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  1. Potential growth
    a global database
    Author: Çelik, Sinem Kılıç; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Ruch, Franz Ulrich
    Published: 07 April 2023
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; DP18061
    Subjects: Emerging market and developing economies; production function; filters; growth expectations; developing economies
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 78 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Prospects, risks, and vulnerabilities in emerging and developing economies
    lessons from the past decade
    Author: Ruch, Franz Ulrich
    Published: March 2020
    Publisher:  World Bank Group, Prospects Group, [Washington, DC, USA]

    Growth in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) has generally disappointed since the 2009 global recession, with sizable forecast downgrades in most years. EMDEs continue to face downside risks to growth outlook over the next couple of... more

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    Growth in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) has generally disappointed since the 2009 global recession, with sizable forecast downgrades in most years. EMDEs continue to face downside risks to growth outlook over the next couple of years. These include heightened global policy uncertainty, trade tensions, spillovers from weaker-than-expected growth in major economies, and disorderly financial market developments. These risks are accompanied by region-specific risks, including geopolitical tensions, armed conflict, and severe weather events. If risks materialize, their impact on EMDEs depends on the magnitude of spillovers and domestic vulnerabilities. Since the 2009 global recession, external, corporate sector and sovereign vulnerabilities have risen in most EMDEs, leaving them less well-prepared for future shocks. Low-income countries, in particular, face elevated vulnerabilities, with about 40 percent of them currently in debt distress. Over the longer run, EMDEs also face weakening potential growth, reflecting decelerations in capital accumulation and productivity growth, as well as demographic headwinds. These constraints are likely to hamper growth in the next decade unless they are mitigated by ambitious and credible reform agendas

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    Series: Policy research working paper ; 9181
    World Bank E-Library Archive
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 42 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Policy challenges for emerging and developing economies
    lessons from the past decade
    Author: Ruch, Franz Ulrich
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  World Bank Group, Prospects Group, [Washington, DC, USA]

    The 2009 global recession demonstrated, once again, the importance of crisis prevention as well as the critical need for preserving policy room so that emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) can act when their economies are hit by shocks.... more

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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
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    The 2009 global recession demonstrated, once again, the importance of crisis prevention as well as the critical need for preserving policy room so that emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) can act when their economies are hit by shocks. And now, with the global growth outlook still weak and vulnerabilities rising, these lessons underscore the need for comprehensive policies to improve EMDEs' resilience to shocks and lift long-term growth prospects. On the macroeconomic front, priorities include shoring up fiscal positions, keeping adequate foreign reserves, and strengthening policy frameworks. Financial sector policies to adapt to a changing global financial environment include strengthening home-host supervisor coordination and establishing prudential authorities with the appropriate tools and mandates to mitigate systemic risks. Structural policy priorities include investment in human capital and infrastructure to offset the decline in potential growth that is expected to continue over the next decade. Renewed reform momentum is needed to create the environment that generates private sector-led, productivity-driven growth supported by measures to improve governance and business climates

     
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    Content information
    Volltext (kostenfrei)
    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Policy research working paper ; 9180
    Subjects: BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT; ECONOMIC GROWTH; EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES; FISCAL POLICY; GOVERNANCE; INVESTMENT CLIMATE; MACROECONOMIC POLICY; MONETARY POLICY; POTENTIAL GROWTH; STRUCTURAL REFORM
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (55 Seiten)
    Notes:

    Gesehen am 06.08.2020
  4. Prospects, risks, and vulnerabilities in emerging and developing economies
    lessons from the past decade
    Author: Ruch, Franz Ulrich
    Published: March 2020
    Publisher:  World Bank Group, Prospects Group, [Washington, DC, USA]

    Growth in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) has generally disappointed since the 2009 global recession, with sizable forecast downgrades in most years. EMDEs continue to face downside risks to growth outlook over the next couple of... more

    Access:
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    Max-Planck-Institut für Bildungsforschung, Bibliothek und wissenschaftliche Information
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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
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    Universität Potsdam, Universitätsbibliothek
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    Growth in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) has generally disappointed since the 2009 global recession, with sizable forecast downgrades in most years. EMDEs continue to face downside risks to growth outlook over the next couple of years. These include heightened global policy uncertainty, trade tensions, spillovers from weaker-than-expected growth in major economies, and disorderly financial market developments. These risks are accompanied by region-specific risks, including geopolitical tensions, armed conflict, and severe weather events. If risks materialize, their impact on EMDEs depends on the magnitude of spillovers and domestic vulnerabilities. Since the 2009 global recession, external, corporate sector and sovereign vulnerabilities have risen in most EMDEs, leaving them less well-prepared for future shocks. Low-income countries, in particular, face elevated vulnerabilities, with about 40 percent of them currently in debt distress. Over the longer run, EMDEs also face weakening potential growth, reflecting decelerations in capital accumulation and productivity growth, as well as demographic headwinds. These constraints are likely to hamper growth in the next decade unless they are mitigated by ambitious and credible reform agendas

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    Series: Policy research working paper ; 9181
    World Bank E-Library Archive
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 42 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Policy challenges for emerging and developing economies
    lessons from the past decade
    Author: Ruch, Franz Ulrich
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  World Bank Group, Prospects Group, [Washington, DC, USA]

    The 2009 global recession demonstrated, once again, the importance of crisis prevention as well as the critical need for preserving policy room so that emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) can act when their economies are hit by shocks.... more

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    Orient-Institut Beirut
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    The 2009 global recession demonstrated, once again, the importance of crisis prevention as well as the critical need for preserving policy room so that emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) can act when their economies are hit by shocks. And now, with the global growth outlook still weak and vulnerabilities rising, these lessons underscore the need for comprehensive policies to improve EMDEs' resilience to shocks and lift long-term growth prospects. On the macroeconomic front, priorities include shoring up fiscal positions, keeping adequate foreign reserves, and strengthening policy frameworks. Financial sector policies to adapt to a changing global financial environment include strengthening home-host supervisor coordination and establishing prudential authorities with the appropriate tools and mandates to mitigate systemic risks. Structural policy priorities include investment in human capital and infrastructure to offset the decline in potential growth that is expected to continue over the next decade. Renewed reform momentum is needed to create the environment that generates private sector-led, productivity-driven growth supported by measures to improve governance and business climates

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
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    Content information
    Volltext (kostenfrei)
    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Policy research working paper ; 9180
    Subjects: BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT; ECONOMIC GROWTH; EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES; FISCAL POLICY; GOVERNANCE; INVESTMENT CLIMATE; MACROECONOMIC POLICY; MONETARY POLICY; POTENTIAL GROWTH; STRUCTURAL REFORM
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (55 Seiten)
    Notes:

    Gesehen am 06.08.2020
  6. Global demand and supply sentiment
    evidence from earnings calls
    Author: Taskin, Temel; Ruch, Franz Ulrich
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  Bank of Canada, [Ottawa]

    This paper quantifies global demand, supply and uncertainty shocks and compares two major global recessions: the 2008-09 Great Recession and the COVID-19 pandemic. We use two alternate approaches to decompose economic shocks: text mining techniques... more

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    This paper quantifies global demand, supply and uncertainty shocks and compares two major global recessions: the 2008-09 Great Recession and the COVID-19 pandemic. We use two alternate approaches to decompose economic shocks: text mining techniques on earning call transcripts and a structural Bayesian vector autoregression model. The results highlight sharp contrast in the size of supply and demand shocks over time and across sectors. While the Great Recession was characterized by demand shocks, COVID-19 caused sizable disruptions to both demand and supply. These shocks were broad-based with varying relative importance across major sectors. Furthermore, certain sub-sectors, such as professional and business services, internet retail, and grocery/department stores, fared better than others during the pandemic.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    Edition: Last updated: June 30, 2023
    Series: Staff working paper / Bank of Canada ; 2023, 37
    Subjects: Business fluctuations and cycles; International topics; Inflation and prices; Econometric and statistical methods; Coronavirus disease (COVID-19)
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 35 Seiten), Illustrationen