the spare capacity in developing countries that was... more

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    Economic activity in most developing countries has, or is close to having, recovered. Supported by resurgence in international and domestic financial flows and higher commodity prices, most of the spare capacity in developing countries that was created by the crisis has been reabsorbed, and developing countries have regained trend growth rates close to those observed in the pre-crisis period. The remainder of this report is organized as follows. The next section discusses recent developments in global production, trade, and financial markets, and presents updates of the World Bank's forecast for the global economy and developing countries. The global economy is transitioning from the bounce-back phase of the recovery toward a period of slower but more sustainable growth. Growth in most developing countries is increasingly running into capacity constraints, while in high-income and developing Europe and Central Asia growth is hampered by the concentrated nature of slack and ongoing restructuring. In this environment, policy needs to be moving away from short-term demand stimulus toward measures that generate additional employment by enhancing the supply potential of economies. The global policy environment has become highly charged and uncertain, and presents multiple risks to prospects for developing countries. As emphasized at the recent G-20 meetings in Seoul (G-20 2010), both developing and high-income countries will need to take care to minimize the negative external consequences of their domestic policy actions. Concretely, this means that while countries must remain mindful of domestic conditions, when opportunities present themselves to pursue domestic policy objectives in a manner that support adjustment elsewhere in the global economy these should be taken up.

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/12102
    Series: Global economic prospects ; volume 2 (January 2011)
    Subjects: Wirtschaftslage; Welt; Global Economic Prospects; asset price; auction; Bank Bond; Bank Equity; bank lending; bank loan; banking assets; banking sector; banking sectors; banking system; basis points; Bond; bond flows; bond issuance; Bond Portfolio; bond yield; bonds; capacity constraints; capital control; capital controls; capital flows; capital formation; capital gains; capital inflow; Capital inflows; capital markets; capital outflows; capital shortages; CDS; Central Bank; commodities; commodity; commodity prices; consumer debt; consumer demand; consumer goods; contingent liabilities; Copyright Clearance; Copyright Clearance Center; corporate bonds; credit default; credit default swap; credit default swaps; credit rating; creditors; Current account balance; current account balances; current account deficit; current account deficits; current account surpluses; debt flows; debt relief; deposits; developing countries; Developing country; developing economies; dividends; dollar value; domestic credit; domestic economy; durable; durable goods; economic developments; economic performance; emerging markets; equipment; equities; equity flows; equity issues; equity market; equity markets; exchange rate; exchange rate movements; exchange rates; exporters; exposure; financial crisis; financial flows; financial inflows; financial institutions; financial integration; financial market; financial markets; financial sector; financial sector policies; Financial Stability; financial support; fiscal consolidation; fiscal consolidations; fiscal deficits; fiscal policy; Fixed investment; flows of capital; Food price; food prices; foreign banks; foreign capital; Foreign direct investment; foreign exchange; foreign exchange market; foreign holdings; foreign investors; fund managers; future growth; futures; global economy; global exports; global financial markets; global investors; global pension; global trade; government finances; government spending; growth rate; growth rates; hedge funds; holdings; host country; import costs; income; incomes; indebtedness; inflation; inflationary pressure; inflationary pressures; infrastructure investment; institutional development; Institutional investor; interest income; interest rate; interest rate differentials; interest rates; International Bank; international bond; International capital; International capital flows; international financial markets; International settlements; investment climate; investment flows; investment funds; investment projects; investment rates; investment spending; investment vehicles; labor market; liquidity; local currency; local economy; local market; long-term interest; loss of confidence; Low-income countries; macroeconomic management; macroeconomic policy; market developments; market expectations; market index; market makers; market participants; market price; market prices; market valuations; market volatility; maturity; middle-income countries; monetary policy; money market; money supply; monopoly; Net debt; oil price; oil prices; output; output gap; output gaps; pension; pension funds; pension systems; political stability; Portfolio; portfolio investment; portfolios; power parity; price volatility; private capital; private capital flows; Private creditors; private savings; public finances; purchasing power; rapid expansion; regulatory requirements; remittance; remittances; repayments; reserve; reserve requirements; reserves; savings; savings rates; securities; short-term assets; short-term debt; sovereign debt; sovereign debt markets; speculative bubble; supply shocks; tax; tax rate; tax rates; Technological change; trading; transaction costs; transition countries; transition economies; Treasuries; Unemployment rates; volatility; withdrawal; world economy; world trade; yield spreads
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 129 Seiten), Illustrationen
  12. Assuring growth over the medium term
    Published: January 2013
    Publisher:  The World Bank, Washington, DC

    More than four years after the global financial crisis hit, high-income countries struggle to restructure their economies and regain fiscal sustainability. Developing countries, where growth is 1-2 percentage points below what it was during the... more

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    More than four years after the global financial crisis hit, high-income countries struggle to restructure their economies and regain fiscal sustainability. Developing countries, where growth is 1-2 percentage points below what it was during the pre-crisis period, have been affected by the weakness in high-income countries. To regain pre-crisis growth rates, they will need to focus on productivity-enhancing domestic policies rather than demand stimulus. Although the major risks to the global economy are similar to those of a year ago, the likelihood that they will materialize has diminished, as has the magnitude of estimated impacts should these events occur. Major downside risks include the loss of access to capital markets by vulnerable Euro Area countries, lack of agreement on U.S. fiscal policy and the debt ceiling, and commodity price shocks. In an environment of slow growth and continued volatility, a steady hand is required in developing countries to avoid pro-cyclical policy and to rebuild macroeconomic buffers so that authorities can react in the case of new external or domestic shocks.

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9780821398821
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/12124
    Series: Global economic prospects ; volume 6 (January 2013)
    Subjects: Wirtschaftswachstum; Produktivitätsentwicklung; Entwicklungsländer; Global Economic Prospects; accounting; arbitrage; assets; bailout; bank lending; Bank Loans; banking systems; basis points; binding constraint; bond; bond issuance; Bond Issues; bond spreads; Bond Yields; bonds; borrowing costs; budget constraint; buffers; business confidence; capacity constraints; capital constraints; capital goods; capital inflows; capital markets; Capital outflows; capital requirements; capitalization; CDS; central bank; Commodities; commodity; commodity markets; commodity price; commodity prices; commodity traders; consumer demand; consumer goods; consumer spending; Copyright Clearance; Copyright Clearance Center; country capital; country debt; country Equity; Credit Default; Credit Default Swap; credit squeeze; credit squeezes; crisis countries; Current account balance; current account balances; current account deficit; current account deficits; debt; Debt data; debt flows; debt levels; debt obligations; debt restructuring; debt stocks; debts; decline in investment; deposits; developing countries; developing country; Developing country Equity; developing economies; developing economy; domestic markets; downside scenario; durable; durables; Economic developments; Emerging Markets; Emerging-market; Equities; equity issuance; Equity Issues; Equity market; Equity markets; exchange rate; Exchange Rates; expenditure; expenditures; export growth; export value Interest Rates; exporter; exporters; exposures; external shocks; financial crises; financial crisis; financial institutions; financial integration; financial market; financial markets; financial sector; financial sector developments; financial sectors; financial systems; financing requirements; fiscal consolidation; fiscal deficits; fiscal policies; fiscal policy; food price; food prices; foreign banks; foreign currency; Global Economy; global finance; global financial markets; global financial systems; global output; global trade; Government account; government accounts; Government budget; government debt; government deficit; government deficits; government expenditure; government expenditures; government revenue; government revenues; government spending; Gross debt; growth rate; growth rates; High-Income Countries; high-income country; household savings; human capital; import; import demand; Income; income growth; incomes; Inflation; inflation rates; inflationary pressures; interest rates; International Bank; international business; International capital; International capital flows; international financial institutions; international financial markets; international reserves; International Settlements; International Trade; investing; investment activity; investment spending; lenders; level of risk; loan; local currency; low-income countries; macroeconomic policies; macroeconomic policy; Macroeconomic vulnerabilities; market conditions; market price; market prices; Market regulators; maturity; middle-income countries; Monetary Fund; monetary policies; monetary policy; natural disasters; Net capital; oil commodities; oil price; oil prices; Output; Output Gap; output gaps; political stability; political uncertainty; Portfolio; portfolio capital; post-crisis period; power parity; private banks; Private creditors; Private debt; private inflows; public spending; purchasing power; purchasing power parity; rate of growth; real interest; real interest rates; Regional trade; regulators; remittances; reserve; return; risk assessments; risk aversion; savings; savings rate; short-term debt; small countries; sovereign debt; stock markets; sustainable growth; technological change; trade deficit; trade finance; trading; transition countries; Treasury; Treasury Yields; value index; volatile capital; volatility; weights; withdrawal; world economy; World Trade
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 178 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. Fiscal episodes, technological progress and market power
    Author: Afonso, António; Jalles, João Tovar
    Published: July 2015
    Publisher:  ISEG - School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, University of Lisbon, Lisbon

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    hdl: 10400.5/9246
    Series: Working papers / ISEG, School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics ; WP 2015, 09 DE/UECE
    Subjects: imperfect competition; TFP; fiscal consolidation; local projection; business cycle; impulse response functions; GMM
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 26 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. The macro impact of the Portuguese Constitutional Court decisions regarding the budgetary proposals of the Portuguese Budget Law (2012, 2013, 2014)
    Author: Afonso, António; Caiado, Jorge; St. Aubyn, Miguel
    Published: [2015]
    Publisher:  ISEG - School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, University of Lisbon, Lisbon

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    hdl: 10400.5/8293
    Series: Working papers / ISEG, School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics ; WP 2015, 06 DE/UECE/CEMAPRE
    Subjects: budget balance; fiscal consolidation; debt-to-GDP ratio; Portugal
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 15 Seiten), Illustrationen
  15. Monetary developments and expansionary fiscal consolidations
    evidence from the EMU
    Author: Afonso, António; Martins, Luís
    Published: June 2014
    Publisher:  ISEG - Lisboa School of Economics & Management, Department of Economics, [Lisbon]

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    hdl: 10400.5/7416
    Series: Working papers / ISEG, Lisboa School of Economics & Management, Department of Economics ; WP 2014, 12 DE/UECE
    Subjects: fiscal consolidation; monetary expansion non-Keynesian effects; panel data; probit
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 43 Seiten)
  16. Public finances and inflation
    the case of Spain
    Author: Hernández de Cos, Pablo; Hurtado, Samuel; Martí, Francisco; Pérez, Javier J.
    Published: 2016
    Publisher:  Banco de España, Madrid

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    Series: Documentos ocasionales / Banco de España ; no. 1606
    Subjects: inflation; public finances; public debt; fiscal consolidation
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  17. The fiscal and macroeconomic effects of government wages and employment reform
    Author: Pérez, Javier J.; Aouriri, Marie; Campos, Maria M.; Celov, Dmitrij; Depalo, Domenico; Papapetrou, Evangelia; Pesliakaitė, Jurga; Ramos, Roberto; Rodríguez Vives, Marta
    Published: 2016
    Publisher:  Banco de España, Madrid

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    Series: Documentos ocasionales / Banco de España ; no. 1607
    Subjects: public employment; public wages; labour market; fiscal policies; fiscal consolidation
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  18. To consolidate or not to consolidate?
    a multi-step analysis to assess needed fiscal sustainability
    Author: Afonso, António; Alves, José; Jalles, João Tovar
    Published: March 2022
    Publisher:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    We assess the specific need (or its absence) of a country to implement a fiscal consolidation programme by focusing specifically on their degree of success, notably in terms of fiscal sustainability. The "need" to consolidate is based on having a... more

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    We assess the specific need (or its absence) of a country to implement a fiscal consolidation programme by focusing specifically on their degree of success, notably in terms of fiscal sustainability. The "need" to consolidate is based on having a primary balance above or below the debt-stabilizing primary balance (provided by the IMF's Debt Sustainability Analysis) for each country. We then link the need for and the actual (historical) existence of fiscal adjustments to their sustainability impact. Looking at a large sample of developed and developing economics over the period 1980-2018, we find that, on average, there is a higher need of consolidations in advanced economies than in developing economies. In addition, the implementation of a fiscal consolidation program implies an improvement in the degree of public finances´ sustainability, for in advanced and developing economies. Finally, fiscal sustainability deteriorates when the need to implement a fiscal retrenchment arises.

     
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    hdl: 10419/252135
    Series: CESifo working paper ; no. 9618 (2022)
    Subjects: fiscal consolidation; cyclically-adjusted primary balance; sustainability; panel data; time-varying
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  19. Fiscal consolidation under market's scrutiny
    how do fiscal announcements affect bond yields
    Author: Švéda, Josef; Baxa, Jaromír; Geršl, Adam
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University in Prague, Prague

    We estimate the short-run reactions of bond spreads of selected EU member states vis-à-vis the German bund on fiscal announcements from January 2000 till December 2019. To avoid selection bias, the announcements are scrapped from the Factiva... more

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    We estimate the short-run reactions of bond spreads of selected EU member states vis-à-vis the German bund on fiscal announcements from January 2000 till December 2019. To avoid selection bias, the announcements are scrapped from the Factiva database, and then, depending on their tone, they are classified as hawkish or dovish. We show that announcements of fiscal consolidation decrease the spreads-however, the full-sample result masks substantial time and country variation. The impact of fiscal consolidation is statistically significant, namely in the post-crisis period since the Draghi's "whatever it takes" speech, but not before the Great Recession or during the European Debt Crisis.

     
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    hdl: 10419/265197
    Series: IES working paper ; 2022, 11
    Subjects: fiscal announcements; bond spreads; EU debt crisis; fiscal consolidation
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  20. The impact of austerity policies on local income
    evidence from Italian municipalities
    Author: Cerrato, Andrea; Filippucci, Francesco
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  Paris School of Economics, Paris

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    Series: Working paper / Paris School of Economics ; no 2022, 15
    Subjects: fiscal consolidation; fiscal policy; budget deficit; local economy multiplier
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  21. Fiscal and economic effects of local austerity
    Author: Fremerey, Melinda; Lichter, Andreas; Löffler, Max
    Published: June 2022
    Publisher:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    We study the consequences of a large-scale austerity program targeting financially-constrained municipalities in Germany. For identification, we exploit the quasi-random assignment of treatment among equally-distressed municipalities using a... more

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    We study the consequences of a large-scale austerity program targeting financially-constrained municipalities in Germany. For identification, we exploit the quasi-random assignment of treatment among equally-distressed municipalities using a difference-in-differences design. The policy helped targeted municipalities to consolidate budgets. Whereas the amount of fiscal consolidation was homogeneous among treated municipalities, strategies of consolidation differed between smaller and larger municipalities. The former primarily cut spending on local public services, whereas the latter predominantly relied on tax increases. We detect no adverse economic effects but sizable negative effects on population levels and house prices in municipalities reducing local amenities.

     
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    Series: CESifo working paper ; no. 9800 (2022)
    Subjects: austerity; fiscal consolidation; local amenities; taxes; spatial equilibrium
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  22. Consolidating the Covid debt
    Author: Keuschnigg, Christian; Johs, Julian; Stevens, Jacob
    Published: 2021
    Publisher:  School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economics, University of St.Gallen, St. Gallen

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    Series: Discussion paper / University of St.Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economics ; no. 2021, 12(December 2021)
    Subjects: Covid debt; fiscal consolidation; tax and expenditure reform; growth
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 59 Seiten), Illustrationen
  23. Consolidating the covid debt
    Author: Keuschnigg, Christian; Johs, Julian; Stevens, Jacob
    Published: 29 December 2021
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Series: Array ; DP16846
    Subjects: Covid debt; fiscal consolidation; tax and expenditure reform; growth
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 59 Seiten)
  24. Effects of fiscal consolidation on income inequality: narrative evidence from South America
    Author: Cardoso, Dante; Carvalho, Laura
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  [FEA/USP], [São Paulo]

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    Series: Working paper series / Department of Economics-FEA/USP ; no 2022, 15
    Subjects: income inequality; fiscal consolidation; fiscal austerity; South America; local projections
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 49 Seiten), Illustrationen
  25. Monetary union, asymmetric recession, and exit
    Author: Keuschnigg, Christian; Kirschner, Linda; Kogler, Michael; Winterberg, Hannah
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economics, University of St.Gallen, St. Gallen

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    Series: Discussion paper / University of St.Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economics ; no. 2022, 06 (August 2022)
    Subjects: Currency union; exchange rate flexibility; fiscal consolidation; sovereign debt; banks
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