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  1. Liquidity holdings, diversification, and aggregate shocks
    Published: December 2017
    Publisher:  Bank of England, London

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Staff working paper / Bank of England ; no. 698
    Subjects: Liquidity; diversification; crises; regulation
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 45 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. "Let us put our moneys together"
    minority-owned banks and resilience to crises
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA

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    Series: Working papers / Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ; 23, 13 (June 2023)
    Subjects: minority-owned banks; minority employment; community banking; crises; economicresilience; small business credit; household credit; shared-minority identity
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 63 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Capital controls, corporate debt and real effects: evidence from boom and crisis times
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  Banco de la Republica Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia

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    Language: English
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    hdl: 20.500.12134/10660
    Series: Borradores de economía ; no.1244 (2023)
    Subjects: capital controls; firm FX-debt; real effects; macroprudential policy; capital inflows; crises
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 102 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. The role of social protection and tax policies in cushioning crisis impacts on income and poverty in low- and middle-income countries
    a rapid scoping review
    Published: January 2023
    Publisher:  United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research, Helsinki, Finland

    In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, several countries enacted tax and social protection measures to help mitigate the economic hardship faced by individuals and households. This experience underscores the need to better understand the impact of... more

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    In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, several countries enacted tax and social protection measures to help mitigate the economic hardship faced by individuals and households. This experience underscores the need to better understand the impact of such programmes on incomes and poverty during crises, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) where they are most needed. This paper reviews existing empirical literature on the subject, conducting a scoping review on quantitative studies published between 2000 and 2022. Following a structured selection approach, we identify 38 studies about the role of social protection and taxation in LMICs during periods of crisis. The results reveal that LMICs often enact both vertical and horizontal expansions of existing unconditional cash transfer schemes during crises, although the applications vary by geography. Our research also suggests a sharp increase in recent studies because of the COVID-19 pandemic, and a large variety of methods used to study the subject. In terms of effects, social protection can help cushion households against crises, but the effect size depends on the policy adopted, country context, and type of crisis. The minimal empirical evidence about tax policy studies do not enable us to draw conclusions.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9789292673147
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    hdl: 10419/283702
    Series: WIDER working paper ; 2023, 6
    Subjects: social protection; taxation; crises; developing countries
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 40 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. On FIRE, news, and expectations
    Published: 2023
    Publisher:  Humboldt-Universität, Berlin

    The full-information rational expectations (FIRE) assumption is at the core of modern macroeconomics. We revisit recent evidence which rejects FIRE based on survey data. It relates forecast errors to news at different levels of aggregation. The... more

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    The full-information rational expectations (FIRE) assumption is at the core of modern macroeconomics. We revisit recent evidence which rejects FIRE based on survey data. It relates forecast errors to news at different levels of aggregation. The evidence based on consensus forecasts testifies against the full-information assumption, the evidence based on data for individual forecasters against rational expectations. In contrast to earlier survey evidence that was largely dismissed as irrelevant, the recent evidence is likely to have a lasting impact for two reasons. First, the global financial crisis of 2007/08 has led to a certain uneasiness with the state of macro and a readiness to embrace new ideas. Second, the recent literature has put forward a number of promising alternative models of the expectation-formation process. We review these at the end of the paper.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
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    hdl: 10419/273075
    Series: Working Papers of the Priority Programme 1859 ; no 42 (2023, June)
    Subjects: Rational expectations; full information; FIRE; crises; survey data; reaction to news; expectations revolution
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 25 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Uncertainty, politics, and crises
    the case for cash
    Published: 2023
    Publisher:  Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt am Main

    We analyze the repercussions of different kinds of uncertainty on cash demand, including uncertainty of the digital infrastructures, confidence crises of the financial system, natural disasters, political uncertainties, and inflationary crises. Based... more

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    We analyze the repercussions of different kinds of uncertainty on cash demand, including uncertainty of the digital infrastructures, confidence crises of the financial system, natural disasters, political uncertainties, and inflationary crises. Based on a comprehensive literature survey, theoretical considerations and complemented by case studies, we derive a classification scheme how cash holdings typically evolve in each of these types of uncertainty by separating between demand for domestic and international cash as well as between transaction and store of value balances. Hereby, we focus on the stabilizing macroeconomic properties of cash and recommend guidelines for cash supply by central banks and the banking system. Finally, we exemplify our analysis with five case studies from the developing world, namely Venezuela, Zimbabwe, Afghanistan, Iraq, and Libya.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
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    hdl: 10419/273081
    Series: Working paper series / Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability ; no. 186 (2023)
    Subjects: Cash; banknotes; money; crises; stabilization; uncertainty
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 45 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Europe at a turning point
    Contributor: Waechter, Matthias (HerausgeberIn); Palige, Aline (HerausgeberIn); Baechler, Laurent (HerausgeberIn)
    Published: 2023; ©2023
    Publisher:  Nomos, Baden-Baden

    Der russische Angriffskrieg gegen die Ukraine stellt in vielerlei Hinsicht einen Wendepunkt für die Europäische Union dar. Praktisch alle Politikbereiche sind davon betroffen, von der gemeinsamen Außen- und Sicherheitspolitik über unsere Position... more

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    Der russische Angriffskrieg gegen die Ukraine stellt in vielerlei Hinsicht einen Wendepunkt für die Europäische Union dar. Praktisch alle Politikbereiche sind davon betroffen, von der gemeinsamen Außen- und Sicherheitspolitik über unsere Position gegenüber Verbündeten wie den Vereinigten Staaten und wichtigen geopolitischen Akteuren wie China. Der Krieg hat Auswirkungen auf unsere Energiesicherheit, die Energiepreise und die Art und Weise, wie wir den Übergang zu kohlenstoffneutralen Energiequellen organisieren. Die Inflation ist nach Europa zurückgekehrt, und viele Bürger fühlen sich von der Anhäufung von Krisen seit dem Ausbruch der Covid19-Pandemie im Jahre 2020 überfordert. Die in diesem Buch versammelten Aufsätze wurden von Forschern im Umfeld des CIFE (Centre international de formation européenne) in Nizza und Berlin verfasst. Sie befassen sich mit verschiedenen Herausforderungen für die EU, die durch die Zeitenwende des Jahres 2022 ausgelöst wurden. Mit Beiträgen von Laurent Baechler | Michel-Henry Bouchet | Flo Van den Broek | Philipp Brugner | Eda Bülbül | Martin Fleischer | Tobias Flessenkemper | Rachel Guyet | Gabrielle Heyvaert | András Inotai | Arnaud Leconte | Jeffrey Lu | Hartmut Marhold | Kristian Nielsen | Aline Palige | Kyriakos Revelas | Herman Van Rompuy | Merve Samalp | Sarah Sporys | George Tzogopoulos | Jean-Claude Vérez | Matthias Waechter The Russian war of aggression against Ukraine is a turning point for the European Union in many different respects. Practically all the EU’s policy areas are affected by it, from its common foreign and security policy to its position in relation to its allies, like the United States, and to key geopolitical actors such as China. The war impacts our energy security, energy costs, and the way we need to organise our transition to carbon-neutral sources. Inflation has returned to Europe, and many citizens feel overwhelmed by the accumulation of crises since the outbreak of Covid-19 in 2020. The essays assembled in this book were written by researchers affiliated to CIFE (Centre international de formation européenne) in Nice and Berlin. They address various challenges to the EU triggered by the turning point of 2022. With contributions by Laurent Baechler | Michel-Henry Bouchet | Flo Van den Broek | Philipp Brugner | Eda Bülbül | Martin Fleischer | Tobias Flessenkemper | Rachel Guyet | Gabrielle Heyvaert | András Inotai | Arnaud Leconte | Jeffrey Lu | Hartmut Marhold | Kristian Nielsen | Aline Palige | Kyriakos Revelas | Herman Van Rompuy | Merve Samalp | Sarah Sporys | George Tzogopoulos | Jean-Claude Vérez | Matthias Waechter

     

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  8. Rules and enforcement - 2
    Published: 2013
    Publisher:  Univ. Nacional de La Plata, Dep. de Economía, La Plata

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    Language: Spanish
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Edition: Versión nueva
    Series: Serie documentos de trabajo / Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de la Plata ; 100
    Subjects: Wirtschaftskrise; Wirtschaftsmodell; Regulierung; Economic models; crises; institutions; policies; regulations; Economic models; crises; institutions; policies; regulations
    Scope: Online-Ressource (19 S.)
    Notes:

    Zsfassung in engl. Sprache

  9. Firms' leverage across business cycles
    Published: [2020]
    Publisher:  Banca d'Italia, [Rom]

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    Series: Questioni di economia e finanza / Banca d'Italia ; number 587 (December 2020)
    Subjects: debt; equity; firm size; business cycles; crises
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 41 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. Early warning performance of univariate credit-to-GDP gaps
    Published: September 2021
    Publisher:  Magyar Nemzeti Bank, Budapest

    We use European and simulated Hungarian data to search for the univariate one-sided credit-to-GDP gap that predicts systemic banking crises most accurately. The credit-to-GDP gaps under review are optimized along four dimensions: (1) definition of... more

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    We use European and simulated Hungarian data to search for the univariate one-sided credit-to-GDP gap that predicts systemic banking crises most accurately. The credit-to-GDP gaps under review are optimized along four dimensions: (1) definition of outstanding credit, (2) forecasting method for extending credit-to-GDP time series, (3) filtering method and (4) maximum cycle length. Based on European data, we demonstrate that credit-to-GDP gaps calculated with narrow definition of outstanding credit and up to 1-year forecasts of credit-to-GDP outperform other specifications significantly and robustly. Regarding the other two dimensions, the Hodrick-Prescott filter with long cycles (popular in regulatory practice), the Christiano-Fitzgerald filter with medium-term cycles and the wavelet filter with short cycles prove to be the best. All three should be applied to credit-to-GDP time series calculated with narrow credit, and with no credit-to-GDP forecast, except the wavelet filter with short-term forecast. Credit-to-GDP gaps with most informative early warning signals exhibit the highest degree of comovement with the financial cycle, but not the lowest level of endpoint uncertainty. Analysis of Hungarian credit-to-GDP time series extended by ARIMA simulations reinforces the early warning quality of the Hodrick-Prescott credit gap and the wavelet credit gap to a lesser extent.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/272877
    Series: MNB occasional papers ; 142
    Subjects: financial cycle; crises; early warning; univariate filtering methods
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 68 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. Migration, reverse migration, employment and unemployment crises during the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic in India
    Published: January 2022
    Publisher:  Institute for Social and Economic Change, Bangalore, Karnataka, India

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    W 1803 (531)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9789393879073
    Series: ISEC working paper ; 531
    Subjects: COVID-19 Pandemic, 2020-; COVID-19 Pandemic, 2020-; Migration, Internal; Unemployment; reverse migration; employment; unemployment; crises; Covid-19; india; Economics; Migration, Internal; Social aspects; Unemployment
    Scope: 20 Seiten, Illustrationen
  12. European stabilization policy after the Covid-19 pandemic
    more flexible integration or more federalism?
    Published: June 2022
    Publisher:  Department of Economics, School of Economics and Management, Lund University, Lund

    Crises are a major driving force behind cooperation in the European Union. This holds also for monetary and fiscal policy. During severe crises, cooperation has been enlarged and intensified. The recent covid-19 pandemic is a clear example of this... more

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    Crises are a major driving force behind cooperation in the European Union. This holds also for monetary and fiscal policy. During severe crises, cooperation has been enlarged and intensified. The recent covid-19 pandemic is a clear example of this pattern. The pandemic has had huge impact on the conduct of stabilization policies in the EU. Public debt has grown rapidly in many EU member states. The ECB has carried out a highly expansionary monetary policy. In this paper, we discuss the implications for the EU of a move towards increased fiscal federalism following the pandemic. First, the role of crises as a driver of political change is analysed. Next, we examine in greater detail, the effect of crises on the design of stabilisation policies in the EU since the introduction of the euro, the common currency. Finally, we discuss the significance of the recent pandemic-induced steps towards increased federalism for the EU. We raise the question as to whether this is a desirable path for the future of European cooperation.

     

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    hdl: 10419/273641
    Series: Working paper / Department of Economics, Lund University ; 2022, 11
    Subjects: Monetary policy; fiscal policy; fiscal rules; stabilization policy; European Union; ECB; crises
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 30 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. On the stabilizing role of cash for societies
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt am Main

    In this paper, we focus on the stabilizing role of cash from a society-wide perspective. Starting with conceptual remarks on the importance of money for the economy in general, special attention is paid to the unique characteristics of cash. As these... more

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    In this paper, we focus on the stabilizing role of cash from a society-wide perspective. Starting with conceptual remarks on the importance of money for the economy in general, special attention is paid to the unique characteristics of cash. As these become apparent especially during crisis periods, a comparison of the Great Depression (1929 - 1933) and the Great Recession 2008/09 shows the devastating effects of a severe monetary contraction and how a fully elastic provision of cash can help to avoid such a situation. We find interesting similarities to both crises in two separate case studies, one on the demonetization in India 2016 and the other on cash supply during various crises in Greece since 2008. The paper concludes that supply-driven cash withdrawals from circulation (either by demonetization or by capital controls) destabilize the economy if electronic payment substitutes are not instantly available. However, as there is no perfect substitute for cash due to its unique properties, from the viewpoint of the society as a whole an efficient payment mix necessarily includes cash: It helps to stabilize the economy not only in times of crises in general, no matter which government is in place. Consequently, it should be the undisputed task of central banks to ensure that cash remains in circulation in normal times and is provided in a fully elastic way in times of crisis.

     

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    Language: English
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    hdl: 10419/261291
    Series: Working paper series / Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability ; no. 167 (2022)
    Subjects: Cash; banknotes; money; crises; stabilization
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 60 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. Wybrane aspekty ubezpieczeń gospodarczych w Polsce i na świecie
    w dobie pandemii Covie-19
    Published: July 2021
    Publisher:  Instytut Badań Gospodarczych, Olsztyn

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    Language: Polish
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9788365605375
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10.24136/eep.mon.2021.7
    Subjects: COVID-19 pandemic; insurance; crises; customers
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 128 Seiten), Illustrationen
  15. The Irish economy during the century after Partition
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  University of Oxford, [Oxford, United Kingdom]

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    Series: Oxford economic and social history working papers ; number 189 (April 2021)
    Subjects: Ireland; economic growth; living standards; trade policy; crises
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 55 Seiten), Illustrationen
  16. Lucky women in unlucky cohorts
    gender differences in the effects of initial labor market conditions in Latin America
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de la Plata, [La Plata, Argentina]

    This paper assesses gender differences in the effects of adverse conditions at labor-market entry in a developing region. Using harmonized microdata from national household surveys for 15 Latin American countries, we build a synthetic panel of... more

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    This paper assesses gender differences in the effects of adverse conditions at labor-market entry in a developing region. Using harmonized microdata from national household surveys for 15 Latin American countries, we build a synthetic panel of cohorts that potentially transition from school to work and observe their labor market outcomes 10 years later. We find that men who faced higher unemployment rates at ages 18-20 suffer a negative effect on employment at ages 27-30. In contrast, women from those same unlucky cohorts have higher employment rates and earnings. Our results are consistent with women acting as secondary workers in downturns. We also find that women from unlucky cohorts control a larger share of family income and are more likely to be the head of household 10 years after labor market entry, and that adverse initial labor market conditions are correlated to more egalitarian perceptions about gender roles later in life.

     

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    hdl: 10419/274106
    Series: Documento de trabajo / CEDLAS ; nro. 294 (febrero, 2022)
    Subjects: crises; unemployment; scarring effects; gender; secondary worker; Latin America
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 25 Seiten), Illustrationen
  17. A articulação das políticas de emprego e de proteção em Portugal
    cinco décadas de movimentos nem sempre virtuosos
    Published: Junho de 2022
    Publisher:  CoLABOR - Laboratório Colaborativo para o Trabalho, Emprego e Protecção Social, Lisboa

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: Portuguese
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9789893333952
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    Subjects: crises; social and employment policies; social (un)protection; activation; socio-economic vulnerabilities
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 130 Seiten)
  18. Evolutionary dynamics of transnational private regulation
    Published: September 21, 2021
    Publisher:  CentER, Center for Economic Research, Tilburg

    This contribution puts forward an approach to account for evolution of transnational private rule-makers. Morphing of organisations, procedures, and rules is suggested as a key strength of various forms of private authority. Directing our attention... more

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    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
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    This contribution puts forward an approach to account for evolution of transnational private rule-makers. Morphing of organisations, procedures, and rules is suggested as a key strength of various forms of private authority. Directing our attention towards evolutionary dynamics, their impact on the goals pursued by transnational private regulators, as well as on the implications for targets and beneficiaries of their rules, bring to the fore various implications of transnational private regulators. These implications include tensions between the complementary and competitive relations between public and private authority, and question the capacity of the former to effectively enrol, steer and influence the latter. The article discusses the role of regulatory crises and organisational crises as catalysts for emergence and evolution of transnational private rule-makers, and possible effects on the relation between public and private regimes. It reflects on possible competitive challenges that emerge by employing a dynamic perspective to transnational private regulation

     

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    Series: TILEC discussion paper ; DP 2021, 013
    Subjects: transnational private regulation; evolution; crises; management standards
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 24 Seiten)
  19. The Eurozone convergence through crises and structural changes
    Published: [2017]
    Publisher:  Université de Paris Ouest Nanterre La Défense, Nanterre

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    VS 334 (2017,38)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper / EconomiX ; 2017, 38
    Subjects: Convergence; business cycle synchronization; euro; crises; structural breaks
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten)
  20. The Irish economy during the century after Partition
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  The University of Warwick, Centre for Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy, Department of Economics, Coventry, United Kingdom

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper series / Centre for Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy ; no. 552 (March 2021)
    Subjects: Ireland; economic growth; living standards; trade policy; crises
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 54 Seiten)
  21. Disease surveillance, mortality and race
    the case of HIV/AIDS in the United States
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  The University of Warwick, Centre for Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy, Department of Economics, Coventry, United Kingdom

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper series / Centre for Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy ; no. 553 (March 2021)
    Subjects: Ireland; economic growth; living standards; trade policy; crises
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 36 Seiten), Illustrationen
  22. Cash and crises: no surprises by the virus
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt am Main

    Despite the increasing use of cashless payment instruments, the notion that cash loses importance over time can be unambiguously refuted. In contrast, the authors show that cash demand increased steeply over the past 30 years. This is not only true... more

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    Despite the increasing use of cashless payment instruments, the notion that cash loses importance over time can be unambiguously refuted. In contrast, the authors show that cash demand increased steeply over the past 30 years. This is not only true on a global scale, but also for the most important currencies in advanced countries (USD, EUR, CHF, GBP and JPY). In this paper, they focus especially on the role of different crises (technological crises, financial market crises, natural disasters) and analyse the demand for small and large banknote denominations since the 1990s in an international perspective. It is evident that cash demand always increases in times of crises, independent of the nature of the crisis itself. However, largely unaffected from crises we observe a trend increase in global cash aligned with a shift from transaction balances towards more hoarding, especially in the form of large denomination banknotes.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
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    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/229444
    Series: Working paper series / Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability ; no. 150 (2021)
    Subjects: Cash; banknotes; crises; Corona
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 36 Seiten), Illustrationen
  23. Régulation et marchandisation de l'État par la fiscalité et la finance
    le Cas des offices en France du XIIe au XVIIe siècle
    Published: [2020]

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: French
    Media type: Dissertation
    Format: Online
    Subjects: state; offices; taxation; finance; money; economic history; Regulation Theory; crises; commodification; domination; exploitation
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 382 Seiten), Illustrationen
    Notes:

    Dissertation, Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, 2020

  24. What is certain about uncertainty?

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    Language: English
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    Series: International finance discussion papers ; number 1294 (July 2020)
    Subjects: global risk; uncertainty; volatility; crises; economic policy; monetary policy; geopolitical risk; trade policy; downside risk
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 73 Seiten), Illustrationen
  25. One size does not fit all
    TFP in the aftermath of financial crises in three European countries
    Published: February 2021
    Publisher:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    We analyse the impact of both the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 and the European sovereign and banking crisis of 2011-13 on firm-level productivity in France, Italy and Spain. We show that relying on a single break date in 2008 misses both the... more

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    We analyse the impact of both the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 and the European sovereign and banking crisis of 2011-13 on firm-level productivity in France, Italy and Spain. We show that relying on a single break date in 2008 misses both the Eurozone crisis and countries' institutional specificities. Although leverage and financial constraints affect firm-level productivity negatively, high-leverage firms suffer more from financial constraints only in Italy, when they are relatively small or when their debt is of short maturity. These results call for approaches taking into consideration country-level characteristics of financial institutions and time varying financing constraints of the firms, instead of pooling data and adopting a common break date. One size does not fit all when it comes to identifying the impact of financial crises on firm level productivity.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/232488
    Series: CESifo working paper ; no. 8891 (2021)
    Subjects: total factor productivity; firm-level data; financial constraints; crises
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 45 Seiten), Illustrationen