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  1. The secret to job satisfaction is low expectations
    how perceived working conditions differ from actual ones
    Author: Cicognani, Simona; Cioni, Martina; Savioli, Marco
    Published: [2017]
    Publisher:  [Università di Siena], [Siena]

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Quaderni del Dipartimento di economia politica e statistica ; n. 749 (marzo 2017)
    Subjects: Working conditions; Expectations; Perceptions; Actual conditions; Job satisfaction
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 39 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Austerity, life satisfaction and expectations
    Author: Brown, Sarah; Kontonikas, Alexandros; Montagnoli, Alberto; Moro, Mirko; Onnis, Luisanna
    Published: [2018]
    Publisher:  The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics, Sheffield

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    Language: English
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    Format: Online
    Series: Sheffield economic research paper series ; SERPS no. 2018, 001 (January 2018)
    Subjects: Expectations; Fiscal Austerity; Government Policy; Life Satisfaction
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Booms and busts with dispersed information
    Author: Benhima, Kenza
    Published: June 2014
    Publisher:  Université de Lausanne, Faculté des hautes études commerciales (HEC), Département d'économétrie et économie politique, Lausanne

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Cahier de recherches économiques du DEEP ; 17, 15
    Subjects: Imperfect Common Knowledge; Expectations; Recessions
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 50 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Análisis descriptivo de la Encuesta de Expectativas de inflación de las firmas
    Author: Marrero, Rodrigo; Mello Costa, Miguel
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  [Banco Central del Uruguay], [Montevideo, Uruguay]

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    Language: Spanish
    Media type: Book
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    Series: Documento de trabajo / Banco Central del Uruguay ; no 2023, 002
    Subjects: Expectations; pricing; monetary policy; survey
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 24 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Energy news shocks and their propagation to renewable and fossil fuels use
    Author: Guinea, Laurentiu; Puch, Luis; Ruíz, Jesús
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  UC3M, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, [Getafe (Spain)]

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
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    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10016/37355
    Series: Array ; 2023, 05
    Subjects: News Shocks; Renewable Energy; Economic Policy Uncertainty; Expectations
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 66 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. The search for good jobs
    evidence from a six-year field experiment in uganda
    Author: Bandiera, Oriana; Bassi, Vittorio; Burgess, Robin; Rasul, Imran; Sulaiman, Munshi; Vitali, Anna
    Published: 09 August 2023
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; DP18360
    Subjects: Job search; Vocational training; Expectations; Field experiment; Uganda
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 78 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Great or grim?
    disagreement about Brexit, economic expectations, and household spending
    Author: Kuang, Pei; Luca, Davide; Wei, Zhiwu; Yao, Yao
    Published: May 2023
    Publisher:  International Inequalities Institute, The London School of Economics and Political Science, London

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
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    Series: Working paper / LSE International Inequalities Institute ; 89
    Subjects: Expectations; Spending; Housing; Auto Purchase
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 68 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Aggregate implications of heterogeneous inflation expectations
    the role of individual experience
    Author: Pedemonte, Mathieu O.; Toma, Hiroshi; Verdugo, Esteban
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, [Cleveland, OH]

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    Series: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland working paper series ; no. 23, 04 (January 2023)
    Subjects: Expectations; survey data; belief formation; heterogeneous expectations
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 67 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. House prices and the distribution of wealth around the great recession
    Author: Cóndor, Richard; Moguel, Rodolfo Oviedo
    Published: June 2023
    Publisher:  [Banco de México], [Ciudad de México, México]

    This paper employs a calibrated model of the US economy to analyze the boom and bust in house prices as well as the shifts in the distribution of wealth during the years around the Great Recession. We replicate the dynamics of the housing market... more

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    This paper employs a calibrated model of the US economy to analyze the boom and bust in house prices as well as the shifts in the distribution of wealth during the years around the Great Recession. We replicate the dynamics of the housing market using shocks to aggregate income, the distribution of income, credit conditions, and expectations of future housing demand driven by irrational exuberance. We find that irrational exuberance was the primary driver behind the dynamics of house prices and that the relaxation and subsequent tightening of credit conditions are crucial to explain the behavior of mortgage debt, default rates, and housing holdings by households at the bottom of the wealth distribution. The boom in house prices led to a temporary decrease in wealth concentration, which was subsequently reversed during the bust.

     
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    Language: English
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    Series: Working papers / Banco de México ; no 2023, 04
    Subjects: Credit Conditions; Expectations; Great Recession; Irrational Exuberance; House Prices
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. A snapshot of central bank (two year) forecasting
    a mixed picture
    Author: Goodhart, Charles A. E.; Pradhan, Manoj
    Published: 29 March 2023
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; DP18043
    Subjects: Inflation Targeting; Forecasting; Crisis Periods; Expectations; Fan Chart
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 77 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. Four facts about ESG beliefs and investor portfolios
    Author: Giglio, Stefano; Maggiori, Matteo; Stroebel, Johannes; Tan, Zhenhao; Utkus, Stephen P.; Xu, Xiao
    Published: 03 April 2023
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; DP18052
    Subjects: Anlageverhalten; Nachhaltige Kapitalanlage; Corporate Social Responsibility; Portfolio-Management; Surveys; Expectations; Climate Finance; ESG; Sustainable Finance
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 50 Seiten)
  12. Home price expectations and spending
    evidence from a field experiment
    Author: Chopra, Felix; Roth, Christopher; Wohlfart, Johannes
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  CEBI, Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen

    How do households adjust their spending behavior in response to changes in home price expectations? We conduct a field experiment with a sample of Americans that links survey data on home price expectations to actual spending behavior as measured in... more

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    How do households adjust their spending behavior in response to changes in home price expectations? We conduct a field experiment with a sample of Americans that links survey data on home price expectations to actual spending behavior as measured in a rich home-scanner dataset. In the experiment we exogenously vary households' home price expectations by providing them with different expert forecasts. Homeowners do not adjust their spending in response to exogenously higher home price expectations, consistent with wealth effects and higher expected housing costs offsetting each other. However, renters reduce their spending in response to an increase in home price expectations. We provide evidence that the effects on renters operate through an increase in expected rental costs and higher expected costs of a future home that many renters intend to buy. Our evidence has implications for the role of asset price expectations in business cycle dynamics and consumption inequality.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: CEBI working paper series ; 23, 03
    Subjects: Consumption; Expectations; Home prices; Homeowner; Information; Renter
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 87 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. Expectations formation and forward information
    Author: Goldstein, Nathan; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
    Published: 30 January 2022
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; DP16973
    Subjects: Erwartungsbildung; Wirtschaftsprognose; Asymmetrische Information; Theorie; Expectations; Survey Forecasts; forward information; News
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 75 Seiten)
  14. Terrorism, media coverage and education
    evidence from al-Shabaab attacks in Kenya
    Author: Alfano, Marco; Görlach, Joseph-Simon
    Published: 22 May 2022
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; DP17322
    Subjects: Terrorism; media; Expectations; Education
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 75 Seiten), Illustrationen
  15. Anchoring long-term var forecasts based on survey data and state-space models
    Author: Areosa, Marta Baltar Moreira; Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  Banco Central do Brasil, Brasília, DF, Brazil

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    Series: Working paper series / Banco Central do Brasil ; 574 (February 2023)
    Subjects: Inflation; Expectations; Survey Data; Shifting Endpoint; Kalman Filter
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 37 Seiten), Illustrationen
  16. The Phillips curve in the euro area
    new evidence using country-level data
    Author: Wellmann, Susanne
    Published: 2023
    Publisher:  Eberhard Karls Universität Tübingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, Tübingen

    We study whether the trade-off between inflation and unemployment still exists in the euro area (EA). Using country-level data for member states of the EA, we estimate a refined specification of the Phillips curve in the spirit of Hazell et al.... more

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    We study whether the trade-off between inflation and unemployment still exists in the euro area (EA). Using country-level data for member states of the EA, we estimate a refined specification of the Phillips curve in the spirit of Hazell et al. (2022) deploying a non-tradable price index to measure inflation. We find that the slope of the Phillips curve is small and hence the Phillips curve is flat in the EA, similarly to the US. Moreover, reference estimates based on aggregate data overstate the steepness of the Phillips curve considerably. Our findings imply that the insensitivity of inflation with respect to unemployment over the last decade is a result of firmly anchored inflation expectations.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
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    hdl: 10900/138360
    hdl: 10419/271521
    Series: University of Tübingen working papers in business and economics ; no. 156
    Subjects: Inflation; Phillips curve; Expectations; Euro Area
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 36 Seiten), Illustrationen
  17. Big news: climate change and the business cycle
    Author: Dietrich, Alexander M.; Müller, Gernot J.; Schoenle, Raphael
    Published: 2023
    Publisher:  Eberhard Karls Universität Tübingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, Tübingen

    News drive expectations about the economy's future fundamentals. Climate change is big news: it will impact the economy profoundly but the effect will take some time to materialize in full. Climate-change expectations thus offer a unique opportunity... more

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    News drive expectations about the economy's future fundamentals. Climate change is big news: it will impact the economy profoundly but the effect will take some time to materialize in full. Climate-change expectations thus offer a unique opportunity to study the impact of news on the business cycle. We measure these expectations in a representative survey of US consumers. Respondents expect not much of an impact on GDP growth, but perceive a high probability of costly, rare disasters-suggesting they are salient of climate change. Furthermore, expectations vary systematically with socioeconomic characteristics, media consumption, various information treatments and over time. We calibrate a New Keynesian model with rare disasters to key results of the survey and find that shifts in climate change expectations operate like demand shocks and cause sizeable business cycle fluctuations.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10900/138652
    hdl: 10419/271523
    Series: University of Tübingen working papers in business and economics ; no. 158
    Subjects: Climate change; Disasters; Expectations; Survey,Monetary policy; Business Cycle; Natural rate of interest
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 70 Seiten), Illustrationen
  18. Entering a gender-neutral workplace?
    college students' expectations and the impact of information provision
    Author: Barigozzi, Francesca; Domínguez, José J.; Montinari, Natalia
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, Department of Economics, Bologna, Italy

    Although women often outperform men in school and college, they still face higher unemployment rates and lower wages when employed. Are prospective workers aware of these inequalities, or do they expect to enter a genderneutral workplace? This paper... more

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    Although women often outperform men in school and college, they still face higher unemployment rates and lower wages when employed. Are prospective workers aware of these inequalities, or do they expect to enter a genderneutral workplace? This paper investigates college students' expectations and the effect of information provision about gender gaps in academic performance and early labor market outcomes on the two sides of the labor market. Our lab experiment comprises a questionnaire to elicit students' beliefs about academic performance and labor market inequalities, a demand-side game, and a supply-side game. In the demand-side game, subjects act as employers and are asked to hire three candidates and assign them to tasks that differ in complexity and profitability. In the supply-side game, we elicit individual willingness to compete. Information provision takes the form of feedback on the elicited beliefs. Our treatments vary the timing of the feedback: subjects in the feedback treatment received feedback before facing the other two games, while subjects in the priming and the control treatments only received feedback at the end of the experiment. First, our findings indicate that participants are largely unaware of gender gaps. Second, while information provision doesn't substantially alter employers' hiring decisions, it increases the likelihood of assigning women to challenging tasks. Third, while feedback enhances willingness to compete among job market candidates, it does not significantly alter the gender gap in competitiveness. Overall, our experiment suggests potential positive effects of information provision on women's labor market outcomes.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
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    hdl: 10419/282310
    Series: Quaderni - working paper DSE / Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, Department of Economics ; no 1188
    Subjects: Gender Gaps; Expectations; Information provision; Competition; Hiring; Task assignment
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 44 Seiten), Illustrationen
  19. The theory of reserve accumulation, revisited
    Author: Corsetti, Giancarlo; Maeng, Fred Seunghyun
    Published: 27 November 2023
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; DP18644
    Subjects: Sovereign default; Foreign reserves; Self-fulfilling crises; Expectations; Debtsustainability
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 49 Seiten), Illustrationen
  20. The macroeconomic effects of inflation expectations
    the distribution matters
    Author: Ascari, Guido; Bonomolo, Paolo; Celani, Alessandro
    Published: 21 March 2024
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Universität Potsdam, Universitätsbibliothek
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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; DP18937
    Subjects: Inflation; Expectations; Distribution; Monetary Policy
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 41 Seiten), Illustrationen
  21. Extrapolators and contrarians
    forecast bias and household stock trading
    Author: Andersen, Steffen; Dimmock, Stephen; Nielsen, Kasper M.; Peijnenburg, Kim
    Published: 04 February 2024
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

    We test whether forecast bias affects household stock trading by combining measures of bias elicited in laboratory experiments with administrative trade-level data. On average, subjects exhibit positive forecast bias (i.e., extrapolators), while a... more

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    We test whether forecast bias affects household stock trading by combining measures of bias elicited in laboratory experiments with administrative trade-level data. On average, subjects exhibit positive forecast bias (i.e., extrapolators), while a large minority exhibit negative forecast bias (i.e., contrarians). Forecast bias is positively associated with past excess returns of stocks that are purchased: Extrapolators (contrarians) purchase past winners (losers). Forecast bias is negatively associated with the capital gains of stocks that are sold. Furthermore, forecast bias explains investor heterogeneity in the relation between market returns and net flows to stocks. Overall, our study provides evidence of a common mechanism – forecast bias – that links past returns to trading decisions for purchases, sales, and net flows.

     
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    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; DP18810
    Subjects: Extrapolation; Expectations; Household finance; Experimental finance
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 58 Seiten), Illustrationen
  22. Financial concerns and the marginal propensity to consume in COVID times
    evidence from UK survey data
    Author: Albuquerque, Bruno; Green, Georgina
    Published: 2022 MAR
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    We study how household concerns about their future financial situation may affect the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) during the COVID-19 pandemic. We use a representative survey of UK households to compute the MPC from a hypothetical transfer... more

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    We study how household concerns about their future financial situation may affect the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) during the COVID-19 pandemic. We use a representative survey of UK households to compute the MPC from a hypothetical transfer of pound 500. We find that household expectations play a key role in determining differences in MPCs across households: households concerned about not being able to make ends meet have a 20% higher MPC than other households. Our findings suggest that policies targeted to vulnerable and financially distressed households may prove more effective in stimulating demand than providing stimulus payments to all households

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9798400204555
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    Series: Working paper / International Monetary Fund ; WP/22, 47
    Subjects: COVID-19; Marginal propensity to consume; Survey data; Household behaviour; Expectations; Financial concerns; Fiscal policy; Consumer Economics; Fiscal Policy; Macroeconomics; Saving; Wealth
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 52 Seiten), Illustrationen
  23. Equity return predictability, time varying volatility and learning about the permanence of shocks
    Author: Tortorice, Daniel L.
    Published: 2014
    Publisher:  Brandeis Univ., Dep. of Economics, Waltham, Mass.

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper series / Brandeis University, Department of Economics ; 70
    Subjects: Consumption; Savings; Asset pricing; Learning; Expectations
    Scope: Online-Ressource (36, [5] S.), graph. Darst.
  24. Learning dynamics with data (quasi-)differencing
    Author: Kuang, Pei
    Published: 2015
    Publisher:  Dep. of Economics, Univ. of Birmingham, Birmingham

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    Series: Department of Economics discussion paper / Department of Economics, The University of Birmingham ; 15-06
    Subjects: Expectations; Convergence; Long-Run Growth; Serial Correlation; Bubbles; Underparameterization
    Scope: Online-Ressource (44 S.), graph. Darst.
  25. Long-run growth uncertainty
    Author: Kuang, Pei; Mitra, Kaushik
    Published: 2015
    Publisher:  Dep. of Economics, Univ. of Birmingham, Birmingham

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan
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    Content information
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Department of Economics discussion paper / Department of Economics, The University of Birmingham ; 15-07
    Subjects: Trend; Expectations; Business Cycle; Output Gap; Cyclically-Adjusted Budget Balance
    Scope: Online-Ressource (66 S.), graph. Darst.