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  1. Prediche alle donne del secolo XIII
    Published: ottobre 1978
    Publisher:  Bompiani, Milano

    Kunsthistorisches Institut in Florenz, Max-Planck-Institut, Bibliothek
    Universitätsbibliothek der LMU München
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Contributor: Casagrande, Carla (Publisher)
    Language: Italian; Latin
    Media type: Book
    Edition: I edizione
    Series: Nuova Corona ; 9
    Subjects: CDS; Frau; Italien : Geschichte : Mittelalter; Mittelalter : Literatur; Predicazione - aspetti socio-culturali - Medioevo
    Scope: XXV, 164 Seiten
  2. Credit default swap regulation in experimental bond markets
    Published: June 3, 2019
    Publisher:  School of Finance, University of St. Gallen, St. Gallen

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VS 314
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working papers on finance ; no. 2019, 05
    Subjects: Experimental finance; asset market experiment; CDS; financial regulation; behavioral finance
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 54 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Managing growth in a volatile world
    Published: June 2012
    Publisher:  The World Bank, Washington, DC

    The year began on a positive note. A marked improvement in market sentiment, combined with monetary policy easing in developing countries, was reflected in a rebound in economic activity in both developing and advanced countries. Industrial... more

    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
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    The year began on a positive note. A marked improvement in market sentiment, combined with monetary policy easing in developing countries, was reflected in a rebound in economic activity in both developing and advanced countries. Industrial production, trade and capital goods sales all returned to positive territory, following the slow growth of the fourth quarter of 2011. Although debt levels in developing countries are lower, several countries (notably Jordan, India, and Pakistan) must reduce their structural fiscal balances to reduce debt to 40 percent of Gross domestic Product (GDP) by 2020 (or prevent debt-to-GDP ratios from rising further). As a result, sharp swings in investor sentiment and financial conditions will continue to complicate the conduct of macroeconomic policy in developing countries. In these conditions, policy in developing countries needs to be less reactive to short-term changes in external conditions, and more responsive to medium-term domestic considerations. A return to more neutral macroeconomic policies would also help developing countries reduce their vulnerabilities to external shocks, by rebuilding fiscal space, reducing short-term debt exposures and recreating the kinds of buffers that allowed them to react so resiliently to the 2008/09 crisis.

     

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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/12106
    Series: Global economic prospects ; volume 5 (June 2012)
    Subjects: Wirtschaftslage; Welt; Global Economic Prospects; accounting; arbitrage; assets; bailout; bank lending; Bank Loans; banking systems; basis points; binding constraint; bond; bond issuance; Bond Issues; bond spreads; Bond Yields; bonds; borrowing costs; budget constraint; buffers; business confidence; capacity constraints; capital constraints; capital goods; capital inflows; capital markets; Capital outflows; capital requirements; capitalization; CDS; central bank; Commodities; commodity; commodity markets; commodity price; commodity prices; commodity traders; consumer demand; consumer goods; consumer spending; Copyright Clearance; Copyright Clearance Center; country capital; country debt; country Equity; Credit Default; Credit Default Swap; credit squeeze; credit squeezes; crisis countries; Current account balance; current account balances; current account deficit; current account deficits; debt; Debt data; debt flows; debt levels; debt obligations; debt restructuring; debt stocks; debts; decline in investment; deposits; developing countries; developing country; Developing country Equity; developing economies; developing economy; domestic markets; downside scenario; durable; durables; Economic developments; Emerging Markets; Emerging-market; Equities; equity issuance; Equity Issues; Equity market; Equity markets; exchange rate; Exchange Rates; expenditure; expenditures; export growth; export value Interest Rates; exporter; exporters; exposures; external shocks; financial crises; financial crisis; financial institutions; financial integration; financial market; financial markets; financial sector; financial sector developments; financial sectors; financial systems; financing requirements; fiscal consolidation; fiscal deficits; fiscal policies; fiscal policy; food price; food prices; foreign banks; foreign currency; Global Economy; global finance; global financial markets; global financial systems; global output; global trade; Government account; government accounts; Government budget; government debt; government deficit; government deficits; government expenditure; government expenditures; government revenue; government revenues; government spending; Gross debt; growth rate; growth rates; High-Income Countries; high-income country; household savings; human capital; import; import demand; Income; income growth; incomes; Inflation; inflation rates; inflationary pressures; interest rates; International Bank; international business; International capital; International capital flows; international financial institutions; international financial markets; international reserves; International Settlements; International Trade; investing; investment activity; investment spending; lenders; level of risk; loan; local currency; low-income countries; macroeconomic policies; macroeconomic policy; Macroeconomic vulnerabilities; market conditions; market price; market prices; Market regulators; maturity; middle-income countries; Monetary Fund; monetary policies; monetary policy; natural disasters; Net capital; oil commodities; oil price; oil prices; Output; Output Gap; output gaps; political stability; political uncertainty; Portfolio; portfolio capital; post-crisis period; power parity; private banks; Private creditors; Private debt; private inflows; public spending; purchasing power; purchasing power parity; rate of growth; real interest; real interest rates; Regional trade; regulators; remittances; reserve; return; risk assessments; risk aversion; savings; savings rate; short-term debt; small countries; sovereign debt; stock markets; sustainable growth; technological change; trade deficit; trade finance; trading; transition countries; Treasury; Treasury Yields; value index; volatile capital; volatility; weights; withdrawal; world economy; World Trade
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 162 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Uncertainties and vulnerabilities
    Published: January 2012
    Publisher:  Washington, DC, DC

    The world economy has entered a dangerous period. Some of the financial turmoil in Europe has spread to developing and other high-income countries, which until earlier had been unaffected. This contagion has pushed up borrowing costs in many parts of... more

    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

     

    The world economy has entered a dangerous period. Some of the financial turmoil in Europe has spread to developing and other high-income countries, which until earlier had been unaffected. This contagion has pushed up borrowing costs in many parts of the world, and pushed down stock markets, while capital flows to developing countries have fallen sharply. Europe appears to have entered recession. At the same time, growth in several major developing countries (Brazil, India and, to a lesser extent, Russia, South Africa and Turkey) is significantly slower than it was earlier in the recovery, mainly reflecting policy tightening initiated in late 2010 and early 2011 in order to combat rising inflationary pressures. As a result, and despite a strengthening of activity in the United States and Japan, global growth and world trade have slowed sharply.

     

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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/12105
    Series: Global economic prospects ; volume 4 (January 2012)
    Subjects: Wirtschaftslage; Welt; access to bond markets; accounting; asset base; asset prices; bailout; balance of payments; bank activity; bank assets; bank balance sheets; Bank Debt; bank lending; bank loans; Banking Assets; banking crises; banking sector; banking sectors; banking system; banking systems; basis point; basis points; binding constraint; bond auctions; Bond Bank; bond funds; bond indexes; bond issuances; bond issuer; bond sales; bond spreads; Bond yields; bonds; borrowing costs; business cycle; capital adequacy; capital flow; Capital flows; capital markets; capital outflows; capital requirements; capital stock; CDS; Central Bank; central banks; collateral; commercial banks; Commodities; commodity; commodity exports; commodity price; Commodity Prices; consumer durables; contingency planning; Copyright Clearance; Copyright Clearance Center; corporate bond; corporate bond issuance; country debt; credit default; credit default swap; credit default swaps; credit histories; credit squeeze; credit squeezes; creditors; cross-border flows; currency depreciations; currency risk; Current Account Deficit; current account deficits; debt crisis; debt flows; debt holdings; debt issues; debt levels; debt ratios; Debt Repayment; debts; defaults; deficits; deposit; depositors; deposits; developing countries; Developing country; developing??country; domestic bank; domestic banking; domestic banks; domestic bond; domestic bond markets; Domestic bonds; downside scenario; downside scenarios; economic developments; emerging market; emerging market equities; Emerging Markets; emerging-market; enforcement mechanisms; equity flows; equity funds; equity issuance; equity markets; equity values; exchange rate; Exchange Rates; expenditure; expenditures; export growth; exporters; exposure; external debt; finances; financial crises; financial crisis; Financial flows; financial institutions; financial markets; Financial Stability; financial stress; financial support; financial systems; financing requirements; fiscal deficits; fixed investment; food prices; foreign banks; foreign capital; foreign currency; foreign holdings; foreign investment; foreign investor; Global Economic Prospects; Global Economy; global financial markets; global markets; global trade; government bonds; government deficit; government deficits; government financing; government revenues; growth rates; holding; holdings; host countries; Income; incomes; Inflation; inflation rate; inflationary pressures; insurance; interest rate; interest rates; International Bank; international bond; International capital; International capital flows; international financial market; International Trade; investment vehicles; liquidity; loan; loan exposures; loan portfolios; local currency; local government; local markets; local stock markets; long term debt; long-term debt; long-term yields; loss of confidence; mark-to-market; market competition; market conditions; market confidence; market equity; market participants; market price; market prices; market value; middle-income countries; monetary policy; Net debt; non-performing loan; nonperforming loans; oil price; oil prices; output; pension; pension system; policy response; political uncertainty; portfolio; power parity; private banks; private capital; private capital inflows; Private creditors; private debt; prudential regulation; purchasing power; remittance; remittances; reserves; return; risk aversion; safety net; secondary bond markets; short-term bonds; short-term debt; short-term finance; Short-term yields; social safety net; solvency; sovereign bond; sovereign debt; sovereign yields; stock markets; sustainable growth; swap; tax; trade finance; trade sectors; trading; tranche; transition countries; valuations; wholesale funding; world economy; world trade
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 165 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Navigating strong currents
    Published: January 2011
    Publisher:  The World Bank, Washington, DC

    Economic activity in most developing countries has, or is close to having, recovered. Supported by resurgence in international and domestic financial flows and higher commodity prices, most of the spare capacity in developing countries that was... more

    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
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    Economic activity in most developing countries has, or is close to having, recovered. Supported by resurgence in international and domestic financial flows and higher commodity prices, most of the spare capacity in developing countries that was created by the crisis has been reabsorbed, and developing countries have regained trend growth rates close to those observed in the pre-crisis period. The remainder of this report is organized as follows. The next section discusses recent developments in global production, trade, and financial markets, and presents updates of the World Bank's forecast for the global economy and developing countries. The global economy is transitioning from the bounce-back phase of the recovery toward a period of slower but more sustainable growth. Growth in most developing countries is increasingly running into capacity constraints, while in high-income and developing Europe and Central Asia growth is hampered by the concentrated nature of slack and ongoing restructuring. In this environment, policy needs to be moving away from short-term demand stimulus toward measures that generate additional employment by enhancing the supply potential of economies. The global policy environment has become highly charged and uncertain, and presents multiple risks to prospects for developing countries. As emphasized at the recent G-20 meetings in Seoul (G-20 2010), both developing and high-income countries will need to take care to minimize the negative external consequences of their domestic policy actions. Concretely, this means that while countries must remain mindful of domestic conditions, when opportunities present themselves to pursue domestic policy objectives in a manner that support adjustment elsewhere in the global economy these should be taken up.

     

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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/12102
    Series: Global economic prospects ; volume 2 (January 2011)
    Subjects: Wirtschaftslage; Welt; Global Economic Prospects; asset price; auction; Bank Bond; Bank Equity; bank lending; bank loan; banking assets; banking sector; banking sectors; banking system; basis points; Bond; bond flows; bond issuance; Bond Portfolio; bond yield; bonds; capacity constraints; capital control; capital controls; capital flows; capital formation; capital gains; capital inflow; Capital inflows; capital markets; capital outflows; capital shortages; CDS; Central Bank; commodities; commodity; commodity prices; consumer debt; consumer demand; consumer goods; contingent liabilities; Copyright Clearance; Copyright Clearance Center; corporate bonds; credit default; credit default swap; credit default swaps; credit rating; creditors; Current account balance; current account balances; current account deficit; current account deficits; current account surpluses; debt flows; debt relief; deposits; developing countries; Developing country; developing economies; dividends; dollar value; domestic credit; domestic economy; durable; durable goods; economic developments; economic performance; emerging markets; equipment; equities; equity flows; equity issues; equity market; equity markets; exchange rate; exchange rate movements; exchange rates; exporters; exposure; financial crisis; financial flows; financial inflows; financial institutions; financial integration; financial market; financial markets; financial sector; financial sector policies; Financial Stability; financial support; fiscal consolidation; fiscal consolidations; fiscal deficits; fiscal policy; Fixed investment; flows of capital; Food price; food prices; foreign banks; foreign capital; Foreign direct investment; foreign exchange; foreign exchange market; foreign holdings; foreign investors; fund managers; future growth; futures; global economy; global exports; global financial markets; global investors; global pension; global trade; government finances; government spending; growth rate; growth rates; hedge funds; holdings; host country; import costs; income; incomes; indebtedness; inflation; inflationary pressure; inflationary pressures; infrastructure investment; institutional development; Institutional investor; interest income; interest rate; interest rate differentials; interest rates; International Bank; international bond; International capital; International capital flows; international financial markets; International settlements; investment climate; investment flows; investment funds; investment projects; investment rates; investment spending; investment vehicles; labor market; liquidity; local currency; local economy; local market; long-term interest; loss of confidence; Low-income countries; macroeconomic management; macroeconomic policy; market developments; market expectations; market index; market makers; market participants; market price; market prices; market valuations; market volatility; maturity; middle-income countries; monetary policy; money market; money supply; monopoly; Net debt; oil price; oil prices; output; output gap; output gaps; pension; pension funds; pension systems; political stability; Portfolio; portfolio investment; portfolios; power parity; price volatility; private capital; private capital flows; Private creditors; private savings; public finances; purchasing power; rapid expansion; regulatory requirements; remittance; remittances; repayments; reserve; reserve requirements; reserves; savings; savings rates; securities; short-term assets; short-term debt; sovereign debt; sovereign debt markets; speculative bubble; supply shocks; tax; tax rate; tax rates; Technological change; trading; transaction costs; transition countries; transition economies; Treasuries; Unemployment rates; volatility; withdrawal; world economy; world trade; yield spreads
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 129 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Assuring growth over the medium term
    Published: January 2013
    Publisher:  The World Bank, Washington, DC

    More than four years after the global financial crisis hit, high-income countries struggle to restructure their economies and regain fiscal sustainability. Developing countries, where growth is 1-2 percentage points below what it was during the... more

    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
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    More than four years after the global financial crisis hit, high-income countries struggle to restructure their economies and regain fiscal sustainability. Developing countries, where growth is 1-2 percentage points below what it was during the pre-crisis period, have been affected by the weakness in high-income countries. To regain pre-crisis growth rates, they will need to focus on productivity-enhancing domestic policies rather than demand stimulus. Although the major risks to the global economy are similar to those of a year ago, the likelihood that they will materialize has diminished, as has the magnitude of estimated impacts should these events occur. Major downside risks include the loss of access to capital markets by vulnerable Euro Area countries, lack of agreement on U.S. fiscal policy and the debt ceiling, and commodity price shocks. In an environment of slow growth and continued volatility, a steady hand is required in developing countries to avoid pro-cyclical policy and to rebuild macroeconomic buffers so that authorities can react in the case of new external or domestic shocks.

     

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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9780821398821
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/12124
    Series: Global economic prospects ; volume 6 (January 2013)
    Subjects: Wirtschaftswachstum; Produktivitätsentwicklung; Entwicklungsländer; Global Economic Prospects; accounting; arbitrage; assets; bailout; bank lending; Bank Loans; banking systems; basis points; binding constraint; bond; bond issuance; Bond Issues; bond spreads; Bond Yields; bonds; borrowing costs; budget constraint; buffers; business confidence; capacity constraints; capital constraints; capital goods; capital inflows; capital markets; Capital outflows; capital requirements; capitalization; CDS; central bank; Commodities; commodity; commodity markets; commodity price; commodity prices; commodity traders; consumer demand; consumer goods; consumer spending; Copyright Clearance; Copyright Clearance Center; country capital; country debt; country Equity; Credit Default; Credit Default Swap; credit squeeze; credit squeezes; crisis countries; Current account balance; current account balances; current account deficit; current account deficits; debt; Debt data; debt flows; debt levels; debt obligations; debt restructuring; debt stocks; debts; decline in investment; deposits; developing countries; developing country; Developing country Equity; developing economies; developing economy; domestic markets; downside scenario; durable; durables; Economic developments; Emerging Markets; Emerging-market; Equities; equity issuance; Equity Issues; Equity market; Equity markets; exchange rate; Exchange Rates; expenditure; expenditures; export growth; export value Interest Rates; exporter; exporters; exposures; external shocks; financial crises; financial crisis; financial institutions; financial integration; financial market; financial markets; financial sector; financial sector developments; financial sectors; financial systems; financing requirements; fiscal consolidation; fiscal deficits; fiscal policies; fiscal policy; food price; food prices; foreign banks; foreign currency; Global Economy; global finance; global financial markets; global financial systems; global output; global trade; Government account; government accounts; Government budget; government debt; government deficit; government deficits; government expenditure; government expenditures; government revenue; government revenues; government spending; Gross debt; growth rate; growth rates; High-Income Countries; high-income country; household savings; human capital; import; import demand; Income; income growth; incomes; Inflation; inflation rates; inflationary pressures; interest rates; International Bank; international business; International capital; International capital flows; international financial institutions; international financial markets; international reserves; International Settlements; International Trade; investing; investment activity; investment spending; lenders; level of risk; loan; local currency; low-income countries; macroeconomic policies; macroeconomic policy; Macroeconomic vulnerabilities; market conditions; market price; market prices; Market regulators; maturity; middle-income countries; Monetary Fund; monetary policies; monetary policy; natural disasters; Net capital; oil commodities; oil price; oil prices; Output; Output Gap; output gaps; political stability; political uncertainty; Portfolio; portfolio capital; post-crisis period; power parity; private banks; Private creditors; Private debt; private inflows; public spending; purchasing power; purchasing power parity; rate of growth; real interest; real interest rates; Regional trade; regulators; remittances; reserve; return; risk assessments; risk aversion; savings; savings rate; short-term debt; small countries; sovereign debt; stock markets; sustainable growth; technological change; trade deficit; trade finance; trading; transition countries; Treasury; Treasury Yields; value index; volatile capital; volatility; weights; withdrawal; world economy; World Trade
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 178 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Credit default swaps as indicators of bank financial distress
    Published: January 7, 2016
    Publisher:  UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy, Dublin

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy discussion paper series ; 2016/01
    Subjects: Bank Failure; Market Discipline; Credit Default Swap; CDS
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 51 Seiten)
  8. Managing growth in a volatile world
    Published: June 2012
    Publisher:  The World Bank, Washington, DC

    The year began on a positive note. A marked improvement in market sentiment, combined with monetary policy easing in developing countries, was reflected in a rebound in economic activity in both developing and advanced countries. Industrial... more

    Orient-Institut Beirut
    Online
    No inter-library loan
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    No inter-library loan
    Universitätsbibliothek Clausthal
    No inter-library loan
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    No inter-library loan
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VSP 732
    No inter-library loan
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    No inter-library loan

     

    The year began on a positive note. A marked improvement in market sentiment, combined with monetary policy easing in developing countries, was reflected in a rebound in economic activity in both developing and advanced countries. Industrial production, trade and capital goods sales all returned to positive territory, following the slow growth of the fourth quarter of 2011. Although debt levels in developing countries are lower, several countries (notably Jordan, India, and Pakistan) must reduce their structural fiscal balances to reduce debt to 40 percent of Gross domestic Product (GDP) by 2020 (or prevent debt-to-GDP ratios from rising further). As a result, sharp swings in investor sentiment and financial conditions will continue to complicate the conduct of macroeconomic policy in developing countries. In these conditions, policy in developing countries needs to be less reactive to short-term changes in external conditions, and more responsive to medium-term domestic considerations. A return to more neutral macroeconomic policies would also help developing countries reduce their vulnerabilities to external shocks, by rebuilding fiscal space, reducing short-term debt exposures and recreating the kinds of buffers that allowed them to react so resiliently to the 2008/09 crisis.

     

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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/12106
    Series: Global economic prospects ; volume 5 (June 2012)
    Subjects: Wirtschaftslage; Welt; Global Economic Prospects; accounting; arbitrage; assets; bailout; bank lending; Bank Loans; banking systems; basis points; binding constraint; bond; bond issuance; Bond Issues; bond spreads; Bond Yields; bonds; borrowing costs; budget constraint; buffers; business confidence; capacity constraints; capital constraints; capital goods; capital inflows; capital markets; Capital outflows; capital requirements; capitalization; CDS; central bank; Commodities; commodity; commodity markets; commodity price; commodity prices; commodity traders; consumer demand; consumer goods; consumer spending; Copyright Clearance; Copyright Clearance Center; country capital; country debt; country Equity; Credit Default; Credit Default Swap; credit squeeze; credit squeezes; crisis countries; Current account balance; current account balances; current account deficit; current account deficits; debt; Debt data; debt flows; debt levels; debt obligations; debt restructuring; debt stocks; debts; decline in investment; deposits; developing countries; developing country; Developing country Equity; developing economies; developing economy; domestic markets; downside scenario; durable; durables; Economic developments; Emerging Markets; Emerging-market; Equities; equity issuance; Equity Issues; Equity market; Equity markets; exchange rate; Exchange Rates; expenditure; expenditures; export growth; export value Interest Rates; exporter; exporters; exposures; external shocks; financial crises; financial crisis; financial institutions; financial integration; financial market; financial markets; financial sector; financial sector developments; financial sectors; financial systems; financing requirements; fiscal consolidation; fiscal deficits; fiscal policies; fiscal policy; food price; food prices; foreign banks; foreign currency; Global Economy; global finance; global financial markets; global financial systems; global output; global trade; Government account; government accounts; Government budget; government debt; government deficit; government deficits; government expenditure; government expenditures; government revenue; government revenues; government spending; Gross debt; growth rate; growth rates; High-Income Countries; high-income country; household savings; human capital; import; import demand; Income; income growth; incomes; Inflation; inflation rates; inflationary pressures; interest rates; International Bank; international business; International capital; International capital flows; international financial institutions; international financial markets; international reserves; International Settlements; International Trade; investing; investment activity; investment spending; lenders; level of risk; loan; local currency; low-income countries; macroeconomic policies; macroeconomic policy; Macroeconomic vulnerabilities; market conditions; market price; market prices; Market regulators; maturity; middle-income countries; Monetary Fund; monetary policies; monetary policy; natural disasters; Net capital; oil commodities; oil price; oil prices; Output; Output Gap; output gaps; political stability; political uncertainty; Portfolio; portfolio capital; post-crisis period; power parity; private banks; Private creditors; Private debt; private inflows; public spending; purchasing power; purchasing power parity; rate of growth; real interest; real interest rates; Regional trade; regulators; remittances; reserve; return; risk assessments; risk aversion; savings; savings rate; short-term debt; small countries; sovereign debt; stock markets; sustainable growth; technological change; trade deficit; trade finance; trading; transition countries; Treasury; Treasury Yields; value index; volatile capital; volatility; weights; withdrawal; world economy; World Trade
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 162 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. Uncertainties and vulnerabilities
    Published: January 2012
    Publisher:  Washington, DC, DC

    The world economy has entered a dangerous period. Some of the financial turmoil in Europe has spread to developing and other high-income countries, which until earlier had been unaffected. This contagion has pushed up borrowing costs in many parts of... more

    Orient-Institut Beirut
    Online
    No inter-library loan
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    No inter-library loan
    Universitätsbibliothek Clausthal
    No inter-library loan
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    No inter-library loan
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VSP 732
    No inter-library loan
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    No inter-library loan

     

    The world economy has entered a dangerous period. Some of the financial turmoil in Europe has spread to developing and other high-income countries, which until earlier had been unaffected. This contagion has pushed up borrowing costs in many parts of the world, and pushed down stock markets, while capital flows to developing countries have fallen sharply. Europe appears to have entered recession. At the same time, growth in several major developing countries (Brazil, India and, to a lesser extent, Russia, South Africa and Turkey) is significantly slower than it was earlier in the recovery, mainly reflecting policy tightening initiated in late 2010 and early 2011 in order to combat rising inflationary pressures. As a result, and despite a strengthening of activity in the United States and Japan, global growth and world trade have slowed sharply.

     

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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/12105
    Series: Global economic prospects ; volume 4 (January 2012)
    Subjects: Wirtschaftslage; Welt; access to bond markets; accounting; asset base; asset prices; bailout; balance of payments; bank activity; bank assets; bank balance sheets; Bank Debt; bank lending; bank loans; Banking Assets; banking crises; banking sector; banking sectors; banking system; banking systems; basis point; basis points; binding constraint; bond auctions; Bond Bank; bond funds; bond indexes; bond issuances; bond issuer; bond sales; bond spreads; Bond yields; bonds; borrowing costs; business cycle; capital adequacy; capital flow; Capital flows; capital markets; capital outflows; capital requirements; capital stock; CDS; Central Bank; central banks; collateral; commercial banks; Commodities; commodity; commodity exports; commodity price; Commodity Prices; consumer durables; contingency planning; Copyright Clearance; Copyright Clearance Center; corporate bond; corporate bond issuance; country debt; credit default; credit default swap; credit default swaps; credit histories; credit squeeze; credit squeezes; creditors; cross-border flows; currency depreciations; currency risk; Current Account Deficit; current account deficits; debt crisis; debt flows; debt holdings; debt issues; debt levels; debt ratios; Debt Repayment; debts; defaults; deficits; deposit; depositors; deposits; developing countries; Developing country; developing??country; domestic bank; domestic banking; domestic banks; domestic bond; domestic bond markets; Domestic bonds; downside scenario; downside scenarios; economic developments; emerging market; emerging market equities; Emerging Markets; emerging-market; enforcement mechanisms; equity flows; equity funds; equity issuance; equity markets; equity values; exchange rate; Exchange Rates; expenditure; expenditures; export growth; exporters; exposure; external debt; finances; financial crises; financial crisis; Financial flows; financial institutions; financial markets; Financial Stability; financial stress; financial support; financial systems; financing requirements; fiscal deficits; fixed investment; food prices; foreign banks; foreign capital; foreign currency; foreign holdings; foreign investment; foreign investor; Global Economic Prospects; Global Economy; global financial markets; global markets; global trade; government bonds; government deficit; government deficits; government financing; government revenues; growth rates; holding; holdings; host countries; Income; incomes; Inflation; inflation rate; inflationary pressures; insurance; interest rate; interest rates; International Bank; international bond; International capital; International capital flows; international financial market; International Trade; investment vehicles; liquidity; loan; loan exposures; loan portfolios; local currency; local government; local markets; local stock markets; long term debt; long-term debt; long-term yields; loss of confidence; mark-to-market; market competition; market conditions; market confidence; market equity; market participants; market price; market prices; market value; middle-income countries; monetary policy; Net debt; non-performing loan; nonperforming loans; oil price; oil prices; output; pension; pension system; policy response; political uncertainty; portfolio; power parity; private banks; private capital; private capital inflows; Private creditors; private debt; prudential regulation; purchasing power; remittance; remittances; reserves; return; risk aversion; safety net; secondary bond markets; short-term bonds; short-term debt; short-term finance; Short-term yields; social safety net; solvency; sovereign bond; sovereign debt; sovereign yields; stock markets; sustainable growth; swap; tax; trade finance; trade sectors; trading; tranche; transition countries; valuations; wholesale funding; world economy; world trade
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 165 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. Navigating strong currents
    Published: January 2011
    Publisher:  The World Bank, Washington, DC

    Economic activity in most developing countries has, or is close to having, recovered. Supported by resurgence in international and domestic financial flows and higher commodity prices, most of the spare capacity in developing countries that was... more

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    Economic activity in most developing countries has, or is close to having, recovered. Supported by resurgence in international and domestic financial flows and higher commodity prices, most of the spare capacity in developing countries that was created by the crisis has been reabsorbed, and developing countries have regained trend growth rates close to those observed in the pre-crisis period. The remainder of this report is organized as follows. The next section discusses recent developments in global production, trade, and financial markets, and presents updates of the World Bank's forecast for the global economy and developing countries. The global economy is transitioning from the bounce-back phase of the recovery toward a period of slower but more sustainable growth. Growth in most developing countries is increasingly running into capacity constraints, while in high-income and developing Europe and Central Asia growth is hampered by the concentrated nature of slack and ongoing restructuring. In this environment, policy needs to be moving away from short-term demand stimulus toward measures that generate additional employment by enhancing the supply potential of economies. The global policy environment has become highly charged and uncertain, and presents multiple risks to prospects for developing countries. As emphasized at the recent G-20 meetings in Seoul (G-20 2010), both developing and high-income countries will need to take care to minimize the negative external consequences of their domestic policy actions. Concretely, this means that while countries must remain mindful of domestic conditions, when opportunities present themselves to pursue domestic policy objectives in a manner that support adjustment elsewhere in the global economy these should be taken up.

     

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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/12102
    Series: Global economic prospects ; volume 2 (January 2011)
    Subjects: Wirtschaftslage; Welt; Global Economic Prospects; asset price; auction; Bank Bond; Bank Equity; bank lending; bank loan; banking assets; banking sector; banking sectors; banking system; basis points; Bond; bond flows; bond issuance; Bond Portfolio; bond yield; bonds; capacity constraints; capital control; capital controls; capital flows; capital formation; capital gains; capital inflow; Capital inflows; capital markets; capital outflows; capital shortages; CDS; Central Bank; commodities; commodity; commodity prices; consumer debt; consumer demand; consumer goods; contingent liabilities; Copyright Clearance; Copyright Clearance Center; corporate bonds; credit default; credit default swap; credit default swaps; credit rating; creditors; Current account balance; current account balances; current account deficit; current account deficits; current account surpluses; debt flows; debt relief; deposits; developing countries; Developing country; developing economies; dividends; dollar value; domestic credit; domestic economy; durable; durable goods; economic developments; economic performance; emerging markets; equipment; equities; equity flows; equity issues; equity market; equity markets; exchange rate; exchange rate movements; exchange rates; exporters; exposure; financial crisis; financial flows; financial inflows; financial institutions; financial integration; financial market; financial markets; financial sector; financial sector policies; Financial Stability; financial support; fiscal consolidation; fiscal consolidations; fiscal deficits; fiscal policy; Fixed investment; flows of capital; Food price; food prices; foreign banks; foreign capital; Foreign direct investment; foreign exchange; foreign exchange market; foreign holdings; foreign investors; fund managers; future growth; futures; global economy; global exports; global financial markets; global investors; global pension; global trade; government finances; government spending; growth rate; growth rates; hedge funds; holdings; host country; import costs; income; incomes; indebtedness; inflation; inflationary pressure; inflationary pressures; infrastructure investment; institutional development; Institutional investor; interest income; interest rate; interest rate differentials; interest rates; International Bank; international bond; International capital; International capital flows; international financial markets; International settlements; investment climate; investment flows; investment funds; investment projects; investment rates; investment spending; investment vehicles; labor market; liquidity; local currency; local economy; local market; long-term interest; loss of confidence; Low-income countries; macroeconomic management; macroeconomic policy; market developments; market expectations; market index; market makers; market participants; market price; market prices; market valuations; market volatility; maturity; middle-income countries; monetary policy; money market; money supply; monopoly; Net debt; oil price; oil prices; output; output gap; output gaps; pension; pension funds; pension systems; political stability; Portfolio; portfolio investment; portfolios; power parity; price volatility; private capital; private capital flows; Private creditors; private savings; public finances; purchasing power; rapid expansion; regulatory requirements; remittance; remittances; repayments; reserve; reserve requirements; reserves; savings; savings rates; securities; short-term assets; short-term debt; sovereign debt; sovereign debt markets; speculative bubble; supply shocks; tax; tax rate; tax rates; Technological change; trading; transaction costs; transition countries; transition economies; Treasuries; Unemployment rates; volatility; withdrawal; world economy; world trade; yield spreads
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 129 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. Assuring growth over the medium term
    Published: January 2013
    Publisher:  The World Bank, Washington, DC

    More than four years after the global financial crisis hit, high-income countries struggle to restructure their economies and regain fiscal sustainability. Developing countries, where growth is 1-2 percentage points below what it was during the... more

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    More than four years after the global financial crisis hit, high-income countries struggle to restructure their economies and regain fiscal sustainability. Developing countries, where growth is 1-2 percentage points below what it was during the pre-crisis period, have been affected by the weakness in high-income countries. To regain pre-crisis growth rates, they will need to focus on productivity-enhancing domestic policies rather than demand stimulus. Although the major risks to the global economy are similar to those of a year ago, the likelihood that they will materialize has diminished, as has the magnitude of estimated impacts should these events occur. Major downside risks include the loss of access to capital markets by vulnerable Euro Area countries, lack of agreement on U.S. fiscal policy and the debt ceiling, and commodity price shocks. In an environment of slow growth and continued volatility, a steady hand is required in developing countries to avoid pro-cyclical policy and to rebuild macroeconomic buffers so that authorities can react in the case of new external or domestic shocks.

     

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    Media type: Ebook
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    ISBN: 9780821398821
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10986/12124
    Series: Global economic prospects ; volume 6 (January 2013)
    Subjects: Wirtschaftswachstum; Produktivitätsentwicklung; Entwicklungsländer; Global Economic Prospects; accounting; arbitrage; assets; bailout; bank lending; Bank Loans; banking systems; basis points; binding constraint; bond; bond issuance; Bond Issues; bond spreads; Bond Yields; bonds; borrowing costs; budget constraint; buffers; business confidence; capacity constraints; capital constraints; capital goods; capital inflows; capital markets; Capital outflows; capital requirements; capitalization; CDS; central bank; Commodities; commodity; commodity markets; commodity price; commodity prices; commodity traders; consumer demand; consumer goods; consumer spending; Copyright Clearance; Copyright Clearance Center; country capital; country debt; country Equity; Credit Default; Credit Default Swap; credit squeeze; credit squeezes; crisis countries; Current account balance; current account balances; current account deficit; current account deficits; debt; Debt data; debt flows; debt levels; debt obligations; debt restructuring; debt stocks; debts; decline in investment; deposits; developing countries; developing country; Developing country Equity; developing economies; developing economy; domestic markets; downside scenario; durable; durables; Economic developments; Emerging Markets; Emerging-market; Equities; equity issuance; Equity Issues; Equity market; Equity markets; exchange rate; Exchange Rates; expenditure; expenditures; export growth; export value Interest Rates; exporter; exporters; exposures; external shocks; financial crises; financial crisis; financial institutions; financial integration; financial market; financial markets; financial sector; financial sector developments; financial sectors; financial systems; financing requirements; fiscal consolidation; fiscal deficits; fiscal policies; fiscal policy; food price; food prices; foreign banks; foreign currency; Global Economy; global finance; global financial markets; global financial systems; global output; global trade; Government account; government accounts; Government budget; government debt; government deficit; government deficits; government expenditure; government expenditures; government revenue; government revenues; government spending; Gross debt; growth rate; growth rates; High-Income Countries; high-income country; household savings; human capital; import; import demand; Income; income growth; incomes; Inflation; inflation rates; inflationary pressures; interest rates; International Bank; international business; International capital; International capital flows; international financial institutions; international financial markets; international reserves; International Settlements; International Trade; investing; investment activity; investment spending; lenders; level of risk; loan; local currency; low-income countries; macroeconomic policies; macroeconomic policy; Macroeconomic vulnerabilities; market conditions; market price; market prices; Market regulators; maturity; middle-income countries; Monetary Fund; monetary policies; monetary policy; natural disasters; Net capital; oil commodities; oil price; oil prices; Output; Output Gap; output gaps; political stability; political uncertainty; Portfolio; portfolio capital; post-crisis period; power parity; private banks; Private creditors; Private debt; private inflows; public spending; purchasing power; purchasing power parity; rate of growth; real interest; real interest rates; Regional trade; regulators; remittances; reserve; return; risk assessments; risk aversion; savings; savings rate; short-term debt; small countries; sovereign debt; stock markets; sustainable growth; technological change; trade deficit; trade finance; trading; transition countries; Treasury; Treasury Yields; value index; volatile capital; volatility; weights; withdrawal; world economy; World Trade
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 178 Seiten), Illustrationen
  12. Essays in Financial Economics
    Published: 2017

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    Media type: Dissertation
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    hdl: 20.500.11811/7086
    Subjects: Ratings; CDS; Bank Regulation; Regulation; NLP; Market Risk; Value-at-Risk; internal models; CDS
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 244 Seiten)
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    Dissertation, Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn, 2017

  13. Market effects of central bank credit markets support programs in Europe
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, [Washington, DC]

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    Series: International finance discussion papers ; number 1357 (August 2022)
    Subjects: central banks; credit programs; credit derivatives; CDS; uncertainty; debt issuance
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  14. The effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on stock markets, CDS and economic activity
    time-varying evidence from the US and Europe
    Published: September 2021
    Publisher:  CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany

    This paper examines the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on stock returns, CDS and economic activity in the US and the five European countries (the UK, Germany, France, Italy, and Spain) which have been most affected. The sample period covers the... more

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    This paper examines the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on stock returns, CDS and economic activity in the US and the five European countries (the UK, Germany, France, Italy, and Spain) which have been most affected. The sample period covers the dates from the first confirmed COVID-19 cases in these countries to February 19, 2021. Specifically, we estimate first benchmark linear VAR models and then, given the evidence of parameter instability, TVP-VAR models with stochastic volatility which are ideally suited to capturing the changing dynamics in both financial markets and the real economy. The empirical findings can be summarised as follows. The linear VAR responses of electricity consumption (a proxy for real economic activity) to a one-standard-deviation shock to the number of COVID-19 cases are statistically insignificant, except for France, whilst the CDS ones are positive and significant only in a few periods, and there are very mixed results for those of stock returns. As for the TVP-VAR results, these indicate that COVID-19 cases had a negative and significant effect on economic activity in all countries in the early stages of the pandemic (especially in Italy), and a positive one on CDS at the same time (with cross-country differences). Finally, the negative impact on stock markets was felt only initially and it had tapered off by mid-April 2020.

     

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    hdl: 10419/245497
    Series: CESifo working paper ; no. 9316 (2021)
    Subjects: Covid-19; stock markets; CDS; economic activity; TVP-VAR
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  15. Credit risk in a pandemic
    Published: 2021
    Publisher:  Department of Economics, School of Economics and Management, Lund University, Lund

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    Series: Working paper / Department of Economics, Lund University ; 2021, 1
    Subjects: credit risk; Covid-19; equity market; debt market; CDS; Merton model; Basel II
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    Notes:

    Volltext nicht verfügbar

  16. Sovereign Risk and Financial Risk
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Atlanta, GA

    In this paper, we study the interplay between sovereign risk and global financial risk. We show that a substantial portion of the comovement among sovereign spreads is accounted for by changes in global financial risk. We construct bond-level... more

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    In this paper, we study the interplay between sovereign risk and global financial risk. We show that a substantial portion of the comovement among sovereign spreads is accounted for by changes in global financial risk. We construct bond-level sovereign spreads for dollar-denominated bonds issued by more than 50 countries from 1995 to 2020 and use various indicators to measure global financial risk. Through panel regressions and local projection analysis, we find that an increase in global financial risk causes a large and persistent widening of sovereign bond spreads. These effects are strongest when measuring global risk using the excess bond premium, which is a measure of the risk-bearing capacity of US financial intermediaries. The spillover effects of global financial risk are more pronounced for speculative-grade sovereign bonds.

     

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    hdl: 10419/249863
    Series: Working paper series / Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta ; 2021, 27 (November 2021)
    Subjects: sovereign bonds; CDS; global financial risk; excess bond premium; global financial cycle
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 43 Seiten), Illustrationen
  17. CDS central counterparty clearing default measures
    road to recovery or invitation to predation?
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  Swiss Finance Institute, Geneva

    Following the 2008 financial crisis, regulation mandates the clearing of the CDS market through Central Clearing Counter-parties (CCPs). Large CCPs are now designated as 'Global Systemically Important Institutions' (GSIIs), whose... more

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    Following the 2008 financial crisis, regulation mandates the clearing of the CDS market through Central Clearing Counter-parties (CCPs). Large CCPs are now designated as 'Global Systemically Important Institutions' (GSIIs), whose unlikely-but-plausible failure threatens global financial market stability. This work examines CCP resilience following a large dealer member's default and the ensuing default contagion. In unwinding the defaulter's positions, the CCP faces the price impact of constrained member liquidations and unconstrained members' predatory selling. The variation margin captures the effect of price-mediated contagion and its amplification. A novel spatial measure captures the covariance between members' CDS holdings and the CDS being unwound. Key results show: Liquidations by constrained members lower the CCP's profits and make cds-spreads less informative. There exists a strong conflict between predatory competition and dealer distress, which inadvertently makes dealers prey on themselves. In turn, the adoption of a risk-sharing guarantee fund structure would provide a natural disciplinary mechanism for predation – minimizing overall CCP and member losses. A dynamic simulation, calibrated to OTC market data, supports these theoretical results with parameter magnitudes and sensitivities. Examination of three market liquidity scenarios provides intuition for effective liquidity injection by a Lender of Last Resort

     

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    Series: Research paper series / Swiss Finance Institute ; no 20, 95
    Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper ; No. 20-95
    Subjects: Systemic Risk; CCP Recovery; CDS; CDS Spread Fire Sales; Liquidation; Predation; Price Impact; Contagion; Financial Network; Over the Counter Markets
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 75 Seiten), Illustrationen
  18. Internet searches, household sentiment and credit spreads
    Published: October 2019
    Publisher:  Department of Economics, School of Economics and Management, Lund University, Lund

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    hdl: 10419/260285
    Series: Working paper / Department of Economics, Lund University ; 2019, 15
    Subjects: sentiment; Google; internet search; households; CDS; spread; distance to default
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 26 Seiten), Illustrationen
  19. Cross-border credit derivatives linkages
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  European Systemic Risk Board, Frankfurt am Main, Germany

    This paper is a first attempt to include credit derivatives in international macrofinancial analysis. We document that gross credit derivatives holdings map to bilateral portfolio investment linkages. On a net basis, our results suggest an asymmetry... more

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    This paper is a first attempt to include credit derivatives in international macrofinancial analysis. We document that gross credit derivatives holdings map to bilateral portfolio investment linkages. On a net basis, our results suggest an asymmetry between sectors and between net buyers and net sellers of CDSs. When a banking system is a net buyer of protection, the protection purchased is proportional to the debt securities held. Conversely, when a banking system is a net seller, the protection sold is proportional to the securities held. For investment funds, we find no aggregate relation between net CDSs and the debt securities held.

     

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    ISBN: 9789289946186
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    hdl: 10419/244267
    Series: Working paper series / ESRB, European Systemic Risk Board, European System of Financial Supervision ; no 115 (March 2021)
    Subjects: Cross-border positions; Risk transfer; CDS; EMIR data
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  20. Sovereign risk dynamics in the EU
    the time varying relevance of fiscal and external (im)balances
    Published: February 2024
    Publisher:  CESifo, Munich, Germany

    Acknowledging the potential detrimental impact that twin-deficits may have on sovereign risk, this study uses a two-step approach to assess the impact of fiscal and external sustainability on sovereign risk dynamics for a panel of 27 European... more

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    Acknowledging the potential detrimental impact that twin-deficits may have on sovereign risk, this study uses a two-step approach to assess the impact of fiscal and external sustainability on sovereign risk dynamics for a panel of 27 European Economies between 2001Q4 and 2022Q3. To do so, we first estimate a country-specific time-varying measure of fiscal sustainability, through the cointegration between government revenues and expenditures, and of external sustainability, derived from the exports-imports cointegration. We then resort to those time-varying coefficients to assess their impact on sovereign risk, proxied by 10-year CDS and CDS spreads (against the US) making use of Weighted Least Squares (WLS) analysis. Noticeably, we show that an improvement of both fiscal and external sustainability lead to a reduction in sovereign risk. This phenomenon becomes notably pronounced, particularly when examining countries experiencing an upward trajectory in their public debt levels.

     

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    hdl: 10419/296068
    Series: CESifo working papers ; 10979 (2024)
    Subjects: sovereign risk; fiscal sustainability; external sustainability; CDS; CDS spreads
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 44 Seiten), Illustrationen
  21. The global financial cycle and country risk in emerging markets during stress episodes: a copula covar approach
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  Banco de la Republica Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia

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    hdl: 20.500.12134/10620
    Series: Borradores de economía ; no. 1231 (2023)
    Subjects: Global financial cycle; Country risk; CDS; Copula-CoVaR
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  22. Sovereign debt and credit default swaps
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, Richmond

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    Series: Working paper series / Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond ; WP 23, 05
    Subjects: sovereign debt; CDS; directed search; over-the-counter
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 59 Seiten), Illustrationen
  23. Drivers of post-pandemic currency movement
    recurring impacts of sovereign risks and oil prices
    Published: [2024]
    Publisher:  RIETI, [Tokyo, Japan]

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: RIETI discussion paper series ; 24-E, 054 (April 2024)
    Subjects: exchange Rates; CDS; oil prices; post-covid-19; safe-haven currency
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 35 Seiten), Illustrationen
  24. Exchange rates and sovereign risk
    a nonlinear approach based on local Gaussian correlations
    Published: March 2024
    Publisher:  CESifo, Munich, Germany

    We empirically assess the interlinkages between sovereign risk, measured in terms of CDS spreads, and exchange rates for a sample of emerging markets. Our period of analysis includes periods of severe stress, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the... more

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    We empirically assess the interlinkages between sovereign risk, measured in terms of CDS spreads, and exchange rates for a sample of emerging markets. Our period of analysis includes periods of severe stress, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukrainian War. Using the most recent developments in local Gaussian partial correlation analysis and the associated nonlinear Granger causality tests, we are able to uncover linkages between assets across different segments of their joint distributions. Disentangling the effect of global factors, we show that the information on sovereign risk of other emerging economies is more relevant for the sovereign risk-exchange rate relationship than the state of developed markets risk for all countries in our sample and for all segments of the assets distribution. The same considerations apply for the movements of the US dollar relative to other currencies, where knowledge on movements of emerging currencies is of particular interest. Nonlinear Granger causality tests show bi-directional causality for most countries, confirming the importance of multiple transmission channels. Taken together, our results are of interest for international investors and policymakers, showing all interlinkages between sovereign risk and exchange rates across their entire distribution.

     

    Export to reference management software   RIS file
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/296108
    Series: CESifo working papers ; 11019 (2024)
    Subjects: CDS; correlation; emerging markets; exchange rate; nonlinear causality; sovereign risk
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 25 Seiten), Illustrationen