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  1. Empirical Monte Carlo evidence on estimation of Timing-of-Events models
    Erschienen: [2020]
    Verlag:  IFAU, Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy, Uppsala

    This paper builds on the Empirical Monte Carlo simulation approach developed by Huber et al. (2013) to study the estimation of Timing-of-Events (ToE) models. We exploit rich Swedish data of unemployed job-seekers with information on participation in... mehr

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    This paper builds on the Empirical Monte Carlo simulation approach developed by Huber et al. (2013) to study the estimation of Timing-of-Events (ToE) models. We exploit rich Swedish data of unemployed job-seekers with information on participation in a training program to simulate placebo treatment durations. We first use these simulations to examine which covariates are key confounders to be included inselection models. The joint inclusion of specific short-term employment history indicators (notably, the share of time spent in employment), together with baseline socio-economic characteristics, regional and inflow timing information,is important to deal with selection bias. Next, we omit subsets of explanatory variables and estimate ToE models with discrete distributions for the ensuing systematic unobserved heterogeneity. In many cases the ToE approach provides accurate effect estimates, especially if time-varying variation in the unemployment rate of the local labor market is taken into account. However, assuming too many or too few support points for unobserved heterogeneity may lead to large biases. Information criteria, in particular those penalizing parameter abundance, are useful to select the number of support points.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/246035
    Schriftenreihe: Working paper / Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy ; 2020, 26
    Schlagworte: duration analysis; unemployment; propensity score; matching; training; employment
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 47 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Tax progressivity and self-employment dynamics
    Erschienen: May 2021
    Verlag:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    Analysis of the relationship between taxes and self-employment should account for the interplay between responses in self-employment and wage employment. To this end, we estimate a two-state multi-spell duration model which accounts for both observed... mehr

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    Analysis of the relationship between taxes and self-employment should account for the interplay between responses in self-employment and wage employment. To this end, we estimate a two-state multi-spell duration model which accounts for both observed and unobserved heterogeneity using a large longitudinal administrative dataset for Norway for 1993 to 2011. Our findings confirm theoretical predictions, and are robust to various changes to definitions and sample selections. A policy experiment simulating a flatter tax schedule in the year 2000 is found to encourage self-employment, delivering a net increase of predicted inflow into self-employment from 2.8% to 5.3%.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/236394
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 14363
    Schlagworte: tax progressivity; income tax; self-employment; duration analysis
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 72 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Einfache ökonometrische Verfahren für die Kreditrisikomessung: Verweildauermodelle
    Erschienen: 2005
    Verlag:  Univ.-Bibliothek Frankfurt am Main, Frankfurt am Main

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Deutsch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    DDC Klassifikation: Wirtschaft (330); Handel, Kommunikation, Verkehr (380); Management und unterstützende Tätigkeiten (650); Industrielle Fertigung (670)
    Schriftenreihe: Universität Frankfurt am Main. Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaften: [Working paper series / Finance and accounting] Working paper series, Finance & Accounting ; No. 62
    Schlagworte: Kreditrisiko; Kreditwürdigkeit; Schätzung; Universalbank; Theorie; Deskriptive Statistik; Kreditrisiko; Ökonometrisches Modell
    Weitere Schlagworte: (stw)Kreditrisiko; (stw)Kreditwürdigkeit; (stw)Schätzung; (stw)Universalbank; (stw)Theorie; (stw)Deutschland; (stw)Statistische Bestandsanalyse; credit risk; default risk; duration analysis; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Umfang: Online-Ressource
  4. Job stability trends, layoffs and quits
    an empirical analysis for West Germany
    Erschienen: 2001
    Verlag:  Sonderforschungsbereich 373, Berlin

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Druck
    DDC Klassifikation: Sozialwissenschaften (300); Wirtschaft (330)
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper / Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Sonderforschungsbereich 373 Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse ; 2001,102
    Schlagworte: Arbeitsplatzsicherung; Betriebszugehörigkeit; Arbeitsmobilität; Arbeitsvertrag; Kündigung; Schätzung; :z Geschichte 1984-1997
    Weitere Schlagworte: (stw)1984-1997; (stw)Beschäftigungssicherung; (stw)Betriebszugehörigkeit; (stw)Arbeitsmobilität; (stw)Kündigung; (stw)Schätzung; (stw)Deutschland; labor mobility; duration analysis; Job stability; layoffs; Arbeitsmarktforschung; Arbeitslosigkeit; Mathematisches Modell; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Umfang: 29 S., graph. Darst., 21 cm
    Bemerkung(en):

    Literaturverz. S. 16 - 19

  5. Job stability trends and labor market (re-)entry in West Germany 1984 - 1997
    Autor*in: Mertens, Antje
    Erschienen: 1999
    Verlag:  Sonderforschungsbereich 373, Berlin

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
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    DDC Klassifikation: Sozialwissenschaften (300); Wirtschaft (330)
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper / Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Sonderforschungsbereich 373 Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse ; 1999,60
    Schlagworte: Betriebszugehörigkeit; Arbeitsmobilität; Arbeitslosigkeit; Verweildauer; Arbeitsplatzsicherung; Schätzung; :z Geschichte 1984-1997
    Weitere Schlagworte: (stw)1984-1997; (stw)Betriebszugehörigkeit; (stw)Arbeitsmobilität; (stw)Arbeitslosigkeit; (stw)Dauer; (stw)Beschäftigungssicherung; (stw)Schätzung; (stw)Deutschland; job stability; labor mobility; duration analysis; Arbeitsmarktforschung; Berufliche Mobilität; Berufsverlauf; Berufstätigkeit; Teilzeitarbeit; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Umfang: 39 S., graph. Darst., 21 cm
  6. The effects of unemployment on health, hospitalizations, and mortality - evidence from administrative data
    Erschienen: April 2021
    Verlag:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    Linking health to the employment history of the whole Slovenia's workforce, this paper employs three innovative features. First, it utilizes a novel "double proof" approach of addressing the reverse causality that tracks only healthy individuals,... mehr

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    Linking health to the employment history of the whole Slovenia's workforce, this paper employs three innovative features. First, it utilizes a novel "double proof" approach of addressing the reverse causality that tracks only healthy individuals, making sure that any unemployment spell that individual may undergo precedes the occurrence of a disease, and relies on mass-layoffs to provide an additional layer of exogeneity to unemployment. Second, it is one of the first papers using data on drug prescriptions to infer information about the health status of individuals and link it labor market outcomes. And third, it treats the health effects of unemployment as part of a dose-response relationship, with the share of time spent in unemployment (as opposed to other labor market states) reflecting the "unemployment dose". The paper finds that, in comparison to employed persons with permanent contracts, persons experiencing unemployment face increased hazard of all three studied groups of diseases - cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, and mental disorders - as well as of hospitalizations caused by these diseases, with the effects stretching over a 15-year horizon. Moreover, the results also show that unemployment significantly increases the probability of death due to cardiovascular diseases and mental disorders, as well as death of any cause.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/236349
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 14318
    Schlagworte: unemployment; health; hospitalization; mortality; cardiovascular diseases; diabetes; mental disorders; prescriptions; duration analysis
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 53 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Analyzing nurses' decisions to leave their profession
    a duration analysis
    Autor*in: Kroczek, Martin
    Erschienen: December 2021
    Verlag:  Institut für Angewandte Wirtschaftsforschung e.V., Tübingen, Germany

    Many countries suffer from skilled labor shortages in nursing. One way to increase the nurse labor supply is to raise their retention rates. Yet, though several studies exist on factors associated with the nurse labor supply at different levels,... mehr

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    Many countries suffer from skilled labor shortages in nursing. One way to increase the nurse labor supply is to raise their retention rates. Yet, though several studies exist on factors associated with the nurse labor supply at different levels, literature on factors associated with nurses’ decisions to leave their occupation is relatively scarce. Based on German administrative data, I analyze the determinants of nurses’ decisions to leave their profession. My results suggest that younger nurses, nurses in the social sector,and nurses working with smaller employers leave their occupation more often than their counterparts, irrespective of their specific nursing occupations and care settings (inpatient or outpatient care). Nurses leave more often where more alternative occupational options are available. Nurses who have been unemployed and nurses who have been employed in a different field have a higher probability of leaving the occupation, whereas nurses who just finished vocational training only have a moderate propensity to leave. Female nurses leave less often if employed part time. Female nurses in part time leave even more seldom if they have children. A change in the hospital reimbursement system and introducing a nursing minimum wage during the first decade of the century did not change nurses’ occupation durations.

     

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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/249059
    Schriftenreihe: IAW discussion papers ; no. 136 (December 2021)
    Schlagworte: nurses; duration analysis; quitting
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 45 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Arbeitsmarkteinstieg und räumliche Mobilität von Hochschulabsolvent*innen
    Erschienen: 2021
    Verlag:  Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz Universität, Hannover

    Universitätsbibliothek Braunschweig
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    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
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    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
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    Technische Universität Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
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    Bibliothek der Hochschule Hannover
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    Bibliothek im Kurt-Schwitters-Forum
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    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
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    Hochschule Magdeburg-Stendal, Hochschulbibliothek
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    Hochschule Osnabrück, Bibliothek Campus Westerberg
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    Hochschule Magdeburg-Stendal, Standort Stendal, Bibliothek
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    UB Weimar
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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Beteiligt: Liefner, Ingo (AkademischeR BetreuerIn); Hennemann, Stephan (AkademischeR BetreuerIn)
    Sprache: Deutsch
    Medientyp: Dissertation
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    Schlagworte: Arbeitsmarkteinstieg; Hochschulabsolvent*innen; Mobilität; Arbeitserfahrung; Verweildaueranalysen; Geographie; labor market entry; graduates; mobility; work experience; duration analysis; geography
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (VII, 137 Seiten, 2,070 Mb), Illustrationen
    Bemerkung(en):

    Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 104-114

    Dissertation, Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz Universität Hannover, 2021

  9. Job Stability Trends, Layoffs and Quits
    Erschienen: 2000
    Verlag:  Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    DDC Klassifikation: Sozialwissenschaften (300); Wirtschaft (330)
    Schlagworte: Arbeitsplatzsicherung; Betriebszugehörigkeit; Arbeitsmobilität; Arbeitsvertrag; Kündigung; Schätzung; :z Geschichte 1984-1997
    Weitere Schlagworte: (stw)1984-1997; (stw)Beschäftigungssicherung; (stw)Betriebszugehörigkeit; (stw)Arbeitsmobilität; (stw)Kündigung; (stw)Schätzung; (stw)Deutschland; labor mobility; duration analysis; Job stability; layoffs; Arbeitsmarktforschung; Arbeitslosigkeit; Mathematisches Modell; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Umfang: Online-Ressource
    Bemerkung(en):

    In: Sonderforschungsbereich 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes, Band 2001, Ausgabe 102, 2001

  10. Einfache ökonometrische Verfahren für die Kreditrisikomessung: Logit- und Probit-Modelle
    Erschienen: 2000
    Verlag:  Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg, Frankfurt am Main

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Deutsch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    DDC Klassifikation: Wirtschaft (330); Handel, Kommunikation, Verkehr (380); Management und unterstützende Tätigkeiten (650); Industrielle Fertigung (670)
    Schriftenreihe: Universität Frankfurt am Main. Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaften: [Working paper series / Finance and accounting] Working paper series, Finance & Accounting ; No. 61
    Schlagworte: Kreditrisiko; Messung; Risiko; Kredit; Ökonometrisches Modell; Kreditrisiko; Kreditwürdigkeit; Schätzung; Theorie; Logit-Modell; Probit-Modell; Deskriptive Statistik; Kreditrisiko; Ökonometrisches Modell
    Weitere Schlagworte: (stw)Kreditrisiko; (stw)Kreditwürdigkeit; (stw)Schätzung; (stw)Theorie; (stw)Deutschland; (stw)Logit-Modell; (stw)Probit-Modell; (stw)Statistische Bestandsanalyse; credit risk; default risk; probit and logit models; panel data; duration analysis; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Umfang: Online-Ressource
  11. Do development projects crowd out private-sector activities?
    a survival analysis of contract farming participation in Northern Ghana
    Erschienen: November 2016
    Verlag:  International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC, USA

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    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Schriftenreihe: IFPRI discussion paper ; 01575
    Schlagworte: contract farming; duration analysis; private-sector-led development; development projects; Ghana
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen
  12. Determinants of the duration of economic recoveries
    the role of "too much finance"
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University in Prague, Prague

    This paper explores the effect of financial development on the duration of economic recoveries, considering a sample of 414 economic recoveries observed in 67 countries during the period 1989-2019. We define the duration of economic recovery, as the... mehr

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    This paper explores the effect of financial development on the duration of economic recoveries, considering a sample of 414 economic recoveries observed in 67 countries during the period 1989-2019. We define the duration of economic recovery, as the time it takes the economy to return to its potential output level. Using a continuous-time Weibull duration model, we find that a higher level of financial development tends to prolong the duration of economic recovery. Therefore, our findings indicate that a too highly developed financial system might delay a full recovery after a recession, supporting the notion that there is "too much finance". In particular, greater size of the underregulated sector of non-banking financial institutions (shadow banks) prolongs the economic recovery. Moreover, the emerging economies, with their generally poorer regulatory frameworks, are more negatively affected by "too much finance". Underlining the importance of an effective regulation of the entire financial system, our results also confirm that a higher regulátory quality limits the negative consequences of "too much finance".

     

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    hdl: 10419/286329
    Schriftenreihe: IES working paper ; 2022, 33
    Schlagworte: economic recovery; duration analysis; Weibull duration model; financial development; too-much-finance
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 47 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. Why U.S. immigration barriers matter for the global advancement of science
    Erschienen: January 2021
    Verlag:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    This paper studies the impact of U.S. immigration barriers on global knowledge production. We present four key findings. First, among Nobel Prize winners and Fields Medalists, migrants to the U.S. play a central role in the global knowledge network-... mehr

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    This paper studies the impact of U.S. immigration barriers on global knowledge production. We present four key findings. First, among Nobel Prize winners and Fields Medalists, migrants to the U.S. play a central role in the global knowledge network- representing 20-33% of the frontier knowledge producers. Second, using novel survey data and hand-curated life-histories of International Math Olympiad (IMO) medalists, we show that migrants to the U.S. are up to six times more productive than migrants to other countries-even after accounting for talent during one's teenage years. Third, financing costs are a key factor preventing foreign talent from migrating abroad to pursue their dream careers, particularly talent from developing countries. Fourth, certain 'push' incentives that reduce immigration barriers - by addressing financing constraints for top foreign talent - could increase the global scientific output of future cohorts by 42% percent. We conclude by discussing policy options for the U.S. and the global scientific community.

     

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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/232768
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 14016
    Schlagworte: duration analysis; unemployment; propensity score; matching; training; employment
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 34 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. Empirical Monte Carlo evidence on estimation of timing-of-events models
    Erschienen: January 2021
    Verlag:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    This paper builds on the Empirical Monte Carlo simulation approach developed by Huber et al. (2013) to study the estimation of Timing-of-Events (ToE) models. We exploit rich Swedish data of unemployed job-seekers with information on participation in... mehr

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    This paper builds on the Empirical Monte Carlo simulation approach developed by Huber et al. (2013) to study the estimation of Timing-of-Events (ToE) models. We exploit rich Swedish data of unemployed job-seekers with information on participation in a training program to simulate placebo treatment durations. We first use these simulations to examine which covariates are key confounders to be included in selection models. The joint inclusion of specific short-term employment history indicators (notably, the share of time spent in employment), together with baseline socio-economic characteristics, regional and inflow timing information, is important to deal with selection bias. Next, we omit subsets of explanatory variables and estimate ToE models with discrete distributions for the ensuing systematic unobserved heterogeneity. In many cases the ToE approach provides accurate effect estimates, especially if time-varying variation in the unemployment rate of the local labor market is taken into account. However, assuming too many or too few support points for unobserved heterogeneity may lead to large biases. Information criteria, in particular those penalizing parameter abundance, are useful to select the number of support points.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/232767
    Schriftenreihe: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 14015
    Schlagworte: duration analysis; unemployment; propensity score; matching; training; employment
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 47 Seiten), Illustrationen