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Displaying results 1 to 9 of 9.

  1. The initial and dynamic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on crime in New Zealand
    Author: Cheung, Lydia; Gunby, Philip
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  [Auckland University of Technology], [Auckland, New Zealand]

    We use seasonal ARIMA methods to study the imposition and removal of national uniform social distancing restrictions in response to Covid-19 in New Zealand for six crime types in six cities. We then use the estimated models to forecast counterfactual... more

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    DS 769
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    We use seasonal ARIMA methods to study the imposition and removal of national uniform social distancing restrictions in response to Covid-19 in New Zealand for six crime types in six cities. We then use the estimated models to forecast counterfactual crime trajectories. Novel elements include cleanly defined lockdown periods, two distinct lockdowns with meaningful gaps between them, and sizeable periods after each one to allow for dynamics. We find that social restrictions initially lower offending, subsequent lockdowns have smaller impacts on offending, "bounce back" occurs in criminal offending after their removal, and bounce back is faster from subsequent lockdowns.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/284665
    Series: Economics working paper series / Faculty of Business, Economics and Law, AUT ; 2023, 03
    Subjects: COVID-19; lockdown; crime; counterfactual; bounce back
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Welfare effects of R&D support policies
    Author: Takalo, Tuomas; Tanayama, Tanja; Toivanen, Otto
    Published: 18 January 2022
    Publisher:  Bank of Finland, Helsinki

    We construct a model of innovation incorporating R&D externalities, R&D participation, financial market imperfections, and application and allocation of R&D subsidies, estimate it using Finnish R&D project level data and conduct a welfare analysis.... more

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    DS 685
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    We construct a model of innovation incorporating R&D externalities, R&D participation, financial market imperfections, and application and allocation of R&D subsidies, estimate it using Finnish R&D project level data and conduct a welfare analysis. The intensive, not the extensive R&D margin is important. Financial market imperfections are small. Tax credits and subsidies do not reach first best R&D but increase R&D 29-47% compared to laissez-faire. Welfare effects are small: Tax credits increase welfare 1%; subsidies reduce welfare once application costs are taken into accout. In terms of fiscal cost, tax credits are 90% more expensive than R&D subsidies.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9789523233966
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/249598
    Series: Bank of Finland research discussion papers ; 2022, 2
    Subjects: R&D subsidies; R&D tax credits; extensive and intensive margin; financial market imperfections; welfare; counterfactual; economic growth
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 67 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Global risk and the dollar
    Author: Georgiadis, Georgios; Müller, Gernot J.; Schumann, Ben
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  European Central Bank, Frankfurt am Main, Germany

    How does global risk impact the world economy? In taking up this question, we focus on the dollar’s role in the international adjustment mechanism. First, we rely on high-frequency surprises in the price of gold to identify the effects of global risk... more

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    DS 534
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    How does global risk impact the world economy? In taking up this question, we focus on the dollar’s role in the international adjustment mechanism. First, we rely on high-frequency surprises in the price of gold to identify the effects of global risk shocks in a Bayesian Proxy VAR model. They cause a synchronized contraction of global economic activity and appreciate the dollar. Other key financial indicators adjust in line with pre-dictions of recent theoretical work. Second, we illustrate through counterfactuals that the dollar appreciation amplifies the adverse impact of global risk shocks outside of the US via a financial channel.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9789289949156
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/249901
    Series: Working paper series / European Central Bank ; no 2628 (December 2021)
    Subjects: US dollar exchange rate; global risk shocks; Bayesian proxy structural VAR,minimum relative entropy; counterfactual
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 52 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. The macroeconomic impact of Trump
    Author: Born, Benjamin; Müller, Gernot J.; Schularick, Moritz; Sedlácek, Petr
    Published: [2020]
    Publisher:  Department of Economics, University of Oxford, Oxford

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Department of Economics discussion paper series / University of Oxford ; number 928 (April 2020)
    Subjects: President Trump; macroeconomic performance; economic growth; counterfactual; synthetic control method; doppelganger
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 20 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Essays in industrial organization
    Author: Kuhlmann, Raphael
    Published: Dezember 2020

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    A 281068
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    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Dissertation
    Format: Print
    Subjects: Industrieökonomik; Verkaufsförderung; Schokolade; Preismanagement; Kostenüberwälzung; Kaffee; Kartell; Strukturmodell; Handelsmarke; Produkthaftung; Prävention; Deutschland; counterfactual
    Scope: xii, 86 Seiten, Illustrationen
    Notes:

    Dissertation, Johann Wolfgang Goethe-Universität Frankfurt am Main, 2020
  6. The economic impact of Trump
    conclusions from an impact evaluation analysis
    Author: Celebi, Kaan; Welfens, Paul J. J.
    Published: October 26th 2020
    Publisher:  Bergische Universität Wuppertal, Europäisches Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen (EIIW), Wuppertal, Germany

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: EIIW discussion paper ; 281
    Subjects: Trump; economic policy uncertainty; counterfactual; Panel Data Approach; LASSO
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 66 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. The effect of Islamic revolution and war on income inequality in Iran
    Author: Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza; Kadivar, Mohammad Ali
    Published: November 2021
    Publisher:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    Existing research has pointed to the decreasing effect of revolutions and wars on income inequality. It is unclear whether this reduction is the result of ongoing changes within countries before revolutions and wars or if the results are standalone... more

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    Existing research has pointed to the decreasing effect of revolutions and wars on income inequality. It is unclear whether this reduction is the result of ongoing changes within countries before revolutions and wars or if the results are standalone effects. In this study, we focus on the case of the Iranian Revolution of 1979 and the subsequent Iran-Iraq war from 1980 to 1988. We use the synthetic control method to study the effect of revolution and war on changes in income inequality levels. Had there been no revolution and war in Iran, how would income inequality have developed? Utilizing the synthetic control method, we created a counterfactual Iran that reproduces the socioeconomic characteristics of Iran before the Islamic revolution. Then we compare the income inequality of the counterfactual Iran, without the revolution and war, to the factual Iran with a new political regime, for the period of 1970-1988. Our results, based on two different indicators of Iran’s Gini, show a statistically significant effect of the revolution and war on reducing income inequality. Over the entire 1979–1988 period, on average and per year, the Gini index of Iran was reduced by approximately 3 times of the standard deviation of this index. The main findings are robust to a series of placebo tests.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/248973
    Series: CESifo working paper ; no. 9428 (2021)
    Subjects: income inequality; war; revolution; Iran; synthetic control; counterfactual
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. The initial and dynamic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on crime in New Zealand
    Author: Cheung, Lydia; Gunby, Philip
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  Department of Economics and Finance, UC Business School, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand

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    VS 92
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper / Department of Economics and Finance, School of Business and Economics, University of Canterbury ; no. 2023, 3
    Subjects: COVID-19; lockdown; crime; counterfactual; bounce back
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. Zeit/Geschichte: Amerikanische Alternate Histories nach 9/11
    Author: Otten, Birte; Kelleter, Frank; Buchenau, Barbara; Schaff, Barbara
    Published: 2016

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