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Displaying results 1 to 25 of 408.

  1. Evaluation of a pseudo-r2 measure for panel probit models
    Author: Spieß, Martin
    Published: 2000
    Publisher:  DIW, Berlin

    Location:
    Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle, Bibliothek
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    Mag24268
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 620 (215)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    RVK Categories: QB 910
    Series: Diskussionspapier / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 215
    Subjects: Simulation; Theorie; Probit-Modell; Maßzahl
    Scope: 7 Bl, graph. Darst, b
  2. Do probit models help in forecasting turning points in German business cycles?
    Author: Fritsche, Ulrich
    Published: 2001
    Publisher:  DIW, Berlin

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    Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle, Bibliothek
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    Mag13959
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    W 620 (241)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    RVK Categories: QB 910 ; QN 200
    Series: Diskussionspapier / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 241
    Subjects: Frühindikator; Prognoseverfahren; Wirtschaftsindikator; Schätzung; Deutschland; Probit-Modell
    Scope: 14 Bl, graph. Darst, b
    Notes:

    Zsfassung in dt. Sprache
  3. Einfache ökonometrische Verfahren für die Kreditrisikomessung
    Author: Kaiser, Ulrich; Szczesny, Andrea
    Published: 2000
    Publisher:  Univ., Center of Finance and Econometrics, Konstanz

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    Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle, Bibliothek
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    Mag15409
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    W 1224 (00.28)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: German
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: Discussion paper series / Zentrum für Finanzen und Ökonometrie, Universität Konstanz ; 00/28
    Subjects: Kreditrisiko; Kreditwürdigkeit; Schätzung; Theorie; Deutschland; Logit-Modell; Probit-Modell; Statistische Bestandsanalyse
    Scope: 49 S, graph. Darst, a
    Notes:

    Literaturverz. S. 47 - 49

    Zusammenfassung in engl. Sprache
  4. Why do small chinese firms list on the Frankfurt stock exchange?
    Author: Xu, Hongmei
    Published: November 2014
    Publisher:  Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster, Institut für Organisationsökonomik, Münster

    In letzter Zeit ist zu beobachten, dass chinesische Unternehmen vermehrt einen Börsengang an der Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (FWB) anstreben. Dieser Artikel prüft mittels multivariaten Probit-Analysen, mit welcher Motivation chinesische Firmen den... more

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    Universitätsbibliothek Bayreuth
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    In letzter Zeit ist zu beobachten, dass chinesische Unternehmen vermehrt einen Börsengang an der Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (FWB) anstreben. Dieser Artikel prüft mittels multivariaten Probit-Analysen, mit welcher Motivation chinesische Firmen den Börsengang in Frankfurt anstreben. Im Allgemeinen sind chinesische Firmen durch die folgenden Aspekte motiviert. Erstens herrschen an der Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse strengere Zulassungsregeln und eine sorgfältigere Überwachung als am Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) in Hong Kong oder am Alternative Investment Market (AIM) in London. Zweitens werden chinesische Unternehmen für einen Börsengang in Frankfurt durch neuen Bedarf an externer Finanzierung motiviert. Außerdem untersucht dieser Artikel auch den Erfolg chinesischer Börsennotierungen an der FWB nach dem Börsengang. Dabei stellt sich heraus, dass chinesische Firmen, die an der FWB notiert sind, nicht nur im operativen Geschäft, sondern auch bei der Kursentwicklung schlecht abschneiden. Dies ist jedoch nicht außergewöhnlich, da die Wirtschaftsleistung vieler chinesischer Unternehmen, die an ausländischen Börsen notiert sind, ebenfalls unter dem jeweiligen Marktdurchschnitt liegt.

     
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  5. FIML estimation of a bivariate probit selection rule
    an application on firm growth and subsidisation
    Author: Reize, Frank
    Published: 2001
    Publisher:  ZEW, Mannheim

    This study applies a full information maximum likelihood (FIML) estimator of the sample selection model with bivariate selection rule for the investigation of the impact of subsidised firm foundation from unemployment on employment growth of the... more

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    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
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    bc 1298-2001,13
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    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
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    2 : Z 2027 -01-13-
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    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt / Zentrale
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    Z 345 (01/13)
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    W 636 (01.13)
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    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
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    This study applies a full information maximum likelihood (FIML) estimator of the sample selection model with bivariate selection rule for the investigation of the impact of subsidised firm foundation from unemployment on employment growth of the firm. The empirical analysis is based on the ZEW Firm Start-up Panel using a cohort of firms founded in 15 labour market districts during 1993 and 1995. Estimation results show that the use of the FIML estimator is clearly warranted, compared to a two-step estimator. The FIML model yields a significant negative impact of bridging allowance on employment growth, whereas the two-step estimator underestimates the impact.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: Array ; 01-13
    Subjects: Selbstständige; Unternehmensgründung; Subvention; Beschäftigungseffekt; Theorie; Deutschland; Probit-Modell; Maximum-Likelihood-Schätzung; Wirtschaftsförderung
    Scope: 20 S
    Notes:

    Literaturverz. S. 19 - 20

    Internetausg.: ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp0113.pdf
  6. Are credit ratings procyclical?
    Author: Amato, Jeffrey D.; Furfine, Craig H.
    Published: 2003
    Publisher:  Bank for International Settlements, Basle

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 910 (129)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: BIS working paper ; 129
    Subjects: Kreditwürdigkeit; Kreditrisiko; Konjunktur; Probit-Modell; Maximum-Likelihood-Schätzung; Credit ratings; Business cycles; Rating agencies (Finance)
    Scope: 33 S, graph. Darst
    Notes:
  7. Creative and science-oriented employees and firm-level innovation
    Author: Birkeneder, Antonia; Brunow, Stephan; Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés
    Published: 07 February 2018
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 32 (12695)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: Array ; DP 12695
    Subjects: Innovation; Ingenieure; Mathematik; Kreativität; Regionalentwicklung; Probit-Modell; Schätzung; Deutschland
    Scope: 27 Seiten, Illustrationen
    Notes:

    Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe
  8. Estimation of nested and zero-inflated ordered probit models
    Author: Dale, David; Sirchenko, Andrei
    Published: 2018
    Publisher:  National Research University, Higher School of Economic, [Moscow]

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; 193/EC/2018
    Subjects: Probit-Modell; Niedrigzinspolitik; Monte-Carlo-Simulation; USA
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 26 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. Anatomy of credit-less recoveries
    Author: Corrado, Luisa; Rossi, Isolina
    Published: June 2018
    Publisher:  World Bank Group, Macroeconomics, Trade and Investment Global Practice, Washington, D.C.

    The recovery from the global crisis that erupted in 2007 shows that the decoupling between real and financial variables during the business cycle can lead to negative and long-lasting consequences for the economy. A key feature of the past global... more

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    The recovery from the global crisis that erupted in 2007 shows that the decoupling between real and financial variables during the business cycle can lead to negative and long-lasting consequences for the economy. A key feature of the past global crisis in many countries is that the recovery in aggregate output has not been accompanied by a contemporary pick-up in lending flows to the private sector, rendering the recovery credit-less. This paper uses data on output and credit to study the relative roles of demand and supply drivers of credit growth during economic recoveries on a sample of advanced and emerging countries between 1980 and 2014. Using a simple endowment economy model, the paper shows that credit-less recoveries are correlated with liquidity shocks in real and financial markets and with the pace of private sector deleveraging. The empirical analysis shows that during these episodes demand-side frictions played a relatively larger role in predicting the occurrence of the episodes, reflecting weak demand for liquidity by the private sector in the aftermath of the crisis

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    Series: Policy research working paper ; 8465
    World Bank E-Library Archive
    Subjects: Kreditgeschäft; Produktionspotenzial; Kredit; Betriebliche Liquidität; Probit-Modell; Konjunktur; Welt
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 39 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. Why do small chinese firms list on the Frankfurt stock exchange?
    Author: Xu, Hongmei
    Published: November 2014
    Publisher:  Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster, Institut für Organisationsökonomik, Münster

    In letzter Zeit ist zu beobachten, dass chinesische Unternehmen vermehrt einen Börsengang an der Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (FWB) anstreben. Dieser Artikel prüft mittels multivariaten Probit-Analysen, mit welcher Motivation chinesische Firmen den... more

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    Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Universitätsbibliothek, Jacob-und-Wilhelm-Grimm-Zentrum
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    In letzter Zeit ist zu beobachten, dass chinesische Unternehmen vermehrt einen Börsengang an der Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (FWB) anstreben. Dieser Artikel prüft mittels multivariaten Probit-Analysen, mit welcher Motivation chinesische Firmen den Börsengang in Frankfurt anstreben. Im Allgemeinen sind chinesische Firmen durch die folgenden Aspekte motiviert. Erstens herrschen an der Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse strengere Zulassungsregeln und eine sorgfältigere Überwachung als am Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) in Hong Kong oder am Alternative Investment Market (AIM) in London. Zweitens werden chinesische Unternehmen für einen Börsengang in Frankfurt durch neuen Bedarf an externer Finanzierung motiviert. Außerdem untersucht dieser Artikel auch den Erfolg chinesischer Börsennotierungen an der FWB nach dem Börsengang. Dabei stellt sich heraus, dass chinesische Firmen, die an der FWB notiert sind, nicht nur im operativen Geschäft, sondern auch bei der Kursentwicklung schlecht abschneiden. Dies ist jedoch nicht außergewöhnlich, da die Wirtschaftsleistung vieler chinesischer Unternehmen, die an ausländischen Börsen notiert sind, ebenfalls unter dem jeweiligen Marktdurchschnitt liegt.

     
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  11. Framing effects in political decision making
    evidence from a natural voting experiment
    Author: Bütler, Monika; Maréchal, Michel André
    Published: 2007
    Publisher:  CESifo, Munich

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    RVK Categories: QB 910
    Series: CESifo working papers ; No. 1940 : Category 2, Public choice
    Subjects: Abstimmung; Rentenreform; Prospect-Theorie; Probit-Modell
    Other subjects: (stw)Abstimmung; (stw)Rentenreform; (stw)Prospect Theory; (stw)Probit-Modell; (stw)Schweiz; Array; Array; Retirement age--Switzerland--Decision making; Voting research--Switzerland; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Scope: 53 S., graph. Darst., 21 cm
    Notes:

    Literaturverz. S. 32 - 39. - Auch im Internet unter den Adressen www.SSRN.com, www.RePEc.org und www.CESifo-group.de verfügbar
  12. Almost consistent estimation of panel probit models with "small" fixed effects
    Author: Laisney, François; Lechner, Michael
    Published: 2002
    Publisher:  Zentrum für Europ. Wirtschaftsforschung, Mannheim

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    DDC Categories: 330; 380; 650; 670
    Series: Discussion paper ; No. [20]02,64 : Labour economics, human resources and social policy
    Subjects: Panel; Schätztheorie; Theorie; Probit-Modell; Momentenproblem; Panelanalyse ; Monte-Carlo-Simulation
    Other subjects: (stw)Panel; (stw)Schätztheorie; (stw)Theorie; (stw)Probit-Modell; (stw)Momentenmethode; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Scope: 31 S., graph. Darst., 21 cm
    Notes:

    Auch im Internet unter der Adresse ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp0264.pdf verfügbar
  13. Alternative measures of the explanatory power of multivariate probit models with continuous or ordinal responses
    Author: Spieß, Martin; Tutz, Gerhard
    Published: 2002
    Publisher:  DIW, Berlin

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  14. Simulated classical tests in the multiperiod multinomial probit model
    Author: Ziegler, Andreas
    Published: 2002
    Publisher:  Zentrum für Europ. Wirtschaftsforschung, Mannheim

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    DDC Categories: 330; 380; 650; 670
    Series: Discussion paper ; No. [20]02,38 : Environmental and ressource economics and environmental management
    Subjects: Statistischer Test; Monte-Carlo-Simulation; Theorie; Probit-Modell; Monte-Carlo-Simulation ; Wirtschaftsmodell
    Other subjects: (stw)Statistischer Test; (stw)Monte-Carlo-Simulation; (stw)Theorie; (stw)Probit-Modell; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Scope: 26 S., 21 cm
    Notes:

    Literaturverz. S. 24 - 26. - Auch im Internet unter der Adresse ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp0238.pdf verfügbar
  15. Do probit models help in forecasting turning points in German business cycles?
    Author: Fritsche, Ulrich
    Published: 2001
    Publisher:  DIW, Berlin

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    RVK Categories: QB 910 ; QN 200 ; QB 910 ; QN 200
    DDC Categories: 330; 380; 650; 670
    Series: Diskussionspapiere / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; No. 241
    Subjects: Konjunkturtest; Prognoseverfahren; Wirtschaftsindikator; Schätzung; Probit-Modell
    Other subjects: (stw)Frühindikator; (stw)Prognoseverfahren; (stw)Wirtschaftsindikator; (stw)Schätzung; (stw)Deutschland; (stw)Probit-Modell; Konjunkturprognose (STW); Prognoseverfahren (STW); Konjunkturindikator (STW); Probit-Modell (STW); Schätzung (STW); Deutschland (STW); Online-Publikation; Arbeitspapier; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Scope: 14 Bl., graph. Darst., 30 cm
  16. Does the yield spread predict recessions in the Euro area?
    Author: Moneta, Fabio
    Published: 2003
    Publisher:  Europ. Central Bank, Frankfurt am Main

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    RVK Categories: QM 430
    Series: Working paper series / European Central Bank ; Eurosystem ; No. 294
    Subjects: Konjunkturtest; Zinsstruktur; Fälligkeit; Kapitalertrag; Probit-Modell; :z Geschichte 1970-2000
    Other subjects: (stw)1970-2000; (stw)Frühindikator; (stw)Zinsstruktur; (stw)Fälligkeit; (stw)Kapitaleinkommen; (stw)EU-Staaten; (stw)Probit-Modell; Economic forecasting; Economic forecasting; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Scope: 58 S., graph. Darst., 30 cm
    Notes:

    Literaturverz. S. 45 - 48. - Auch im Internet unter der Adresse ssrn.com/abstract_id=xxxxxx verfügbar
  17. Randomized response and the binary probit model
    Author: Ronning, Gerd
    Published: 2003
    Publisher:  IAW, Tübingen

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    RVK Categories: QB 910 ; QB 910
    DDC Categories: 330; 380; 650; 670
    Series: IAW-Diskussionspapiere ; 10
    Subjects: Stichprobe; Theorie; Probit-Modell
    Other subjects: (stw)Stichprobenerhebung; (stw)Theorie; (stw)Probit-Modell; Binary Probit Model, Randomized Response, Ökonometrie; Online-Publikation; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Scope: 7 Bl., graph. Darst., 30 cm
  18. A model of educational attainment
    application to the German case
    Author: Lauer, Charlotte
    Published: 2002
    Publisher:  Zentrum für Europ. Wirtschaftsforschung, Mannheim

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    DDC Categories: 330; 380; 650; 670
    Series: Discussion paper ; No. [20]02,06 : Labour economics, human resources and social policy
    Subjects: Bildungsinvestition; Bildungsökonomie; Bildungsverhalten; Bildungsniveau; Theorie; Probit-Modell
    Other subjects: (stw)Bildungsinvestition; (stw)Bildungsökonomik; (stw)Bildungsverhalten; (stw)Bildungsniveau; (stw)Theorie; (stw)Deutschland; (stw)Probit-Modell; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Scope: 31 S., 21 cm
    Notes:

    Auch im Internet unter der Adresse ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp0206.pdf verfügbar
  19. FIML estimation of a bivariate probit selection rule
    an application on firm growth and subsidisation
    Author: Reize, Frank
    Published: 2001
    Publisher:  Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung, Mannheim

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  20. Quantification of qualitative data using ordered probit models with an application to a business survey in the German service sector
    Author: Kaiser, Ulrich; Spitz-Oener, Alexandra
    Published: 2000
    Publisher:  Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung, Mannheim

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    DDC Categories: 330; 380; 650; 670
    Series: Discussion paper ; No. [20]00,58 : International finance and financial management
    Subjects: Qualitative Methode; Konjunkturtest; Dienstleistungssektor; Schätzung; Theorie; Probit-Modell; Quantifizierung ; Technik ; Methode ; Umfrage
    Other subjects: (stw)Qualitative Methode; (stw)Frühindikator; (stw)Dienstleistungssektor; (stw)Schätzung; (stw)Theorie; (stw)Deutschland; (stw)Probit-Modell; Online-Publikation; Arbeitspapier; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Scope: 18 S., 21 cm
  21. Health care reform and the number of doctor visits
    an econometric analysis
    Author: Winkelmann, Rainer
    Published: 2001
    Publisher:  IZA, Bonn

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    RVK Categories: QB 910 ; QB 910
    DDC Categories: 330; 380; 650; 670
    Series: Discussion paper series / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit ; No. 317
    Subjects: Gesundheitswesen; Reform; Arzt; Ärztin; Moral Hazard; Probit-Modell
    Other subjects: (stw)Gesundheitsreform; (stw)Ärzte; (stw)Moral Hazard; (stw)Deutschland; (stw)Probit-Modell; Array; Array; Health care reform--Econometric models; Physician services utilization--Econometric models; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Scope: 31 S., graph. Darst., 21 cm
  22. Evaluation of a pseudo-R2 measure for panel probit models
    Author: Spieß, Martin
    Published: 2000
    Publisher:  DIW, Berlin

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    RVK Categories: QB 910 ; QB 910
    DDC Categories: 330; 380; 650; 670
    Series: Diskussionspapiere / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; No. 215
    Subjects: Simulation; Theorie; Probit-Modell; Arithmetisches Mittel; Mittelwert
    Other subjects: (stw)Simulation; (stw)Theorie; (stw)Probit-Modell; (stw)Maßzahl; Probit-Modell (STW); Maßzahl (STW); Simulation (STW); Theorie (STW); Online-Publikation; Arbeitspapier; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Scope: 7 Bl., graph. Darst., 30 cm
  23. Decomposition analysis for a binary choice model
    Author: Yun, Myeong-Su
    Published: 2000
    Publisher:  IZA, Bonn

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    RVK Categories: QV 000
    DDC Categories: 330; 380; 650; 670
    Series: Discussion paper series / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit ; No. 145
    Subjects: Dantzig-Wolfe-Dekomposition; Theorie; Probit-Modell; Arbeitnehmerin; Rassismus; Schätzung
    Other subjects: (stw)Dekompositionsverfahren; (stw)Theorie; (stw)Probit-Modell; (stw)Weibliche Arbeitskräfte; (stw)Ethnische Diskriminierung; (stw)Schätzung; (stw)USA; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Scope: 25 S., 21 cm
  24. One-day prediction of state of turbulence for portfolio
    models for binary dependent variable
    Author: Chlebus, Marcin
    Published: 2015
    Publisher:  University of Warsaw, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Warsaw

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 427 (192)
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    Volltext (kostenfrei)
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working papers / Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw ; no. 2016, 1 = 192
    Subjects: Portfolio-Management; Prognosemarkt; Marktrisiko; Gini-Koeffizient; Logit-Modell; Probit-Modell; Polen
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen
  25. Fan charts around GDP projections based on probit models of downturn risk
    Author: Turner, David; Chalaux, Thomas; Morgavi, Hermes
    Published: 2018
    Publisher:  OECD, Paris, France

    This paper describes a method for parameterising fan charts around GDP growth forecasts of the major OECD economies as well as the aggregate OECD. The degree of uncertainty – reflecting the overall spread of the fan chart – is based on past forecast... more

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    This paper describes a method for parameterising fan charts around GDP growth forecasts of the major OECD economies as well as the aggregate OECD. The degree of uncertainty – reflecting the overall spread of the fan chart – is based on past forecast errors, but the skew – reflecting whether risks are tilted to the downside – is derived from a probit model-based assessment of the probability of a future downturn. This approach is applied to each of the G7 countries separately, with combinations of variables found to be useful in predicting future downturns at different horizons up to 8 quarters: at short horizons of 2-4 quarters, a flattening or inverted yield curve slope, recent sharp falls in house prices, share prices or credit; at longer horizons of 6-8 quarters, sustained strong growth in house prices, share prices and credit; and at all horizons, a tight labour market and rapid growth in OECD-wide (or in some cases euro-wide) house prices, share prices or credit. The in-sample fit of the probit models appears reasonably good for all G7 countries. The predicted probabilities from the probit models provide a graduated assessment of downturn risk, which is reflected in the degree of skew in the fan chart. Fan charts computed on an out-of-sample basis around pre-crisis OECD forecasts published in June 2008 encompass the extreme outturns associated with the Global Financial Crisis for five of the G7 countries. A weakness of the approach is that, although it predicts a clear majority of past downturns, it will not predict atypical downturns. For example, in the current conjuncture, it is unlikely that current concerns about risks associated with Brexit, an escalation of trade tensions or spillovers from emerging markets would be picked up by the models. At the same time, a severe downturn triggered by such atypical events might be more severe if more typical risk factors are also high.

     
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    Volltext (lizenzpflichtig)
    Volltext (lizenzpflichtig)
    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    Series: OECD Economics Department working papers ; no. 1521
    Subjects: Bruttoinlandsprodukt; Konjunktur; Probit-Modell; Wirtschaftsprognose; OECD-Staaten; Economics
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 46 Seiten), Illustrationen