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  1. The Markov switching ACD model
  2. The Markov switching ACD model
  3. Monetary policy across inflation regimes
    Published: [2024]
    Publisher:  Federal Reserve Bank of New York, [New York, NY]

    Does the effect of monetary policy depend on the prevailing level of inflation? In order to answer this question, we construct a parsimonious nonlinear time series model that allows for inflation regimes. We find that the effects of monetary policy... more

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 207
    No inter-library loan

     

    Does the effect of monetary policy depend on the prevailing level of inflation? In order to answer this question, we construct a parsimonious nonlinear time series model that allows for inflation regimes. We find that the effects of monetary policy are markedly different when year-over-year inflation exceeds 5.5 percent. Below this threshold, changes in monetary policy have a short-lived effect on prices, but no effect on the unemployment rate, giving a potential explanation for the recent "soft landing" in the United States. Above this threshold, the effects of monetary policy surprises on both inflation and unemployment can be larger and longer lasting.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/284043
    Series: Staff reports / Federal Reserve Bank of New York ; no. 1083 (January 2024)
    Subjects: monetary policy shocks; inflation; regime-dependence; outliers; nonlinear time series models
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen