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  1. Structural estimates of the South African sacrifice ratio
    Published: January 2021
    Publisher:  United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research, Helsinki, Finland

    This paper estimates the output cost of fighting inflation-the sacrifice ratio-for the South African economy using quarterly data spanning the period 1998Q1-2019Q3. To compute the sacrifice ratio, the structural vector autoregressive model developed... more

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 248
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    This paper estimates the output cost of fighting inflation-the sacrifice ratio-for the South African economy using quarterly data spanning the period 1998Q1-2019Q3. To compute the sacrifice ratio, the structural vector autoregressive model developed by Cecchetti and Rich (2001) based on Cecchetti (1994) is employed. Our findings show us a small sacrifice ratio, which lies within the range 0.00002-0.231 per cent with an average of 0.031 per cent, indicating a low level of output to be sacrificed while fighting inflation. Hence, the reserve bank is recommended to sustain an inflation rate within the target range and reap the benefits of a predictable and stable price path, as restrictive monetary policy has only a transitory effect on real variables like output.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9789292569464
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/229413
    Series: WIDER working paper ; 2021, 12
    Subjects: inflation targeting; output; sacrifice ratio; South Africa; structural VAR model
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 22 Seiten), Illustrationen